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Meeting Paris Agreement goals that have put the world on track for warming of 2.6C this century would halve the average number of hot days globally each year in comparison with a scenario of unchecked rising emissions, new research has found.

Before the 2015 treaty, the world was headed for heating of 4C by 2100, which would have caused about 114 hot days annually compared with the 57 recorded today, said scientists at the World Weather Attribution (WWA) partnership and research organisation Climate Central.

“The Paris Agreement is a powerful, legally binding framework that can help us avoid the most severe impacts of climate change,” said Friederike Otto, climate science professor at the Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London.

However, she said countries need to do more to shift away from oil, natural gas and coal, calling on political leaders to “take the reason for the Paris Agreement much more seriously … because every fraction of a degree of warming – whether it is 1.4, 1.5, or 1.7C – will mean the difference between safety and suffering for millions of people”.

    The Paris climate pact commits countries to try to limit global warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial times, but the UN Environment Programme’s 2024 Emissions Gap Report said countries’ current national targets meant the world was on track for a 2.6C increase.

    Curbing future heat

    The group of 18 researchers drawn from the WWA and Climate Central mapped 207 countries, analysing weather data and climate models to track the frequency of heat-related events since cooler pre-industrial times.

    They found the reduction in projected warming from 4C to 2.6C by 2100 would result in at least 100 fewer hot days per year on average in nearly 30 countries and 57 fewer days globally. In Kenya, that could mean 82 fewer hot days, a reduction of 30 in India and the US and a drop of 29 hot days in China and Britain.

    They also applied their analysis to six heatwaves, including a deadly heatwave that swept Mexico and part of the southwestern United States last year, killing scores of people.

    Since the Paris Agreement was signed, the research found that the Mexican heatwave had become 86% more likely and about 0.3C hotter.

     Scientists hail rapid estimate of climate change’s role in heat deaths as a first

    Under the 2.6C warming scenario expected this century, similar heatwaves are expected to become an additional 1.7C hotter. But under the 4C outlook, such events would have been 3.5C hotter than what was observed in 2024, the researchers said.

    But while the global treaty has helped avoid the worst possible outcomes, Kristina Dahl, vice president for science at Climate Central, said the world was still headed for “a dangerously hot future”.

    “The impacts of recent heatwaves show that many countries are not well prepared to deal with 1.3C of warming, let alone the 2.6C of warming projected if – and it’s a big if – countries meet their current emissions reduction pledges.”

    Dahl said “faster, deeper, and more ambitious emissions cuts are crucial to ensure future generations live in a safe climate”.

    CO2 levels soar to record

    On Wednesday, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said carbon dioxide (CO2) levels in the atmosphere soared by a record amount to new highs in 2024, putting the planet on a course for greater long-term temperature increases.

    Momentum builds for strong adaptation outcome at COP30

    In its Greenhouse Gas Bulletin, the UN agency traced the increase to human activities, wildfires and a decline in absorption by so-called carbon sinks such as forests and the ocean.

    WMO Deputy Secretary-General Ko Barrett said the heat trapped by greenhouse gases was “turbo-charging our climate and leading to more extreme weather”.

    “Reducing emissions is therefore essential not just for our climate but also for our economic security and community well-being,” Barrett said.

    Following a series of intense heatwaves across the world in 2024 – the hottest year on record, UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned that extreme heat has become the “new normal” and appealed to countries to reduce the devastating consequences.

    Despite 500,000 heat-related deaths recorded annually, access to early-warning systems is limited in some regions and heat adaptation continues to lag, particularly when it comes to finance, governance and long-term measures, the WWA and Climate Central researchers said.

      They called for improved early-warning systems, heat action plans and monitoring mechanisms, especially in Africa, Latin America and parts of Asia, and said such policies should extend beyond the health sphere to be integrated into urban planning, labor protection, infrastructure and social policy.

      They emphasised the importance of heat warnings by national weather services, currently only issued in about half of all countries, adding that long-term solutions such as increasing shaded areas and trees in cities and strengthening health systems could prevent about 100,000 deaths each year.

      “The danger of heat will only increase this century, so it is crucial that every country implements measures that help keep people safe,” said Roop Singh, head of urban and attribution at the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre.

      The post Paris Agreement helping to avert dozens of hot days each year, scientists say appeared first on Climate Home News.

