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VCM Makeover in 2024: Carbon Credit Trading Drops 25%, Removals Soar 381%

The voluntary carbon market (VCM) is a crucial tool in the global fight against climate change. It allows companies, governments, and individuals to purchase carbon credits that represent a reduction or removal of greenhouse gases, offsetting their own emissions. Over the past decade, the VCM has grown rapidly, but it is now entering a new, more complex phase.

Forest Trends’ Ecosystem Marketplace State of the Voluntary Carbon Market (SOVCM) 2025 report shows that the market is shifting. It’s moving from cheap credits and volume to higher standards of environmental integrity.

Buyers are demanding credits that offer clear, verifiable climate benefits. This change comes from increased attention from regulators, investors, and civil groups. They want to make sure carbon offsets truly reflect climate progress. 

New technologies and methods are also emerging. They improve how entities measure and verify emissions reductions and removals. These shifts are becoming more visible in market data, particularly in how transaction volumes and buyer behavior are evolving.

Falling Transaction Volumes, But Demand Remains Resilient

One of the most striking findings in the SOVCM 2025 report is the sharp drop in the total volume of carbon credits traded on the VCM. In 2024, the transaction volume fell by 25% compared to the previous year, bringing it to the lowest level seen since 2018.

carbon credit trading volume 2024
Source: Data from Ecosystem Marketplace SOVCM 2025 Report

The decline has sparked questions about demand for voluntary offsets. This is important, especially as companies face pressure to meet net-zero targets and cut their carbon footprints. However, a closer look reveals that demand is holding steady — just in a more cautious and deliberate way.

The market is seeing fewer credits traded. However, the number of credits retired for emissions offset has stayed steady. It’s about 182 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e) each year since 2021.

VCM Issuances and Retirements Cumulative
Source: EM SOVCM Report

Retirement means the credits are used and are permanently removed from the market. This way, they can’t be resold. It shows that buyers are still dedicated to making real climate impacts.

The drop in trading volumes and steady retirements show that companies are being more careful and strategic in buying carbon credits. They seem to focus more on quality than quantity. They look for projects that fit their sustainability goals and meet stricter standards.

Ricardo Bayon, Partner and Co-founder of Encourage Capital, emphasized this VCM finding, noting:

“The underlying fundamental indicator of demand, the retirements, continue to grow and they have been growing on a pretty constant trend since the market was created. Those companies and individuals who are buying carbon and retiring them are still doing so undeterred; chastened but not deterred. And so the market continues to grow (maybe not as rapidly as its most fervent acolytes would like), and I believe it will once again boom when issues of trust and integrity are dealt with. And they are being dealt with. Buckle up. What goes down, can also go up.”

Carbon credit prices also reflect this cautious optimism. In 2024, the average price for carbon credits dropped slightly by 5.5% to just over $6 per ton of CO2e.

VCM Issuances, Transactions, Retirements, and Average Price
Source: EM SOVCM Report

Even though this dip is small, prices are still more than double what they were five years ago. This shows that demand for higher-quality projects is growing. The small price drop may be connected to a wider slowdown in credit supply. It could also relate to market uncertainty from changing regulations.

This steady demand shows a growing market. Buyers now want more than just compliance or publicity. They seek real, lasting environmental benefits. It also underscores the importance of continued market reforms to ensure trust and credibility.

Quality Over Quantity: The Market’s Shift Toward Integrity

As the voluntary carbon market matures, quality has become a central theme. The time of cheap, poorly verified credits is ending. Now, there’s a stronger focus on the environmental quality of carbon offsets. 

The report shows that the total value of traded carbon credits in the voluntary market dropped by 29% in 2024. It hit $535 million, down from earlier years. Despite this decline, the market value remains 1.9 times higher than in 2018, due to relatively stable prices.

carbon credit market value 2024
Source: Data from Ecosystem Marketplace SOVCM 2025 Report

The fall in value reflects a 25% drop in transaction volume, but not a collapse in demand. Buyers are now more selective. They focus on higher-quality credits, so prices have not dropped sharply. This trend suggests that while liquidity is lower, the underlying market interest in carbon credits—especially those with strong environmental integrity—remains firm.

