Connect with us

Published

on

Welcome to Carbon Brief’s China Briefing.

Carbon Brief handpicks and explains the most important climate and energy stories from China over the past fortnight. Subscribe for free here.

Key developments

China’s top climate negotiator interviewed

COAL STANCE: China News Weekly recently interviewed Su Wei, China’s lead climate negotiator, about China’s stance at COP28 and its energy transition. Su affirmed China’s position on fossil fuels, saying that it is “impossible to completely phase out fossil fuels, given limitations of the resources China possesses”. He argued that countries did not have to “be utterly opposed” to fossil fuels as long as the central question of emissions is solved, through technologies such as carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS). Substituting fossil fuels with renewable energy should follow the principle of “establish [new rules] before breaking [old ones]”, he added. This means a “process” needs to be followed – namely, after “large-scale development” of renewable energy and non-fossil fuel energy, “coal power will be gradually reduced and the proportion of coal stock will also decline”.

DEVELOPED VS DEVELOPING: Su also highlighted the role of developed countries as a key debate at COP28. He described the current international environment as the “biggest challenge to realising the goal of tripling renewable energy capacity globally”, with some developed countries imposing tariffs on or launching investigations into Chinese products. He also criticised developed countries’ failure to provide the $100bn in climate finance they committed to in 2009, describing it as a “muddled account”.

US-CHINA OPTIMISM: Nevertheless, Su was relatively optimistic about the potential for US-China climate cooperation. He raised how US-China alignment at COP28 “made an important contribution” to its success, with the Sunnylands statement jointly released by the two countries allowing them to “propose wording for the text and help[ing] to unlock difficult issues in the negotiation”. Climate change, Su said, “remains one of the few positive elements that China and the US can mobilise to promote the stable development of their relationship”, allowing the two countries to “talk” despite other tensions. (In a recent issue of the Pekingnology newsletter, noted international relations scholar Da Wei concurred, saying the US and China “have some agreements on the climate change issue”. He added: “I believe that the two sides will declare more on climate change in the following months.”)

China ‘needs 324tn yuan’ to meet climate goals

‘ENORMOUS AMOUNT’: China needs to “spend about 324tn yuan” ($45.5tn), which is equal to 2.7 times its 2022 GDP, between 2021 and 2060 to achieve its goals of peaking carbon emissions by 2030 and reaching carbon neutrality by 2060, reported state-run newspaper the China Daily. The figures were included in China’s fourth national communication on climate change, which was submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in December 2023. China “will need to spend far more to reach carbon neutrality than to achieve carbon peaking”, the document added. China’s previous national communication was submitted more than four years ago in 2019.

GROWING INVESTMENT: Meanwhile, China’s annual national economic work conference – held in December 2023 – announced “promotion of…green and low-carbon development” as one of nine key economic tasks in 2024, with “green” development becoming the “driving force for China’s high-quality development”, according to China News. The 2024 national energy work conference, also held in December, established that China aims to build 200 gigawatts (GW) of wind and solar capacity in 2024, as well as 5GW of nuclear energy, the newspaper added. China5E reported that China’s top economic planner, the national development and reform commission (NDRC) said in its first meeting of 2024 that it would develop “tangible policies” to attract private capital to invest in nuclear power and other major energy projects, as well as environmental protection schemes. Investment in renewable energy in China “seems increasingly to be driven by the profit motive”, a Financial Times editorial argued, adding that this trend is accelerated by increasing adoption of “cleantech” by China’s state-owned enterprises.

MARKET FORCES: China is also developing financial platforms to boost “green” and low-carbon investment in the new year. On 2 January, it launched a stock index to encourage “investment products that grant greater weightings for sectors such as renewables”, reported the Financial Times. Meanwhile, should China’s voluntary carbon market, the China Certified Emissions Reduction (CCER) program, relaunch this year, it could encourage finance to flow to projects that, together, could reduce carbon emissions by tens or even hundreds of millions of tonnes, Jiemian noted.

Updated industry guidelines to ‘encourage green tech’

INDUSTRY CATALOGUE: China’s top economic planner, the national development and reform commission (NDRC), released an updated 2024 version of its catalogue for guiding industry restructuring­, designed to “promote high-end, intelligent and green manufacturing”, Xinhua reported. The catalogue divides industries into three categories: encouraged; restricted; and eliminated, reported China Environment. The “restricted” category refers to technologies, equipment and products that, among other things, “are not conducive to the realisation of the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality”, it explained. The “eliminated” category contains technologies that “seriously waste resources, cause pollution…[or] impede the realisation of the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality”, the outlet added. China Environment also reported that the catalogue said it would “encourage green technology innovation and the development of green environmental protection industry, promote energy saving…and resolutely curb the blind development of high-energy-consuming, high-emission and low-level projects”. (The phrase on curbing “blind development” has been in use for several years.)

