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Hitachi Energy Leads the Energy Transition
Laura Fleming and Alfredo Parres from Hitachi Energy dive into the critical challenges of integrating renewable energy, particularly offshore wind power, into the UK grid. They explore innovative solutions, including HVDC technology and digital advancements, that are driving efficient, reliable energy distribution and shaping the future of the global energy landscape. With Laura’s over 25 years of experience in the energy sector and Alfredo’s long history in renewables, the two give insights into how Hitachi is making the energy transition possible.
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Allen Hall: With power grids adapting to accommodate growing renewable energy, the challenges of integration had never been more critical. This week, we speak with Alfredo Parres group, senior Vice President and head of Renewables at Hitachi Energy. And Laura Fleming, country managing director at Hitachi Energy UK and Ireland.
Together, they explain how Hitachi’s technology is enabling efficient, reliable connections between massive wind farms and our existing electrical infrastructure. This is a great interview. Stay tuned.
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Allen Hall: Laura and Alfredo, welcome to the podcast.
Laura Flemming: Glad to be here.
Alfredo Parres: Hey, huh.
Allen Hall: How are you? Laura, let’s start with you because I’ve watched a number of your interviews on YouTube and there’s just a lot happening within Hitachi. What are some of the main challenges in the UK facing sort of the renewable energy grid and all of the particularly wind power, which is what we’re focused on.
There’s a lot of wind power offshore being deployed in the UK at the minute. How is a Hitachi trying to handle that and distribute that energy?
Laura Flemming: Yeah. Thank you for the question. And uh, it’s a super exciting time, as you’re saying in in the uk energy space. And maybe just to explain briefly what is going on the UK.
At the moment, it’s very hard at work to decarbonize the electricity grid. It’s actually planning to be fully carbon zero by 2030. That’s only in five years time now. And that’s obviously a very big job. What we’re doing in order to reach that as a country is switching away from from carbon sources.
And so about six weeks ago. We switched off our last coal-fired power station, for example. But of course we still need energy and we still need a lot of electricity. So what we’re doing instead is building out a lot of renewable energy predominantly offshore wind because that allows us to produce vast amounts of electricity quickly cheaply and sustainably.
The result of all of that is that actually we’re producing electricity in very different places than that we used to. So offshore wind, obviously produced in the sea, mainly in the north of Scotland particularly in Scotland. But the demand centers are all in the s of the country, predominantly around London and Birmingham areas.
So we needing to transport this electricity around the system in a very different way. And all of that is triggering lots of grid reinforcements requiring to be done as well. So, and obviously without that grid, we can’t move around this this new electricity from the generation source to the to the demand centers in a very efficient and also in a reliable way.
And also making sure that we don’t have too many losses on the system. So this is a huge task. The role that Hitachi energy in is playing in all of this is to ensure that a large number of these offshore wind projects can be connected to the UK grid. We are also supporting the transmission owners to help build out the grid, to make it more flexible, more reliable, and more efficient.
And then we’re also supporting, for example, onshore and solar generators connecting their projects in via, via substations, et cetera.
Allen Hall: Alfredo, what happens if the, this interconnection doesn’t happen to the UK economy and more? Wider impacts in terms of Europe. It does seem Laura has mentioned a lot of the energy sources are coming from remote places, but the power is being used in kind of the big places.
Paris, London in Germany, there’s just big power usage areas. If we don’t connect them, what’s the outcome of that?
Alfredo Parres: Yeah. I think it’s fair to say that it’s difficult to think about an energy transition without grids. Grids, electricity is about to be everything as we move on. And we need a lot of those.
And grids that’s in many places are also oldish. Depending where you are on the world can have assets where that are pretty old. So we need to pay attention to that. The good news on this, a Noel, as I like to say, is that I see that. The conversation on grid has evolved drastically, compared to a to previous years.
I see the conversation as has already evolved a lot, typically in my early days in, in this business it’s a few years. We had to educate people, educate governments on the importance of grids, anticipating what was coming, or it was a lot of education to be done. These days, you go to any conference, any civil servant speaks about grids as well as I do.
So that means they, they are aware, they’ve educated themselves, they know what they’re talking about. And they the connections, I think in Europe, if you think about the grid action plan that the commission has put together is looking at implementing. I think that speaks what I’m mentioning here, the plans are there and the options to do things are huge.
From increasing capacity or improving the usage of the existing grids. That’s the first step we can do. Technologies are there to do that, building new grids and planning the development of new grids. There are things that are doing, so in a nutshell, Alan, and we can go in further details in the conversation, there is no energy transition without greats good news or politicians or governments.
Got it. We start putting the real
Joel Saxum: actions required, I think to speak on this problem here with grids and integration with renewables. Again, for the energy transitions. Someone once said there’ll be no transition without transmission. I like that statement. But to speak on that issue more when these, when the grid that we’re, that we’ve lived with for, a long time it was originally developed. Most of that was with this consistent power delivery to it, right? It was coal fired power plants and other sources where it was consistent. And now when we add renewables to the mix, and they are by nature, intermittent, whether it’s solar or wind or however and people are trying to control that now as we move forward with battery storage and things.
It complicates that grid question as well because now we’re saying, Hey, we need to upgrade the grid, but we also need to upgrade and future proof the grid, and I think that’s a very important statement there as well. And Hitachi, that’s what you guys are doing. You’ve got loads of people working on these problems to solve this intermittent delivery issues.
And that’s hand in hand with the contemporary term, I guess is the smart grid. So Alfredo, I’d like to ask you this question. At what point in time did you start to see, the stakeholders that can make some of these decisions around the grid start to open their eyes to the difference that we need to future proof this?