This focus has led to a rise in the value of “removal” credits—those generated by projects that physically extract carbon from the atmosphere and store it long-term. Examples include reforestation, afforestation, mangrove restoration, and emerging technologies like direct air capture. 

In 2024, removal credits sold for an average price 381% higher than regular emission reduction credits. This shows that buyers are ready to pay more for projects that actively take carbon from the air.

The move to removal credits comes from the understanding that just cutting emissions isn’t enough to reach the Paris Agreement goals. Many climate experts say we need negative emissions to keep global warming below 1.5°C. This means removing carbon from the air. In response, voluntary buyers are backing projects that help with long-term carbon storage and improve ecosystem health.

New Rules, New Trust: Standards Take Center Stage

The Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market (ICVCM) has launched Core Carbon Principles (CCPs). These principles aim to spot high-quality credits. These standards are still being put into action. So far, only a few projects have been approved under the CCPs in 2024. However, they are already impacting market demand.

For instance, credits from CCP-approved landfill gas projects tripled in transaction volumes. Prices also rose by 35% in the year’s second half. This shows that market participants are starting to reward credits that meet stricter quality criteria.

Project Types: Winners and Losers

Not all carbon credit projects are seeing the same trends. Forestry and land use credits are growing fast. Improved Forest Management (IFM) credits are a big part of this. In fact, IFM credit trading volumes have risen over 3x. Buyers are focusing on sustainable forest practices.

In contrast, credits from Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+) projects have dropped. This decline is partly due to worries about their additionality and permanence.

Renewable energy projects, once a staple of the voluntary carbon market, continue to lose ground. Trading volumes for these credits dropped nearly 25% in 2024.

VCM Transaction Volumes, Values, and Prices by Forestry and Land Use Project Types
Source: EM SOVCM Report

Biogas and landfill gas projects are gaining popularity in this category. They command higher prices because they provide clear and verifiable emission reductions. Plus, they often bring local environmental benefits.

Agriculture, afforestation, and blue carbon projects create removal credits. Their prices rose by about 20%, showing more buyer interest.

Preference for Recent Vintage Credits

Buyers are showing a strong preference for carbon credits from recent years. Credits with vintages from the last five years sold at a 217% premium compared to older credits, up from a 53% premium in 2023. This indicates that buyers want assurance that offsets are current and reflect recent climate action.

Looking Ahead: Navigating a Market in Transition

The voluntary carbon market is clearly in a period of change—moving from a legacy system toward a more robust, transparent, and high-integrity marketplace. Transaction volumes are down, but steady credit retirements and stable prices show that demand for carbon offsets is strong.

Standards like the ICVCM’s Core Carbon Principles are gaining traction, and buyers now focus more on removals and recent vintages. This shift is setting up the market for long-term growth rooted in quality, not just quantity. This transition may be bumpy, but it is essential for the voluntary carbon market to play a credible role in global climate action.

The post VCM Makeover in 2024: Carbon Credit Trading Drops 25%, Removals Soar 381% appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Finding Nature Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain

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“…Protecting nature makes our business more resilient…”

For companies with land, water, food, fiber, or commodity exposure, the supply chain may be the most practical place to turn nature from a risk into an operating asset.

Your supply chain already has a nature strategy. It may be undocumented. It may live in procurement files, supplier contracts, commodity maps, and one spreadsheet nobody opens without coffee. But it exists.

If your business depends on farms, forests, water, soil, packaging, rubber, timber, fibers, minerals, or food ingredients, nature is part of your operating system. The question is whether you manage that system with intent, or discover it during a disruption, audit, or difficult board question.

That is why more companies are asking how to find Nature-Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain. Do not begin by shopping for offsets. Begin by asking where nature already affects cost, continuity, emissions, regulatory exposure, and supplier resilience.