NEW ADDITIONS: The “encouraged” category adds a “detailed explanation of carbon capture and application”, reported BJX News. The category also adds “green” hydrogen produced by electrolysis of water and synthesis of “green methanol” from carbon dioxide, as well as new solar materials for use in the construction industry, reported the news outlet. The “restricted” category has raised and added limitations for the power sector, such as new coal power units that cannot meet “ultra-low emission” requirements, said the report. Under the “elimination” category, thermal power plants will be phased out in accordance with the principle of “establish first, then modify” (先立后改) with plants eliminated “in an orderly manner, in accordance with an “annual phase-out plan”, added the report. The least efficient coal-fired boilers will be phased out in air pollution priority areas, the outlet added.

OFFICIAL REACTION: Officials from the NDRC told Jiemian that the new edition of the catalogue aims to promote “high-end, intelligent, and green manufacturing industry” in China, they added. The updated catalogue “will encourage green technology innovation and the development of green environmental protection industries, promote energy conservation, carbon reduction and green transformation in key areas”, they told the outlet. 

BYD surpassed Tesla, claiming the top spot in EV sales

BYD VS TESLA: Chinese firm BYD’s sales of battery-only vehicles “outpaced” its US rival Tesla in the final quarter of 2023 for the first time, according to BBC News. BYD sold 526,000 units while Tesla delivered 484,000 units. However, for the whole of 2023, Tesla still sold more with 1.8m compared to nearly 1.6m for BYD, the broadcaster added.

SUCCESS STORY: CNN said that China’s fast transition to electric vehicles (EVs) is “thanks to strong government support”. The article quoted analysts from investment bank Natixis Asia saying “first-mover advantage and government support through infrastructure investment and subsidies have made it easy for Chinese EV makers to expand domestically and internationally”. (Consultant David Fishman noted on Twitter that domestic EV sales grew by 36% in 2023, “despite the end of the supporting subsidies”.) According to Bernstein research, “BYD batteries are among the lowest cost in the world”, reported the Financial Times. Michael Dunne, chief executive of Asia-focused car consultancy Dunne Insights, told the FT: “No one can match BYD on price. Period.” In his Bloomberg column, David Fickling attributed BYD’s edge to its in-house battery supply chain and cheaper cells. “More importantly”, he said, “on almost every financial metric, [BYD] is either advancing on, or overtaking [Tesla] — with its gaze already set on the wider car industry.”

FORECAST FOR 2024: Looking ahead to this year, S&P Global Mobility predicted battery electric vehicles (BEVs) sales would reach 13.3m units globally in 2024, accounting for 16.2% of total global passenger vehicle sales, with China’s BEV sales growing 28.6% year-on-year. BloombergNEF’s outlook forecast a milestone will be achieved by the end of 2024 – it will see the first quarter in which consumers buy more than five million electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles, with China being the main contributor.

Spotlight 

What to watch in 2024

In 2023, several significant energy and climate stories came out of China. Global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions rose, driven by increases in China, but analysis for Carbon Brief found that renewable energy growth could cause a “structural decline” of emissions from 2024. New coal “capacity payments” continue policy support for the fuel. 

Meanwhile, the US and China issued the Sunnylands statement, which signalled a turning point in bilateral relations and played a part in theCOP28 outcome.

For the first China Briefing of 2024, Carbon Brief asks leading experts what they are watching for in China in the year ahead. Responses have been edited for length and clarity.

Joanna Lewis, provost’s distinguished associate professor of energy and environment, and director of the science, technology and international affairs program, Georgetown University:

The key thing I will be watching is the development of China’s new nationally determined contribution (NDC) and associated 2035 climate goals. Given the Sunnylands statement and COP28 decisions, we can expect that China’s next NDC will include the country’s first economy-wide target covering all greenhouse gases. As China’s emissions are slated to peak before 2030, it will also likely be China’s first absolute emissions target.

Beyond the NDC, I will also be watching China’s coal consumption. While consumption increased in 2023, many predict a slowing in 2024 and possible peaking by 2025 (or earlier). So watching trends over the coming year may signal what is to come. Also important to determining coal trends will be the rate of renewable energy growth. With an estimated 230GW of new wind and solar power installed in China last year – twice that of the US and Europe combined – and major advances in energy storage that are helping address the curtailment issue, China’s renewables sector is poised for continued rapid growth, which can help offset the demand for coal in the power sector.