The energy mix looks different, and if we don’t fix this, we’re gonna really run into issues
Alfredo Parres: beside grids. We are spending a lot of time to tell exactly about that. It’s not just the grid, it’s the complexity of the power system we are developing. We are going to manage intermittent source of generation.
Different side of science type of generation based on power electronics, which basically says it’s a generation profile that is much more volatile with less inertia. We will have to manage all those elements in a harmonious way because we want to keep a sustainable power system at power safe and save power system.
So the education is happening and we see the message getting there. As I said, you think from a planning perspective and everything start with planning. There’s no point to try to solve it if you don’t have a visibility 5, 10, 15, 20 years ahead to see what are we going to need? What are the investments we going to need?
What is infras going to need? And that is happening. We still, of course, need to always to improve, and that’s what we’re talking right now with the authorities, know how we can improve the planning piece on the technology side, we tell them technology exists to manage this complexity we’re going to face.
Intermittency is not the end of the world. It should not stop penetration of renewables. We can bring much more into the system and technologies are there to help us for electronics. These things we use for batteries management to use fax, all those system, I have to stabilize grids to be the HVDC connections.
Essential to keep the stability, to keep this flow of energy oriented in different directions. Digital, absolutely key. Also because digital will help us to manage this complexity we’re facing. From a demand perspective, from a generation perspective, to operate, to maintain, the digital piece absolutely key.
And that’s a not so easy story to get through because digital, not everybody understand what it means. For real. We are Hitachi, we make it as a party for us, no to tell how digital is real and can help us to to address our challenges. No.
Allen Hall: Laura, I want to use the Eastern GreenLake two as our test case here to walk through some of the things Hitachi is doing.
So the Eastern GreenLake two is A-H-V-D-C project, two gigawatts that is being transmitted from Northern Scotland down to England offshore, and the this distance is 440 kilometers, which in America terms is about 250 plus miles. That’s a long way for an HVE DC cable. The complexities of that project have to be enormous.
How does Hitachi fit into that infrastructure project?
Laura Flemming: Yeah, it’s a really good question. And the exactly as you say, the Eastern Greenland project is a is massive in terms of scale. But it’s also groundbreaking in terms of what it’s trying to do. It it will be collecting the power from a number of offshore wind farms and renewable generation capacity from the north of Scotland collected at this this, really large substation that’s going to be built in in the north of Scotland, as you say.
And then to be transporting that power to the somewhere in the middle of England. Via an offshore connection. So rather than transporting that power via, multiple pylons and multiple cables that going onshore overground as we would’ve done in the maybe in the good old days.
All of this power is being transported offshore. And that has a number, a number of advantages. In terms of connection with the communities in terms of environmental impact in terms of, being able to cross communities, et cetera. But it also has an added benefit because actually using A three DC over a large distance also means that, the energy losses will be significantly reduced.
So what is it that Hitachi Energy is doing? We’re providing both the on and offshore substations that’s basically can, making the connection. So we don’t do the cables, but we do, we effectively provide the plug, right? That allows this energy to be collected and to be put into the cables.
And then to be taken out of the cables and then put into the grid so it can actually be usefully used. And what that’s actually allowing, the UK electricity system operator to do is manage the power flows around the country. So really providing that security and that stabilization delivering power as and when they need it but also as and when it is being produced and really optimizing.
What we’re producing as a country. And as you say, also that helps us manage the the renewable resource, which is sometimes, is it is intermittent. So there’s a lot more work around digitalization power electronics going on in the background to to manage those flows. At any given time of the day, we can still keep the lights on.
Allen Hall: I want to dig into that a little bit because we use HV dc you just throw on that term. It’s we just use HVDC, but that is really complicated. The power electronics that are going into these devices are revolutionary. To do something at a high voltage DC wise in the electronics to make that happen are truly incredible.
And to do it bidirectionally, you can move power around as needed because of the renewable energy factor where sometimes as the wind’s not blowing, sometimes it’s not as sunny out. You need to redirect where energy is flowing. H Feed DC gives you that. But how much infrastructure on the Hitachi side is.
Dedicated to HVDC and the software and all the control systems to create this grid.
Alfredo Parres: So we just celebrated 75 years of anniversary for the technology. We started back in the early fifties. So that tells is a young, old technology we are talking about here, the last version or the last technology we’re using.
The VSC variable source converter version of it is a bit younger. No, but this is a technology that has been proving by the years benefits. No you mentioned it, long distance transmission, bidirectional flow, but there are a lot of orders benefits, no, not the least, the low losses. No.
We use it because we reduce drastically the losses of our lung transmission. Plus the support we can give to the grid to which the HBC link is connected. So actually this link is supporting the stability of the grid. And in these days with the high penetration renewables, that’s extremely important just to tell.
The benefits are absolutely phenomenal. And it’s true that with the emergence and the boom on around offshore wind, the technologies is facing fantastic times. And for us it’s really where we are putting a lot of our investments, a lot of our people we’re talking about, of thousands of people are being hired to support this business.
Among the six billions we are investing these days, a lot is going in manufacturing of new valve new valve manufacturings, hiring new engineers to go in all different centers. And in Sweden, ru where we have, the capital, the place where the technology was born. Are we talking about the middle of Sweden in a very nice natural place, but not necessarily the place you would go for to in business, having hundreds of people going there, finding the, finding themselves comfortable with a clean mission, which is to accelerate this energy, trans transition and working with, for leading company, they got education.
They work in a diverse environment because of course we got people coming from all over the world. They find themselves and they can law. So really I think HVDC is leaving extraordinary times. We see that all suppliers knowing this technology investing. So we are not the only ones, which is good also because that’s, the demand is huge.
We need. Everybody to contribute, and we need then society to understand the benefits now of the technology.
Joel Saxum: So HVDC in my mind, I think would it’s going to be as the grid gets newer, fresher, more innovative, and we start putting some money into it. You’re starting to see some of that here in the states.
