- What timeline options were delegates debating?
- How did the timeline discussions unfold?
- What were the main points of disagreement?
- Why is the IPCC in a ‘serious funding crisis’?
- How have scientists reacted?
- What other issues remain unresolved?
- How are the IPCC AR7 reports progressing?
- How might the IPCC use AI and enhance gender inclusivity?
Zimbabwe is planning to ramp up its use of coal and gas to meet its energy needs after the worst drought in decades dried out the water supply to the hydropower plant, which powers the country.
As a result, the Southern African nation is failing to meet its power demand, the government wrote in a new climate plan to cut emissions by 2035 submitted to the UN earlier this month.
The 1,050 MW Kariba South hydropower plant, which accounts for around 40% of Zimbabwe’s installed electricity generation capacity, is operating at 185 MW because of water shortages, it said in its submission.
To reduce the power deficit, the government said it “intends to refurbish the old generating units at the coal-powered Hwange Power Station in 2025… raise its efficiency to around 40% and increase the capacity by 400 MW”. It also plans to build a new 720 MW coal plant.
Zimbabwe’s energy emissions are expected to increase sharply to a peak in 2026 before starting to decrease as gas power ramps up to replace coal and wind and solar energy projects are deployed, according to the plan. Overall, the government says it aims to reduce emissions by at least 40% per capita by 2035 compared to a business-as-usual scenario.
‘Victim of circumstance’
Zimbabwe is “a victim of circumstance”, Kuda Manjonjo, just transition associate at advocacy group Power Shift Africa, told Climate Home News. Like other African countries, Zimbabwe is squeezed “in a very tight spot between providing energy but at the same time…not getting the financing that they need to actually transition” to clean energy sources, Manjonjo said.
With little resilience against climate-related shocks, Zimbabwe has been experiencing severe drought conditions – attributed to the El Niño weather pattern – in recent years, causing higher temperatures, a notable reduction in rainfall and effectively drying out lakes used for electricity generation in the country.
At its worse two years ago, “we were going through 23 hours a day of no electricity,” explained Manjonjo, who lives in the Hwange area in northwestern Zimbabwe. “It would be very hard for any government in the world to justify not producing coal, which is there with the [power] plants, when people do not have electricity.”
Neighbouring Zambia, which is also affected by drought and reduced hydropower capacity, is similarly “doubling-down on coal” to provide electricity to its people.
Manjonjo said this return to coal reflects a global failure to deliver just energy transitions in developing countries at a time when the US – the world’s largest historic emitter – is pulling back from its climate finance commitments and is making a dash to extract more fossil fuels.
UK aid budget cuts threaten climate finance pledge to vulnerable nations, experts warn
This week, Bloomberg reported that almost all projects under a major US initiative to increase electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa, known as Power Africa, are being terminated.
At the COP28 climate talks in 2023, countries committed to triple global renewable energy capacity by 2030 and transition away from fossil fuels, with the world’s biggest emitters expected to do so faster than poorer nations like Zimbabwe.
Perpetuating a vicious cycle
Zimbabwe was the only African country to submit its 2035 climate plan, also known as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC), on time to meet a UN deadline of February 10.
But African climate analysts say it could give a flavour of what is to come.
Zimbabwe’s plans is both “disheartening” and “disappointing”, said Manjonjo. But it is “a symptom” of a bigger trend in which African countries are likely to be more “blatant” about relying on fossil fuels to meet their power needs than in previous rounds of UN climate plans, he added.
Can a different approach to risk accelerate the energy transition in the Global South?
At the Mission 300 energy summit in Tanzania in January, African leaders adopted a joint statement, citing gas as one of the energy sources needed to unlock “Africa’s full energy potential”.
Green groups on the continent part of the Don’t Gas Africa campaign described the statement as “ironical”, adding that despite renewable energy’s exponential growth globally, “the Mission 300 pledge seems to entrap Africans in a fossil gas-based system”.
This “vicious cycle” of climate shocks leading to more fossil fuel use, which in turn worsens climate impacts is inevitable without more climate finance reaching developing countries, said Daniel Sithole, director of the Zimbabwe-based Green Shango Environment Trust.
Without necessary support, “short-term economic advantages of fossil fuels will outweigh the long-term benefits of renewable energy” for most African countries, Sithole told Climate Home. Unless there is a concerted global effort to provide transition financing tailored to the unique contexts of African nations, the pursuit of fossil fuels will continue to provide a “short-term solution to immediate economic challenges”, he added.
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Zimbabwe plans to expand coal use to address drought-induced blackouts
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Climate Change
Paris Agreement committee names three countries snubbing it over NDCs
Three countries have been named by the Paris Agreement’s compliance committee for failing to submit a nationally determined contribution (NDC) and repeatedly snubbing offers of help with their climate plans.
After months of internal debate over whether to identify serial non-responders, the Paris Agreement’s Implementation and Compliance Committee (PAICC) named the three countries which have failed to engage with it over their NDCs on Friday.
