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Flora Vano is country manager at ActionAid Vanuatu.

We are living at a time when women and girls are experiencing significant rollbacks of their rights across the board, in health, climate action, education, politics; you name it, it’s happening all around us.

As the world’s attention is fixed on the geopolitical issues dominating news headlines, important decisions affecting women’s futures are being made and women are not in the room. Women’s hard-won freedoms through the years are being stripped away either in broad daylight or in the darkness of the night.

But there is hope. A generation of women is organising in resistance. A generation aware that strength lies in numbers and that collective power can bring real, concrete change. This International Women’s Day marks a moment to reflect on the power of collective determination.

When women thrive, so do communities.

In my country, Vanuatu, we face constant climate crises that continue to wreak havoc across the board, affecting livelihoods and women’s participation in critical sectors of society.

Off-grid solar lights up Lawital

Most stories that come out of Vanuatu tend to focus on the adverse impacts of the climate crisis and other socio-economic challenges. It is well documented how tropical cyclones, droughts and earthquakes, among other climate change-induced disasters, have affected our people.

However, amid these crises, a powerful narrative of resilience is being written, led by women.

Over the past year, ActionAid – in partnership with the Australian government, PowerWells and the Women I Tok Tok Tugeta (WITTT) Network – has implemented a women-led, off-grid solar project in Vanuatu’s Lawital village on Tanna Island. The project has transformed the community which previously had no electricity. It has ignited hope.

Women test a solar installation in Lawital, Vanuatu. (Photo: ActionAid)

Women test a solar installation in Lawital, Vanuatu. (Photo: ActionAid)

Every single one of the 115 homes in Lawital is now connected to off-grid solar power, thanks to the women-led project designed to improve safety, livelihoods, education and wellbeing in the community of 800 people.

For those who could not afford kerosene lamps, their children were unable to study or do their homework at night. Once the sunlight vanished, the books were closed and their day was over. It was a similar story for women’s market stalls which had to close at the setting of the sun.

The narrative has changed.

Breaking traditional barriers

The impact of the solar project has been nothing short of transformative, positioning women as the primary leaders of transformation in their communities. By mastering the technical skills needed to install solar systems, the women have fundamentally altered the trajectory of their daily lives.

The introduction of reliable solar-powered light has revolutionised education for the children in this community. Children who once had to rush toward the road to catch the fading daylight for their schoolwork can now study safely and comfortably at home after sunset.

Moreover, the solar project has fostered a more stable social environment. Women are earning additional income and operating their businesses and markets into the night. The streets are safer now too, thanks to better lighting.

    In a region like ours, where cyclones are a constant threat and often result in property damage, these women have also been trained to protect their investments.

    In the past, a storm meant the destruction of infrastructure across our communities. To safeguard the gains of this project, the women were trained in rapid-response protocols to safely uninstall the solar systems before a storm hits and reinstall them when the skies clear.

    The sight of local women climbing ladders, securing mounting brackets, and wiring panels has done more than provide electricity, it has shifted the social fabric of the community.

    A woman from Lawital in Vanuatu installs a solar panel on a roof, watched by colleagues. (Photo: ActionAid)

    A woman from Lawital in Vanuatu installs a solar panel on a roof, watched by colleagues. (Photo: ActionAid)

    Women-led change needs sustainable funding

    The resilience and tenacity of the women in Lawital are commendable and serve as a clear reminder that with the right tools and support, women-led initiatives are the key to tackling challenges where the women themselves are the most affected.

    As we commemorate International Women’s Day and Women’s Month, governments and stakeholders must ensure that movements led by women get sustainable funding to mobilise effectively and create lasting change.

    The women trained under this project are now an inspiration in their communities and are leading a revolution. This is proof that, with adequate resources and opportunities for women-led interventions, the foundations can be set to achieve the United Nations’ theme of “Rights. Justice. Action. For ALL Women and Girls“.

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    Every country needs a model to help optimise its energy transition

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    Claver Gatete is Executive Secretary of the UN Economic Commission for Africa. Jason Veysey is Energy Modeling Program Director and Senior Scientist at the Stockholm Environment Institute. Lisa Sachs is Director of the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment at Columbia University.

    The case for global energy transition has rarely been clearer. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz earlier this year exposed the cost of unplanned, fossil-dependent systems, while the falling cost of renewables, the rising penetration of electric vehicles, and the growing value of demand flexibility have made the direction of travel obvious. The benefits of a clean, secure, integrated system are no longer in dispute. What remains unclear is how to build it.

