The United States is stepping up its push for small modular reactors (SMRs) in the Philippines. In mid-February 2026, the U.S. Trade and Development Agency (USTDA) announced $2.7 million in technical assistance for Meralco PowerGen Corp. (MGEN). The work will review advanced U.S. SMR designs and create an implementation roadmap for what could become the country’s first SMR nuclear power plant.
USTDA framed the project as “vendor-neutral” evaluation support that can help the Philippines compare options and plan the steps needed to move from concept to construction. The goal is to speed early planning, such as technical screening and sequencing, before major capital decisions.
This is not a power plant approval. It is a funded study and planning effort. Still, it signals stronger U.S. backing for nuclear cooperation at a time when the Philippines is looking for more reliable, low-carbon power sources.
Meralco Chairman Manuel Pangilinan remarked:
“Through the generosity of the US government, we are laying the groundwork for the responsible integration of nuclear into our energy mix through small modular reactors. This offers a safe and responsible pathway towards energy security for generations to come.”
Coal Dependence and Rising Demand Drive the Debate
The Philippines still relies heavily on fossil fuels for electricity. Official DOE data show that in 2024, total power generation reached 126,941 GWh. Coal produced 79,359 GWh, which is about 62.5% of the country’s electricity that year.

- Natural gas produced 18,047 GWh (about 14%). Renewable energy produced 28,193 GWh (about 22%). Oil produced 1,342 GWh (about 1%).
On the capacity side, the DOE reported 29,706 MW of total installed generating capacity in 2024, with the following breakdown:
- Coal capacity was 13,006 MW (about 44%);
- Renewable energy capacity was 9,520 MW (about 32%);
- Natural gas was 3,732 MW (more than 12%); and
- Oil was 3,448 MW (almost 12%).

Demand growth also shapes this debate. In the DOE’s power planning materials, the country’s peak demand is projected to rise from 16,596 MW in 2022 to 68,483 MW by 2050, which the DOE notes equals an average annual growth rate of 5%.
These numbers help explain why policymakers and utilities are reviewing many options at once. They include grid upgrades, energy efficiency, renewables, storage, gas, and now nuclear.
SMRs Explained: Smaller Reactors, Big Expectations
An SMR is a nuclear reactor designed to be smaller than traditional large reactors. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) defines SMRs as reactors with a capacity of up to 300 MW(e) per unit. That is roughly one-third of the size of many conventional reactors.
The image is an example of an SMR design by NuScale Power, an American SMR company.

Supporters point to three practical features. First, SMRs aim for modular construction. Developers may build parts in factories and assemble them on site. Second, SMRs can be scaled by adding modules over time. Third, SMRs can provide steady output that does not depend on weather, which can help a grid manage variability from wind and solar.
At the same time, SMRs do not remove hard requirements. Any nuclear project still needs a strong regulator, safe site selection, trained staff, emergency planning, fuel and waste plans, and long-term financing. These items often drive timelines and costs, especially for a first plant in a country that is new to commercial nuclear power.
Small Reactors, Big Global Ambitions
Around the world, interest in small modular reactors is growing fast. Designers have created more than 120 SMR designs in recent years, with dozens in early review or licensing stages.
The global market for SMRs is also expanding. Analysts estimate the value of SMR markets at several billion U.S. dollars today, and rising over the next decade. Some forecasts show markets increasing to roughly double or more by the early 2030s, around $10–16 billion.
Installed SMR capacity is also expected to rise. Industry reports project several hundred megawatts of capacity by 2030, with further growth as more designs reach construction, up to 2.0 GW per IEA forecast.