David Fishman, senior manager, the Lantau Group:

China spent 2023 implementing incremental reforms to its power sector and energy policy – still trending in the right direction for power market decarbonisation and liberalisation, but taking smaller steps than in the previous few years. This is a return to normalcy for China, which has typically adopted a measured approach to policy reforms: preferring to make small changes and observe the outcomes of limited pilots, rather than big changes all at once.

I expect 2024 to be more of the same, with spot-trading in the power exchanges becoming more common and renewable consumption quotas expanding to more sectors. At the same time, the surging growth in renewable capacity, especially from desert mega-bases, should allow renewable generation growth to exceed power consumption growth. This will cap coal consumption in the power sector and send China’s carbon emissions into long-term structural decline from 2024 onward.

Ryna Cui, research director, Center for Global Sustainability, University of Maryland:

It is crucial to watch how coal plants will be utilised in the power system, whether as expected to back up an increasing share of intermittent renewables or to continue as “baseload” generation, where the emissions impact can be significant. It is also critical to watch whether and how China moves from a continued preference for coal to other solutions for grid stabilisation, such as cross-region grid balancing, demand-side management, battery and other storage technologies. 

Methane is an emerging area that is finally receiving the policy attention it requires – both in China and globally. China’s methane action plan is the first published national policy targeting methane as a greenhouse gas (GHG). The document is brief, setting up overall guidelines and main task areas. So it is important to watch how more detailed policies and targets will continue to develop.

Internationally, the US-China Sunnylands statement set up the expectation for the next round of NDCs to cover all GHGs and all economic sectors. It will be exciting to watch how Sunnylands and the previous joint Glasgow declaration will be implemented.

Yan Qin, lead carbon analyst at the London Stock Exchange Group:

This will be an exciting year for China’s national carbon market and the newly relaunched offset market. The national emissions trading scheme (ETS) has just completed its second compliance period, with allowance prices rising to as high as 80 yuan per tonne ($11.25/t) due to tightening of benchmarks. 

The scheme will see more progress this year, both on the regulatory side, with the newly released state council regulation on national carbon trading, and on the expansion to more industry sectors, with the first new batch possibly including the cement and aluminium sectors. We might also see more clarity on the role of the carbon market in China’s “dual carbon” targets against the backdrop of moving from energy dual control to carbon dual control. The revamped China Certified Emissions Reduction (CCER) offset market will also see issuance of new credits resume this year.

Tu Le, founder and managing director, Sino Auto Insights:

It was another record year for “new energy vehicle” (NEV, mainly electric vehicle) sales in China, largely on the back of a serious price war ignited by Tesla in January 2023. I’ll be watching to see whether the market can keep it up – and who will blink first this year. Will there continue to be foreign direct investment by Chinese electric vehicle and battery companies outside of China and, if so, where?

Chinese automakers exported a record number of vehicles in 2023, catching many observers’ attention. With the Inflation Reduction Act making the US market unattractive for now, the EU is the most attractive major market to Chinese EV firms. EU automakers will also begin shipping Chinese-built vehicles to their home markets. How the EU will ultimately react to this – and the growth of Chinese EV exports more widely – remains uncertain.

Watch, read, listen

BIG READ: China submitted its fourth national communication on climate change to the UNFCCC in December 2023 – the first since June 2019 – with sections on China’s greenhouse gas emissions by sector, “key objectives” and financial needs.

DE-RISKING RISKS: Henry Sanderson argued in Foreign Affairs that western countries must prioritise in order to compete with China on “clean energy” technologies.

WASTE UNREST: The New Books in East Asian Studies podcast interviewed Dr Jean Yen-chun Lin on research into environmental protests against waste incineration in Beijing.

CLIMATE ADAPTATION: China and Africa will “jointly promote climate resilience”, ministry of ecology and environment minister Huang Runqiu said in remarks, recently posted on YouTube, made at the September 2023 Africa Climate Summit.

New science 

Hotter days, dirtier air: The impact of extreme heat on energy and pollution intensity in China
Energy Economics

Researchers have identified a “causal impact from ‘local temperature shocks’ on pollution intensity” in China between 2008 and 2017, finding that extreme heat increases energy demand, diminishes energy efficiency and increases consumption of coal, which leads to a rise in pollution intensity. The researchers said that this shows that extreme weather caused by climate change “will perpetuate an adverse impact on pollution intensity” across China.

