IEA defines energy intensity as the amount of primary energy used to produce a given amount of economic output. It is the key global indicator to track energy efficiency- which is technically the rate of change in primary energy intensity.
At COP28, at least 200 countries pledged to double energy efficiency improvements by 2030. This is because this factor drives the world’s climate goals. Recently, IEA has rolled out its 2024 Energy Efficiency Report which has decoded the significance of energy efficiency with rising energy demands.
Let’s deep dive into this…
Energy Demand Surges with Electrification
A transition to electrification has gained ample significance with electricity’s share in total energy demand rising faster than in previous years. Electrification means shifting from fossil-fuel-powered systems to efficient electric alternatives. And this stands out as a positive force in an otherwise slow year for global energy efficiency.
The demand is further spurred by increased EV sales, industrial growth, and cooling needs, particularly in warmer regions. On the contrary, the demand for gasoline is slowing down in many regions due to the same reasons.
In 2024, the share of electricity in overall energy demand is expected to grow by nearly 2%, double the 1% average growth seen from 2010 to 2019.
Talking about EVs, the market continues to expand. IEA predicts, in 2024 EV sales can reach 17 million if one in five cars is sold worldwide. China remains a dominant player, accounting for about 60% of global EV sales last year. Overall, the EV boom is an example of electrification’s role in improving energy intensity even if overall efficiency progress remains modest.
However, reaching the net zero target by 2050 will require faster and sustained progress.

The Missing Piece in Achieving Net Zero Emissions
Energy efficiency is essential for reducing fossil fuel reliance and cutting emissions. In the IEA’s net zero pathway, ramping up energy efficiency could account for over 70% of the anticipated drop in oil demand and 50% of the reduction in gas demand by 2030. Thus, this energy efficiency is like the missing block that needs to be placed to bridge the net zero pathway.
However, the global efforts to reduce energy intensity are yet to reach targeted levels. In 2024, global energy efficiency progress is projected to improve by just 1%, the same rate as 2023, despite energy demand expected to rise by 2%.
Despite the historic pledge, a significant increase in policy action is necessary to accelerate the process of energy efficiency.

Energy Efficiency: Advanced Economies Slow in, Emerging Markets Pick Up
Last year advanced economies like the European Union and the United States showed strong improvements in energy intensity. In contrast, China, a long-time leader in energy efficiency gains, saw its energy intensity sharply decline from its decade-long average of 3.8% annual improvements. India’s progress also slowed, posting just 1.5% improvement.
However, in 2024, the momentum has shifted. Advanced economies are seeing slower energy efficiency progress, with the EU expected to improve by only 0.5% and the U.S. by 2.5%.
Meanwhile, emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) are starting to pick up the pace. China’s energy intensity is projected to improve by 1.5%, bouncing back from 2023’s decline, while India’s progress has accelerated to around 2.5%. Similar gains are anticipated in Southeast Asia, where energy efficiency initiatives are gaining traction.
As energy demand rises, maintaining efficiency improvements is becoming more challenging. Advanced economies are slowing, while EMDEs are showing modest progress. This shift highlights the need for tailored policies to drive efficiency across diverse regions and economic stages, especially when the world has already set an ambitious energy target.

Flexibility: Eases Grid Strain and Boosts Affordability
Another system-wide theme highlighted by IEA is flexibility across the grid. As renewable energy grows globally, the need for flexibility to balance grids is rising. Traditionally, grids relied on thermal and hydropower for flexibility. But now, demand-side management—such as smart appliances and battery storage, is emerging to provide this flexibility.
Following record growth in renewables in 2023, when nearly 565 GW was added, scaling up flexible, efficient solutions is crucial to manage demand and stabilize prices.
Government Strategies
Governments worldwide are responding. For example, the UK plans to release its Flexibility Markets Strategy by the end of 2024. It will focus on building a flexible market that contracted 4 GW last year. Australia’s New South Wales initiative is adding 1 GW of grid stability projects, and the Netherlands is committing $108 million to support battery storage integration.
Consumer Level Shift
The shift is not just confined to government policies but is also happening at the consumer level. In the UK, the Demand Flexibility Service trial involved 2.6 million households and 8,000 businesses, shifting demand and saving over 3.7 GWh during winter 2023-2024.
In the US and California, several federal initiatives are directed at improving grid flexibility and the growth of EVs. They are looking ahead to achieve this with support for smart heat pumps, dynamic-rate pilot programs, and funding for community-based grid innovation.
Digitization
Digitization plays a vital role in unlocking flexibility. New data-sharing platforms and dynamic tariffs, like Octopus Energy’s real-time rate and EDF’s EV charging scheme, incentivize users to adapt their energy consumption to grid needs. This will ease pressure on the grid and improve affordability. These efforts also highlight the growing integration of renewables, flexibility, and consumer-driven innovations.

