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As negotiations over the new climate finance goal get into high gear, divisions are sharpening over who should be required to cough up the money needed to help less developed countries shift to clean energy and build resilience to climate change.

For German Foreign minister Annalena Baerbock, all “those who can” and “in particular the strongest polluters of today” should step up, alongside industrialised nations. “Strong economies share strong responsibilities”, she said in a nod to G20 countries on Thursday at the Petersberg Climate Dialogues in Berlin, the unofficial curtain raiser for climate diplomacy.

Baerbock’s views are widely shared by other rich countries, but they face stiff opposition from the upper-middle income nations referenced in her remarks.

Those governments argue that the Paris Agreement puts the responsibility of fulfilling climate finance obligations squarely on the shoulders of developed countries and want to keep it that way.

Negotiators from China and Saudi Arabia spelled that out once again this week in Cartagena, Colombia, during this year’s first round of technical discussions that should pave the way to an agreement over the new collective quantified goal (NCQG) at COP29 in Azerbaijan.

“We will not entertain a renegotiation of the contributors and the recipients of NCQG”, said Chao Feng, China’s finance negotiator, on Wednesday. His words were repeated shortly afterward by Saudi Arabia’s Mohammad Ayoub.

More money for more action

The climate finance goal is the most important decision expected to be taken at this year’s climate summit.

Experts believe an ambitious deal can play a crucial role in getting developing countries, especially the poorest ones, to commit to stronger action as they draft their new national climate plans due out in 2025. Without clear signals on the amount and quality of money on the table, the fear is that governments will lower their bar and put the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5C beyond reach.

After over two years of discussions and with time shrinking, negotiators remain at odds over the most fundamental elements of the goal: how large the sum should be, what it needs to pay for, over how many years, and the best way to monitor the money.

At 4-day summit in Cartagena ending this Friday, negotiators are attempting to iron out some of those knots and sketch out the first outline of a deal.

In laying out his vision for the summit, the COP29 incoming president, Mukhtar Babayev, acknowledged in Berlin that finance is “one of the most challenging topics of climate diplomacy” and that there are “strong and well-founded views on all sides”.

“We are listening to all parties to understand their concerns and help them refine potential landing zones based on a shared vision of success so that we can deliver a fair and ambitious new goal”, he added.

For Marc Weissgerber, executive director at E3G, Babayev`s speech outlined “important elements of a multifaceted solution to the finance challenges, but what is needed are clearly defined diplomatic pathways”.

“It needs to be seen how Azerbaijan can contribute – as a bridge builder – to this essential challenge”, he added. 

Moving past $100bn

Talks have also been strained by eroding trust following the developed countries’ failure to honor a pledge made nearly 15 years ago and mobilise $100 billion a year in climate finance for developing countries by 2020. They now “look likely” to have belatedly met the goal in 2022, according to an assessment by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) based on preliminary data that is not publicly available.

Germany’s Baerbock said on Thursday that industrialised countries need to “continue to live up” to their responsibilities and jointly fulfil their $100 billion payment”. But, to go beyond that mark, she urged “those who can” to join their efforts.

Baerbock argued that the world has changed since the signing of the UNFCCC framework in 1992 when developed countries that provide international climate finance made up 80% of the global economy.

Most developing countries strongly oppose any changes or reinterpretation of the treaty that would lead to a reclassification of a country’s status.

E3G’s Weissgerber said the question of more committed financial resources is linked with the development of ambitious climate plans. “Both sides must compromise”, he added. “The existing donor base needs to show that it can be trusted to honour its financial commitments, while at the same time, large emitters such as China and the Gulf States should send a clear signal of ambitious reduction efforts”.

Source of finance

Developing countries – excluding China – need an estimated $2.4 trillion a year to meet their climate and development needs. But, Baerbock pointed out in Berlin, those sums cannot come only out of government budgets already facing constraints.

So called ‘innovative sources of finance’ are among the most talked-about options to unlock additional funds. Things like wealth taxes or shipping levies have been rising up the political agenda this year, but still face either strong opposition or a lack of agreement over how the money should be used.

Much hope is also pinned on wide-ranging reforms of multilateral development banks to channel more money into climate action for the most vulnerable.

COP29’s Babayev said those institutions “have a special role” to play, but he expressed disappointment at the pace of change seen during last week’s Spring Meetings of the World Bank.  “While we heard a great deal of concern and worry, we did not yet see adequate and sufficient action”, he said. “That must change”.

