Despite the promising outlook, many hydrogen projects are still in the early stages. Moreover, some face delays or cancellations due to these barriers, including permitting challenges.
Electrolyzer Expansion: Powering the Future of Green Hydrogen
Analysts from S&P Global Commodity Insights report that 1.2 GW of electrolyzer capacity is operational globally, and 2.1 GW began construction in Q2 2024, with 1.5 GW of this growth happening in China.
The country accounts for over 40% of recent FIDs and is home to 60% of global electrolyzer manufacturing capacity, which currently stands at 25 GW annually.
The IEA projects that by 2030, electrolysis-based hydrogen production in China could be cheaper than hydrogen from coal. This is assuming that the global project pipeline is realized.

IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol emphasized the need for stronger demand-side incentives, warning that current demand targets lag far behind government production goals.
The report calls for policies such as carbon contracts for differences and sustainable fuel quotas to stimulate demand. It also warns that the progress made in the hydrogen sector so far is insufficient to meet climate goals, citing stalled cost reductions due to high raw material and energy prices.
Hydrogen production costs could potentially halve to between $2/kg and $9/kg by 2030 under the IEA’s Net-Zero Emissions by 2050 scenario, closing the price gap with “gray” hydrogen. However, under existing policies, the cost is expected to drop by just 30%.
Global hydrogen demand rose to 97 million metric tons in 2023, mostly in refining and chemicals. However, only 1 million metric tons came from low-emission sources.
The IEA estimates that low-carbon hydrogen production could reach 49 MMt/y by 2030. Yet, achieving this would require an unprecedented annual growth rate of over 90%, a rate even higher than solar power’s fastest growth phase.
Various challenges like financing, regulatory issues, and permitting delays continue to put the project pipeline at risk. Amid these hydrogen production challenges and projections, a big player in the industry continues to show impressive growth.
Nikola’s Hydrogen Trucks Hit the Road Amid Industry Challenges
Nikola, a leader in producing zero-emissions hydrogen fuel cell trucks with its HYLA brand, saw a 22% increase in wholesale deliveries of its hydrogen-powered electric trucks during the third quarter. This achievement signals steady demand for the company’s Class 8 hydrogen fuel cell trucks.
The company delivered 88 trucks to dealers, a record sales quarter, meeting its target of 80 to 100 units. However, it fell short of the 80% surge in deliveries seen in the second quarter.
The Phoenix, Arizona-based company continues to see demand for its hydrogen-powered trucks. As of the 3rd quarter, Nikola has delivered 200 hydrogen fuel cell trucks in 2024, aiming to meet its full-year target of 300 to 350 trucks.
Since launching sales in the 4th quarter of 2023, the company has sold a total of 235 trucks. Nikola remains on track to complete the rollout of revamped battery-electric trucks by the end of the year.
Nikola CEO Steve Girsky highlighted the importance of this achievement, saying:
“Despite overall market headwinds, Nikola remains focused on our mission to pioneer solutions for a zero-emission world, and we’re doing it one truck at a time.”
Economic Setbacks and Project Delays
While the hydrogen fuel cell company strives through market turmoil, some major developers have scaled back or canceled their green hydrogen projects due to economic hurdles.
Origin Energy, for example, scrapped a hydrogen project in Australia, citing slow market development and high input costs. CEO Frank Calabria explained that technological advancements are still needed to make the investment viable.
Similarly, Norway’s Nel ASA saw a large U.S. order canceled by Hy Stor Energy, reflecting broader industry hesitation. Michael Liebreich, an industry analyst and investor, sees this as a healthy shift, with unfeasible projects being abandoned to focus on more economically sound ventures.
Despite the setbacks, clean hydrogen production is expected to grow by over 40% in 2024, though it will still account for just 1% of global hydrogen demand. While the long-term potential remains, the industry is recalibrating expectations as it faces significant financial and technological challenges.
What’s The Road Ahead for Green Hydrogen?
The hesitation around green hydrogen is partly due to uncertainty regarding the U.S. Treasury’s rules for the 45V hydrogen production tax credits. These credits were created under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) to incentivize clean hydrogen production. Developers have delayed their commitments to green hydrogen until these rules are finalized.
Initially, green hydrogen advocates saw the IRA as a significant opportunity, believing that its clean fuel tax credits would make electrolysis-based hydrogen production cheaper than conventional methods. Yet, nearly all of today’s hydrogen supply is derived from natural gas without carbon capture technology, highlighting the slow transition to green hydrogen.

A study by McKinsey & Co., commissioned by the Hydrogen Council, found that 85% of committed hydrogen production capacity in North America through 2030 is tied to carbon capture projects.
While the 45V tax credit is technology-neutral, analysts have noted that incentives for electrolysis are more attractive than those for carbon capture. However, developers of blue hydrogen projects have benefited from carbon capture tax credits under the expanded 45Q program. It offers up to $85 per metric ton of CO2 captured.
While blue hydrogen is gaining ground, the global pipeline for green hydrogen is also expanding, particularly outside the U.S.
Companies like Air Products and CF Industries have proposed green hydrogen projects in the U.S. but have yet to make final investment decisions. Interestingly, Air Products supports the Biden administration’s proposed tax credit requirements, which mandate that hydrogen plants source electricity from new zero-carbon generation facilities. Nonetheless, the company has delayed its $4 billion green hydrogen project in Texas pending the final tax credit rules.
Despite the promising growth in electrolyzer capacity and hydrogen production, significant challenges like regulatory uncertainty and economic hurdles persist. While companies like Nikola are making progress, the road to large-scale green hydrogen adoption remains complex and uncertain. The future will depend on clearer policies and more competitive technologies.
- SEE MORE: Microsoft and ESB Launch Groundbreaking Green Hydrogen Pilot to Decarbonize Dublin Data Centers
The post Hydrogen’s Big Leap: Can Electrolyzers and Tax Credits Fuel the Green Revolution? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Where should an SME start with a carbon action plan?
More and more small and medium-sized businesses are hearing the same question from their larger customers: What is your carbon footprint? That question now travels down entire supply chains, and it arrives next to tender requirements, certification criteria, and rising customer expectations.
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Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.
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