Couple saw a couple of reports in the last week of some big money rolling into it. HVDC to me should start to be a much broader part of that energy grid as you guys are focusing a lot of effort into it with employees and investment. How mu, how much of a percentage growth do you think, and I know that’s a pointed question, do you see an HVDC versus in the past?
Laura Flemming: If I can maybe comment on in terms of the growth that we see in the uk, we’re seeing the UK really moving for maybe doing. One HVDC project that, as a country, right? Not necessarily as Hitachi Energy by themselves, but as a country we’re really moving from doing one of these projects a year to doing, multiple, like three or four, maybe even more projects a year.
So the growth is, not just huge, it’s exponential. And as Alfredo was saying earlier, that’s really why we’re, we’re resourcing up, we’re hiring, thousands of people. To be able to work on HVDC solutions around the world. And because it’s not just the manufacturing of the converters and all of the other equipments that goes onto the, into the platforms and into the substations.
There’s a huge amount of engineering, of front end engineering that and design that needs to be done. Before you can start building such a project and really planning all of that in, in a strategic way into the overall grid is really crucial. And I think this is really the interesting thing that we’re seeing in the UK where we’ve really, moved from a connect and manage sort of approach.
So we’ll connect it when there is a need for it, and we know we have everything ready. To, know, let’s actually plan for, let’s plan for the future and we’re going to see what we need in the future, and we’re going to get ready and build that because we know that the generation and the demand will be coming.
And that’s when solutions such as HVDC become really critical. And it also depends on distance, right? So the distance is really a big element in HVDC. So anything. Over 120, 30 miles away. Is really going to be beneficial to use HVDC
Allen Hall: and Hitachi touches. Almost everyone’s lives in Europe and the United States.
You may not realize that, but Hitachi’s big on H-V-A-C-H-V-D-C and on the monitoring and support side they’re involved everywhere. And maybe touch upon Alfredo what. Hitachi is doing after the sale, after the grid’s been installed. There’s a lot of monitoring, support and software that goes on after the grid has been connected, right?
Absolutely.
Alfredo Parres: And welcome to, to, to this new world know, and I mentioned it before, know, which is digital, I mean with our new owners, as I guess more many people know by, by now. As a former a PB now owned by Hitachi. We have new owners that believe deeply in, in the role of digital and they invest heavily as a business itself.
And we are enjoying the benefits of being part of this larger corporation and developing the, those solutions of the future based on the core knowledge we do have. ’cause at the end, what makes a difference in digital is the understanding of the product and the process and the technology, which we master in Hitachi.
And you put a layer of digital on top of that. Which is the embedded digital solution we have in product solutions plus the layers of digital. You have to control and operate all those assets. Bingo. Then you start having comprehensive solutions that bring value to customers. No, and that’s where we are heading for the train has left the station ready for a while now.
We are not so starting now but the journey is still long to go until we reach full benefits. And Forest Service is going to be a huge focus area because we are sitting not only on a huge install base, you think about what a hundred years working on, on, on the market with millions of equipments out there that we can serve and we to serve more of them, but the requirements really come higher as the system will become more complex, more fragile.
So we need to be able to react quickly. But also we have to react to the environment, conditions that we are facing. Going to tell about all the climate incidents that we’re facing. That’s part also of operating an asset. No. And here too, a digital play, a big role or to not only anticipate forecasting evidence that can happen.
Get prepared with your plans. Get prepared with your actions to add quickly. Definitely for us is a critical area.
Allen Hall: Can we discuss the order book for Hitachi at a top level A little bit? How busy is Hitachi right now on orders and my guess is that your phone is ringing all the time. People trying to get orders in for HVDC, even HVAC at the minute.
How busy are you?
Laura Flemming: Yeah, now I can comment from a UK and Ireland perspective, so no, we’re very busy. And obviously that is wonderful. What’s really important for us is to ensure how do we bring the best of what Hitachi energy has got offer to our customers?
And therefore we have changed slightly the approach in which we are working with customers really working in programs. And frameworks and again, in in a systematic and strategic way. And that is a number of benefits. Yes, it allows us to understand, what work is coming. And that is really important for us, for our production planning, for making the investments that we talked about earlier.
And also for hiring people because the biggest. Obstacle that we have in in this energy transition is actually people we need. We need to train, we need to hire, we need to manage a vast amount of new people coming into the industry, not just in Hitachi energy, but into the industry.
So we’re really facing facing quite an uphill battle there. And so yeah, having that visibility requires us to, and allows us to plan in advance, there’s another very important aspect to all of this as well is that when we know what our customers are looking to do over the next few years or so, we can start working and engaging with them at a much earlier stage in their project.
That will allow us to help them standardize some of the solutions and that standardization will allow us to speed up, it’ll allow us to work more safely. It will allow us to, move from site to site knowing the issues that can appear on sites and actually be able to anticipate on the, on those in advance.
So yeah, that early engagement and a strategic approach to, to the order book, as you were saying earlier is super critical for us, but also ultimately for the customer and for the overall, for the greater good.
Allen Hall: Let’s talk about that variations that you see on orders and everybody when you hear about the power grid, a lot of operators, owners want a very specific set of parameters.
They don’t want to order a generic piece of equipment, but that’s a huge problem for the grid and for the manufacturing and planning. Are you starting to see a little more standardization as. The demand goes up that maybe I can use a slightly better HVD system that’s standardized for my project instead of having a tailored one for my specific needs.
Alfredo Parres: I think it’s a moving reality. And, and we cannot say we are there. Of course, we cannot say we are there, but we mentioned this always on the different ways. No, now I refer to the first one. Or if you have a frame agreement, if you work on a portfolio of project. Here we go.