Countries in North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific are leading deployment and planning. Many governments see SMRs as a way to add reliable, low-carbon power alongside renewables.
Global forecasts to 2050 show SMRs could play a bigger role in clean energy systems, especially under scenarios that aim for low emissions and stable power. However, real deployment depends on licensing, investment, and supply chain development.
The 123 Agreement: Legal Groundwork for Nuclear Cooperation
A key reason U.S. firms can offer nuclear technology is the U.S.–Philippines Agreement for Cooperation in the Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy, often called a “123 Agreement.” The U.S. State Department said the agreement entered into force on July 2, 2024. It sets the legal framework for civil nuclear cooperation and can support exports of nuclear material, equipment, and components under U.S. rules.
In practice, this type of agreement is one building block. It does not select a reactor design and does not guarantee financing. It does create the conditions for deeper technical engagement, training, and potential commercial activity, as long as both sides meet non-proliferation and regulatory requirements.
From Planning to Licensing: Mapping the Nuclear Timeline
The Philippines began its nuclear journey after the 1973 oil crisis. It built the 621 MWe Bataan Nuclear Power Plant in 1984 at a cost of USD460 million. However, safety and financial concerns stopped it from operating. The plant was never fueled but has been maintained.
The DOE has publicly set nuclear targets in its 2022 planning. Reporting around the Philippine Energy Plan has cited a pathway that aims for at least 1,200 MW of nuclear capacity by 2032, rising to 2,400 MW by 2035, and 4,800 MW by 2050.
The DOE has also discussed regulatory readiness. In a November 2025 media release, the DOE said the Philippines aims to begin accepting nuclear power plant license applications by 2026, linked to the creation of the country’s nuclear safety regulator under Republic Act No. 12305.
International reviews add more context. In December 2024, the IAEA reported that the Philippines was making progress on nuclear infrastructure development, while still working through the many steps needed for a full nuclear power program.
Against that timeline, the USTDA-MGEN work looks like an “early stage” accelerator. It helps narrow design choices and map steps. It does not replace the national licensing process.
Geothermal’s Role in a Future Nuclear Mix
The Philippines already has a major source of steady renewable power: geothermal energy. DOE statistics list 1,952 MW of geothermal installed generating capacity in 2024. Geothermal generation reached 10,789 GWh in 2024.

This matters for the SMR discussion because many people describe nuclear as “baseload,” meaning it can run day and night. In the Philippines, geothermal already provides a similar kind of steady output in many areas. The challenge is that geothermal expansion depends on location, drilling success, and up-front exploration risk.
This is why planners often look at a mix. They can expand renewables like geothermal, hydro, wind, and solar, while adding storage and grid upgrades. They can also evaluate nuclear for future reliability needs, especially if coal plants retire over time.
For the U.S. side, the near-term goal is clear. It wants U.S. designs and services to be part of the shortlist. For the Philippines, the task is also clear. It must match any technology choice to national needs, grid limits, safety rules, and long-term affordability.
The post America Backs First Manila SMR Study: The New Nuclear Roadmap for Philippine Power appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Why a forest with more species stores more carbon
A forest is not just trees. The number of species it holds, from canopy giants to understorey shrubs to soil fungi, directly determines how much carbon it can absorb, and, more importantly, how much it can keep over time. Buyers of carbon credits increasingly ask a reasonable question: Is the carbon in this project long-lasting? The science of biodiversity has a clear answer.
![]()
Carbon Footprint
OpenAI Hits Pause on $40B UK AI Project: Energy Costs Shake Data Center Economics
ChatGPT developer OpenAI has paused its flagship UK data center project, known as “Stargate UK,” citing high energy costs and regulatory uncertainty. The project was part of a broader £31 billion ($40+ billion) investment plan aimed at expanding artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure in the country.
The initiative was designed to deploy up to 8,000 GPUs initially, with plans to scale to 31,000 GPUs over time. It was aimed to boost the UK’s “sovereign compute” capacity. This means building local infrastructure to support AI development and reduce reliance on foreign systems.
However, the company has now paused development. An OpenAI spokesperson stated that they:
“…support the government’s ambition to be an AI leader. AI compute is foundational to that goal – we continue to explore Stargate UK and will move forward when the right conditions such as regulation and the cost of energy enable long-term infrastructure investment.”
Energy Costs Are Now a Core Constraint
The main issue is energy. AI data centers require large amounts of electricity to run GPUs and cooling systems.
In the UK, industrial electricity prices are among the highest in developed markets. Recent estimates show costs at around £168 per megawatt-hour, compared to £69 in France and £38 in Texas. This gap creates a major disadvantage for large-scale data center investments.
AI workloads are especially power-intensive. A single large data center can consume as much electricity as tens of thousands of homes. As AI adoption grows, this demand is rising quickly.
Globally, the International Energy Agency estimates that data centers could consume over 1,000 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity by 2030, up sharply from about 415 TWh in 2024. This growth is largely driven by AI.

