Shell Canada’s recent approval of the Polaris carbon capture project marks the beginning of significant investment in emissions-reducing technology, according to federal Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson.
The Minister predicts 20 to 25 carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects will start in Canada within the next decade. This is spurred by a new federal investment tax credit, covering up to 50% of CCS project capital costs.
Wilkinson further noted that the tax credit is crucial for heavy industry companies to make final investment decisions. The Shell Polaris project is a direct result of this incentive.
Pioneering Investment in Emissions Reduction
The CCS project will capture 650,000 tonnes of CO2 annually from the Scotford refinery near Edmonton, Alberta.
Shell’s Polaris carbon capture project will mitigate about 40% of direct CO2 emissions from the Scotford refinery and 22% from its chemicals complex. Although the project’s cost remains undisclosed, it is expected to start operations by the end of 2028.
Additionally, Shell announced the development of the Atlas Carbon Storage Hub in partnership with ATCO EnPower. The first phase of Atlas will be connected to Polaris via a 22-kilometer pipeline, providing permanent underground storage for CO2 captured by Polaris. This CCS project just received a green light.
Polaris is Shell’s second carbon capture and storage (CCS) project in Canada. The first project, Quest, completed in late 2015 at the Scotford complex, cost $1.3 billion. It has captured and stored about 1 million tonnes of CO2 annually since its inception.
All these are part of the energy giant to achieve its 2050 net zero emissions target outlined in the chart.

CCS technology, which captures and compresses CO2 emissions from industrial processes for safe underground storage, is considered one of the most effective ways to decarbonize heavy-polluting industries like oil, gas, and cement production.
Canada considers this carbon management essential for reaching its net zero emissions target.
How Carbon Capture And Storage Can Support Canada’s Path to Net Zero
Currently, Canada has a few CCS projects operational, storing about 44 million tonnes of CO2 since 2000. The federal plan to cut emissions by 40-45% below 2005 levels by 2030 and reach net zero by 2050 requires tripling national CCS capacity by 2030. This involves adding facilities capable of capturing at least 15 million tonnes of CO2 annually.
The International CCS Knowledge Centre in Regina states that achieving this goal calls for implementing CCS across various heavy industries. These include power generation, cement, steel, fertilizer manufacturing, mining, and petrochemicals.
Apparently, Shell’s industry heavily needs this carbon capture technology to decarbonize.
Canada aims to achieve significant reductions in the oil and gas sector as outlined in its Emissions Reduction Plan. The goal is to cut emissions from 191 million tonnes in 2019 to 110 million tonnes by 2030.
Under the International Energy Agency’s Updated Roadmap to Net-Zero Emissions by 2050, carbon capture and storage technologies need rapid scaling to capture 1.2 gigatonnes (Gt) globally by 2030 and 6.2 Gt by 2050, accounting for about 15% of total required GHG reductions.
Recognizing this challenge and opportunity, Canada’s G7 peers like the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union prioritize carbon management technologies through national strategies and significant investments.
According to the Canada Energy Regulator’s (CER) “Canada’s Energy Futures 2023” report, carbon management is crucial for domestic emissions reductions. In the CER’s Global Net-Zero Scenario, CCUS sequesters nearly 60 million tonnes (Mt) annually in Canada by 2050, with 25 Mt from heavy industry.
In a slower global transition (Canada Net-Zero Scenario), CCUS costs fall more slowly, capturing 80 Mt annually due to greater global fossil fuel demand.
Decarbonizing Heavy Industries
Canada boasts vast geological storage resources, presenting opportunities to store both domestic and international CO2, potentially generating revenue and investment from abroad.
Key storage areas include:
- Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB): Spanning from British Columbia to Manitoba. It includes regions that could store about 4.2 gigatonnes of CO2, equivalent to over 66 years of British Columbia’s emissions.
- Williston Basin: Primarily in southern Saskatchewan, offering additional significant storage capacity.
- Southern Ontario and Quebec: Contain several sedimentary basins that may also be suitable for CO2 storage.
The estimated capacity of Canada’s saline aquifers within these sedimentary basins exceeds 100 billion tonnes. That would be sufficient for hundreds of years of CO2 storage.
