Fortescue Metals Group is forging ahead with its bold plan to achieve “real zero” emissions by 2030, a move that could generate substantial financial rewards under the Australian government’s new carbon credit scheme. This initiative, known as Safeguard Mechanism Credits (SMCs), is part of the Albanese government’s broader strategy to incentivize businesses to cut emissions and meet the country’s climate targets.
If Fortescue succeeds in meeting its ambitious emissions goals, it could earn between $50 million and $150 million annually from selling the carbon credits.
Fortescue’s Bold “Real Zero” Ambition
Chairman Andrew Forrest has made it clear that Fortescue’s ultimate goal is to achieve “real zero” by eliminating all Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions from its iron ore mining operations by 2030. This is distinct from “net zero,” where companies can rely on carbon offsets to balance out hard-to-abate or unavoidable emissions.
Forrest is a long-time critic of carbon offsets and suggests they do little to drive actual reductions in emissions. Instead, Fortescue’s focus is on achieving genuine emissions reductions through the transformation of its operations.
The mining giant’s commitment to decarbonization includes an extensive plan to overhaul its energy sources, transitioning from fossil fuels to renewable energy to power its operations. Fortescue estimated in 2022 that achieving “real zero” in its Pilbara mining district would require an investment of $US6+ billion.

The company’s strategy also involves the electrification of its mining fleet, investments in green hydrogen, and innovative technology solutions to reduce its carbon footprint.
Despite Forrest’s aversion to carbon offsets, Fortescue’s progress toward “real zero” could lead to the company becoming a major beneficiary of the Safeguard Mechanism Credits program.
The Clean Energy Regulator will allow companies to earn carbon credits if they exceed their mandated emissions reduction targets. For Fortescue, this could mean generating around 1.4 million SMCs by 2030. This is because its projected emissions could be significantly lower than the regulatory allowance for its iron ore production.
What is The Safeguard Mechanism Credits Scheme?
The Safeguard Mechanism, set to begin in 2024, is a key component of the Albanese government’s strategy to reduce national greenhouse gas emissions. The program rewards companies that cut their emissions beyond the required levels by granting them SMCs. These credits can then be sold to other companies that fail to meet their emissions reduction targets, creating a market-based approach to driving climate action.
- Analysts project that the value of these credits could be substantial, with a government-imposed ceiling price of $75 per tonne.
If Fortescue succeeds in its decarbonization plans, it could generate tens of millions of dollars by selling SMCs to companies struggling to meet their own emissions reduction targets. According to projections, the miner will be permitted to emit around 1.4 million tonnes of carbon dioxide by 2030.
However, if the company manages to achieve its “real zero” goal, it will have cut all emissions. And thus, it could earn 1.4 million credits in that year alone. Given the price of $75/tonne, that could total about $105 million worth of carbon credits.
While the financial windfall from selling SMCs is attractive, Fortescue hasn’t yet decided whether to participate in this carbon market.
Andrew Forrest said that Fortescue is still finalizing its position on the Safeguard Mechanism, noting that:
“We will do this consistent with our broader approach to voluntary and compliance carbon markets, which is that the core focus must always be the delivery of real reductions in emissions.”
He reiterated that Fortescue’s core focus remains on achieving genuine emissions reductions, not on offsets or carbon capture technologies.
Decarbonization Challenges Amid Rising Emissions
Fortescue’s path to achieving “real zero” is fraught with challenges. While the company is making strides in decarbonizing its operations, it still has a long way to go.
In the year to June 2024, Fortescue’s Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions—the direct emissions from its mining activities and those associated with its energy use—rose by about 7%. This increase in emissions led to the company exceeding its government-mandated emissions cap by about 120,000 tonnes. Therefore, the iron miner was forced to purchase $4.2 million worth of Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) to comply with the law.

Despite the setbacks, Fortescue has reaffirmed its commitment to decarbonization and has emphasized that it will only purchase carbon offsets when legally required. The company insists that it will not rely on carbon credits to achieve its 2030 target. It will remain focused on reducing emissions at the source.
The company has also pledged not to rely on carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies, which it views as an insufficient solution for addressing the climate crisis.
Rival Approaches in the Mining Industry
Fortescue’s aggressive push toward “real zero” stands in contrast to some of its competitors in the mining industry. Rival miner Rio Tinto, for instance, has set a target to halve its carbon emissions by 2030, at an estimated cost of $US6 billion.
Rio Tinto has been in major partnerships recently with its lithium expansion. Still, though Rio Tinto’s plans are substantial, they do not match the level of ambition shown by Fortescue, which is aiming for complete decarbonization in the same time frame.
Fortescue Metals Group’s “real zero” target is a landmark initiative that could set a new standard for the mining industry. It can also generate significant financial benefits through Australia’s Safeguard Mechanism Credits program. The company’s commitment to genuine emissions reductions, combined with its potential to earn millions from selling carbon credits, makes Fortescue a key player in the global transition to a low-carbon economy.
- READ MORE: Fortescue Launches Innovative Green Metal Project in Australia, Fueled by Green Hydrogen!
The post Fortescue’s “Real Zero” Ambition Could Yield Up To $150M in Carbon Credits by 2030 appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Where should an SME start with a carbon action plan?
More and more small and medium-sized businesses are hearing the same question from their larger customers: What is your carbon footprint? That question now travels down entire supply chains, and it arrives next to tender requirements, certification criteria, and rising customer expectations.
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Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.
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