The rapid global rollout of artificial intelligence (AI) data centers is set to add new pressure to the already strained copper market. A recent BloombergNEF (BNEF) report warns that:
- Copper supply gap could swell to 6 million tonnes by 2035 if demand keeps rising at this pace.
- Copper demand from AI-powered facilities will average about 400,000 tonnes a year over the next decade, peaking at 572,000 tonnes in 2028.
- By 2035, the cumulative copper locked into data centers could surpass 4.3 million tonnes.
Furthermore, this rise comes as other copper-hungry industries, like power transmission and wind energy, are also using more of the metal. BNEF expects their copper demand to almost double by 2035. Together, they are putting heavy pressure on a market already held back by years of low investment in new mines.
Why AI Data Centers Are So Copper-Intensive?
Copper may account for up to 6% of a data center’s capital costs, but its role is essential. The metal’s unmatched electrical conductivity ensures efficient power transmission, while its high thermal conductivity supports heat exchangers vital for cooling AI-intensive servers. That’s why cables, busbars, power distribution strips, connectors, transformers, and cooling systems all rely heavily on copper.
Its ductility and malleability also allow it to be shaped into compact connectors and other components critical to space-optimized server rooms. From high-capacity cabling to switchgear and transformers, copper is woven into every layer of a data center’s infrastructure.

Mining giant BHP predicts:
- Copper demand will rise 72% by 2050 — driven largely by AI infrastructure and the clean energy transition.
- By 2050, it could hit 3 million tonnes per year. That would lift the sector’s share of total global copper consumption from about 1% today to as much as 7% by mid-century.
Case studies illustrate the scale: Microsoft’s $500 million Chicago data center, completed in 2009, used about 2,177 tonnes of copper — roughly 27 tonnes per megawatt of power capacity. With AI-ready racks increasing power needs, the copper footprint per site is growing.

Growth Projections Paint a Steep Climb
Similarly, a Macquarie analysis estimates that by 2030, data centers could consume between 330,000 and 420,000 tonnes of copper annually, with a midpoint of 375,000 tonnes. This projection factors in recent mega-project announcements from Microsoft, Meta, and the $500 billion Stargate Project to build OpenAI infrastructure in the U.S.
It also accounts for a forecast jump in required data center power capacity from 77 gigawatts in 2023 to 334 GW in 2030.
- Goldman Sachs says AI will drive a 165% increase in data center power demand by 2030.
- This means this massive leap will require extensive copper use for both on-site systems and the wider electrical grid.

The Grid Connection Factor
Moving on comes the grid connection factor. As Colin Hamilton of BMO Capital Markets notes, the copper demand story isn’t just about what’s inside the data center. He says, “Data centers themselves are becoming incrementally less copper-intensive, but getting the electricity to them, that is copper-intensive.”
That means transmission lines, substations, and grid upgrades, all of which use large volumes of copper. In the era of AI, hyperscale campuses will need multiple redundant grid connections to ensure an uninterrupted power supply, further boosting copper demand.
Additionally, the scale of investment is staggering. North American data center infrastructure spending is expected to rise from $33 billion in 2020 to $70 billion by 2030 and $185 billion by 2040. Each new AI-ready site locks in thousands of tonnes of copper for decades.
What’s Driving the Copper Market Now?
On August 1, the U.S. imposed a 50% tariff on copper imports to boost domestic production. This policy could benefit major U.S.-based miners like Freeport-McMoRan and Rio Tinto, but some industry players warn it could cause short-term disruptions. The news hit just as Goldman Sachs lowered its 2025 copper price forecast on weaker Chinese demand.
However, following the BNEF report on future shortages, copper stocks like Freeport-McMoRan and the Global X Copper Miners ETF fell as investors weighed the combined effect of tariffs and market forecasts.
Analysts still expect a long-term crunch, projecting a 6 million-tonne shortfall by 2035 as AI data centers and clean energy projects drive demand higher.
Copper Price Volatility and Shocks
Copper prices plunged more than 20% after the tariff announcement, partly due to speculative trading, arbitrage, and stockpiling. In short, the “tariff trade” quickly unraveled in the U.S. market.
BNEF believes this is temporary, forecasting a price peak of $13,500 per tonne in 2028 as demand outpaces supply. By 2035, global output could reach just 29 million tonnes, well below the 35 million tonnes needed.
J.P. Morgan takes a cautious view, predicting prices could dip toward $9,100 per tonne in Q3 before recovering slightly to around $9,350 in Q4.

AI Turns Copper into a Bottleneck
AI-ready data centers are changing the copper demand story. Unlike electric vehicles, which add demand gradually, these facilities need massive amounts of copper all at once — from utility-scale wiring and high-voltage tie-ins to dense cabling inside the building.
With mine development taking more than a decade, the AI-driven copper crunch could arrive sooner than expected. For miners, utilities, and tech giants, this collision of digital expansion and material scarcity is set to be one of the biggest industrial challenges of the next 20 years.
The post Data Centers’ Copper Hunger: How AI is Driving a Looming Supply Crunch? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
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