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Tensions over who is going to pay for new climate finance goal rise to the surface

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A Data Center Could Be Coming to an Upstate New York Town, and Residents Are Speaking Out

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The town board in Lansing is considering a temporary ban on large-scale development that could delay construction.

Residents in an upstate New York community are trying to prevent construction of a planned data center by approving a year-long ban on large-scale development.

A Data Center Could Be Coming to an Upstate New York Town, and Residents Are Speaking Out

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After climate memo row, Gates gives $1.4bn to help farmers cope with a hotter world

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Bill Gates’ foundation has promised to invest $1.4 billion over four years to help smallholder farmers adapt to the worsening effects of climate change – a commitment that comes just a week after a new memo from the tech billionaire drew sharp criticism from the climate community.

The funding from the Gates Foundation will help expand access for farmers across sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia to innovations that strengthen rural livelihoods and food systems, it said in a statement. These include mobile apps offering tailored weather information for planting decisions, drought and heat-resistant crops and livestock, and efforts to restore degraded land.

The pledge announced on Friday builds on a previous $1.4-billion commitment announced three years ago at COP27 that, the foundation says, is already helping “millions” of farmers.

“Smallholder farmers are feeding their communities under the toughest conditions imaginable,” said Bill Gates, who chairs the foundation. “We’re supporting their ingenuity with the tools and resources to help them thrive – because investing in their resilience is one of the smartest, most impactful things we can do for people and the planet.”

Shift from focus on “near-term” emission goals

The investment supports Bill Gates’ vision of “prioritizing climate investments for maximum human impact”, as the Microsoft co-founder outlined in a 17-page memo he published last week, according to the foundation.

In his missive, Gates acknowledged that climate change is “a very important problem”, but called for a “strategic pivot” away from focusing too much on “near-term emission goals” – something that, he argued, is diverting funds away from efforts to eradicate poverty.

“Our chief goal should be to prevent suffering, particularly for those in the toughest conditions who live in the world’s poorest countries,” he wrote.

    The memo has drawn ire from many climate scientists who, while agreeing with some of Gates’ central observations, have condemned his overall framing.

    Zeke Hausfather, a research scientist at Berkeley Earth, said the world has ample resources to both reduce planet-heating emissions and help people adapt to climate change – if the political will exists.

    “We don’t necessarily live in a zero-sum world,” he said in a webinar organised by Covering Climate Now, which supports media coverage of climate change. “It’s a policy problem, not a resource problem”.

    Hausfather added that when climate finance is directed toward helping the world’s poorest countries curb their emissions, it might be better spent on adaptation or disease eradication instead. “But that’s not the fundamental thing standing in the way of solving climate change,” he said. “That is emissions mostly coming from the rich countries.”

    “Straw man” argument criticised

    Experts have also expressed frustration over Gates’ perceived “black-and-white” approach to climate impacts, which has been seized upon by notable climate deniers.

    In his memo, the billionaire wrote that “although climate change will have serious consequences – particularly for people in the poorest countries – it will not lead to humanity’s demise”.

    Picking up on Gates’ words – and misrepresenting them – US President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social: “I (WE!) just won the War on the Climate Change Hoax. Bill Gates has finally admitted that he was completely WRONG on the issue.”

    Katharine Hayhoe, chief scientist at the Nature Conservancy, said Gates’ framing relied on a “straw man” argument.

    “I’ve not seen a single scientific paper that ever posited the human race will become extinct due to climate change,” she said. But Gates “is speaking about it as if scientists are saying that,” she added. “What we are saying is that suffering increases with each tenth of a degree of warming.”

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    COP30: Brazil is drying up despite its rich natural resources

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    To many people, Brazil conjures up images of the endless Amazon River, lush tropical rainforest and breathtaking wildlife. In a country of its size, this picture can remain true while also containing a more complex and changing set of realities.

    For example, climate change, high water demand and human activity are also leading to increased desert-like conditions. One recent study found that in the past 30 years, there has been a 30% expansion in dryland habitat across Brazil. One of the most affected areas includes the state of Pará, a major part of the Amazon rainforest and home to Belém, which is hosting this year’s UN climate summit.

    Water shortages

    Brazil’s northeast region is particularly noted for its semi-arid landscape and water scarcity.

    Pernambuco, a small state by Brazilian standards, extends from the eastern Atlantic coast into the region’s interior for around 450 miles. Water availability is a constant concern for many communities across the state, especially family farms which are significant contributors to the regional economy.