It named Democratic Republic of Congo, Senegal and North Korea in a footnote of its annual report, adding that it decided to name them “with a view to facilitating engagement”, adding that representatives of the three nations had been invited to its meeting in early 2027 “with the purpose of identifying any challenges and constraints”.
“The Committee noted the importance of Parties engaging with the Committee in a timely manner, while noting that some delays may be due to the national capabilities and circumstances of the Parties”, the report said.
In July, PAICC said 12 countries had ignored its repeated attempts to discuss why they had not published an NDC as required every five years under the 2015 Paris accord.
Members of the committee had been divided over whether to name them, but at a September meeting decided to do so in their annual report to the annual climate COP summit.
By the time the report was published on Friday, only Congo, Senegal and North Korea “had not communicated an NDC or submitted a [Biennial Transparency Report] and had not yet responded to any of the Committee’s notifications, despite several reminders issued by the Committee in this regard”.
Rainforest and renewable energy ambitions
The silence from Congo and Senegal is notable because the former is home to much of the Congo Basin rainforest while the latter has sought billions of dollars in climate finance to support its renewable energy ambitions.
After Brazil, Congo has more rainforest than any country in the world. This forest, and the country’s peatlands, absorb huge amounts of greenhouse gas but are fast being lost to expanding farmland, charcoal production, logging and mining.
Senegal signed a Just Energy Transition Partnership with Canada and wealthy European nations in 2023, to help it meet its renewable energy targets under the-then government of Macky Sall. It was chair of the Least Developed Countries group between January 2022 and December 2023.

Tejas Rao, who is researching the PAICC as part of a doctoral thesis at Cambridge University, said the governments of the three countries should engage with the committee.
“Engagement costs these governments very little and the committee has shown it will listen,” he said.
“Silence leaves the committee with no basis to help, and it leaves the [governments] exposed to the narrative that they are simply disengaged,” he told Climate Home News.
Paris Agreement requirement
The 2015 Paris Agreement requires all parties to publish an NDC every five years outlining their emissions reduction targets, with each plan meant to be more ambitious than the country’s last NDC.
The latest set – the third round of plans, with new targets for 2035 – was due in February 2025. While most countries missed this deadline, all but around 30 – mostly small emitters but including Egypt, Vietnam and Argentina – have now submitted them.
Over the year, the PAICC – which is made up of government climate officials from developed and developing countries – has been communicating with governments that have not submitted NDCs and trying to overcome barriers to them doing so.
Some nations have cited exceptional circumstances as the reason for not submitting an NDC, a process that requires a significant amount of work in tracking emissions and consulting on how to curb them across the economy. For example, a letter from a Sudanese official to the PAICC, seen by Climate Home News, said that the country’s civil war had led to the suspension of its NDC preparation.
The US and Iran are not signed up to the Paris Agreement and so do not have active NDCs, nor does Taiwan, which is not a UN member state.
Rao said that because the PAICC is “facilitative and non-punitive”, naming the countries “is meant to open a door, not close one – the invited consultation is the point”.
“In recent months, governments that explained their constraints, whether capacity, finance or domestic process, have been met with follow-up and support rather than sanction, and the number of silent governments has fallen sharply,” Rao said.
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Paris Agreement committee names three countries snubbing it over NDCs
Climate Change
Q&A: Why a pivotal IPCC meeting in Ethiopia ended in ‘profound disappointment’
Countries have failed – for the sixth time running – to agree on the timeline for publishing the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) next set of influential reports.
The IPCC’s 65th session (IPCC-65) was seen by many to be the final opportunity for countries to agree on a schedule where its seventh assessment report (AR7) would be published in time for the UN’s second “global stocktake” of climate action.
Before last week’s meeting in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, IPCC chair Prof Sir Jim Skea had warned that releasing the reports in time for the stocktake in 2028 would depend on a timelines being agreed by the end of 2026.
But the week-long meeting descended into fraught disagreements between governments, resulting in Skea “suspending” the talks on Friday evening with no decision made.
Countries were also unable to agree on the IPCC’s budget for the rest of the AR7 cycle, leaving the body with a “serious funding crisis”.
The IPCC has pledged to reconvene the meeting at the “earliest opportunity”; however, it has not yet given an indication of when this will be.
In his concluding remarks, Skea described the Addis Ababa summit as a “profound disappointment” and “among the most difficult IPCC meetings”, according to reporting from the Earth Negotiations Bulletin (ENB).
Some countries have reacted with dismay to the breakdown of negotiations, warning that a failure to have the IPCC’s latest assessments on climate adaptation and mitigation ready for the UN stocktaking exercise would undermine global climate action.
A climate envoy from a Pacific island state said it was a “travesty that a handful of countries continue to delay the IPCC’s reports – the science we need back home to help us save lives and livelihoods”.
Below, Carbon Brief explores the key developments, debates and disagreements at the IPCC meeting.