Methane mitigation potentials and related costs of China’s coal mines
Fundamental Research

A new study estimated that “through continuous coal cuts and available…mitigation measures, China’s [coal mine methane] emissions can be reduced by 65%-78% [from 2021 levels] in 2060”. The study also found that methane emissions from abandoned coal mines “will far exceed those from coal mining under the 2060 carbon-neutral scenario, especially in northeastern China”. While coal mine methane mitigation may not currently be economically feasible, it added, it could become “the most cost-effective solution as [carbon dioxide] prices increase”.

Who is most affected by carbon tax? Evidence from Chinese residents in the context of ageing
Energy Policy

New research has discovered “significant differences” in the rate by which different age groups in China are affected by carbon taxation, with the “vulnerable elderly” being particularly affected. The results show that the “indirect carbon payment burden rate on the elderly…is 1.2 times that of the general population”, with low-income seniors facing a slightly higher than average rate at 1.4 times that of the general population.

China Briefing is compiled by Anika Patel and edited by Wanyuan Song and Simon Evans. Please send tips and feedback to china@carbonbrief.org

The post China Briefing 11 January: Expectations for 2024; Top climate negotiator interviewed; NDRC promotes ‘green’ industry appeared first on Carbon Brief.

China Briefing 11 January: Expectations for 2024; Top climate negotiator interviewed; NDRC promotes ‘green’ industry

Continue Reading

Climate Change

IPBES: Four key takeaways on how nature loss threatens the global economy

Published

on

The “undervaluing” of nature by businesses is fuelling its decline and putting the global economy at risk, according to a major new report.

An assessment from the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) outlines more than 100 actions for measuring and reducing impacts on nature across business, government, financial institutions and civil society.

A co-chair of the assessment says that nature loss is one of the most “serious threats” to businesses, but the “twisted reality is that it often seems more profitable to businesses to degrade biodiversity than to protect it”.

The “business and biodiversity” report says that global “finance flows” of more than $7tn (£5.1tn) had “direct negative impacts on nature” in 2023.

The new findings were put together by 79 experts from around the world over the course of three years, in what IPBES described as a “fast-track” assessment.

IPBES is an independent body that gives scientific advice to policymakers about biodiversity and ecosystems.

This is the “first report of its kind” to provide guidance on how businesses can contribute to 2030 nature goals, says IPBES executive secretary Dr Luthando Dziba in a statement.

Below, Carbon Brief explains four key findings from the “summary for policymakers” (SPM), which outlines the main messages of the report.

The full report is due to be released in the coming months after final edits are made.

  1. Businesses both depend on, and harm, nature
  2. Current practices ‘do not support’ efforts to halt and reverse biodiversity loss
  3. Businesses can act now to address their impacts on nature
  4. Government policies can drive a ‘just and sustainable future’ for nature and people

1. Businesses both depend on, and harm, nature

Businesses of all sizes rely on nature in one way or another, says the report.

The SPM outlines that biodiversity provides many of the goods and services businesses need, such as raw materials from the environment or controlled water flows to reduce flooding during wet seasons and provide water in dry seasons.

Biodiversity also “underpins genetic diversity” that informs the development of products in many industries, including pharmaceuticals and cosmetics.

Individual businesses often do not address their impacts and dependencies on nature, “in part due to their lack of awareness”, the SPM says.

They also often do not have the data or knowledge to “quantify their impacts on dependencies on biodiversity and much of the relevant scientific literature is not written for a business audience”, the report claims. It adds:

“Lack of transparency across value chains, including of the risks and opportunities related to the sustainability of resource extraction, use, reuse and waste management, is a further barrier to action.”

The report says it is well established that businesses depend on biodiversity, but also that the actions of businesses “continue to drive declines in biodiversity and nature’s contributions to people”.

It adds that the size of a business “does not always reflect the magnitude of its impacts”, with companies in sectors such as agriculture, forestry, fishing, electricity, energy and mining having “relatively high” direct impacts on nature.

A “failure” to account for nature as the economy has expanded over the past two centuries has “led to its degradation and unprecedented rates of biodiversity loss”, the SPM says. It adds:

“The decline in biodiversity and nature’s contributions to people has become a critical systemic risk threatening the economy, financial stability and human wellbeing with implications for human rights.”

It is well established that nature loss as a result of “unsustainable use” threatens the “ability of businesses, local economies and whole sectors to function”, the report details.

These risks and others – such as extreme weather events and critical changes to Earth systems – are “among the highest-ranked global risks over the next 10 years”, it adds.

The SPM notes further that it is well established that risks around climate change and biodiversity loss “may interact to amplify social and economic impacts”.

These risks have “disproportionate impacts on developing countries whose economies are more reliant on biodiversity and have more limited technical and financial capacity to absorb shocks”, the report adds.