The result is clear. Energy is no longer just a cost. It is a key factor in where AI infrastructure gets built.
Regulation Adds Another Layer of Risk
Energy is only part of the challenge. Regulation is also slowing investment. In the UK, uncertainty around AI rules, especially copyright laws for training data, has created hesitation among companies.
Earlier proposals to allow AI firms to use copyrighted content were withdrawn after backlash. This left companies without clear guidance on compliance.
For large infrastructure projects, this uncertainty increases risk. Data centers require billions in upfront investment. Companies need stable rules before committing capital.
Planning delays and grid connection timelines also add friction. These factors increase both cost and project timelines.
Together, energy costs and regulatory uncertainty create a difficult environment for hyperscale AI infrastructure.
OpenAI’s Global Infrastructure Expands, But More Selectively
Despite the pause, ChatGPT-maker is still expanding globally. The company is investing heavily in AI infrastructure through partnerships with Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Oracle. It is also linked to a much larger $500 billion “Stargate” initiative in the United States, focused on building next-generation AI data centers.
At the same time, the company faces rising costs. Reports suggest OpenAI could lose billions of dollars annually as it scales infrastructure to meet demand.
This reflects a broader industry shift. AI is becoming more like energy or telecom infrastructure. It requires large capital investment, long timelines, and stable operating conditions.
The pause also highlights a deeper issue. AI growth is increasing pressure on energy systems and the environment.
The Hidden Carbon Cost Behind Every AI Query
ChatGPT and similar tools rely on large data centers. These facilities already account for about 1% to 1.5% of global electricity use. Projections for their energy use vary widely due to various factors.
Each individual query may seem small. A typical ChatGPT request can use about 0.3 watt-hours of electricity, which is relatively low. However, usage at scale changes the picture.
ChatGPT now serves hundreds of millions of users. Even small energy use per query adds up quickly. Training models is even more energy-intensive. For example, training GPT-3 required about 1,287 megawatt-hours of electricity and produced roughly 550 metric tons of CO₂.

Newer models are even larger. Some estimates suggest training advanced models like GPT-4 could emit up to 15,000 metric tons of CO₂, depending on the energy source.
At the system level, the impact is growing fast. AI systems could generate between 32.6 and 79.7 million tons of CO₂ emissions in 2025 alone. By 2030, AI-driven data centers could add 24 to 44 million tons of CO₂ annually.