The post IEA’s 2024 Blueprint: Energy Efficiency is the Key to Emission Reduction appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Environmental Groups Urge U.S. Congress to Pause Data Center Growth as Federal AI Rule Looms
More than 230 environmental and public-interest groups asked Congress to halt approvals for and construction of new data centers. They want a temporary national moratorium until federal rules address energy use, water needs, local impacts, and emissions. The request came from Food & Water Watch and was signed by national and local groups across the country.
They said that the fast growth of artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud services is putting big new demands on local grids and water systems. They also said current federal rules do not cover the environmental or social impacts linked to data center growth.
Why the Groups Want a Moratorium
Data centers are using more electricity each year. U.S. data centers consumed an estimated 183 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity in 2024. That was about 4% of all U.S. power use. Some national studies project that number could rise to 426 TWh by 2030, which would be about 6.7% to 12% of U.S. electricity, depending on growth rates.
Global data centers used around 415 TWh of electricity in 2024. Analysts expect double-digit annual growth as AI loads increase.

AI-ready data center capacity is projected to grow by about 33% per year from 2023 to 2030 in mid-range market scenarios. Industry groups say global data center capacity could reach over 220 gigawatts (GW) by 2030.
Some groups warn that data center CO₂ emissions might hit 1% of global emissions by 2030. That’s about the same as a mid-size industrial country’s yearly emissions. They say the growth rate is rising faster than the reductions in many other sectors.
An excerpt from their letter reads:
“The rapid expansion of data centers across the United States, driven by the generative artificial intelligence (AI) and crypto boom, presents one of the biggest environmental and social threats of our generation. This expansion is rapidly increasing demand for energy, driving more fossil fuel pollution, straining water resources, and raising electricity prices across the country. All this compounds the significant and concerning impacts AI is having on society, including lost jobs, social instability, and economic concentration.”
When AI Growth Collides With the U.S. Power Grid
Several utilities have linked new power plant plans to data center growth. In Virginia, the largest power company and grid planners see data centers as a key reason for new infrastructure.
In Louisiana, Entergy moved forward with a new gas-plant plan expected to support a large hyperscale data center campus. These cases show how utilities now size new plants with AI-related load in mind.
Some utilities believe these expansions might increase local electricity rates by a few percentage points. This depends on how costs are shared. Regulators in various areas say that extra load can increase distribution and transmission costs. This might lead to higher bills for households.
Several grid operators also report congestion or long waiting lines for new power connections. Northern Virginia, Texas, and parts of the Pacific Northwest now have interconnection queues. In these areas, data center projects make up a large part of the pending requests.
Water Use and Siting Concerns
Water demand is another point of conflict. Many large data centers rely on water-cooled systems. A typical water-cooled data center may use around 1.9 liters of water per kWh. More advanced or dry-cooled facilities may use as little as 0.2 liters per kWh, but these designs are not yet common.
One medium-sized data center can use about 110 million gallons of water per year. Large hyperscale sites can use several hundred million gallons annually, and, in some cases, even more. Global estimates suggest data centers could use over 1 trillion liters of water per year by 2030 if growth continues.

These demands have triggered local resistance. In parts of Arizona, California, and Georgia, community groups have raised concerns about water use during drought periods. In some cases, local governments paused or limited data center approvals. A single campus can use more water each year than some small towns.
Trump Plans Executive Order on AI Regulation
While groups push for limits on new data centers, the White House is also preparing an executive order that would reshape AI policy nationwide, as reported by CNN. President Donald Trump has said he plans to issue an order that would block states from creating their own AI rules.
The administration aims to create one national standard for AI. This way, companies won’t have to deal with different state regulations.
Drafts of the plan say the order may tell federal agencies to challenge state AI laws. This could happen through lawsuits or funding limits if the laws clash with federal policy. Supporters say a unified national rule could help U.S. companies compete globally and reduce compliance costs.
State leaders and consumer protection groups argue the opposite. They say states have a legal right to pass their own rules on privacy, safety, and data use. Some governors argue that an executive order cannot override state laws without action by Congress. Minnesota lawmakers, for example, continue to write their own AI bills focused on deepfakes and child-safety concerns.
The debate adds another layer to the data center issue. AI systems require massive computing power. If AI keeps growing quickly, analysts expect even heavier pressure on local grids and water systems. Advocacy groups say that this makes federal regulation more urgent.
Scale of AI and Hyperscale Build-out
The U.S. is in the middle of a major build-out of hyperscale and AI-optimized data centers. Industry trackers report that hundreds of new hyperscale facilities are planned or already under construction through 2030. Many of these campuses are designed specifically for AI training and inference workloads.
Major cloud and social media companies have sharply increased capital spending to support this build-out. Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Meta, and other major platforms, combined spending on AI chips, data centers, and network upgrades reached hundreds of billions of dollars per year in the mid-2020s. These spending levels signal how fast demand is growing.
Some experts track how major technology firms have changed over time. For example, one big cloud provider said its data center electricity use has more than doubled in the last ten years. This increase happened as its global reach grew. This gives a sense of how long-term trends feed current infrastructure pressures.
AI also adds new layers of demand. Training one large AI model can use millions of kilowatt-hours of electricity. Operating a popular chatbot can require many megawatt-hours per day, especially at peak traffic.
Research shows that processing one billion AI queries uses as much electricity as powering tens of thousands of U.S. homes for a day. This varies with the model’s size and efficiency.