    Countries around the world have called for faster renewable energy deployment and alternative energy arrangements. A secure, affordable, resilient, decarbonised system requires specific investments in specific places in a specific sequence, optimised across sectors and borders. But very few governments have the analytical foundation to translate those imperatives into investment.

    The two instruments that are supposed to determine investment priorities for decarbonisation – Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and country platforms – cannot answer the most basic question facing any country undertaking an energy transition: what should the energy system look like?

      To close this gap, every country needs a bankable, economy-wide optimisation model for its energy system. A model is not a plan, but it can help answer the critical question of what the future energy system should look like. It shows how optimal scenarios vary as assumptions and policies are adjusted, calculates investment requirements and sequencing, and quantifies how system costs are affected by assumptions, policies, and exogenous variables like trade policy and financing terms.

      Tool for efficient investment

      Optimisation is a simplified way of simulating an energy system, but it can be an extremely powerful tool for moving energy planning from reactive (how do we manage the disparate actions in the energy system?) to intentional (what energy system underpins our national objectives?). A model can show how optimal scenarios vary as assumptions and policies are adjusted, and how investment requirements are quantified and sequenced.

      Optimisation models can treat the energy system and the sectors it serves as an integrated whole, optimising across sectors and projects in ways that can be mutually reinforcing. If considered independently, growth in industrial demand, transport electrification, and digital infrastructure can add stress to the energy system. But an optimised plan can arrange these and other changes in an efficient, synergistic way.

      Two to tango: How governments can unlock private investment for national climate goals

      New load can be added where low-cost power is available; industrial customers can ensure the viability of investments in energy supply; electric vehicle charging policy can smooth load curves and reduce costs for all consumers.

      Additionally, optimisation modeling can also change the financeability of investments. Taken alone, each project faces uncertainty about the rest of the system, which raises the cost of capital and causes projects to stall or unwind after contracts are signed. A coherent, optimised plan makes visible the coordination that private capital would otherwise have to bet on: identified offtake, sequenced and committed transmission, contracted power supply, and so on.

      What COP31 and COP32 should do

      The upcoming COPs in Turkey and Ethiopia can shift the center of gravity of international climate cooperation from fragmented commitments to planning. Three moves are urgently needed.

      First, optimised, economy-wide, long-term energy system planning must be the foundation on which any meaningful NDC, country platform, or finance commitment rests. NDCs are typically drafted by environment or single-line ministries, with limited cross-sectoral input from ministries of energy, finance, and planning. They contain targets, derived from sectoral strategies or national commitments, not from an analytically grounded picture of what the energy system should look like and what investments would make it work. Country platforms are generally a portfolio of investments assembled from existing project pipelines, rather than derived from a system-level analysis of what an optimised, decarbonised energy system would require.

      Second, recognise regions as a key planning unit. Modern integrated energy systems are inherently regional. Renewable endowments are unevenly distributed; balancing variable supply across borders lowers aggregate cost, reduces redundant backup capacity, and unlocks economies of scale no individual nation can achieve. Many energy investments in Southeast Asia, East Africa, Southern Africa and Central Asia may only be financeable in a regional context. Assessing domestic infrastructure without regional optimisation perpetuates the perception that decarbonisation is more expensive than it is.

      COP31 leaders unveil global targets, with spotlight on electrification

      Third, finance the planning capacity. A coordinated commitment by multilateral development banks, bilateral donors, and philanthropic partners to help every region and its constituent countries develop and maintain their own modelling capability, with open-source tools and regional analytical hubs, would close the most consequential gap in the current architecture. The cost is small relative to current spending on country platforms, failed project preparation, and misallocated infrastructure investment.

      This includes supporting regional institutions such as the ASEAN Centre for Energy, the African Energy Commission, regional power pools, and the Latin American and Caribbean Energy Organization to determine what optimised regional systems require. Country-by-country pledging, repeated at every COP, will not deliver what meaningfully integrated systems can.

      The 2026 energy crisis made the cost of unplanned, fossil-dependent systems newly visible. That window of clarity will close. The international community should seize the moment to build the planning foundation that has been missing for thirty years, rather than commissioning another round of NDCs or pledges, striving for outcomes neither was designed to deliver.

      The post Every country needs a model to help optimise its energy transition appeared first on Climate Home News.

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      Explainer: How the ‘super El Niño’ will reshape the world’s weather

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      The world is currently experiencing what is expected to become the strongest El Niño on record – dubbed a “super El Niño” by many.

      El Niño is the warm phase of a recurring climate pattern in the tropical Pacific that releases heat from the ocean into the atmosphere.

      This temporarily raises global temperatures and reshapes rainfall and extreme weather around the world – impacting the lives of billions of people.

