Governments are far off track to meet a global target to end deforestation by 2030, according to a progress assessment. Experts say the report is a wake-up call ahead of COP30 next month, which will be the first UN climate summit held in the Amazon rainforest.
At COP26 in 2021, more than 140 countries adopted a pledge, known as the Forest Declaration, to halt and reverse forest loss and land degradation by the end of the decade. Two years later at COP28, all the world’s governments reaffirmed this commitment as part of the first global stocktake of national climate plans.
But on Tuesday, an annual review by NGOs and research institutions showed that, instead of advancing towards the goal, countries will have to close a widening gap in the next five years – as deforestation is 63% higher than where it needs to be to reach zero by 2030.

In 2024 alone, the world permanently lost an area of forests roughly the size of England – about 8.1 million hectares. To be on track to stop forest loss by 2030, no more than 5 million hectares should have been deforested globally in 2024, the report says.
“In order to reach zero deforestation by 2030, we would have to cut (forest loss) by 10% each year,” Erin Matson, lead author of the report and a senior consultant at Climate Focus, told journalists. “So far, we are failing to keep pace with that trajectory.”
The report shows that permanent deforestation occurred mostly in the tropics, where old-growth primary forests are being cleared at alarming rates. About 6.7 million hectares were lost in 2024, which released about 3.1 billion metric tonnes of carbon into the atmosphere.
Because of the long timescales over which such high-value forest ecosystems develop, Matson warned that “these carbon and biodiversity-rich forests will not recover in our lifetimes”.
What is driving forest loss?
According to the Forest Declaration Assessment, the main driver for forest loss in the tropics across all regions is the expansion of agriculture, which results in primary forests being converted to permanent pastures or plantations.
A separate 2024 analysis by the World Resources Institute showed cattle has been the main commodity replacing rainforests in key biodiverse regions – including Brazil, which will host COP30 in November.
“Demand for commodities like soy, beef, timber, coal and metals keeps rising – but the tragedy is that we don’t actually need to destroy forests to meet that demand. There are more sustainable production models, but the incentives are completely backwards,” Matson said.
A 2024 report by NGO Global Canopy revealed that a quarter of the top companies and financial institutions exposed to deforestation in their supply chains did not have a policy to prevent forest loss from their activities.
Additionally, in Latin America, wildfires were responsible for a staggering 133% jump in forest loss from the previous year. Fuelled by severe drought, fires in 2024 consumed an area the size of California in the Brazilian Amazon alone – a 66% increase from 2023, according to MapBiomas.
“Major fire years used to be outliers but now they’re the norm. These fires are largely human-made. They’re linked to land clearing, to climate change-induced drought and to limited law enforcement,” Matson added.
Experts told Climate Home in August that the spike in wildfires could threaten forest conservation initiatives in Brazil, including carbon-offsetting projects and state-level forest protection projects in Pará, one of the Brazilian Amazon states with the highest deforestation rates where the COP will take place.
Amazon COP ‘crucial’ for action
As delegates from all countries prepare to gather in the city of Belém for the first UN climate summit held in the Amazon rainforest, experts told Climate Home that clear political signals to reverse the deforestation trend are desperately needed at the midpoint of the Forest Declaration decade.
“This COP30 is extremely crucial for us to move these pledges to actions,” said Sassan Saatchi, founder of the non-profit CTrees and a former NASA scientist.
“The nice thing about COP30 being in Belém is that there is a recognition that the Global South has really come forward to say: ‘We are going to solve the climate problem, even though we may not have been historically the cause of this climate change’,” Saatchi added.
Brazil pledges $1bn in first contribution to COP30 rainforest fund
Brazil has vowed to place rainforests at the centre of the upcoming climate conference, and has proposed a flagship new initiative called the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) – a new fund to finance forest protection in tropical countries by leveraging the financial markets.
Many countries have backed Brazil’s push to raise more funding for forest protection, as the TFFF has been endorsed by the BRICS group of large emerging economies and a coalition of 34 nations behind a new forest finance framework including potential TFFF donors like Norway, Japan, the UK and Canada.
Still, Matson urged countries to work on improving and fully implementing their forest policies, rather than taking on new commitments at COP30. “COP is just where things get showcased, but it’s not where the work actually happens, beyond the negotiating room,” she said.
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https://www.climatechangenews.com/2025/10/14/world-failing-on-goal-to-halt-deforestation-by-2030-raising-stakes-for-amazon-cop/
Climate Change
Breach of Contract or Constitutional Crisis?
An appellate court will determine how to handle the Trump administration’s cancellation of hundreds of climate and environmental justice grants.
The U.S. Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals in Richmond, Virginia, heard arguments Thursday on whether the Trump administration’s cancellation of billions of dollars in environmental and climate grants earlier this year violated the Constitution or was merely a contract dispute.
Climate Change
Political backing more important than money for new forest fund at COP30, Brazil says
The Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) – a new global fund for rainforest protection led by Brazil – can be launched successfully at COP30 with strong political backing from other countries even without reaching its $25-billion target for capital from donor governments, Brazil’s lead finance expert said.
The hope is that other countries will come forward with pledges at the UN climate summit but no minimum set amount is required for the fund to get off the ground, he emphasised.