That’s what we got. That’s what we did with the transmission system operator tenant in Germany where they came out with a large number of HVDC connection, 12 in one shot, and they went to markets. We got half of them, 13 billion contracts, 3 billion US dollar contract with that.
You can imagine with that in, in ahead of us, ahead of you to be delivered the next. Five to six years, there is an opportunity to go project by project, get lessons learned, standardize improve efficiency, and that’s what’s the opportunity we are in front of us and customer get it.
Of course, they’ll still like to specify. And that’s the second message we are giving. No, we talk about standardization. We should not think about having equipment out of the shelf. No, I don’t think we get there, and we should be dreaming of that. It’s more strategizing the requirements and then the manufacturers will put all their innovation, their creativity, to make those equipment as standard, as reputable as possible.
We had to start with the requirements. No, as you said, the transmission system operators, the utility companies, if they could standardize their requirements as much as possible, that will help the supply chain big time. Not only Hitachi energy, the whole supply chain.
Allen Hall: Yeah. If we wanna build the grid quickly, we need to have some level of standardization.
The number of varieties of transformers that exist in the world is in the thousands. The tens of thousands at the moment, which is a little crazy because we’re just moving power from A to B. We can have some standardization. I and Hitachi being a huge company worldwide, global company, country to country, that changes also.
So you’re getting to different types of requirements in different countries. If we’re going to go fast, we have to standardize at least a little bit and have maybe have a little more flexibility, which I think is afraid of what your point is. Come in with a spec sheet, but have a little bit of movement in it so we can deliver you the products faster.
Because the grid buildout is important right now, right? We say we need to
Alfredo Parres: go at speed and scale. That’s the name of the game, and that’s standardization. It’s innovation technology, but also innovation business models.
Laura Flemming: Standardization doesn’t mean, it is off the shelf and it’s, I am, 100% identical.
So much time is being used up because every time you start with a blank sheet and start, designing and engineering from the ground up, what if we could start at 70 or 80% and then, specify and and personalize that last 20. That saves saves so much time, but also removes the the the room for error redesign, et cetera, et cetera.
And as of, as Alfredo was saying, that’s really gonna speed us up
Joel Saxum: and I want to touch on that too, because of. Big part of what you guys do, and Alan had said this earlier, even if you don’t really realize it, Hitachi is touching your life somewhere, right When you flip the lights on at some point in time, Laura and Alfredo had something to do with that.
But what I wanna say is that with all of the innovation and the work that you guys are doing, and we’re talking about kind of economies of scale and standardization and getting things done more efficiently. What kind of impact do you think that Hitachi’s work has on the public perception of renewables?
Alfredo Parres: First of all, I want to say we like to be humbled also. We are a large corporation. We do a lot of things. We are a successful company, but we are only one part of the whole value chain. And it’s true that the big weight is carried by the investors or the ones who have to build the projects.
The trust the utility companies will have to build those lines. So our contribution to that is, is very much in providing the education, explaining what we do, explaining the benefits of the technologies, or sometimes also to make sure we don’t get misleaded in some wrong concepts, nor what could be the impact on people of high voltage transmission lines to say something, so we can tell things in a simple way.
We like to do it, but we are only what we are. No, we are a technology companies. And we have to support all of us, those who are taking the major risk to to define, to provide investments to to talk to to, to people, to talk to civil servants, to talk to local populations, to say what’s, what are the benefits of those technologies?
Laura Flemming: I think what Hitachi Energy is doing is, really showing also how all of the different pieces, come together. A lot of our technology and equipment, it’s usually a little bit hidden, right? The in terms of renewable energy, the attention goes to the the, the lovely shiny turbines and the things, and the things that we see.
But they are also usually the ones that attract, a lot of the negative attention. And I think by showing how renewable energy. Can be integrated into the grid successfully. How we make sure that where the turbines are turning, that we don’t throw any of that energy away. Because we’re now optimizing, we can be more flexible and actually we can provide energy security because, at the end of the day, this has been one of the big drivers.
Particularly so since we saw the impacts after, COVID and in Europe, particularly the the war in Ukraine, how easily, we can really be caught on the back foot in, in terms of our energy supply. So providing that energy security is absolutely critical because, let’s be honest, as we go on and on as a country and as a population, we’ll be needing more energy as we go forward.
So bringing the public along is super important. I don’t think as an industry we’re doing enough yet. But I’m really pleased that since the summer, IT energy is now actually one of the key five key requirements and action plans in the UK in terms of what the government is driving forward.
So having that specific focus. On energy, the same as education, the same as health is is a massive game changer. And I think what that oil will also do is make a lot more people interested to come and work in the energy industry going forward, which is exactly what we need.
Allen Hall: So what does the energy future look like with Hitachi?
What should we be looking for in the next year or two?
Laura Flemming: I think we’ll be building a lot of projects. I will be, think we’ll be supporting a lot of customers. And I also think you’ll be seeing a lot of innovation in terms of how we speed up, how we do things more quickly and flexibly. But also how the grid is actually going to look like, once we’re actually building up to the capacity that we need.
How is digitization really going to help us, accurately create the flows through the electricity system? And making sure that at any given time, the lights will stay on.
Allen Hall: Lauren Alfredo, this has been a terrific discussion. I’ve learned a tremendous amount. I think the world needs to know more about Hitachi energy and what you’re doing to make the grid more reliable.
I. And larger. And Laura, how do people get ahold of Hitachi Energy? How do they find out more about the great things that Hitachi is doing?
Laura Flemming: Thank you very much. It was indeed a very interesting conversation. So thank you for inviting us. And for anyone who would like to find out more about Hitachi Energy please follow us.
Via the usual channels or find us on Hitachi energy.com.
Allen Hall: Laura and Alfredo, thank you so much for being on the podcast. Really enjoy speaking with you today.