2. Current practices ‘do not support’ efforts to halt and reverse biodiversity loss

The SPM says that it is well established that current political and economic practices “perpetuate business as usual and do not support the transformative change required to halt and reverse biodiversity loss”.

These practices have “commonly ignored or undervalued biodiversity, creating tension between business actions and the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity”, the report continues.

For example, the report says there is established but incomplete evidence that “time pressures on decision-making and timescales for investment returns and reporting by businesses – with an emphasis on quarterly earnings or annual reporting – are shorter than many ecological cycles”.

This prevents businesses from “adequately” considering nature loss in decision-making, says the SPM.

There is well established evidence that businesses fail to assign adequate value to “biodiversity and many of nature’s contributions to people, such as filtration of pollutants, climate regulation and pollination”, it continues.

As a result, “businesses bear little or no financial cost for negative impacts and may not generate revenue from positive impacts on biodiversity”, leading to “insufficient incentives for businesses to act to conserve, restore or sustainably use biodiversity”.

Prof Stephen Polasky, co-chair of the assessment and a professor of ecological and environmental economics at the University of Minnesota, said in a statement:

“The loss of biodiversity is among the most serious threats to business. Yet the twisted reality is that it often seems more profitable to businesses to degrade biodiversity than to protect it. Business as usual may once have seemed profitable in the short term, but impacts across multiple businesses can have cumulative effects, aggregating to global impacts, which can cross ecological tipping points.”

It is well established that policies from governments can “further accelerate biodiversity decline”, the SPM says.

It notes that, in 2023, global public and private financial spending with direct negative impacts on nature was estimated at $7.3tn.

This figure includes public subsidies that are harmful to nature (around $2.4tn) and private investment in high-impact sectors ($4.9tn), says the report.

Industries harmful to nature include fossil-fuel extraction, mining, deforestation and large-scale meat farming and fishing.

In contrast, just $220bn in public and private finance was directed to activities that contribute to protecting and sustainably using nature in 2023, adds the report.

(In recognition of the need to address public spending on activities that are destructive to nature, countries agreed to reduce biodiversity-harming subsidies by at least $500bn by 2030 as part of a global pact made in 2022.)

There are additional “barriers to action” facing businesses, ranging from challenging social norms to a lack of capacity, data or technology. These are summarised in the table below.

Barriers preventing businesses from taking action on biodiversity loss.
Barriers preventing businesses from taking action on biodiversity loss. Credit: SPM.4, IPBES (2026)

“These barriers do not affect all actors equally and may disproportionately affect small and medium-sized businesses and financial institutions in developing countries,” adds the report.

3. Businesses can act now to address their impacts on nature

The SPM says it is well established that the “transformative change” required to halt and reverse biodiversity loss requires action from “all businesses”.

However, the report continues that it is also well established that the current level of business action is “insufficient” to deliver this “transformative change”. This is, in part, because the “enabling environment is missing”, it says.

IPBES says all businesses have a responsibility to act, even if this responsibility is not shared “evenly”.

“Priority actions” that businesses should take differ depending on the size of the firm, the sector in which it operates in, as well as the company structure and its “relationship with biodiversity”, the report notes.

The exact actions businesses should pursue also depends on companies’ “degree of control and influence over stakeholders”, it says.

According to the report, firms can act across four “decision-making levels” – corporate, operations, value chain and portfolio – to measure and address impacts on biodiversity.

(“Corporate” refers to decisions focused on overarching strategy, governance and direction of the business; “operations” to day-to-day activities; “value chain” to the system and resources required to move a product or service from supplier to customer; and “portfolio” to investments and business assets).

The SPM sets out a series of examples for how businesses can act across all four levels. These are summarised in the table below.

Actions that businesses can take now to address their impacts and dependencies.
Actions that businesses can take now to address their impacts and dependencies. Credit: SPM.2, IPBES (2026).

At a corporate level, the report notes that firms can establish ambitious governance and frameworks that can then have a ripple effect across the other levels, according to the report. This includes the integration of biodiversity commitments and targets into corporate strategy.

The SPM says that corporate biodiversity targets are “most effective” when they are aligned with “national and global biodiversity objectives” and “take into consideration a business’s impacts and dependencies on biodiversity and nature’s contributions to people”.

At an operations level, businesses should focus on ensuring that their operations are located and managed in a way that benefits biodiversity, IPBES says. Environmental and social impact assessments and management plans that are supported by “credible monitoring of both actions and biodiversity outcomes” can underpin this effort, the SPM notes.

