Welcome to Carbon Brief’s DeBriefed.
An essential guide to the week’s key developments relating to climate change.
This week
UK election
SURPRISE: UK prime minister Rishi Sunak announced in a “surprise move” that a general election will be held on 4 July, Business Green reported. It quoted him saying that “this election will take place at a time when the world is more dangerous than it has been since the end of the Cold War”, highlighting “national and energy security” as key issues.
HEAVY DOWNPOUR: On the same day that Sunak made the announcement amid a downpour outside Number 10, a World Weather Attribution study covered by the Press Association found rainfall during storms across the UK and Ireland between October 2023 and March 2024 was made 20% more intense by global warming. The UK’s winters will continue to get wetter in future, according to the study, until the “world reduces emissions to net-zero”.
Oceans court ruling
MARINE PROTECTION: The International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea, the world’s highest court dealing with the oceans, issued a “groundbreaking opinion” on Tuesday ruling that greenhouse gases are a pollutant that could cause “irreversible harm to the marine environment”, the New York Times said. It added that, while “not binding”, the opinion stated that, legally, nations must “take all necessary measures” to cut back emissions to prevent marine pollution.
‘HISTORIC’ VICTORY: Climate Change News reported that the coalition of small island nations responsible for the case called the ruling a “historic” victory. It quoted Gaston Browne, prime minister of Antigua and Barbuda, saying the decision “will inform our future legal and diplomatic work in putting an end to the inaction that has brought us to the brink of an irreversible disaster”.
CLIMATE ‘VICTIMS’: Elsewhere, the Financial Times reported that a first-of-its-kind criminal case has been filed against the fossil-fuel company TotalEnergies and its shareholders by people who have lost family members or suffered harm in weather events made more extreme by climate change. The victims, along with non-profit groups, are accusing the company of criminal wrongdoing, including involuntary manslaughter, the FT said, adding that the company had not responded to its request for comment.
Around the world
- ANTARCTIC RECORD: The Press Association covered a study by the British Antarctic Survey finding record low sea ice levels around Antarctica last year “may have been influenced by climate change”.
- INDIA HEATWAVE: The Indian capital New Delhi felt like a “furnace” and recorded temperatures “soaring” above 46C on Monday, with high temperatures continuing throughout a crucial week in the country’s elections, the Hindustan Times reported.
- AUSTRALIAN COAL DEPENDENCE: Utility company Origin Energy will “delay the closure of Australia’s largest coal-fired power station”, Bloomberg reported, due to government concerns that there is not enough renewable energy to replace it.
- GERMAN BACKSLIDING: Germany approved a “controversial” reform of its climate protection law, eliminating sectoral targets and reducing pressure on sectors such as transportation and buildings to meet them, according to Die Zeit.
- EASTER ISLAND HERITAGE: The Guardian reported that the faces of Easter Island moai statues are being eroded due to “torrential rain”, quoting one conservator saying “we have much more extreme weather than before”.
- US OVERCAPACITY CALLS: US treasury secretary Janet Yellen urged the EU and G7 countries to “communicate to China as a group” regarding concerns about clean-energy industry overcapacity, Reuters said.
52%
The percentage of children in Pakistan who will not be in school next week, as heatwaves force closures in the country’s most populous province, according to the Associated Press.
Latest climate research
- A new study in Nature Communications underscored the importance of considering reliability and carbon pricing for the potential role of off-grid solar power in achieving universal household electricity access in Africa.
- Video gamers are “a worthwhile potential audience” for climate communications, according to a new Climatic Change study, in contrast to “the stereotype of video gamers as disengaged or antisocial” on the topic.
- New research in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences found that while “most of the Amazon does not show critical slowing down” of recovery from small disturbances, a “predicted increase in droughts could disrupt this balance”.
(For more, see Carbon Brief’s in-depth daily summaries of the top climate news stories on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.)
Captured

A new Carbon Brief Q&A explored the continuing debate around the role of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in a world dealing with climate change. Some argue that new gene-editing technologies could help crops deal with extreme weather and boost nutrition, while others cite concerns around production, regulation and patenting of gene-edited crops. Much of current GMO production is concentrated in a small number of countries. The figure above shows that 91% of the land growing genetically modified crops is in the US, Brazil, Argentina, Canada and India. By contrast, genetically modified crops are not currently widely grown in the EU.
Spotlight
The future of China and Russia’s energy cooperation
This week, Carbon Brief examines energy’s role in Sino-Russian relations and how this could change as China moves towards its goal of carbon neutrality by 2060.
Vladimir Putin chose to visit China on 16-17 May, shortly after beginning another term as Russian president.