Laura Flemming: Thank you. Thank you.
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Renewable Energy
Vestas Shares Jump 20%, UK Blocks Ming Yang Factory
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Vestas Shares Jump 20%, UK Blocks Ming Yang Factory
Vestas doubles second quarter profit and adds €4.7 billion in market value overnight. Plus EnBW finishes He Dreiht after a V236 blade break, the UK blocks Ming Yang’s Scottish factory, and India rules turbines are movable goods.
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Allen Hall: Welcome to the Uptime Wind Energy podcast. I’m your host, Allen Hall, and I’m here with Rosemary Barnes, Matthew Stead, and Yolanda Padron. And three out of the four of us will be in Melbourne Australia talking to a number of operators and interested parties about WOMA 2027. Matthew, where will we be the couple of days we’re in Melbourne?
Matthew Stead: So, um, first of all, we’ve got the Pullman, uh, East Melbourne, which is, uh, where the venue will be for, for 2027. Um, so that’ll be our home base. Um, we’ve got around about eight meetings planned already. So what we’re doing is we’re talking to the operators and a few other industry, um, players about [00:01:00] what we need to talk about, how we’re gonna move the industry forward in Australia.
Uh, so it’s gonna be jam-packed, but there’s a little bit of time left on the Friday afternoon if there’s any late-minute, um, people that wanna get in contact and catch up with us, um, for next Thursday, Friday, or actually Friday. Uh, so yeah, it’s gonna be a, a jam-packed time. I think we’re gonna be tired, too many coffees, and talking to all the key, all the key operators, uh, about what they wanna hear about and how we can move the, the industry forward.
Allen Hall: And if someone wants to put an input into the WOMA panel about what will be discussed at WOMA 2027, Matthew, how would they do that? How do they get ahold of you?
Matthew Stead: Well, we have a wonderful website, and that’s got all the details you could ever want. Um, you can also register on the website, so please register.
Otherwise, um, I’m sure we’re gonna be a sellout this year for sure. So woma2027.com.
Rosemary Barnes: I just wanna add that when people talk to [00:02:00] me about the event, they always say how they love that the topics are so relevant, and the reason why that they’re so relevant is because we make sure to go around to operators and find out what are the issues that they’re really dealing with.
So anybody that’s thinking of attending, even if you can’t, you know, meet us up, meet up with us in Melbourne, get in touch and tell us what are the, yeah, what are the topics that you’re struggling with that you’re not, um, you’re having trouble finding enough information, having trouble finding the people that can help you.
And y- yeah, like we take all of that information, and that’s how we come up with our agenda each year. And yeah, I mean, for us, that’s the, the main thing is that this has to be really relevant, up-to-date information for the industry, and we need your help to make sure it stays that way. I
Matthew Stead: mean, that’s what we’ve done the last two years, so this is– we’re just repeating the formula, um, listening to the operators and getting the good topics and the good speakers.
Allen Hall: Well, Vestas has had a good quarter. Uh, the, for the last couple of years, honestly, s- [00:03:00] Vestas has been really thin on margins. There was questions about it continuing on. Rising costs mostly, uh, supply chains, especially during COVID, were bad. Uh, and, uh, but for the most part, the shareholders stayed attached.
Well, that story is changing rapidly. The world’s largest turbine maker posted second quarter operating profits of $400- €46 million, more than double what the analysts had expected, and it’s raised its full-year margin guidance alongside half-year results for the first time in a decade. The shares climbed about 20% in Copenhagen, adding roughly €4.7 billion of market value in a single session.
Now, the chief executive, uh, Henrik Andersen, ha- put it plainly to, uh, uh, in a couple of news sources that something much bigger is happening and Vestas is gonna be the, the leader in wind. That’s how I read it, that everybody [00:04:00]at Vestas was super happy with the, the change in direction and things were moving up steadily.
But a 20% jump in a day is remarkable. You don’t see that in large industrial businesses like wind energy. Matthew, this has real implications on what happens next for Vestas because success like this usually means more orders.
Matthew Stead: Yeah, I wonder what’s going on under the hood there. Um, I mean, Vestas is a quality company, although, although can I just do a quick segue?
How many turbines were installed in Denmark in the last, uh, two years? Like last year and the year before?
Allen Hall: I don’t know. How many?
Matthew Stead: I believe it was eight turbines installed onshore in Denmark last year, and the year before it was 12. So, you know, maybe, maybe Vestas needs to focus on their own backyard a little bit as well.
Allen Hall: I’m not sure there’s a lot of opportunity there. Yeah, onshore.
Matthew Stead: How can you ever be full? I mean, there’s always, um, [00:05:00] uh, you know, um, you know, resiting or, um, you know, upgrades and-
Rosemary Barnes: You know what? Allen and I are probably gonna get some time in Jutland, uh, later this year, um, and that area and the old wind turbines there was actually the inspiration for my whole YouTube channel.
It just, ’cause there’s, you know, there’s turbines there from, the earliest one is, um, from the ’70s and still going. I think it’s one and a half megawatts, actually huge for, for that time. Um, and it was like community made, um, at Tvind. But anyway, I’m interested to revisit the site and have a look and see are these, you know, all these old turbines still there.
It’s only, like six years since I went through and did the experience but for the most part, they don’t seem to be yet pulling down the, the small old ones and putting up big ones. There’s a lot of, a lot of them are community owned. Um, and yeah, I mean, Danish people love wind turbines, but there’s only so many that you can have onshore.
Like, people are happy to live near them by, you know, the standards of people in other countries, but you don’t want [00:06:00] one in your literal backyard. I think that there is, there, there is a, a limit to how many more onshore wind turbines that you can get in that area and offshore expansion is the more likely way to go.