It says it is well established that using the “mitigation hierarchy” framework can help businesses deliver “lasting outcomes on the ground”. (The framework guides users towards limiting as far as possible the negative impacts on biodiversity from development projects by first avoiding, then minimising, restoring and offsetting impacts.)

Next, the report notes there are actions businesses can take to drive change within its broader spheres of influence, including suppliers, retailers, consumers and peers within industry. This is important, the SPM notes, as significant impacts and dependencies on biodiversity and nature “accrue” across the lifecycle of products or services, especially those that rely on raw materials.

The report notes there is established but incomplete evidence that efforts to “map” company value chains and improve traceability by linking products and materials to suppliers, locations and impacts can help “identify risks and prioritise actions”.

While noting that “mapping” beyond direct suppliers “often remains challenging” for businesses, the report adds:

“Examples at the corporate and value chain levels exist, such as companies in the chocolate industry that have made advances in recording biodiversity dependencies to improve business decisions through full traceability of materials and improved supplier control mechanisms.”

Elsewhere, the SPM notes that there is also established but incomplete evidence that consumer-focused measures – such as product labelling, education and incentives – can “shape behaviour and improve transparency”. However, it cautions that the effectiveness of these strategies is “constrained by consumer scepticism, certification costs and business models reliant on unsustainable consumption”.

The SPM also highlights that, at a “portfolio” level, financial institutions can shift finance away from harmful activities – for instance, companies whose products drive deforestation – and towards business activities with positive impacts for biodiversity and nature.

Speaking to Carbon Brief, Matt Jones, co-chair of the report, explains the rationale behind including options for how businesses can address biodiversity impacts in the document:

“Businesses and governments in different countries are coming at this from a very different perspective. So we can’t present a set of really prescriptive ‘how tos’…but we can present a huge number of options for action that businesses, governments, financial institutions and civil society and other actors can all take.”

Elsewhere, the report says it is well established that “robust, transparent and credible reporting of actions and outcomes” is required to “inspire others”.

4. Government policies can drive a ‘just and sustainable future’ for nature and people

Both governments and financial institutions can set policies and create incentives to protect biodiversity and stem its decline, says the SPM.

According to the report, the types of policies that governments can put in place that have an influence over business include:

  • Fiscal policies, such as subsidies and taxes.
  • Land use or marine spatial planning and zoning, such as designating new national parks or areas protected for nature.
  • Permitting for business activities that affect nature – for example, by requiring environmental impact assessments.
  • Public procurement policy (rules for how governments purchase goods and services).
  • Controls on advertising and the creation of standards to prevent “greenwashing”.

Governments can also promote action through paying for ecosystem services, creating environmental markets and through “multilateral benefit-sharing mechanisms”, which set out rules for ensuring profits from nature are shared equally, says the SPM.

It says this includes the Cali Fund, a fund that businesses can voluntarily pay into after reaping benefits from genetic resources found in biodiverse countries.

(The fund was agreed in 2024 with expectations that it could generate up to billions of dollars for conservation, but it has so far only attracted $1,000.)

Governments could also promote action by phasing out or reforming subsidies that are harmful for nature, as well as fostering positive incentives, according to the report.

Overall, governments can work with other actors to create an “enabling environment” to “incentivise actions that are beneficial for businesses, biodiversity and society for a just and sustainable future”, says the SPM. It adds:

“Creation of an enabling environment that provides incentives for the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity and nature’s contributions to people could align what is profitable with what is good for biodiversity and society.

“Creating this enabling environment would result in businesses and financial institutions being positive agents of change in transforming to a just and sustainable economic system, by addressing their impacts on biodiversity loss, climate change and pollution, which are all interconnected.”

The post IPBES: Four key takeaways on how nature loss threatens the global economy appeared first on Carbon Brief.

IPBES: Four key takeaways on how nature loss threatens the global economy

Continue Reading

Climate Change

Vanuatu pushes new UN resolution demanding full climate compensation

Published

on

Countries responsible for climate change could be required to pay “full and prompt reparation” for the damage they have caused, under a new United Nations resolution being pursued by the Pacific island state of Vanuatu, an initial draft shows.

The resolution seeks to turn into action last year’s landmark advisory opinion from the International Court of Justice (ICJ), which found that states have a legal obligation to prevent climate harm and that breaches of this duty could expose them to compensation claims from affected countries.

Under the “zero draft” of the resolution seen by Climate Home News, the UN’s General Assembly, its main policy-making body, would also demand that countries stop any “wrongful acts” contributing to rising emissions, which may include the production and licensing of planet-heating fossil fuels.

Gas flaring soars in Niger Delta post-Shell, afflicting communities

‘Demand’ is the strongest verb calling for an obligation to comply in UN language, but it is rarely used in a resolution.