Previously “sizeable” Sino-Russian energy cooperation has only grown since Russia’s war with Ukraine.
Russia leapfrogged Saudi Arabia in 2023 to become China’s largest supplier of oil. China is now Russia’s top purchaser of coal and crude oil, as well as a top three purchaser of oil products, liquefied “natural” gas (LNG) and pipeline gas.
‘Concrete plans to enhance cooperation’
The two sides published a joint statement during Putin’s visit, pledging to “consolidate Sino-Russian strategic energy cooperation…to safeguard [our] economic and energy security”.
It named oil, gas, LNG, coal and electricity as primary areas for cooperation, with renewables, hydrogen and the carbon market as “prospective” areas.
Progress on the Power to Siberia 2 gas pipeline negotiations, which could supply China with 50bn cubic metres of gas, was not mentioned.
Economic and geopolitical drivers
“Economic complementarities” have led to “robust” Russian imports of oil and gas to China.
Chinese reliance on substantial oil imports will likely “persist”, although future gas import requirements are more uncertain.
Dr Erica Downs, senior research scholar at the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University, told Carbon Brief she does not think it has been “definitively decided in China” what role gas will play in its energy transition, but that this role may be smaller than previously assumed.
She added that Russian oil is attractive to Chinese policymakers, as overland oil pipelines reduce China’s reliance on “vulnerable” sealane routes and Russia’s war with Ukraine allows Chinese buyers to get discounted rates on Russian barrels.
China’s increased oil and gas imports, following western sanctions on Russian oil, provided an “economic lifeline” to Russia in exchange for “securing cheap supplies”, according to the Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI).
Imports from a politically aligned partner are “vital” for China’s energy – and, therefore, economic – security, according to Chatham House.
Not changing with the times
However, this partnership could wane. The UI study argued that China could adopt a “more cautious approach”, depending on geopolitical and economic developments.
Downs told Carbon Brief that, in the near-term, China will remain reliant on oil and gas imports, but that China “has to decide how much…they want to be dependent” on Russia.
If Chinese demand for fossil fuels falls, she said, “Russia becomes a lot less important to China as an economic partner”, although the political partnership remains useful to both.
Despite “buried” statements on clean energy in Sino-Russian agreements, Downs noted, the two countries are not increasing tangible cooperation on non-fossil fuel energy – in stark contrast to increasing Chinese clean energy cooperation with Saudi Arabia, for example. She added:
“[Sino-Russian energy cooperation] is really a hydrocarbon story…I’m not really seeing the level of activity that I’m seeing [from] Chinese companies in other parts of the world in the renewable space.”
Watch, read, listen
‘BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY’: A Reuters investigation found that Japan, France, Germany, the US and other wealthy nations have reaped “billions of dollars” from a programme designed to help developing countries reduce emissions and adapt to extreme weather.
CLIMATE FUNDING: Climate Change News reported that “unsafe housing for cyclone survivors in Malawi, funded by a suspected fraudster”, adds weight to the need to operationalise the UN loss and damage fund.
HUMAN FOLLY: HARDTalk interviewed UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change chair Prof Jim Skea on whether the world has missed its chance to limit warming to 1.5C.
Coming up
- 27-30 May: Fourth International Conference on Small Island Developing States (SIDS4), Antigua and Barbuda
- 27 May-1 June: 77th World Health Assembly, Geneva, Switzerland
- 27 May-29 May: Third G20 Energy Transitions Working Group Meeting, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
- 29 May: South Africa elections
- 30 May: International Energy Agency (IEA) Strategies for Affordable and Fair Clean Energy Transitions report launch
Pick of the jobs
- The Climate Museum, special assistant to the director | Salary: $65,000. Location: New York
- Shetland Islands Council, energy transition communication officer | Salary: £40,062-£41,703. Location: Shetland
- Climate Action Network UK, co-chairs and board directors | Salary: Expenses. Location: Remote
- Department for Business and Trade, head of responsible business and ESG policy | Salary: £53,560-£63,481. Location: Belfast, Birmingham, Cardiff, Darlington, Edinburgh, London or Salford
DeBriefed is edited by Daisy Dunne. Please send any tips or feedback to debriefed@carbonbrief.org.
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The post DeBriefed 24 May 2024: ‘Surprise’ UK election; Oceans court ruling; China and Russia’s fossil-fuel pact appeared first on Carbon Brief.
Climate Change
As Tech Groups Predict Huge Pennsylvania Data-Center Growth, Critics Say Some Bills Would Reduce Local Control
Lawmakers are considering a variety of proposals on data centers. One senator plans to introduce a three-year moratorium on development.