The TFFF is being structured as a blended finance instrument that could raise $4 billion per year to help keep tropical forests standing by investing in financial markets. The fund’s concept note estimates that, as startup capital, it would need $25 billion from governments and $100 billion from private investors.
João Paulo de Resende, climate and economics advisor at Brazil’s Finance Ministry and its lead TFFF expert, told a webinar hosted by Climate Home News on Thursday that Brazil is seeking clear political support from both donor and rainforest countries for the TFFF at COP30. It is due to be launched at a leaders’ summit in the Amazon city of Belém on November 6.
“What we need to reach by COP is a certain level of commitment that shows that there is enough interest in the international community to make this happen, because we can carry on in the following months,” de Resende said.
He added that talks are at a mature stage with five potential donor countries – Germany, Norway, UK, France and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Discussions with other potential donors – such as Australia, Japan, Canada and China – have only kicked off recently, he noted.
“We don’t expect to get pledges from these countries that we’ve just started talking to. We can perfectly get those at the COP. And the Brazilian presidency [of COP30] runs through the next year. What we do need to get at the COP is a political message that this is the way forward,” he said.
Brazil is so far the only country to have pledged money to the TFFF, with an initial $1 billion investment announced at the UN General Assembly in New York in September. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has personally promoted the fund at meetings with other world leaders and has been “talking about a commitment” with Indonesia during a state visit to Jakarta this week, de Resende said.
Tørris Jaeger, executive director of the Rainforest Foundation Norway which is promoting the fund, said that in his conversations with Germany’s ministry of finance, “they are asking very tough questions about how the fund is configured.” De Resende joked that “it seems Ethiopia may be more willing to commit to this than the UK and France”, suggesting Brazil is getting impatient with some governments’ reservations.
The TFFF achieved a key milestone ahead of COP30 this week, as the World Bank confirmed it will take on most of the fund’s administrative workload, serving as interim secretariat host and trustee.
Brazilian Finance Minister Fernando Haddad said this transforms the TFFF “from an idea into a fully operational reality”, although de Resende said on Thursday that many of the details will be worked out next year between countries that sign up to the TFFF.
Managing risk in TFFF investments
Despite their vital role in absorbing and storing climate-heating carbon, forests face a $216-billion funding gap for their protection every year, according to a 2025 report from the UN Environment Programme. Existing financing mechanisms like the Global Environment Facility or the Green Climate Fund rely on government development budgets, which de Resende said are unstable.
The TFFF’s approach is to invest initial capital raised from governments and private sources such as sovereign wealth funds and pension funds. The returns would be used to pay developing countries that can demonstrate they are keeping their forests standing and reducing deforestation to an agreed level.
“There is some risk. In very exceptional years like the (COVID-19) pandemic or the 2008 financial crisis you may need to suspend payments,” said the Brazilian government expert. “But it should be a lot more regular than what you see today with government aid.”
Explainer: Can a new climate fund help save the world’s rainforests?
The fund’s main strategy is to invest in emerging market bonds, which are riskier but can generate high enough returns to pay forest countries. The TFFF also has an exclusion policy for investments in polluting industries like oil and gas, which de Resende also said would force investors to take on more risk.
Jaeger highlighted the fund’s role in creating incentives for protecting old-growth forests. At a global level, primary forests have been cleared at concerning rates, with 6.7 million hectares lost in 2024 alone.
“As with any investment there is a risk. But let’s not forget that there’s also a risk on the other end in that we’re not stopping deforestation and these intact forests get lost,” Jaeger told the event.
Indigenous communities call for support
Once TFFF payments are up and running, local communities will need support in building the skills and legal structures needed to access the funds, said Juan Carlos Jintiach, an Ecuadorian Indigenous leader and executive secretary of the Global Alliance of Territorial Communities.
“We have to have an equal level of information. This inter-cultural dialogue is sometimes very challenging for some countries, because all the time they come from the top to the ground. This is not acceptable anymore,” Jintiach said during Climate Home’s panel.
The fund’s proposal foresees that 20% of payments to forest countries will be reserved for Indigenous peoples who are often the ones looking after forests on the ground. Some experts have said this devolved funding could be hard to implement in practice due to a lack of legal and administrative capacity.
World failing on goal to halt deforestation by 2030, raising stakes for Amazon COP
“We need to change the narratives,” the Indigenous leader said. “It’s not good to only look at me as a simple beneficiary. You will look at me as a real partner who can do this together with you, because I’m going to be on the ground giving my life protecting you.”
Pakhi Das, public policy advisor with NGO Plant-for-the-Planet, said the TFFF is an “evolving concept”, adding that concerns from observers have been taken into account in shaping its latest version.
Her organisation has developed a platform called TFFF Watch that will track investments and provide estimates of potential payments to countries with tropical forests.
“There is a very positive notion that [the TFFF] will evolve into something that is tailored-made for the greater good,” Das told Climate Home’s event.
The post Political backing more important than money for new forest fund at COP30, Brazil says appeared first on Climate Home News.
Political backing more important than money for new forest fund at COP30, Brazil says
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CHESTER, Va.—A crowd packed a meeting room at the SpringHill Suites here in September for a public hearing on an air permit for a controversial “peaker” plant that Dominion Energy has long been lobbying to build to enhance grid reliability.
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