Cities and States Move Faster Than Washington
Local governments have acted faster than federal agencies to respond to public concerns. More than 100 counties and cities have passed temporary moratoria, zoning limits, or new environmental rules since 2023. Examples include parts of Georgia, Oregon, Arizona, and Virginia, where communities plan to evaluate energy and water impacts before approving new projects.
Advocacy groups also argue that federal standards have not kept up. The U.S. does not have national energy-efficiency rules for private data centers. It also does not require detailed, mandatory reporting on energy, water, or emissions for the sector. The groups pushing for a moratorium say Congress must update these policies before more sites break ground.
What the Debate Means for 2026 and Beyond
Congress will review the environmental groups’ request in the coming months. Lawmakers are expected to weigh economic benefits against rising tensions around energy, water, and local resources. At the same time, the White House may release its AI executive order, which could shape how states and companies set their own rules.
With rapid AI growth, rising electricity use, and expanding data center construction, both debates are likely to continue through 2026. Many experts say long-term solutions will require national standards, better reporting, and closer coordination between states, utilities, and federal agencies.
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Carbon Footprint
ExxonMobil’s $20B Low-Carbon Bet in 2030 Plan: Big Emissions Cuts, Bigger Oil Production
ExxonMobil published its updated 2030 Corporate Plan, which keeps the company’s “dual challenge” approach. The oil giant says it will supply reliable energy while cutting emissions. The update raises lower-emission spending, while also forecasting higher oil and gas production to 2030.
Billions in Motion: ExxonMobil’s Financial and Production Targets
ExxonMobil plans about $20 billion of lower-emission capital between 2025 and 2030. It says the $20 billion targets carbon capture and storage (CCS), hydrogen, and lithium projects.
The company projects ~5.5 million oil-equivalent barrels per day (Moebd) of upstream production by 2030. Exxon also forecasts ~$25 billion of earnings growth and ~$35 billion of cash-flow growth by 2030 versus 2024 on a constant price-and-margin basis.
The oil major gives a range for cash capex. It shows $27–29 billion for 2026 and $28–32 billion annually for 2027–2030. The updated plan highlights about $100 billion in major investments planned for 2026–2030. It notes these projects could bring in around $50 billion in total earnings during that time.

Low-Carbon Plan: $20B for CCS, Hydrogen and Lithium
ExxonMobil describes the $20 billion as focused on three business lines:
- CCS networks and hubs for third parties.
- Hydrogen production and integrated fuels.
- Lithium supply for batteries.
The company says roughly 60% of the $20 billion will support lower-emissions services to third-party customers. It estimates new low-carbon businesses could deliver ~$13 billion of earnings potential by 2040 if markets and policies develop as expected.

Exxon’s updated Corporate 2030 Plan lists current and contracted CCS volumes. The company reports about 9 million tonnes per annum (MTA) of CO₂ capture capacity under contract for its U.S. Gulf Coast network. Key project entries include:
- Linde — Beaumont, TX: ~2.2 MTA CO₂, start-up 2026.
- CF Industries — Donaldsonville, LA: ~2.0 MTA, start-up 2026.
- NG3 (Gillis, LA): ~1.2 MTA, start-up 2026.
- Lake Charles Methanol II: ~1.3 MTA, start-up 2030.
- Nucor — Convent, LA: ~0.8 MTA, start-up 2026.
The plan also highlights a proposed 1.0 GW low-carbon power/data center project paired with ~3.5 MTA capture, with a planned final investment decision in 2026. Exxon calls its Gulf Coast network an “end-to-end CCS system” and says scale depends on permitting and supportive policy.