As local tech groups predict that Pennsylvania will outpace its region for data-center growth in the next 10 years, another organization warned that some legislative proposals in play this session would weaken municipalities’ ability to say no.
Climate Change
EU carbon tax risks penalising efficient producers over data gaps
Nicolas Endress is the chief executive and founder of ClimEase, a Swiss-based software company providing a platform designed to help businesses comply with the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism.
From the start of this year, the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) started to impose additional tariffs on imports of carbon-intensive products – from aluminium and steel to cement and fertilisers.
Large industrial producers based in the European Union have been paying a carbon price under the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), Europe’s carbon market, for nearly two decades. The CBAM – the world’s first carbon border tariff – extends that carbon cost to goods entering the bloc from abroad.
The logic behind the mechanism is that since EU-based manufacturers have paid for the carbon emissions created during their production of goods using the EU ETS, so too should all the other nations that make the same goods.
However, as companies begin to prepare for the cost side of the CBAM, many are finding that the biggest savings today do not necessarily come from switching to cleaner production. Instead, they come from replacing default emissions values with verified emissions data using EU-approved methodologies and independent verification.
Moving from the default values can significantly reduce their exposure to carbon tariffs even when verified emissions are not especially low.
That could potentially disadvantage relatively efficient producers that do not have access to accredited auditors. If exporters’ capacity to secure verified data is distributed unevenly, the system risks perpetuating inequalities.
Default values inflate exposure
The CBAM requires all EU importers to report the “embedded” carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) emissions – that is, the total amount of greenhouse gas emissions – associated with the imported goods.
They must then compute the actual carbon cost based on the supplier’s reported product-specific emissions data. If no such product-specific emissions data is available, importers must instead apply the default emissions values stipulated by the European Commission.
“House of cards”: Verra used junk carbon credits to fix Shell’s offsetting scandal
To evaluate emissions, manufacturers determine the total amount of fuel and other direct inputs used during the manufacturing process, such as the fuel burned during production at a steel mill.
These inputs are then converted into tonnes of CO2 using EU-approved methodologies. The results are subsequently verified by an independent expert who is accredited under EU rules. This verification process can be expensive and may be difficult to obtain in many developing countries.


CBAM also requires emissions from key precursor materials to be included. This means upstream suppliers’ emissions must also be calculated and verified. If they are not, importers must apply default values for those inputs.
Since these upstream processes can account for up to 80% of a product’s footprint, companies may still face significant exposure to default values even when their direct supplier’s emissions are verified.
EU’s new climate target lines up multibillion-dollar boost for carbon markets
These default values are in general very high and often represent the maximum possible emissions of the most polluting facility within a specific country or region. A highly efficient steel plant in, for example, India, Brazil or Türkiye, would be evaluated as if it was the least efficient plant in that region due to the lack of formally verified emission data which meet EU standards.
Equity at stake
Equity issues exist here as well. Developing-economy suppliers that have actually decreased their emissions will likely see no decrease in their CBAM costs if they have not had their improvements officially recognised by the EU.
However, obtaining third-party verification requires time, expertise and financial resources, which can present practical challenges for some suppliers – especially those with complex supply chains that require multi-stage verification.
EU importers will have to apply the default values when no verified data is available, leading to significantly higher carbon costs even when the manufacturing process is relatively efficient.
Threat of EU carbon tax prompts dubious “green aluminium” claims in Mozambique
To address this imbalance, the EU could focus on expanding access to accredited verification, particularly in developing markets, while providing clearer guidance and standardised frameworks for emissions reporting across supply chains.
Improving recognition of credible local verification schemes and investing in digital reporting infrastructure would also help reduce reliance on conservative default values.
Without these adjustments, there is a risk that the CBAM rewards those best-equipped to navigate verification requirements, rather than those achieving the lowest emissions in practice.
In this new trade environment, data that proves efficiency – rather than low emissions alone – will determine which producers gain an advantage.
The post EU carbon tax risks penalising efficient producers over data gaps appeared first on Climate Home News.
EU carbon tax risks penalising efficient producers over data gaps
Climate Change
As US and China seek rare earths, Brazilian lawmakers push for state-owned developer
In an attempt to retain wealth from mining, Brazilian legislators have proposed the creation of a new state-owned critical minerals firm which would be responsible for developing the country’s vast reserves of rare earth minerals in partnership with foreign investors.
The initiative comes as the US mounts pressure to mine for Brazil’s critical minerals and secure access to supplies outside of Chinese control. But as the US government pushes for new investments, Brazil has struggled to work out how to take full advantage of its minerals, many of which are needed for green technologies.