      Paris Agreement helping to avert dozens of hot days each year, scientists say

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      Climate Change

      Leading scientists call for EPBC reforms to strengthen Great Barrier Reef protection

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      CANBERRA, Monday 27 October 2025 — More than 100 Australian scientists and researchers have called on the Labor Government to address deforestation in the new nature law reforms, warning that the impacts under the current Act “compound the damage caused by repeated mass bleaching events driven by climate change” to the Great Barrier Reef.

      Environment Minister Murray Watt will soon table the draft bill to reform Australia’s broken nature law, the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation (EPBC) Act. Leading environmental groups Greenpeace Australia Pacific, the Australian Marine Conservation Society, and the Australian Conservation Foundation coordinated the open letter with 112 leading Australian scientists, calling for the reforms to close loopholes in the Act that allow for rampant and unchecked deforestation, especially in the Great Barrier Reef catchment.

      Read the letter here.

      Elle Lawless, senior campaigner at Greenpeace Australia Pacific, said:

      “Now is the time to act decisively for nature, and design a nature-first nature law that will do what it is set out to do: protect our environment. Toxic runoff from deforestation in the Great Barrier Reef catchment is poisoning the reef and suffocating the precious and fragile marine ecosystem. The Great Barrier Reef is a global icon, and we need a strong, robust EPBC Act that will safeguard and protect it. This is one of the most important pieces of legislation our country and our environment has and, done right, has the power to make serious and desperately needed positive changes to protect nature.”

      Professor James Watson FQA, from UQ’s School of the Environment, said:

      “Australia’s State of the Environment report, released by the federal government in 2021, shows that our oceans, rivers and wetlands are in serious decline. That report, and the Samuel review of the EPBC, make the point that there is a desperate need for stronger national nature laws that help protect these precious places for generations to come.

      “Australia’s top environmental academics and experts have been sounding the alarm for decades: the large-scale destruction of Australia’s native woodlands, forests, wetlands and grasslands is the single biggest threat to our biodiversity. It’s driving an extinction crisis unlike anywhere else on Earth — and it’s threatening the Great Barrier Reef, one of the world’s seven natural wonders, right before our eyes.”

      Continued mass deforestation threatens the Great Barrier Reef’s World Heritage status. In 2026, the World Heritage Committee will review Australia’s progress in protecting the reef and may consider placing it on the World Heritage in Danger list if major threats like deforestation are not addressed.

      Recent figures from the Queensland Government show deforestation in Queensland is the worst in the nation and worsening under the current national environment law. Deforestation in the Great Barrier Reef catchment accounted for almost half (44%) of the state’s total clearing, an increase on the previous year.

      Greenpeace Australia Pacific is calling for the EPBC reforms to meet four key tests:

      1. Stronger upfront nature protection to guide better decisions on big projects, including National Environmental Standards.
      2. An independent Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to enforce the laws and make decisions about controversial projects at arm’s length from politics.
      3. Closing deforestation loopholes that allow for harmful industries to carry out mass bulldozing across Australia.
      4. Consideration of the climate impacts on nature from coal and gas mines when assessing projects for approvals.

      “We will continue to engage with the government constructively in the reform process but also hold decision-makers to account over these critical tests,” Lawless said.

      —ENDS—

      Leading scientists call for EPBC reforms to strengthen Great Barrier Reef protection

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      Climate Change

      Close Major Deforestation Loopholes in the EPBC Act

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      22 October 2025

      The Hon Anthony Albanese MP
      Prime Minister
      Parliament House
      CANBERRA ACT 2600

      Sent via email

      To the Prime Minister, Federal Environment Minister, and Members of the Albanese Government,

      As researchers who study, document and work to recover Australia’s plants and animals, insects and ecosystems, we are keenly aware of the value of nature to Australians and the world.

      Australia has one of the worst rates of deforestation globally. For every 100 hectares of native woodland cleared, about 2000 birds, 15,000 reptiles and 500 native mammals will die. As scientists and experts, we have sounded the alarm for more than 30 years that the large-scale destruction of native woodlands, forests, wetlands and grasslands was the single biggest threat to the nation’s biodiversity. That is still the case today, and it is driving an extinction crisis.

      New figures show that Queensland continues to lead the nation in deforestation. The latest statewide landcover and trees study (SLATS) report shows that annually 44% of all deforestation in Queensland occurs in the Great Barrier Reef catchment areas, where over 140,000 hectares are bulldozed each year.

      Deforestation in Great Barrier Reef catchments is devastating one of Australia’s most iconic natural wonders. When forests and bushland are bulldozed, erosion causes debris to wash into waterways, sending sediment, nutrients and pesticides into the Reef waters. This smothers coral, fuels crown-of-thorns starfish outbreaks, and reduces water quality. These impacts compound the damage caused by repeated mass bleaching events driven by climate change.