Um, and also I think it’s, it’s, it’s good to recognize that if you have a domestic only or a domestic first strategy, that will only get you so far and then you have to expand, and I think Denmark did that really well. I think Germany a little bit less. I think that Enercon were a bit surprised, um, by their strategy.
It, uh, they had a real hard time anyway when they had to transition away from mostly Germany to getting overseas. And obviously, like if you look at China, they have most of their installations are in China. They are trying so hard to get outside of China because it’s not, like even a market as big as China, it’s got decades to go before it will be full.
Um, you can still recognize that that’s not your, like long-term strategy for growth has to involve expansion, I think.
Allen Hall: I think Vestas, regardless of what happens in Denmark, is making a play for the United States. That seems to be [00:07:00] where a significant effort is happening at the moment and on offshore. Their– Vestas seems very excited about the offshore opportunities.
Of course, there’s a ton of wind turbines gonna be installed in the UK and, and all around Northern Europe. Offshore, the opportunities to buy turbines, there’s only a couple that you could get today. Uh, uh, the GE Vernova offerings I, I don’t think are gonna fit the mold, and I don’t know if GE’s even actively selling.
So their competitor realistically is Siemens Gamesa, which does seem like the smaller player at the minute versus Vestas, which is heavily pushing the V236 and will fill order books like crazy, I think, uh, just based upon the, the history they’ve had and everybody knowing who they are. So Also on the move in Australia, right?
Vestas is huge in Australia right now.
Rosemary Barnes: I think it’s really good that their, um, yeah, finances, uh, are [00:08:00] looking a bit better ’cause it’s been funny. Like, I tried early on in my wind career to invest in, you know, wind turbine manufacturers knowing that there would be immense growth, and I was right. There, there was immense growth.
Not that that was so hard to figure out that there would be, but it did not lead to any kind of, um, return on, on anything, you know. Like, that did not keep pace with the just general market. Um, so I, I stopped trying to, stopped trying to invest to that. But it has been really, really hard for the companies to, you know, raise money or y- you know, do any of the things that they need to do because they’ve always, like, they’re growing, growing, growing, but finances has been so tight that it has been a real constraint on the amount of engineering that they could do, and I really hope that Vestas are gonna take this opportunity that they’ve got compared to, you know, a lot of the other manufacturers.
Vestas do have really strong, um, innovation and, yeah, engineering capabilities for doing– you know, developing new technologies and improving them, and I really hope that they’re taking this opportunity to build that up. There are a lot [00:09:00] of very good engineers with a lot of experience in the industry in that area that are working in other fields at the moment because, you know, there’s been a lot of contraction in Denmark.
So I don’t know, it seems like a really good time to hire back some of that really in-depth knowledge and, yeah, get a- get ahead of, you know, some of the future quality problems. We’re going through such a hard time at the moment from the fast development that happened in the 20-teens when there wasn’t a whole lot of money around.
We’re dealing with quality problems now, so, you know, maybe we can get ahead and not have the next round of them if we can invest in just a lot more, uh, engineering capacity.
Allen Hall: When you have success like Vestas has, usually the upper level management and some of the executive team starts getting pilfered, that they’ll get offers to repeat that success at another company, and it sounds like that process has started already.
There’s a couple of executives that have recently departing or are in the midst of departing from Vestas. [00:10:00] I would see that continuing f- at least for the next six months, uh, because everybody wants to repeat that, right? If you can get a 20% increase in your valuation overnight, uh, I can, I can list a number of companies, regardless of industry, that would love to participate.
Even in a 5% increase, that would be remarkable. So, um, Vestas is gonna have a hard time holding onto this. That’s just the nature of the business where things are successful, people will wander. And Rosemary, I, I think they’re– And Yolanda In, in my book, Vestas should sort of s-stand down and just make quality products.
I’m not sure you sh-should tinker too much at the time being and just make the good stuff better. That seems like a way to really increase profits.
Yolanda Padron: Yeah, I mean, solving a lot of the issues that– And, and that’s not just a Vestas exclusive thing, right? All of these OEMs have some sort of issue that maybe– I know Rosie’s touched a lot on, on it, where [00:11:00] you build this version A and then version B solves one of the small little issues, but now it creates another little problem, and then you have version C, and then everything just kinda has its own niche little issue, um, that really expands over time.
So if they could solidify what they already have in, in a, in a model that, that would help them just even keep a lot of their customers, I think that’d be great, and it would help, certainly help them, um, not continuously, like, rotate around the customers, ’cause it almost feels like, at least in the States, right, you, you get GE to be really, really strong and have a huge market share, and then GE starts focusing more on gas turbines, so then they all go onto Vestas, and then they all go onto Ontara now.
Um, and then just, you know, just kind of everybody starts cycling through them because they just kind of want something that’s better quality than what they’re getting in the long haul.
Matthew Stead: Allen, you, you talked about you think there’s something big under the hood. I think you, you [00:12:00] thought that maybe Vestas was angling towards something or being quite bullish.
Do you think that they might take over GE Vernova?
Allen Hall: I don’t think they’re gonna grab Vernova, and I don’t think Vernova is for sale at the minute, but I wonder if Siemens Gamesa is, or Nordex. I mean, Nordex has done terrific the last couple of quarters and is making inroads in places that I didn’t think possible three, four years ago.
Uh, the European marketplace is be- becoming really unique in that sense that there’s a lot of money being put out. But is there a sole perfect solution for Europe? Not at the minute, ’cause you got two competitors there, and then China trying to, to work its way in. Will the Europeans come together and form something more united, even if it’s just a partnership, a loose partnership, versus letting China on the shores?
We’ll see. 64 of the largest machines that Vestas has builds are standing off the German coast, but one blade is missing a [00:13:00] piece. We’ll talk about that when we come back.