What Nature-Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain Means

The European Commission defines nature-based solutions as approaches inspired and supported by nature that are cost-effective, deliver environmental, social, and economic benefits, and help build resilience. They should also benefit biodiversity and support ecosystem services.

In supply-chain terms, that becomes practical. Nature-based solutions in your supply chain can include agroforestry in cocoa, coffee, rubber, or palm supply chains. They can include soil health programs for food ingredients, watershed restoration near water-intensive operations, mangrove restoration linked to coastal sourcing regions, and avoided deforestation in forest-linked commodities.

The key test is business relevance. If your procurement team relies on a landscape, watershed, crop, or supplier base, that is where opportunity may sit. The best projects do not hover outside the business like a framed certificate. They plug into the system that already produces your revenue.

Why the Boardroom Should Care

For many companies, the largest climate and nature exposure sits outside direct operations. The GHG Protocol Scope 3 Standard gives companies a method to account for and report value-chain emissions across sectors. Purchased goods, land use, transport, supplier energy, and product use can make direct emissions look like the visible tip of a very large iceberg.

The Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures notes that many nature-related dependencies, impacts, risks, and opportunities arise upstream and downstream. That is why nature-based supply chain investments matter to boards. You are managing supply security, audit readiness, investor confidence, and regulatory preparedness.

For companies exposed to EU markets, this also connects to rules and expectations such as CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and SBTi FLAG.

Step One: Map Where You Touch Land, Water, and Living Systems

Finding Nature-Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain starts with mapping, not marketing.

Begin with procurement and Scope 3 data. Which categories carry high spend, high emissions, or high sourcing risk? Which suppliers depend on agriculture, forestry, mining, water-intensive processing, or land conversion? Which regions face water stress, heat, flood risk, soil degradation, deforestation, or biodiversity pressure?

The Science Based Targets Network uses a clear process for companies: assess, prioritize, set targets, act, and track. That sequence keeps companies from treating nature as a mood board. You identify where the business has exposure, then decide where intervention can create measurable value.

Step Two: Look for Operational Value Before Carbon Value

This is the center of CCC’s Dual-Value Model. A nature-based supply chain investment should do useful work for the business before anyone counts the carbon.

Agroforestry may improve farmer resilience, shade crops, protect soil, and reduce pressure on forests. Watershed restoration may reduce water risk for beverage, textile, or manufacturing sites. Soil health programs may improve the stability of agricultural inputs.

Carbon and sustainability value can still be created. In some cases, the project may support Scope 3 insetting. In others, it may generate verified carbon credits. Sometimes the main value may be resilience, readiness, and better supplier data.

The IPCC has found that ecosystem-based adaptation can reduce climate risks to people, biodiversity, and ecosystem services, with multiple co-benefits, while also warning that effectiveness declines as warming increases. That is a sober argument for acting early.

Step Three: Separate Insetting, Offsetting, and Resilience

Nature-based solutions in your supply chain are not automatically carbon credits. They are not automatically Scope 3 reductions either.

An insetting opportunity usually sits inside or close to your value chain. It may support Scope 3 reporting if the accounting rules, project boundaries, supplier connection, and data quality are strong enough.

An offsetting opportunity usually involves verified credits outside your value chain. High-quality credits can still play a role for residual emissions, but they should not distract from direct reductions or credible value-chain work.

A resilience opportunity may deliver business value even if you cannot claim a Scope 3 reduction immediately. That may include water security, supplier capacity, land restoration, biodiversity protection, or regulatory readiness.

Gold Standard’s Scope 3 value-chain guidance focuses on reporting emissions reductions from interventions in purchased goods and services. Verra’s Scope 3 Standard Program is being developed to certify value-chain interventions and issue units for companies’ emissions accounting. The direction is clear: stronger evidence, tighter boundaries, and more disciplined claims.

Step Four: Design for Audit-Readiness From the Beginning

Weak data is where promising nature projects go to become expensive anecdotes.

Before public claims are made, you need to know the baseline. What would have happened without the project? Who owns or manages the land? Which suppliers are involved? How will outcomes be measured? How will leakage, permanence, and double counting be addressed?