In late March, Brazilian president Lula da Silva told the Africa-Latin America summit in Colombia that critical minerals are an opportunity for both continents to reject “being mere minerals exporters” and instead “produce nationally to develop our countries”.
In a series of bills introduced last week in the Brazilian Congress, pro-Lula lawmakers proposed the creation of a state agency called Terrabras, which would develop the country’s critical minerals. This is one of at least 13 bills seeking to regulate the sector, Brazilian officials said.
Brazil holds the world’s second-largest reserve – after China – of rare earths, a group of 17 elements such as neodymium and terbium which are key to producing electric vehicles (EVs) and the magnets used in wind turbines. But the country currently produces and refines less than 1% of the world’s rare earths, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).
Mine to industrialise
Leonardo Durans, senior director at Brazil’s industry ministry, told a press briefing on Tuesday that the debate on how to manage the country’s critical minerals is “absolutely strategic”.
While rare earths are typically scattered and difficult to extract, Brazil’s deposits are found in ionic clay, which is more concentrated and cheaper to produce.
Durans said that Brazil has exported its minerals and imported manufactured technology like EV batteries, magnets and solar panels. “We want to break this logic definitively,” he said. “The directive is not to mine just for the sake of it anymore. We are going to mine to industrialise the country.”
At a global level, as the energy transition boosts demand for minerals, more developing countries are taking steps to reap the benefits from mining. At least 13 African countries have ordered export bans on raw minerals, seeking to create jobs and tax revenues by refining them domestically.
But, as Brazil’s Congress and regulators debate how to benefit from mining deals, the US government has ramped up pressures for mineral supplies. At a major forum hosted by the US government in São Paulo in March, officials said they have interest in at least 50 critical minerals projects – a category which includes rare earths – in Brazil worth billions of dollars.
Earlier in February, the US government gave a $565-million loan to Serra Verde, the company developing the Pela Ema ionic clay mine in the state of Goiás – which claims to be the only large-scale, heavy rare earths producer outside Asia. The deal includes an option for the US to acquire a minority stake in the company.
Meanwhile, Brazil’s rare earths exports to China boomed in 2025, according to the Brazil-China Business Council, as Chinese investors also race to secure supplies.
Durans said Brazil’s historical policy is to “be friends with all countries from every bloc”, and added that the country will not take a side with the US or China.
“We want to receive this capital that wants to invest in the country but with the counterproposal of joint technological development, so we can have a win-win between Brazil and the US, with the EU or with China,” Durans told journalists.
Critical minerals policy still unclear
Rodrigo Rollemberg, one of Terrabras’ proponents, told Congress that there’s a “race for our rare earths and for our critical minerals” but that “it is very important that we have a public company taking care of these resources”.
Rollemberg’s bill argues it “aims to position Brazil as an active player in the international geopolitics of critical minerals”, while also adding value to the minerals sector, industrialising the country and strengthening its “technological security”.
Mauro Sousa, general director of the National Mining Agency (ANM) and one of the country’s mining regulators, said that the government is currently working on a national policy for critical minerals, which is expected to be published in two to three months.
West Africa’s first lithium mine awaits go-ahead as Ghana seeks better deal
One of the gaps at the moment is demand from inside Brazil for the manufacture of magnets, Sousa said, which would take time to build. He added that, while the country should start building its own internal supply chain, “we cannot give a 10, 15 or even 30-year leap that China has already made in a short time”.
Durans said the legislative proposal to create a state firm was “surprising”, as it did not arise from the federal government and was not previously consulted. He added that the government’s focus is on a policy that includes a roadmap for developing domestic supply chains, and requires foreign investors to add domestic value.
Mining industry “concerned”
The Brazilian Mining Institute (IBRAM), composed of mining companies representing 85% of Brazil’s production, expressed concerns over the Terrabras proposal, and argued in a statement that a new agency would not solve the challenges keeping the country from developing its vast rare earths reserves.
IBRAM argued that Brazil, which derives about 4% of its GDP from mining, already has regulatory agencies that have been underfunded for years. They argued that the country instead lacks industrial-scale refining technology, struggles with insufficient funding, “precarious logistical infrastructure” and a scarce workforce.
“None of these obstacles are eliminated by the creation of a public company,” IBRAM said in the statement.
Instead, IBRAM favoured a different bill introduced in Congress towards the end of 2025, which, it said, offers legal certainty, domestic processing, and incentives – “exactly what the sector needs to convert reserves into production”.
The post As US and China seek rare earths, Brazilian lawmakers push for state-owned developer appeared first on Climate Home News.
As US and China seek rare earths, Brazilian lawmakers push for state-owned developer
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