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Trudeau’s Resignation Sparks Leadership Race: Mark Carney vs. Pierre Poilievre on Canada’s Climate Future

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s announcement to step down has created a vacuum that will shape the future of Canada’s leadership. This decision has ignited a fierce race for leadership within the Liberal Party, with former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney emerging as a key contender. On the other side, Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre stands in stark opposition, ready to challenge the current climate policies. 

With the ideological divide between Carney’s progressive climate agenda and Poilievre’s economic-focused stance, Canada’s climate future hangs in the balance. Let’s take a closer look at each of the potential replacements’ climate and net zero stance. 

Mark Carney: A Champion of Climate Finance and Global Leadership

Mark Carney’s entry into the political race marks a significant moment for Canada and the global climate movement. Carney’s extensive experience as the Governor of the Bank of Canada, along with his tenure as the UN Special Envoy on Climate Action and Finance, positions him as a leading figure on the international stage. 

For years, Carney has been a vocal proponent of transitioning to a net-zero economy. He has been emphasizing the potential for economic growth through climate action. 

He often refers to net zero as “the greatest commercial opportunity of our time”, specifically noting in an interview that:

“…And what we have seen increasingly, spurred initially by the Sustainable Development Goals, accelerated by Paris, and then by social movements and governments, is societies putting tremendous value on achieving net zero. Companies, and those who invest in them and lend to them, and who are part of the solution, will be rewarded. Those who are lagging behind and are still part of the problem will be punished.”

He sees it as a way to unlock investment in renewable energy, clean technologies, and sustainable infrastructure.

A recent report by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) estimates that the global renewable energy market could generate up to $98 trillion in investment by 2050. This presents a significant economic opportunity for countries, like Canada, that choose to embrace green policies.

Carney’s vision for the country aligns with global trends, calling for a balanced approach to climate policy that integrates both environmental and economic goals. His leadership would likely usher in policies focused on scaling up investments in clean energy, carbon capture technologies, and creating more sustainable industries. 

Under Carney, Canadians could see the implementation of mandatory carbon disclosure for corporations, helping drive transparency and accountability in the private sector. The UN climate envoy also advocates for leveraging private sector finance to accelerate the transition to a net-zero economy. 

Pierre Poilievre: Opposing Carbon Taxes and Prioritizing Affordability

Pierre Poilievre, the current leader of Canada’s Conservative Party, has built his political identity on opposing carbon taxes. He is also questioning the effectiveness of environmental regulations. 

With his populist messaging and a strong emphasis on affordability, Poilievre has become a leading figure for those disillusioned by rising costs of living. His “Axe the Tax” campaign resonates with voters who view the carbon tax as an economic burden rather than a solution to climate change. The campaign aimed at eliminating Trudeau’s carbon pricing system.

Per the Canada Taxpayers Federation, the carbon tax under the current system costs an average family of four $1,200 annually. The chart below from the Canadian Energy Centre shows how much it will affect vehicle fuel costs by 2030. 

canada carbon tax

Poilievre’s criticism of the carbon tax is largely driven by concerns over this financial impact. This becomes more paramount as inflationary pressures and cost-of-living concerns continue to grow.

Poilievre’s anti-carbon tax stance has been consistent. He argues that it disproportionately affects working Canadians, driving up the cost of goods and services, particularly in northern communities. 

While Poilievre has voiced concern about the economic impact of such policies, he has yet to present a clear and actionable alternative to address climate change. His positions on climate policy, therefore, raise questions about Canada’s ability to meet its emissions reduction targets without strong regulatory frameworks.

Under Poilievre’s leadership, Canada might see a rollback of several key climate policies, including the following: 

  • carbon tax,
  • emissions caps for oil and gas, and
  • investments in clean energy technologies. 

Analysts think that this would likely distance Canada from international climate commitments, potentially putting the nation at odds with global efforts to mitigate climate change. 

A Deepening Divide: What’s at Stake for The Future of Canada’s Climate Policy?

Trudeau’s resignation sets the stage for a new political era. The next leadership race will be pivotal in determining Canada’s climate future.

  • According to Environment and Climate Change Canada, the country must reduce emissions by at least 40-45% by 2030 compared to 2005 levels to meet its international commitments. 

Canada's emissions reduction plan for 2030 and pathway to 2050

Carney’s policies would likely drive the investments and regulatory changes necessary to achieve these ambitious goals. On the other hand, Pierre Poilievre’s rise to power could shift Canada’s climate trajectory in a different direction. Prioritizing deregulation and affordability over bold climate action could lead to a retreat from critical environmental commitments. 

Moreover, Carney’s proposed policies on climate finance, carbon pricing, and clean energy investments align with global efforts on sustainability. These measures reflect a commitment to both tackling climate change and positioning Canada as a leader in climate finance. 

A report from Canada’s Clean Growth Hub reveals that Canada’s renewable energy sector has seen significant growth. It contributes nearly $4.5 billion to the national economy in 2020 alone. Carney’s platform would likely continue to build on this momentum as he noted in his speeches, further bolstering the sector.

In contrast, Poilievre’s carbon pricing opposition prioritizes short-term economic relief for Canadians. While Poilievre’s stance might appeal to those frustrated with rising costs, it lacks a clear strategy for long-term climate solutions. 

As the leadership race heats up, Canadians will have to decide which path they want to take: Will the nation take the opportunity to lead in global climate action, or will it retreat from its environmental commitments? The outcome will not only shape Canada’s domestic climate policy but also its role in the global fight against climate change.

The post Trudeau’s Resignation Sparks Leadership Race: Mark Carney vs. Pierre Poilievre on Canada’s Climate Future appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Carbon Footprint

Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

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Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

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