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Allen Hall: Well, Germany’s largest offshore wind farm is now fully installed, and EnBW confirmed this, uh, past week that all 64 of the Vestas V236 15-megawatt turbines are s- standing at the He Dreiht wind farm about 85 kilometers northwest of Borkum. Uh, 960 megawatts, [00:14:00] 2.4 billion euros invested. Man, these offshore projects are expensive to get installed.
Uh, so it’s power for roughly 1.1 million households, and there’s no state subsidy behind any of it. And so this is a little bit of a u- unique situation. Uh, th- well, the one footnote about the wind farm is they had a V236 blade break and fall into the North Sea, and they had fished it out and I think I passed along s- pictures that I saw online of, uh, one of the police boats pulling the shear web out of the water I don’t know what to think anymore about some of these offshore blade issues.
Obviously, Vestas is very conscientious about it and will be doing RCAs and engineering reviews and all the above to go identify what the problem is. But it does just lead to a little bit of a pause of do– what is going on for some of these offshore [00:15:00] wind blade installations or, or whatever’s causing these blades to break?
Do we have a good handle on it? Yolanda, is– are we following up on all the design details so that we can prevent these things in the future?
Yolanda Padron: I mean, I’d, I’d hope you’d be following up on the design, right? Like, and, um, but I think there is still a little bit of a disconnect from, from what we’ve seen, and again, not just Vestas exclusive, um, between the people who are designing and the people who are manufacturing, the people who are in operations, right?
So, uh- The, from what we’ve heard, uh, this could have potentially been a, um, partially because of a transportation issue, which is what happens a lot in onshore. It’s a lot more common than we would like it to be. Um, and so that even goes beyond what would go on in the design studio and what would go on in the manufacturing and what would [00:16:00] go on even just for the people that are running the site, right?
So, so some sort of, um, in between, uh, EPC error. Um, but yeah, I just think that, like in a lot of industries, there should be a lot more communication between all of these teams on the lower level, so that way a lot of these problems can, can be avoided.
Allen Hall: I’m wondering if it’s actually an issue on the, the testing side.
And, uh, the one question that just popped up, and we saw from the ORE Catapult, uh, survey that’s being conducted at the moment, and if you haven’t participated in that, you just visit ORE Catapult and answer some of the survey questions. But torsion on a blade, which is very difficult to test for, and it really isn’t tested for today, but does happen during the move and the transportation of these big offshore blades.
Is it one area that we need to do a little more work in or maybe spend some more time focusing on it to see what is happening as blades are [00:17:00]moved?
Rosemary Barnes: The thing about te- torsion is that it is much more significant as blades get longer. I can’t, I can’t remember the equation off the top of my head, which is, um, bothering me.
But I think it scales with, like, the fourth power or something of, of length. And so whilst it was always a bit of a problem, it’s much more of a problem as it gets, as blades get bigger. I mean, they’ve never, like, fully tested a blade, and there was always a lot of reliance on, hey, y- you know, like we’ve tested certain things that is possible to test in a test facility on the ground.
But they also rely on their decades of experience of how blades actually behave in the field. But, you know, remember, that’s a real lagging, lagging indicator because y- you know, their decades of experience is mostly with lots smaller blades. Now, blades are really different because they’re longer and different effects are, are taking over.
It’s not just, uh, torsion, but it’s also the laminates get much thicker, and then y- you know, you, you have issues with the way that they’re curing, [00:18:00] and there’s a lot more just space for, um, defects to be present in a really thick laminate All of those things add up. Oh, yeah, then add in addition, like new materials, carbon fiber is new, and then new ways of producing it, you know, pultrusions, um, all kinds of different materials like balsa’s being replaced with foams and, um, like, you know, 10 times that number of what sounds like a small innovation, but all of these things have the potential for damage and don’t have a really long track record in the field to be able to kind of calibrate.
We do need to remember that, like, when you do something new, things are gonna break, uh, sometimes, they’re gonna fail sometimes. If they don’t, then you’re definitely being too conservative, and your product is costing more than it should, and nobody wants more expensive wind energy, right?
Matthew Stead: Rosie, Rosie, I, I know you’re doing some, some excellent work on, um, industry studies around erosion and temperature and so forth.
Um, I just wanted to let a little secret out of the bag that, um, in the future there will also be some [00:19:00] other studies on torsion and blade twist and blade dynamics. So, um, just a few things are in, in train at the moment, which I can’t share, share, but, uh, watch this space around better understanding blade twist.
Allen Hall: The Hydride wind farm runs on European turbines, but the next one might not. Two governments with two very different answers on who gets to build Europe’s wind fleet.
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Well, two countries and two decisions, one question. In Scotland, the UK government blocked plans for the Chinese manufacturer Mingyang to build a turbine factory, uh, near Inverness on national security grounds. 1.5 billion pounds of investment, up to about 1,500 jobs. And First Minister John Swinney has asked the new prime minister to reconsider.
And the UK energy secretary minister called that request irresponsible. Meanwhile, up in Denmark, Vattenfall has just won two offshore wind farms and will not say whether it will buy European turbines. Danish suppliers are not taking that quietly. So [00:21:00] the Scotland question about the Mingyang factory is at least being discussed again with the new prime minister in the UK.
It does seem like there’s a lot to do and get the government formed and make all this stuff happen. But I don’t see a Burnham administration changing the outcome for Mingyang, but I could be wrong. At the, the same time, Vestas is pushing for a more Eurocentric focus and to really keep out the Chinese.
Uh, something has to give here pretty soon.
Matthew Stead: I actually think Mingyang should, um, set up a factory in Scotland. I, I mean, what’s wrong with that? I mean, uh, why is that a security issue?
Rosemary Barnes: Set up the factory and put the, like, whatever you’re worried about, put protections in place for it, require it to be a local joint venture or whatever.