Countries would also be called upon to respect their legal obligations by enacting national climate plans consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5C and by adopting appropriate policies, including measures to “ensure a rapid, just and quantified phase-out of fossil fuel production and use”, the document shows.

End of March vote targeted

The draft, meant as a starting point for negotiations, was circulated last week by the government of Vanuatu following discussions with a dozen nations, including the Netherlands, Colombia and Kenya.

Countries are expected to take part in informal consultations between February 13-17 aimed at agreeing on wording that would secure broad support among UN member states, according to a statement from Vanuatu, which also led the diplomatic drive for the ICJ’s advisory opinion. A vote on the follow-up resolution could take place by the end of March, it added.

    Ralph Regenvanu, Vanuatu’s climate minister, said respecting the court’s decision is “essential for the credibility of the international system and for effective collective action”.

    “At a time when respect for international law is under pressure globally, this initiative affirms the central role of the International Court of Justice and the importance of multilateral cooperation,” he added in written comments.

    New damage register and reparation mechanism

    If adopted in its current form, the draft resolution would also create an “International Register of Damage”, which is described as a comprehensive and transparent record of evidence on loss and damage linked to climate change.

    It would also ask the UN secretary-general to put forward proposals for a climate reparation mechanism that could coordinate and facilitate the resolution of compensation claims and promote financial models to help cover climate-related damage.

    The fledgling Fund for Responding to Loss and Damage (FRLD) – set up under the UN climate change regime – is set to hand out money to the first set of initiatives aimed at addressing climate-driven destruction later this year. However, the just-over $590 million currently in the fund’s coffers is dwarfed by the scale of need in developing countries, with loss and damage costs estimated to reach up to $400 billion a year by 2030.

    Like other small island nations, Vanuatu is among the world’s most vulnerable countries to the effects of climate change, while having contributed the least to global warming. Last year’s ICJ decision stemmed from a March 2023 resolution led by the Pacific nation asking the world’s top court to define countries’ legal obligations in relation to climate change.

    Regenvanu said in September 2025 that it was important to follow up the ICJ ruling with a new UNGA resolution because it could be approved by a majority vote, while progress can be blocked in other fora like the UN climate negotiations that require consensus for decisions.

    The post Vanuatu pushes new UN resolution demanding full climate compensation appeared first on Climate Home News.

    Vanuatu pushes new UN resolution demanding full climate compensation

    Continue Reading

    Climate Change

    China maximises battery recycling to shore up critical mineral supplies

    Published

    on

    Even the busiest streets of Shanghai have become noticeably quieter as sales of electric vehicles (EVs) skyrocketed in China, with charging points mushrooming in residential compounds, car parks and service stations across the megacity.

    Many Chinese drivers have upgraded their conventional vehicles to electric ones – or already replaced old EVs with newer models – incentivised by the government’s generous trade-in policies, or tempted by the latest hi-tech features such as controls powered by artificial intelligence (AI).

    “Different from conventional cars, EVs are more like fast-moving consumer goods, like smartphones,” explained Mo Ke, founder and chief analyst of Tianjin-based battery-research firm, RealLi Research. Their digital systems can become outdated quickly, so Chinese people typically change their EVs after five or six years while a conventional car can be driven much longer, he told Climate Home News.

    EV sales surpassed 16 million in China last year. Roughly 10% of all vehicles on the road were electric, and half of all new vehicles sold carried a green EV number plate, with an average of 45,000 EVs rolling off the production lines each day.

    But while fast-growing EV uptake is good news for Chinese EV and battery manufacturers, it is creating a huge volume of spent batteries.

    Tsunami of spent batteries

    Last year, China generated nearly 400,000 tonnes of old or damaged power batteries, largely consisting of vehicle batteries, according to government data. That is projected to rise to one million tonnes per year in 2030, officials forecast.

    The growing waste problem has spurred the government to launch a series of new policies aimed at regulating the country’s battery recycling industry, which though well-established is marked by a high degree of informality – especially in the lucrative repurposing sector where discarded EV batteries are given a new lease of life in less energy-intensive uses, such as power storage.

      China is determined to build a “standardised, safe and efficient” recycling system for batteries, Wang Peng, a director at China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, told a press conference as the government launched a recycling industry push in mid-January.

      A policy paper published by the government last month detailed Beijing’s plans to mandate end-of-life recycling for EVs together with their batteries to prevent them from entering the grey, informal market, and establish a digital system to track the lifecycle of every battery manufactured in the country. Under the plans, EV and battery makers will be held responsible for recycling the batteries they produce and sell.