      The Great Barrier Reef sustains precious marine life, supports local and global biodiversity, and underpins tourism economies and coastal communities that rely on its survival. Continued mass deforestation threatens these values and could jeopardise the Reef’s World Heritage status. In 2026 the World Heritage Committee will review Australia’s progress in protecting the Reef and may consider placing it on the World Heritage in Danger list, if key threats to the Reef, including deforestation, are not addressed.

      This mass deforestation happens due to a loophole in the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation (EPBC) Act, our national nature law. Exemptions allow deforestation to continue largely unregulated by the EPBC Act through a grandfathering clause from 2000 known as “continuous use”. Without meaningful reform, deforestation will continue to drive massive biodiversity loss. This loophole must be closed as part of the proposed EPBC Act reforms. The law is meant to safeguard our wildlife and our most precious places like the Great Barrier Reef. Please support closing major deforestation loopholes in the EPBC Act as an urgent and priority issue for the Federal Government.

      Sincerely,

      Professor James Watson, University of Queensland

      Dr. Michelle Ward

      Mandy Cheung

      Mr Lachlan Cross

      Timothy Ravasi

      Gillian Rowan

      Dr Graham R. Fulton, The University of Queensland

      Dr Alison Peel

      Dr James Richardson University of Queensland

      Luke Emerson, University of Newcastle

      Dr Hilary Pearl

      Dr Tina Parkhurst

      Dr Kerry Bridle

      Dr Tracy Schultz, Senior Research Fellow, University of Queensland

      Dr. Zachary Amir

      Prof David M Watson, Gulbali Institute, CSU

      Naomi Ploos van Amstel, PhD candidate

      David Schoeman

      Associate Professor Simone Blomberg, University of Queensland

      Professor Euan Ritchie, Deakin University

      Dr Ian Baird, Conservation Biologist

      Paul Elton (ANU)

      Melissa Billington

      Hayden de Villiers

      Professor Brett Murphy, Charles Darwin University

      Professor Sarah Bekessy

      Professor Anthony J. Richardson (University of Queensland)

      Prof. Winnifred Louis, University of Queensland

      Dr Yung En Chee, The University of Melbourne

      Dr Jed Calvert, postdoctoral research fellow in wetland ecology, University of Queensland

      A/Prof Daniel C Dunn, Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, University of Queensland

      Lincoln Kern, Ecologist

      Professor Corey Bradshaw, Flinders University

      Dr. Viviana Gonzalez, The University of Queensland

      Prof. Helen Bostock

      Dr Leslie Roberson

      Bethany Kiss

      Assoc. Prof Diana Fisher, UQ, and co-chair of the IUCN Marsupial and Monotreme Specialist Group

      Dr Jacinta Humphrey, RMIT University

      Professor Mathew Crowther

      Christopher R. Dickman, Professor Emeritus, The University of Sydney

      Fiona Hoegh-Guldberg, RMIT University

      Dr Bertram Jenkins

      Dr Daniela ParraFaundes

      Dr Jessica Walsh

      Dr. GABRIELLA scata – marine biologist, wildlife protector

      Katherine Robertson

      Professor Jane Williamson, Macquarie University

      William F. Laurance, Distinguished Professor, James Cook University

      A/Prof Deb Bower

      Dr Leslie Roberson, University of Queensland

      Ms Jasmine Hall, Senior Research Assistant in Coastal Wetland Biogeochemistry, Ecology and Management, Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University

      Dr Kita Ashman, Adjunct Research Associate, Charles Sturt University

      Genevieve Newey

      Matt Hayward

      Jessie Moyses

      Natalya Maitz, PhD Candidate, The University of Queensland

      Christina Ritchie

      Liana van Woesik, PhD Student, University of Queensland

      Benjamin Lucas, PhD Researcher

      A/Prof. Carissa Klein, The University of Queensland

      Conrad Pratt, PhD Student, University of Queensland

      Dr Ascelin Gordon, RMIT University

      Professor Nicole Graham, The University of Sydney

      Professor Murray Lee, University of Sydney Law School

      Dr Tracy Schultz, Snr Research Fellow, University of Queensland

      Libby Newton (PhD candidate, Sydney Law School)

      Hannah Thomas, University of Queensland

      Professor Richard Kingsford, Director of the Centre for Ecosystem Science, UNSW Sydney