      The current El Niño event began in June and is expected to last into 2027.

      El Niño is part of a wider climate pattern called the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle.

      The ENSO cycle also has a cool phase, known as La Niña, as well as a “neutral” phase. El Niño and La Niña events typically last between nine and 12 months, but can go on longer.

      Below, Carbon Brief explains how the ENSO cycle works, its impacts on extreme weather and global temperatures and why this El Niño event is projected to be the most intense since records began.

      The post Explainer: How the ‘super El Niño’ will reshape the world’s weather appeared first on Carbon Brief.

      https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/el-nino-explainer/index.html

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      Analysis: The two largest reservoirs in the US have hit record-low levels

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      The second-largest reservoir in the US reached a record-low water height on Saturday – just days after the country’s largest reservoir broke its own record. 

      Both Lake Mead and Lake Powell are located on the Colorado River.

      They provide water for populations across seven US states in the south-western US, with around 40 million people getting some or all of their municipal water from the Colorado River.

      The river also provides water for around 5.5m acres (22,258 square kilometres) of farmland across Colorado, Arizona, California and the other states in the river basin.

      Experts tell Carbon Brief that climate change, population growth and over-consumption are all contributing to the current record-low levels of the reservoirs.

      Record lows

      At full capacity, Lakes Mead and Powell can hold a combined 68 cubic kilometres of water – enough to supply all household consumption in the contiguous US for nearly 1.5 years. However, the water level in both reservoirs has been declining for decades.

      The chart below shows the water level of Lake Mead, in metres above mean sea level. The reservoir, which began to fill in 1935 following the construction of the Hoover Dam, has a “full pool” maximum capacity of 347.60 metres. The water level in Lake Mead reached a record low of 317.11 metres on 7 August.

      Lake Mead, the larges reservoir in the US, reached record-low water levels in early August.

      The following chart shows the water level of Lake Powell, in metres above mean sea level. Lake Powell’s full-pool level is 1,127.76 metres.

      While the reservoir reached its maximum capacity several times in the 1980s, it has not done so since. On 15 August, the water level in Lake Powell was recorded at a new record-low of 1,072.87 metres.

      Lake Powell, the second-largest reservoir in the US, reached record-low water levels in mid-August

      Both reservoirs have continued to decline in the days since breaking their respective records. The downward trend will largely continue in both lakes until next spring, when the snowpack in the mountains of the Upper Colorado River Basin begins to melt, says Dr Jack Schmidt, a senior research scientist at Utah State University’s Center for Colorado River Studies. He tells Carbon Brief:

      “The big dilemma of the moment is that we’re only in the middle of August, and we have no assurance of what the coming winter will be. The only thing we can be sure of is that we will be depleting overall total basin reservoir storage from now until, roughly, early April.”

      Compounding factors

      The record lows across the two reservoirs are the result of several compounding factors, experts tell Carbon Brief.

      Since the turn of the 20th century, the amount of water flowing along the Upper Colorado River has declined by about 20%. Research suggests that half of this decline can be attributed to human-induced climate change.

      Most of the river’s streamflow comes from the snowpack of the Upper Colorado River Basin, which stretches across five western US states but is primarily located in Colorado and Utah.

      This region has been gripped by a historic “megadrought” for more than a quarter of a century. Nearly half of the megadrought’s intensity over 2000-18 is attributable to climate change, according to a 2020 study.

      At the same time, the increasing population in the US south-west has put added pressure on the Colorado River’s water supply. The number of people obtaining some or all of their water from the Colorado system has grown by 15 million (around 60%) since 1992.

      Schmidt tells Carbon Brief:

      “There’s an ultimate cause of the present water crisis, and there’s a proximate cause. The ultimate cause is a warming climate, a warming planet and a pretty clear correlation between warming conditions and decreased runoff in the Colorado River Basin.

      “The proximate cause is that in this messy democratic republic of ours, big policy decisions that match the variability of the climate occur painfully slowly – with intense political negotiations – and only incrementally.”

      On 31 July, the US Bureau of Reclamation, which manages water resources in the western US, released an environmental impact statement on its proposed post-2026 strategy for managing Lakes Powell and Mead. The strategy itself has not been released yet.

      Schmidt notes that the statement does appear to give the Bureau flexibility to “respond to crisis” by reducing the delivery of water to several states. However, he adds:

      “They acknowledge it won’t work if we just stay critically dry, and of course every climate model for the 21st century, especially with a continually warming planet, says that that’s exactly what’s going to happen.”

      The post Analysis: The two largest reservoirs in the US have hit record-low levels appeared first on Carbon Brief.

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