- SEE MORE: ExxonMobil’s (XOM Stock) Wild Ride: Gas Discovery, $14M Pollution Fine, and Carbon Storage Push
Counting Carbon: How Exxon Tracks Methane and Emissions Cuts
ExxonMobil says it is making measurable progress on emissions. The company reports faster-than-expected cuts in several intensity metrics. It states it has already met key 2030 intensity milestones and now expects to meet its methane-intensity target by 2026, four years early.
The company repeats its long-term net-zero framing for operated assets. Exxon’s plan targets Scope 1 and Scope 2 net-zero for its operated assets by 2050. It also sets a nearer target of net-zero Scope 1 and 2 for its operated Permian assets by 2035.
These commitments focus on emissions the company directly controls. They do not include a Scope 3 net-zero pledge for customer use of sold products. Exxon underscores that these goals depend on technology, markets, and supportive policy.
On operational achievements, Exxon highlights large cuts in routine flaring and improved equipment standards. The new plan states that the company reduced corporate flaring intensity by over 60% from 2016 to 2024.
- As shown in the chart below, ExxonMobil’s operated-basis greenhouse gas profile shows a clear decline in Scopes 1 and 2 between the 2016 baseline and 2024.
Also, by 2024, Scope 1 emissions dropped to 91 million metric tons CO₂e. Scope 2 emissions (location-based) reached 9 million metric tons CO₂e. Together, this totals 100 million metric tons CO₂e. This is about a 15% reduction from 2016 based on operations.

For the same period, Exxon’s Scope 1+2 emissions intensity dropped from 27.5 to 22.6 metric tons CO₂e per 100 metric tons produced. This shows they are decarbonizing operations, even as production has changed.
The company also hit other flaring and GHG intensity goals ahead of schedule. These outcomes came from replacing old equipment, tightening operations, and limiting routine venting and flaring.
Exxon lists four categories of near-term reduction actions it is scaling up:
- Methane control: wider deployment of leak-detection and infrared cameras, more frequent inspections, and accelerated repairs.
- Flaring reduction: operational changes and stricter shutdown protocols to cut routine flaring.
- Efficiency and asset management: project design improvements, digital optimization, and selective asset sales or retirements to lower average carbon intensity.
- CCS and low-carbon services: building capture hubs (about 9 MTA of contracted CO₂ capacity on the U.S. Gulf Coast) and contracting capture services for industrial customers.
The plan also names specific technology and program investments. Exxon highlights advanced sensor networks and real-time emissions monitoring. They also focus on expanding data systems to track and verify reductions. It expects these tools to improve measurement accuracy and speed up corrective action.
Limits and caveats appear repeatedly. Exxon links its long-term net-zero goal to several factors. These include market formation, policy incentives like tax credits and carbon pricing, and permitting timelines. The company warns that total emissions and some asset outcomes will change with production levels and energy demand.
In the near term, key metrics to watch include:
-
2026 methane-intensity and flaring disclosures.
-
Volumes of CO₂ captured and stored as Gulf Coast CCS projects launch.
-
The pace of FID and execution for the 1.0 GW / 3.5 MTA low-carbon power and capture project.
These will show whether Exxon’s claimed progress converts into sustained emissions declines.
Fueling the Future: Rising Oil & Gas Output Through 2030
Exxon projects higher hydrocarbon output even as it invests in low-carbon businesses. The plan targets ~5.5 Moebd by 2030. The company expects ~65% of production to come from advantaged assets such as the Permian Basin, Guyana, and select LNG.
Permian growth is a core part of the supply outlook. Exxon expects roughly 2.5 Moebd from the Permian by 2030, up materially from 2024 levels. Guyana’s Stabroek Block is another major growth driver.
Exxon plans multiple new offshore start-ups in Guyana before 2030. The company argues that these barrels deliver lower operational carbon intensity compared with many older fields.
Critics say rising production risks locking in fossil reliance. Environmental groups, including the Sierra Club, called the plan inconsistent with a 1.5°C pathway. Exxon responds that the world will need oil and gas for decades and that its strategy balances supply security with emissions reduction. Reuters reported split investor and market reactions when the plan surfaced.
- MUST READ: Oil Giants Under Fire: ExxonMobil Fights Climate Laws as TotalEnergies Found Guilty of Greenwashing
Investor Radar: Metrics to Track Exxon’s Low-Carbon Rollout
ExxonMobil links the pace of low-carbon roll-out to policy, permitting, and market formation. Key near-term items to watch include:
- Final investment decision and execution of the 1.0 GW / 3.5 MTA project in 2026.
- Gulf Coast CCS volumes will actually be placed into service in 2026–2030.
- Methane-intensity disclosures in 2026 to confirm earlier achievement claims.
Market analysts noted Exxon’s plan targets improved earnings and cash flow through 2030 while retaining tight capital discipline. Some news channels highlighted that the company raised its earnings and cash-flow outlook to 2030 without raising total capital allocation.
The post ExxonMobil’s $20B Low-Carbon Bet in 2030 Plan: Big Emissions Cuts, Bigger Oil Production appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
CSRD for SME Suppliers: How to turn data requests into a competitive advantage
Across Europe, a quiet but decisive shift is reshaping how companies work with their suppliers. As the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) comes into force, large organisations are under mounting pressure to disclose detailed, verifiable sustainability information—not only about their own operations, but across their entire value chain. And because up to 80% of a company’s emissions often come from its supply chain, the spotlight naturally turns to SMEs.
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