Trafigura Group, a global leader in commodities trading, is making a bold bet on the recovery of the carbon credits market. Despite its recent struggles, the company views emerging regulatory frameworks and international agreements as pivotal for mainstreaming carbon credits in emissions accounting.
With new policies creating clearer pathways for businesses to meet climate targets, Trafigura expects a surge in demand for record growth.
The Carbon Market Makeover: Regulations Reshape Voluntary Credits
The voluntary carbon market (VCM) allows companies and individuals to buy carbon credits to offset emissions voluntarily, rather than as part of regulatory compliance. These credits fund projects that reduce or avoid greenhouse gas emissions, such as renewable energy, reforestation, or community-based initiatives.
Unlike mandatory carbon markets governed by laws, VCM operates through independent standards and registries, providing flexibility for participants. As the VCM evolves, efforts to enhance quality and credibility are shaping its role in global climate action.
Hannah Hauman, Trafigura’s global head of carbon trading, highlighted the impact of increased regulations in Europe, the US, and Asia. These frameworks are designed to help companies achieve net-zero emissions, reinforcing the importance of a robust carbon credits market.
- RELATED: EU Regulations Poised to Catalyze Global Carbon Market Convergence, Says Trafigura’s Hauman
At the recent COP29 summit in Baku, negotiators finalized rules under Articles 6.2 and 6.4 of the Paris Agreement, laying the groundwork for a global carbon trading system.
Article 6.4 introduces a UN-backed mechanism with standardized guidelines for carbon credit quality. It offers a more transparent and structured approach. In contrast, Article 6.2 allows countries to set their own criteria for carbon credit exchanges, which some critics fear could weaken the market.
Danny Cullenward, senior fellow at the Kleinman Center for Energy Policy, warned that Article 6.2 could create an “anything goes” market. This can potentially undermine both Article 6.4 and broader climate efforts.
Industry Challenges and Corporate Retreats
The voluntary carbon market has faced criticism over greenwashing and the issuance of low-quality credits. In 2023, the market’s value dropped by 23% as shown in the graph below. This declining trend started in 2021 when critics began to shake the market. Moreover, key players like HSBC Holdings, Shell Plc, Delta Air Lines, Google, and EasyJet have scaled back their involvement.

Just recently, HSBC abandoned plans to build a carbon credits trading desk, while Shell began selling off a majority stake in its nature-based credit portfolio.
Despite these challenges, regulatory advancements have led to optimism. Hauman remarked that countries now have a “regulatory line of sight” to guide them through 2030, providing clarity for companies on expectations, investment strategies, and emissions reductions.
According to BloombergNEF’s data, Europe is leading the UN-backed carbon credit investment while Ghana gets the most funding for Article 6 projects.

Trafigura’s Sustainability Strategy: Restoring Forests, Reviving Markets
Trafigura is capitalizing on this evolving landscape. As the world’s largest trader of carbon-removal credits, the company is expanding its portfolio to meet rising demand.
In November 2024, Trafigura announced a $500 million investment in a carbon credits project to restore Africa’s Miombo woodlands. The project aligns with Article 6.4 guidelines, emphasizing quality and environmental impact.
In the same month, the giant commodity trader, alongside Temasek-owned GenZero, has pledged $100 million to Colombia’s largest nature-based carbon removal project. The project seeks to restore degraded land in the South American nation while generating carbon credits.
- SEE MORE: Colombia’s Largest Carbon Project Secures $100M Backing from Temasek-Owned GenZero and Trafigura
Hauman noted that carbon credits are evolving from experimental tools to investment-grade assets, thanks to regulatory shifts. This transformation is expected to enable companies to incorporate credits into their long-term sustainability strategies confidently.
The company itself is pursuing ambitious carbon reduction goals, aiming to:
- cut Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 50% by 2032, and
- achieve net zero by 2050.

In addition to reducing its direct emissions, Trafigura is focused on lowering Scope 3 emissions intensity. This includes the impact of its traded products. To accelerate its energy transition, the company does these measures:
- Invest heavily in renewable energy, including solar and wind projects.
- Develop low-carbon fuels like green hydrogen and ammonia.
- Launched a $2 billion fund in 2023 to support energy transition projects.
The fund is also for advancing its emissions trading activities, helping clients offset their carbon footprints with high-quality carbon credits.
A New Era of Investment-Grade Carbon Assets
While the carbon market faces hurdles such as inconsistent legal definitions and price volatility, companies like Trafigura, Cummins, Bosch, Daimler, Toyota, and Volvo see potential for growth. Regulators across regions recognize the role of carbon credits, especially removal-based units, in helping businesses achieve net-zero emissions by mid-century.
COP29 also marked a turning point for reforestation and afforestation projects under the UN’s Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). These projects, previously stalled, have been transferred to the revamped Article 6.4 framework, benefiting countries like India and Colombia, which host 27 eligible projects.
The carbon market is moving away from being policy-driven to becoming a dynamic investment arena. Trafigura’s strategic partnerships and investments position it to lead this transition. The company aims to drive both market growth and meaningful climate action, by addressing regulatory requirements and maintaining high-quality standards.
As the industry adapts to new rules, Trafigura’s efforts show the shift toward a more structured and credible carbon credits market. It underscores the company’s readiness to thrive in the evolving carbon market landscape.
The post Trafigura Bets Big, $600M, on Carbon Credits Market Revival appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Where should an SME start with a carbon action plan?
More and more small and medium-sized businesses are hearing the same question from their larger customers: What is your carbon footprint? That question now travels down entire supply chains, and it arrives next to tender requirements, certification criteria, and rising customer expectations.
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Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.
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