Looking further ahead, global generative AI emissions could reach up to 245 million tons per year by 2035 if growth continues. These numbers show a clear pattern. Efficiency is improving, but total demand is rising faster.
Big Tech Scrambles to Balance AI Growth and Emissions
OpenAI has not published a detailed standalone net-zero target. However, its operations rely heavily on partners such as Microsoft, which has committed to becoming carbon negative by 2030.
The company has acknowledged that energy use is a real concern. Leadership has pointed to the need for more renewable energy, including nuclear and clean power, to support AI growth.
Across the industry, companies are responding in several ways:
- Improving model efficiency to reduce energy per query
- Investing in renewable energy and long-term power contracts
- Exploring new cooling systems to reduce water and energy use
Efficiency gains are already visible. Some AI systems have reduced energy per query by more than 30 times within a year, showing how quickly technology can improve. Still, total emissions continue to rise because demand is scaling faster than efficiency gains.
The Global AI Infrastructure Race
The pause in the UK highlights a larger trend. AI infrastructure is becoming a global competition shaped by energy, policy, and cost.
Regions with lower energy prices and faster permitting processes have an advantage. The United States and parts of the Middle East are attracting large-scale AI investments due to cheaper power and supportive policies.
At the same time, governments are trying to attract these projects. The UK has pledged billions to support AI growth and improve compute capacity. But this case shows that policy ambition alone is not enough. Companies need reliable energy, clear rules, and predictable costs.
AI’s Next Phase Will Be Decided by Energy, Not Code
The decision by OpenAI does not signal a retreat from AI investment. Instead, it reflects a shift in priorities.
Companies are becoming more selective about where they build infrastructure. They are focusing on locations that offer the right mix of energy access, cost stability, and regulatory clarity.
The UK project may still move forward, but only if conditions improve. For now, the message is clear. The future of AI will not be shaped by technology alone. It will also depend on energy systems, policy frameworks, and long-term investment conditions.
The post OpenAI Hits Pause on $40B UK AI Project: Energy Costs Shake Data Center Economics appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
U.S. Uranium Mining Returns: UEC Launches First New Mine in a Decade
Uranium Energy Corporation (NYSE: UEC) has started production at its Burke Hollow project in South Texas. This is the first new uranium mine to open in the U.S. in over ten years.
The project started production in April 2026 after getting final regulatory approval. This marks a big step for domestic uranium supply. It’s also the world’s newest in-situ recovery (ISR) uranium mine, which shows a move toward less harmful extraction methods.
Burke Hollow was originally discovered in 2012 and spans roughly 20,000 acres, with only about half of the site explored so far. This suggests significant long-term expansion potential as additional wellfields are developed.
The mine’s output will go to UEC’s Hobson Central Processing Plant in Texas. This plant can produce up to 4 million pounds of uranium each year.
A Scalable ISR Platform Expands U.S. Uranium Capacity
The Burke Hollow launch transforms UEC into a multi-site uranium producer in the United States. The company runs two active ISR production platforms. The second one is at its Christensen Ranch facility in Wyoming; both are shown in the table from UEC.


This “hub-and-spoke” model allows uranium from multiple wellfields to be processed through centralized facilities, improving efficiency and scalability. UEC’s operations in Texas and Wyoming are now active. This gives them a licensed production capacity of about 12 million pounds per year across the U.S.
ISR mining plays a key role in this strategy. Unlike conventional mining, ISR involves circulating solutions underground to dissolve uranium and pump it to the surface. This reduces surface disturbance and can lower environmental impact compared to open-pit or underground mining.
Burke Hollow is the largest ISR uranium discovery in the U.S. in the last ten years. This boosts its long-term value as a domestic resource.
Unhedged Strategy Pays Off as Uranium Prices Rise
UEC’s production launch comes at a time of strong uranium market conditions. The company uses a fully unhedged strategy. This means it sells uranium at current market prices instead of securing long-term contracts.
This approach has recently delivered strong financial results. In early 2026, UEC sold 200,000 pounds of uranium for $101 each. This price was about 25% higher than average market rates. The sale brought in over $20 million in revenue and around $10 million in gross profit.
The strategy allows the company to benefit directly from rising uranium prices, which have been supported by:
- Growing global nuclear energy demand
- Supply constraints in key producing regions
- Increased long-term contracting by utilities
Unhedged exposure raises risk in downturns, but offers more upside in strong markets. UEC is currently taking advantage of this.
Nuclear Energy Growth Is Driving Demand for Uranium
The timing of Burke Hollow’s launch aligns with a broader global shift back toward nuclear energy. Governments are increasingly turning to nuclear power as a reliable, low-carbon energy source.

The International Atomic Energy Agency projects that global nuclear capacity could double by 2050, depending on policy and investment trends. This would require a significant increase in uranium supply.
In the United States, nuclear energy accounts for around 20% of electricity generation. It also produces zero carbon emissions during operations. This makes it a key component of many net-zero strategies.
There are several factors supporting renewed nuclear demand, including:
- Development of small modular reactors (SMRs)
- Extension of existing nuclear plant lifetimes
- Government funding to maintain nuclear capacity
- Rising electricity demand from data centers and electrification
As demand grows, securing a reliable uranium supply becomes increasingly important.