      “The volume of the Chinese market is too big, so it has to take actions ahead of other countries,” Mo said, adding that he expected the government to release more details about implementation of the plans in the near future.

      Critical minerals choke point

      China’s strategy for the battery recycling sector could also prove a boon for the world’s largest battery producer by bolstering its supply of minerals such as lithium, cobalt, nickel and manganese.

      Along with the looming large-scale battery retirement, policymakers’ focus on battery recycling also reflects concern about critical minerals supplies, said Li Yifei, assistant professor of environmental studies at New York University Shanghai. “The government also felt the increasing pressure of securing resources,” he told Climate Home News.

      “When you set up an efficient battery-recycling system, you essentially secure a new source for critical minerals, and that can help you enhance economic security. That’s why the industry is so important,” Lin Xiao, chief executive of Botree Recycling Technologies, a Chinese company offering battery-recycling solutions, told Climate Home News.

      Cobalt and nickel-free electric car batteries boom in “good news” for rainforests

      China dominates global refining of several minerals critical for producing EV batteries, but it still relies on imports of the raw materials – a choke point Beijing is acutely aware of, industry experts say.

      China imports more than 90% of its cobalt, nickel and manganese, which are important ingredients for EV batteries, Hu Song, a senior researcher with the state-run China Automotive Technology and Research Centre, told China’s CCTV state broadcaster in June 2025. For lithium, the figure was around 60% in 2024, according to a separate report.

      “If [those] resources cannot be recycled, then we will keep facing strangleholds in the future,” Hu said.

      Big players gain ground

      Spent EV batteries can be reused in settings that have lower energy requirements, such as in two-wheelers or energy-storage systems. When they become too depleted for repurposing, they can be scrapped and shredded into “black mass”, a powdery mixture containing valuable metals that can be recovered.

      Reflecting the size of China’s EV market, the country already dominates global battery recycling capacity. It is home to 78% of the world’s battery pre-treatment capacity, which is for scrapping and shredding, and 89% of the capacity for refining black mass, according to 2025 forecasts by Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, a UK firm tracking battery supply chains.

      A number of large corporate players have emerged in the sector in recent years.

      Huayou Cobalt, a major producer of battery minerals, has built a business model for recycling, repurposing and shredding old batteries, as well as refining black mass and making new batteries using recovered materials.

      It recently signed a deal with Encory, a joint venture between BMW and Berlin-based environmental service provider Interzero, to develop cutting-edge battery-recycling technologies, with their first joint factory set to open in China this year.

        Suzhou-based Botree Recycling Technologies has developed various solutions to turn retired power batteries into new ones. Meanwhile, Brunp Recycling, the recycling arm of Chinese battery giant CATL, has built large factories to recycle lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, a type of lithium battery that does not use nickel or cobalt, as well as nickel manganese cobalt (NMC) batteries, which are more popular outside of China.

        But Mo, of RealLi Research, said much remains to be done to regulate and formalise the battery recycling industry.

        Underground workshops

        Across China, small underground workshops plague the repurposing sector, rebundling depleted batteries for sale without following industry standards or complying with health and safety requirements.

        Because these operators have lower operational costs, they are able to offer higher prices to EV owners to buy their old batteries, undercutting formal recycling companies.

        “This creates distortions in the market where legitimate players, who invest in proper detection, hazardous waste treatment and compliance, struggle to compete purely on price,” a spokesperson at CATL, the world’s largest battery manufacturer, told Climate Home News.

        Despite such challenges, CATL’s Brunp subsidiary produced 17,100 tonnes of lithium in 2024 from the 128,700 tonnes of depleted batteries it recycled that year, according to CATL’s annual report.

        Recycling expertise in demand

        Since it was founded in 2019, Botree has formed partnerships with several major clients, which together recycle about half of China’s power batteries, the company’s CEO Lin said.

        As other countries grapple with rising volumes of spent batteries, Chinese recyclers are also finding new foreign markets for their know-how.

        Botree has joined forces with Spanish consulting firm ILUNION and renewable energy company EFT-Systems to build a factory to recycle LFP batteries in Valladolid.

        The plant, scheduled to start operation in 2027, will be able to recycle 6,000 tonnes of LFPs annually when it opens, accounting for roughly 15% of demand in the Spanish market.

        “(The companies) tell us what batteries they recycle and what battery materials they want to regenerate,” Lin said. “We can design a complete process for them.”

        The post China maximises battery recycling to shore up critical mineral supplies appeared first on Climate Home News.

        China maximises battery recycling to shore up critical mineral supplies

        Continue Reading

        Trending

        Copyright © 2022 BreakingClimateChange.com