Offshore Storage Potential:
- Nova Scotia and Newfoundland and Labrador: These regions have suitable seabed geology for conventional subseabed CO2 storage.

These extensive storage capacities and geological resources position Canada as a potential leader in global carbon capture and storage. There are over 40 proposed CCS projects in Canada, according to the IEA.
The most prominent CCS proposal comes from the Pathways Alliance, a group of oilsands companies planning a CA$16.5 billion pipeline to transport captured carbon from 14 sites to a storage location near Cold Lake. Although a final investment decision is pending, Minister Wilkinson believes the project will proceed.
Mayor Rod Frank welcomed the news, stating that the addition of Polaris to Alberta’s Industrial Heartland aligns with the county’s economic development and environmental sustainability goals.
“These carbon capture projects will create new jobs, support our economy and enhance investment attractiveness while capturing emissions that would otherwise be released into the atmosphere.”
The post Shell’s Polaris Project Fuels Canada’s Carbon Capture Revolution appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
The Strategic Case for Nature-Based Carbon Investments
Nature-based carbon investments deserve consideration when they address a specific business dependency and produce outcomes you can measure. Imagine Moonbucks, a global coffee roaster planning next season’s espresso blend. It is considering natural Grade 4 coffee from Jimma, in southwestern Oromia, Ethiopia. Its sourcing decisions affect the roasting schedule and the cash tied up in coffee purchases. Moonbucks needs to understand which measures could protect that supply, what they would cost and how it would judge the results.
1. Define the sourcing problem before choosing a project
Moonbucks needs a dependable component for its espresso blend. Its procurement team wants continuity of volume and an agreed cup profile. Replacing a shipment at short notice could require new sample approval and changes to the blend, and given the schedules for cultivation, processing, and freight delivery, is practically impossible. Moonbucks needs to get this right, and its initial concern is inconsistent deliveries. It commissions an assessment of the supplying farms and post-harvest chain. The questions cover land condition, harvest availability and whether drying or storage problems are affecting saleable lots.
This distinction changes the investment brief. A tree-planting proposal cannot be assumed to fix drying problems. Better storage cannot restore eroded land. The team must establish which problem exists before selecting the response.
CCC’s guide to finding nature-based solutions in your supply chain explains where to look. Here, the next task is to turn a broad concern into a testable proposal.
2. Develop nature-based carbon investments around the actual supply chain
The assessment would trace Moonbucks’ purchases back through the exporter and supplying producer groups. Which farms supply the contracted lots? Who controls land-management decisions? How long does the buyer expect to maintain the purchasing relationship?
Furthermore, Jimma natural Grade 4 cannot be treated as interchangeable with every Ethiopian coffee. Moonbucks would need to test any substitute against its own blend and quality requirements.
Suppose Moonbucks’ assessment identifies an opportunity to maintain shade trees and restore vegetation along exposed streambanks. The IPCC describes agroforestry as a way to store carbon in vegetation and soil, with potential benefits for erosion control and water quality.1 Moonbucks would need local advice on species, growing conditions and maintenance before deciding how these measures fit its sourcing plan.
The proposal now has a defined sourcing connection and a candidate intervention. The next steps are to test its effect on production, assess carbon eligibility and build the financial case.
3. Compare the proposal with other ways to protect supply
WBCSD’s Nature-based Solutions Blueprint recommends comparing nature-based options with other responses across their benefits and costs.2 For Moonbucks, that means evaluating the landscape proposal alongside drying improvements, storage controls and alternative sourcing arrangements.
The product’s natural-process designation matters. Moonbucks should examine the drying and dry-milling chain alongside land conditions. Its team would check storage practices, contamination risks and incoming-lot quality to see whether problems arise before or after the coffee leaves the farms.
The revised proposal might combine land stewardship with separate post-harvest controls. Each component needs its own purpose and budget. A sustainability label should not obscure which activity is expected to solve which problem.
The project develops as the evidence improves. Its scope should follow the diagnosis rather than preserve the first idea unchanged.
4. Establish what the carbon outcome could count toward
Moonbucks’ sustainability team now tests the proposed carbon case separately from the sourcing case. Is the objective a measurable change in Moonbucks’ value-chain emissions, verified credits for separate voluntary use, or distinct outcomes under carefully defined arrangements?