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard gives companies methods to quantify, report, and track land emissions, CO2 removals, and related metrics. This matters because land projects are rarely neat. Farms change practices. Suppliers shift volumes. Weather changes outcomes.

What Recent Corporate Examples Show

Recent case studies show that supply-chain nature work is becoming more serious, and more scrutinized.

Reuters has reported on insetting to reduce emissions within supply chains, including examples linked to Reckitt, Danone, Nestlé, Earthworm Foundation, and Nature-based Insights. The same article highlights familiar problems: measurement, double counting, supplier incentives, and credibility.

Reuters has also reported on companies using the Science Based Targets Network process to examine nature impacts. GSK, Holcim, and Kering were among the first companies with validated science-based targets for nature.

The Financial Times has covered the promise and difficulty of soil carbon in corporate supply chains, including a PepsiCo example in India where yields reportedly increased while greenhouse gas emissions fell. The lesson is that carbon, soil, biodiversity, farmer economics, and measurement need to be handled together.

A Practical Screening Checklist

A supply-chain nature-based solution deserves deeper review when you can answer yes to most of these questions:

  • Does it sit in or near a material supply-chain hotspot?
  • Does it address a real business risk?
  • Can you connect it to supplier behavior, land management, or sourcing practices?
  • Can the outcomes be measured?
  • Are the claim boundaries clear?
  • Does it support Scope 3 strategy, SBTi FLAG, CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, or investor reporting needs?
  • Are permanence, leakage, land rights, and community issues addressed?

Build the Asset, Then Make the Claim

Finding Nature-Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain is about identifying where your business already depends on living systems, then designing interventions that make those systems more resilient, measurable, and commercially useful.

For companies with material Scope 3 exposure, the right project can support supplier resilience, emissions strategy, regulatory readiness, and credible climate communication. The wrong project can become a glossy story with a weak audit trail.

Carbon Credit Capital helps companies design nature-based carbon and sustainability assets that embed directly into corporate supply chains. Through CCC’s Dual-Value Model, you can assess where sustainability investment may support operational resilience, Scope 3 insetting eligibility, regulatory readiness, and high-quality carbon or sustainability value.

Schedule your consultation with the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital to explore how nature-based supply chain investments can support your next stage of climate strategy.

Sources

  1. European Commission: Nature-based solutions
  2. GHG Protocol: Corporate Value Chain Scope 3 Standard
  3. TNFD: Guidance on value chains
  4. European Commission: Corporate Sustainability Reporting
  5. European Commission: Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence
  6. European Commission: Regulation on Deforestation-free Products
  7. SBTi: Forest, Land and Agriculture FLAG
  8. Science Based Targets Network: Take Action
  9. IPCC AR6 WGII Summary for Policymakers
  10. Gold Standard: Scope 3 Value Chain Interventions Guidance
  11. Verra: Scope 3 Standard Program
  12. GHG Protocol: Land Sector and Removals Standard
  13. Reuters: Can insetting stack the cards towards more sustainable supply chains?
  14. Reuters: Three companies put their impacts on nature under a microscope
  15. Financial Times: The dubious climate gains of turning soil into a carbon sink

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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living

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Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.

For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.

Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.

The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.

More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)

Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.

Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.

Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:

  • Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
  • Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
  • Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
  • Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs

The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?

How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs

There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.

Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)

According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)

In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)

The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)

After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)

For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.

How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

A light bulb, a pen, a calculator and some copper euro cent coins lie on top of an electricity bill

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.

Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.

Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)

As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)

These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)

Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)

For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.

How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates

On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.

Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.

As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)

While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.

How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes

Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.

The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.

These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.

Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action

While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.

While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.

For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:

  1. Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
  2. Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
  3. Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.

Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.

Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.

The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.

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Carbon credit project stewardship: what happens after credit issuance

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A carbon credit purchase is not a transaction that closes at issuance. The credit may be retired, the certificate filed, and the reporting box ticked. But on the ground, in the forest, in the field, and in the community, the work continues. It endures for years. In many cases, for decades.

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