The natural gas market has immensely benefitted this year from robust storage levels and stabilized prices after the sharp spikes of 2022. However, challenges such as volatile pricing, seasonal demand fluctuations, and supply-demand imbalances persist. The emergence of renewable natural gas (RNG) and LNG export projects reflects ongoing structural shifts in this dynamic energy landscape of North America.
Industry experts predict that the North American natural gas market is projected to grow at a 5% CAGR between 2022 and 2027. This will be driven primarily by increasing industrial demand from the refining, petrochemical, and fertilizer sectors.
Winter 2024: What Will Drive North America’s Natural Gas Markets?
Apart from production levels and storage capacity, the North American natural gas market is also shaped by power market trends, LNG exports, imports, and changing weather patterns. But which of these will play the most critical role in the upcoming season? Let’s study the Wood Mackenzie findings…
Cold Snaps Impact Demand and Supply
Changing weather conditions significantly impact the natural gas market. And this is the direct effect of climate change. Cold snaps not only just spike demand, they also disrupt supply. Freeze-offs, where water or liquids in gas wells solidify and block production, are a recurring issue in North America.
Wood Mac reports that historically, these events have reduced about 0.7% of Lower 48 output during winter. However, losses vary and depend on the location and intensity of the cold. These disruptions are most critical because they hit supply when demand peaks.
LNG Exports Fluctuate Gas Price
LNG exports are driving growth in the U.S. gas market, with new projects like Venture Global’s Plaquemines in Louisiana and Cheniere Energy’s Corpus Christi expansion boosting capacity. However, this surge constricts domestic gas supplies, especially when demand is at its highest level.
For instance, natural gas inflows for LNG exports dropped from 15 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) to 7 bcfd to meet local needs due to severe cold this January. This shortage drove Henry Hub prices to $13, with some regions experiencing even higher spikes. This showed that LNG exports are increasingly acting as “synthetic storage,” thereby balancing supply when stored gas falls short.
Production Choices May Strain the Supply
North American natural gas producers are increasingly managing supply through proactive decisions. Companies like EQT and Expand Energy (formerly Chesapeake Energy) have found strategic ways to adjust the supply based on market price.
Some techniques like delaying the activation of new wells or turning existing wells on and off can transform gas production into “synthetic storage“. However, this widely adopted approach is expected to still keep markets unpredictable this winter.
Renewables Fuel Demand Volatility
Natural gas demand for electricity generation has also become more unpredictable. Several factors influence this surge, including the retirement of coal plants, low gas prices fueling coal-to-gas switching, and an overall increase in power load.
Power generation during summer hit a record high of 58 bcfd of gas, surpassing 50% of the total U.S. production of just over 100 bcfd. Last winter, demand also peaked at a record 44 bcfd, reflecting a year-round trend.

However, renewable energy plays a key role in the power sector. Simply put, during summer solar availability is high, while wind power is low and it’s just the opposite during winter. These fluctuations increase reliance on natural gas during extreme weather.
Storage Shortfalls and Supply Concerns
Storage capacity acts as a buffer during high demand or low supply. The report revealed that in recent years, storage capacity was limited. This was mainly due to narrow summer-winter price spreads which offered very minimal commissioning to set up new storage facilities. The planned 50 billion cubic feet of capacity falls short of market needs.
The demand for stored gas remains substantially high during peak winters like in January 2024 which led to 64 bcfd withdrawals. Conversely, the “days of cover” metric, measuring storage relative to demand, remains low in the cold. Thus, raising supply concerns.

Price Volatility
We can comprehend now that North America’s natural gas market faces significant instability due to storage-related struggles. However, this year storage inventories showed a 10% surplus compared to the five-year average which caused a sharp price drop in Henry Hub gas prices.
Despite this surplus, long-term storage capacity lags behind market expansion. Currently, U.S. storage covers only 25 days of full demand—a historic low. Without significant expansion, volatile prices could dominate the years ahead.
US L48 storage represented as days of demand cover

North America’s Natural Gas Market: Opportunities Amid Challenges
We have studied the challenges that North America’s gas market faces but at the same time, it has transformed significantly tapping the opportunities that lie ahead. Quite evidently, natural gas will play a vital role while replacing coal and renewables, bolstering the energy mix.
Several ongoing and upcoming projects will expand capacity and address the challenges related to price, demand, and supply of natural gas.
Renewable Natural Gas Gains Momentum
Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) has emerged as a promising tool for decarbonization. Supported by policies like California’s Renewable Gas Standard, RNG production is growing, with 324 projects in operation across the U.S. and Canada.
In 2024, demand-side contracting is expected to gain traction, particularly in hard-to-decarbonize sectors and heavy-duty transportation. Companies like Walmart and UPS are already testing RNG-powered fleets which signals a transition toward sustainable fuel solutions.
North American gas RNG production and NGV demand

LNG Export Boom: North America’s Next Wave
With rising U.S. and Canadian gas production and storage levels hitting highs in 2023, the North American gas market eagerly waits for the upcoming LNG export projects. While the timelines for large-scale terminals like Plaquemines and Golden Pass are well-known, the impact of this new demand surge remains uncertain.
Low gas prices have recently discouraged production growth. However, forward price projections showing premiums of up to $4/mmbtu for late 2024 and 2025 signal more lucrative returns when this demand kicks in.
Some promising LNG projects in North America include Plaquemines LNG Phase 1 in Louisiana, Golden Pass LNG, The Corpus Christi, Fast Altamira FLNG project in Mexico, LNG Canada, etc.
These developments highlight the growing structural demand for LNG across North America and beyond. While challenges persist, the region’s LNG export potential is poised to reshape global energy markets.
All in all, natural gas continues to be pivotal for North America’s energy system. However, it’s crucial to tackle challenges like weather, limited storage, redundant infrastructure, and the need to integrate renewables smoothly. So, overcoming these hurdles will be key to ensuring the sector’s growth and stability in the future.
Sources:
- Woodmac: North America Gas: 5 things to look for in 2024
- 5 factors affecting North American natural gas markets this winter | Wood Mackenzie
- FURTHER READING: US Power Demand Surge Spurs 133 New Gas Plants Amid Climate Targets
The post What’s Shaping North America’s Natural Gas in 2024? Insights from Wood Mackenzie appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Finding Nature Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain
Carbon Footprint
How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
Carbon Footprint
Carbon credit project stewardship: what happens after credit issuance
A carbon credit purchase is not a transaction that closes at issuance. The credit may be retired, the certificate filed, and the reporting box ticked. But on the ground, in the forest, in the field, and in the community, the work continues. It endures for years. In many cases, for decades.
![]()
-
Greenhouse Gases10 months ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Climate Change10 months ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago
Bill Discounting Climate Change in Florida’s Energy Policy Awaits DeSantis’ Approval
-
Renewable Energy7 months agoSending Progressive Philanthropist George Soros to Prison?
-
Carbon Footprint2 years agoUS SEC’s Climate Disclosure Rules Spur Renewed Interest in Carbon Credits
-
Greenhouse Gases10 months ago
嘉宾来稿:探究火山喷发如何影响气候预测