Reducing Import Risk: A Strategic Domestic Supply Push
The Burke Hollow project also addresses a major vulnerability in U.S. energy policy. The country currently imports about 95% of its uranium needs, leaving it exposed to global supply risks.
A large share of uranium production and enrichment capacity is concentrated in a few countries, including Russia and Kazakhstan. This concentration has raised concerns about supply disruptions and geopolitical risk.

By expanding domestic production, UEC is helping to reduce reliance on imports and strengthen the U.S. nuclear fuel supply chain.
The company’s broader strategy includes building a vertically integrated platform covering mining, processing, and, eventually, uranium conversion. This approach aligns with U.S. government efforts to rebuild domestic nuclear fuel capabilities.
Federal programs have allocated billions to boost uranium production and enrichment. This shows how important the sector is.
Two Hubs, One Strategy: Wyoming Supports the Texas Breakthrough
While Burke Hollow is the main focus, UEC’s Christensen Ranch operation in Wyoming remains an important part of its production base.
The Wyoming site has recently received approvals for expanded wellfield development, allowing it to increase output alongside the Texas operation.
Together, the two sites form the foundation of UEC’s dual-hub production model. However, it is the Texas project that marks the first new U.S. uranium mine in over a decade, making it the central milestone in the company’s growth strategy.
Investor Momentum Builds Around Uranium Revival
The restart of U.S. uranium production is drawing strong attention from investors and industry players. Uranium markets have tightened in recent years, driven by rising demand and limited new supply.
UEC’s production launch has already had a positive market impact. The company’s share price rose following the announcement, reflecting investor confidence in its growth strategy.

At the same time, utilities are increasing long-term contracting activity to secure fuel supply. This trend is expected to continue as new nuclear capacity comes online and existing plants extend operations.
Industry forecasts suggest that uranium demand will remain strong through the 2030s, supporting higher prices and increased investment in new production.
Lower Impact Mining, Higher ESG Expectations
The use of ISR mining at Burke Hollow reflects a broader shift toward more sustainable extraction methods. ISR typically reduces land disturbance and avoids large-scale excavation.
However, environmental management remains critical. Key issues include groundwater protection, chemical use, and long-term site restoration.
UEC has emphasized environmental controls and regulatory compliance in its operations. These efforts are important for maintaining social license and meeting ESG expectations.
From a climate perspective, uranium production plays an indirect but important role. Supporting nuclear energy, it helps enable low-carbon electricity generation and reduces reliance on fossil fuels.
The Bottom Line: A Defining Moment for U.S. Uranium Production
The launch of the Burke Hollow mine marks a major milestone for the U.S. uranium sector. It ends a decade-long gap in new mine development and signals renewed momentum in domestic production.
In the short term, it strengthens supply and supports rising uranium markets. In the long term, it highlights the growing role of nuclear energy in global decarbonization strategies.
UEC’s Burke Hollow shows that new uranium projects can advance in today’s market. There are still challenges, like scaling production and handling environmental risks, but progress is possible.
As demand for nuclear energy continues to grow, domestic projects like Burke Hollow will play a key role in shaping the future of energy security and low-carbon power.
The post U.S. Uranium Mining Returns: UEC Launches First New Mine in a Decade appeared first on Carbon Credits.
-
Climate Change8 months ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases8 months ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago
Bill Discounting Climate Change in Florida’s Energy Policy Awaits DeSantis’ Approval
-
Climate Change2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change Videos2 years ago
The toxic gas flares fuelling Nigeria’s climate change – BBC News
-
Renewable Energy6 months agoSending Progressive Philanthropist George Soros to Prison?
-
Carbon Footprint2 years agoUS SEC’s Climate Disclosure Rules Spur Renewed Interest in Carbon Credits