    “One of the main problems people are facing here is the growing frequency of droughts and the irregularity of rainfall. As a result, producing food has become extremely difficult,” said Carlos Magno, a coordinator at Centro Sabiá, a non-profit organisation in the area.

    “We’re also experiencing stronger heatwaves, which have been causing the death of many trees and affecting the local environment even more,” Magno added.

    Giving nature breathing room builds climate resilience

    He went on to describe how family farming in the region is almost entirely dependent on rain to grow food. There are no irrigation systems or wells to support communities so when the rains fail, it means less food on the table.

    Addressing these concerns is a key objective of an ongoing project supported by the Adaptation Fund’s Climate Innovation Accelerator (AFCIA), administered by the UN Development Programme and carried out by Centro Sabiá.

    A woman collects rainwater harvested for use on smaller agroforestry plots. (Image: Centro Sabiá)

    A woman collects rainwater harvested for use on smaller agroforestry plots. (Image: Centro Sabiá)

    Transforming lives

    Centro Sabiá has an intimate knowledge of how family farming operates in the region. It spent time consulting with communities to better understand their concerns, and hearing their ideas on how to combat water scarcity.

    The project is implementing simple, yet affordable, climate solutions which are improving the livelihoods of local people. One intervention being explored is to recycle wastewater to help with the growth of new agroforestry plots. The water – taken from washing or cleaning – is filtered and then redirected for use on plots that combine crop farming with tree planting. The technique is designed to improve soil health, cut pollution and improve biodiversity.

    “The water that used to pollute the soil now nourishes crops and trees,” added Magno. “When people realise that their available water is limited, but they can reuse it to grow food, it changes everything.”

    On the project, 130 families, totalling over 31,000 people, introduced greywater reuse across 30 new agroforestry plots. The systems are low-cost and simple to implement within a farm’s existing infrastructure. They can be used for years with the initial access to technical support, and, as a result, are now treating millions of litres of water each year.

    The impacts in Pernambuco have been immediate. Each family is estimated to be saving US$350 a year on water, and earning over US$300 a month from selling agroforestry products.

    Making farming greener

    Agroforestry has been identified as a sustainable alternative to industrial farming.

    According to some scientists, the Amazon rainforest is able to recycle up to 5 litres of water per square metre a day. By contrast, land used for pasture is only able to recycle 1.5 litres. This helps to explain why some previously biodiverse areas that have been converted for cattle ranching and farming are now becoming drier.

    Agroforestry seeks to redress the balance by including trees in the agricultural process, bringing more moisture – and carbon – back into the soil. The response to these techniques from people across Pernambuco has so far been overwhelmingly positive.

    “Nature is doing really well for us,” reported Cilene, a local participant in the project. In a recent interview with the Adaptation Fund, she explained how in the past, “we bought things with pesticides. Now with this project we are learning to have better, healthier food.” 

    “Compared to how we were living before, we see better results and sustainable benefits,” she added.

    How Vanuatu is facing up to rising climate risks

    Francisca Ferraz de Aquino Silva, a farmer in Calumbi, agrees. “This project was a real turning point in my life,” she said.

    “After the technology arrived, I realised it was possible to make better use of water, without waste, and to produce food while improving the soil. It was a new opportunity in my life,” she told Centro Sabiá.

    “Agroforestry reduces the need for heavy labour. You work without much effort, it brings economic return, and nature works in your favour…I saw that it was possible to live in semi-arid conditions with dignity and prosperity – planting biodiversity and working with agroforestry systems,” she added.

    One of the greywater reuse systems installed during the project. (Image:Centro Sabiá)

    One of the greywater reuse systems installed during the project. (Image:Centro Sabiá)

    What this means for COP30

    As heads of state discuss the state of the planet in Belém, they only need look around at the surrounding rainforest to see how vital a role it plays.

    Human development and extreme weather are putting significant pressure on nature and people’s livelihoods. If these drier conditions persist, the rainforest could be turned into savannah, which some scientists believe will create further dry weather and drought.

    But the lessons from Belém’s southerly neighbour over in Pernambuco could provide an answer.

    Five big questions hanging over COP30

    “Policymakers and delegates attending COP30 have a lot to learn from the project,” commented Magno. “It was built with civil society. It was carried out with the contribution of organisations and people who work every day with local communities.”

    “By the end of the [climate] conference, the decisions and commitments must truly guarantee that adaptation resources reach the communities that are struggling every day to adapt to climate change,” he continued.

    “It is crucial for funds from international climate agreements and adaptation policies to reach the local level, where they are needed the most.”

    Adam Wentworth is a freelance writer based in Brighton, UK

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