      Dr Anna Hopkins

      Lena van Swinderen, PhD candidate at the University of Queensland

      Professor Jodie Rummer, James Cook University

      Dr Nita Lauren, Lecturer, RMIT University

      Dr Christina Zdenek

      Madeline Davey

      Dr Rachel Killean, Sydney Law School

      Dr. Sofía López-Cubillos

      Dr Claire Larroux

      Dr Alice Twomey, The University of Queensland

      Zoe Gralton

      Dr Robyn Gulliver

      Ryan Borrett, Murdoch University

      Adjunct Prof. Paul Lawrence, Griffith University, Brisbane Qld

      Professor Susan Park, University of Sydney

      Dr Holly Kirk, Curtin University

      Deakin Distinguished Professor Marcel Klaassen

      Dr Megan Evans, UNSW Canberra

      Dr Amanda Irwin, The University of Sydney

      Dr Keith Cardwell

      Professor Don Driscoll, Deakin University

      Susan Bengtson Nash

      Distinguished Professor David Lindenmayer

      Dr Madelyn Mangan, University of Queensland

      Dr Isabella Smith

      Geoff Lockwood

      Dr Paula Peeters, Paperbark Writer

      Prof Cynthia Riginos, University of Queensland

      Dr. Sankar Subramanian

      Associate Professor Zoe Richards

      Dr Jessie Wells, The University of Melbourne

      Professor Gretta Pecl AM, University of Tasmania

      Dr April Reside, The University of Queensland

      Oriana Licul-Milevoj (Ecologist)

      Dr Yves-Marie Bozec, University of Queensland

      Dr Julia Hazel

      Dr Judit K. Szabo

      Ana Ulloa

      Dr Andreas Dietzel

      Philip Spark – North West Ecological Services

      Jonathan Freeman

      Dr/ Mohamed Mohamed Rashad

      Close Major Deforestation Loopholes in the EPBC Act

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      Climate Change

      The Ocean We’re Still Discovering

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      The recent discovery of Grimpoteuthis feitiana, a new species of Dumbo octopus found deep in the Pacific, is a reminder of something both humbling and urgent: we still know so little about the ocean that shapes our lives. This fragile, finned creature, gliding silently more than a kilometer beneath the waves, has lived in these waters long before we mapped them, and its story is only now coming to light.

      A still taken from the Greenpeace animation on the destructive mining of the deep sea. What if we could go back in time and stop a destructive industry before it even started?
      A still taken from the Greenpeace animation on the destructive mining of the deep sea. What if we could go back in time and stop a destructive industry before it even started?

      What moves me most about this discovery is not just the Dumbo octopus itself, but how it bridges science and culture. Its name draws inspiration from the flying apsaras of China’s Dunhuang murals, those graceful, winged figures that seem to dance through air and imagination. It reminds me that the deep sea has always held a place in our collective human story, — not only in myths and art, but in the ways we relate to nature, learn from it, and find meaning within it.

      Pasifika connection to the ocean

      For us in the Pacific, the ocean is more than a body of water. It is our identity, our culture, our history. Our ancestors read the seas to navigate, to survive, to connect communities scattered across islands. Discoveries like this Dumbo octopus awaken something deeper in me, — a sense that the ocean is alive with stories and wisdom we are only beginning to rediscover. And with that understanding comes a responsibility to protect it.

      Confronting James Cook Vessel in the Pacific Ocean. © Martin Katz / Greenpeace
      Greenpeace International activists peacefully confronted UK Royal Research Ship James Cook in the East Pacific waters as it returned from a seven-week long expedition to a section of the Pacific Ocean targeted for deep sea mining. © Martin Katz / Greenpeace

      Each new species like the Dumbo octopus, each glimpse into the deep, is a warning as much as it is a wonder. The creatures of the abyss live slow, deliberate lives in fragile ecosystems, shaped by balance and patience. Deep-sea mining, pollution, and climate change threaten to erase them before we even learn their names. Protecting the Pacific’s oceans is not an abstract act of conservation; it is an act of cultural preservation, of love for our home, and for the unseen life that sustains us all.

      Grimpoteuthis feitiana is more than a scientific discovery. It is a reminder that the ocean is still full of life, mystery, and wisdom — and that we have a duty to ensure these depths remain wild, healthy, and alive, for us and for the generations yet to come.

      Reflection by Raeed Ali
      Pacific Community Mobiliser

      The Ocean We’re Still Discovering

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