Scope 3 covers value-chain emissions. A purchasing relationship alone does not prove that a farm intervention can be included in Moonbucks’ inventory. The team needs an applicable accounting method, defensible boundaries and evidence supporting attribution.
SBTi’s FLAG Guidance (forest, land and agriculture), version 1.2, says purchased credits used as offsets cannot meet near-term FLAG or energy and industry targets. Eligible land-based removals are subject to accounting requirements.3 Moonbucks needs to test its proposal against those rules before including an outcome in its targets.
For Moonbucks’ Jimma proposal, maintaining existing trees and establishing new vegetation could involve different carbon questions. Specialists must examine the baseline and additionality, meaning what changes because the project proceeds. They must also assess measurement and the risk that stored carbon is lost. CCC’s MRV and additionality article introduces those tests.
Until that work is complete, Moonbucks should not budget an assumed Scope 3 reduction or credit-sale receipt. Direct emissions reductions remain the priority.
5. Build a financial case that survives weaker assumptions
Moonbucks’ finance team would now build a multi-year budget. UNEP’s State of Finance for Nature 2023 compares current finance with the investment needed to meet climate, biodiversity and land-restoration goals.4 The company would cost its proposed activities, farmer participation and ongoing monitoring. Verification, where required, is a separate expense. Maintenance and responsibility for replacing failed plantings must remain visible after the initial establishment budget ends.
Operational benefits need equally careful treatment. If fewer rejected lots reduce emergency purchasing, count that saving once. Do not add “supply resilience” as another financial benefit when it represents the same avoided cost.
Moonbucks should compare a base case with slower benefits, higher implementation costs and no carbon revenue. It should also distinguish production outcomes from quality and shipment outcomes. A single good harvest would not prove that the landscape intervention caused better delivery performance.
A project can remain worth funding even when its carbon case needs more work. That decision must rest on the operational evidence and the company’s objectives, without unsupported environmental claims.
6. Fund a pilot with a clear expansion decision
Moonbucks’ first approval would fund a bounded pilot, rather than commit the entire sourcing program. Before spending, Moonbucks would agree on participating farms, responsibilities and the evidence needed at review.
Its scorecard could track farmer participation, implementation costs and plant survival, alongside accepted coffee volumes and lot-quality results. Carbon measurements would follow the selected method. Farm-level traceability must connect the intervention to the actual sourcing relationship.
Suppose Moonbucks’ review later finds that storage changes explain most quality improvements, while the land measures need longer observation. Those findings would shape the next decision: expand the proven component, adjust the landscape work or pause further spending. They would not justify crediting all improvements to tree planting.
This gives nature-based carbon investments a practical place in a multi-year strategy. Funding increases as the evidence supports it, and the project can change direction before a larger commitment.
Discuss a sourcing opportunity with CCC
Carbon Credit Capital’s nature-based supply-chain investment service uses its Dual-Value Model to examine supply-chain economics alongside potential sustainability outcomes.
Schedule a consultation to discuss your sourcing exposure and the questions to resolve before allocating capital.
Sources
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change, Chapter 7, Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses, section 7.4.3.3 (Agroforestry).
- World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD), Nature-based Solutions Blueprint, 5 June 2024.
- Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi), Forest, Land and Agriculture Science-Based Target-Setting Guidance, version 1.2, March 2026, section 3.1.4, pp. 37–38.
- United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), State of Finance for Nature 2023, 2023.
Carbon Footprint
How to buy plastic credits, and what to check before you do
A plastic credit funds the collection of plastic waste in places where no formal system exists to collect it. Each credit represents a measured, independently audited quantity of plastic taken out of the environment or returned to use, tracked on a public registry.
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Carbon Footprint
EU carbon credit claims after 27 September 2026
EU carbon credit claims changed on 27 September 2026, the day the Directive (EU) 2024/825 began to apply across the European Union. The change is narrow. It changes how a company can talk about the credits it buys. A product can no longer be called neutral on the strength of compensation alone; however, every specific, evidenced statement about what a company measured, reduced, and funded stays fully available.
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