You know, we’ve seen the blueprint in many of what used to be, you know, less rich countries. That’s how they, you know, got a head start on some of these technologies. It’s not like, I don’t think that China [00:22:00] has a head start on wind, wind turbine technology, but they certainly have different ways of doing things that, um, yeah, we could, we could learn from.
But I think across the board, wind turbines, batteries, solar panels, whatever, let them set up factories, put the rules in place that mean that your country benefits from it and you’re getting the, you know, the information transfer.
Yolanda Padron: Do you think that’ll, like, impulse a lot of these more established European companies to maybe start fixing some of the issues that they’ve known about for, for a while, um, particularly regarding the blades and everything that we’ve talked about earlier?
Like, there’s enough competition there, so maybe they need to start looking a little bit more deeply into their problems.
Allen Hall: Do we think that Chinese operations have been out front, forward, honest, I’ll even use, about their blade issues?
Rosemary Barnes: No, but this is a good way to find out, isn’t it?
Allen Hall: Governments decide who is allowed to build a turbine after a discussion on Scotland.
Uh, but, but [00:23:00] occasionally, a court decides what a turbine legally is. India has just settled that question, and the reasoning should be of interest to anybody who ships machines across a border right after this. As wind energy professionals, staying informed is crucial and let’s face it, difficult. That’s why the Uptime Podcast recommends PES Wind Magazine.
PES Wind offers a diverse range of in-depth articles and expert insights that dive into the most pressing issues facing our energy future. Whether you’re an industry veteran or new to wind, PES Wind has the high-quality content you need. Don’t miss out. Visit peswind.com today. A tax fight in India has produced a definition every turbine supplier should read.
Is a wind turbine bolted to a concrete foundation movable goods, or is it immovable property? State tax authorities argued immovable, which would have [00:24:00] taxed erection and commissioning contracts at 18% instead of 5%. The Andhra Pradesh, uh, High Court disagreed, and on the 12th of August, the Supreme Court declined to interfere.
The reasoning rests on something this whole industry takes for granted. A turbine can be taken down, moved, and put back up. So a turbine is a movable object, and it has less taxation. Bonus. So this is a really interesting discussion that’s happening in India because it’s probably symptomatic of things we’re seeing elsewhere across the world about taxation for wind turbines, right?
That, um, if there’s a way to tax a wind turbine, we’re gonna try to do it. This is a unique way, uh, that happens in India where depending on if it’s permanent or movable, the tax rates are different. I, I guess that would apply to a lot of components inside a wind turbine too, Matthew, don’t you? Like the, the generator, the, the big heavy things, [00:25:00] gearbox, generator, blades, rotors, tower sections, would be taxed at a, a lesser rate.
Matthew Stead: I agree with the court case that it’s all movable and, uh, you can actually buy turbines on the secondhand market, can’t you? I mean, if I wanted to buy, yeah, whatever, whatever, I could buy one and, and put it up in my backyard if I had a bigger backyard. Um, so yeah, I vote for movable. I vote for lower taxes.
Yolanda Padron: The way that it would work a lot of times in the US is, I mean, it’s, you pay, the company itself pays a lot less than they would’ve over time, right? Just by pure, the, the regular kind of tax laws. Um, but the community, there’d be just direct donations to the community, so then they’d get, uh, like money would actually come into the community where the turbines were being built instead of just distributed around the state, which I mean, in a state as big as Texas, it gets, um, but easier for that c- um, that county to get a lot more, uh, funding than they would typically get if it was [00:26:00] through a big enough area.
Um, but yeah, no, I agr- I completely agree with you guys that, that this should be a movable good. I mean, how many times have we seen, uh, even just a blade, um, that it looks like it’s, uh, just a, a failed blade that they have to go in and replace, and then they take it out, fix it, and then just bring it back to the same site or take it to another site across the country.
And, and to that point, like if you were to h- judge it as something that’s immovable, would then any blade replacement just not be taxed? Because then it’s, you’re moving that one component and two, but it’s essentially the same turbine. Like, I don’t know how that all would make sense.
Allen Hall: I think the Uptime Supreme Court agrees with the Indian Supreme Court that wind turbines are movable, and that’s good.
Well, that wraps up another episode of the Uptime Wind Energy podcast. If today’s discussion sparked any questions or ideas, we’d love to hear from you. [00:27:00] Reach out to us on LinkedIn. And if you found value in today’s conversation, please leave us a review. It really helps other wind energy professionals discover the show.
And don’t forget to subscribe so you never miss an episode. For Rosa, Yolanda, and Matthew, I’m Allen Hall. We’ll see you here next week on the Uptime Wind Energy podcast.
Renewable Energy
Vermont and Florida: A Key Difference
Can’t swear that the story here is authentic, but it sure rings true.
Vermont is a somewhat quirky state, but it protects its citizens very well. FWIW, this is where I want MY tax dollars going too.
Florida is a deeply red state that, true to form, wants as much ignorance as it can possibly produce. Educated people aren’t voting for people like Ron Desantis.
Renewable Energy
Republicans: Will This Work?
The GOP is asking American voters to believe that “radical left Democrat extremists” are leading the country into socialism/communism. They’re hoping that this fear will outweigh the electorate’s understanding of the damage that Trump, with help of congressional Republicans, is inflicting on this nation in the form of the war in Iran, destroyed relations with allies, inflation, shoddy education, environmental collapse, and threats to Social Security and Medicare.
As we all know, the rate at which a lie becomes accepted as true is a function of the frequency that it is repeated. And God knows, we see this crap about communism every time we turn around.
But this looks like an unwinnable battle. Virtually no one wants to abandon free enterprise. Moreover, Trump’s abysmal polling numbers reflect the fact that is largely despised as a criminal–the most corrupt figure in U.S. history.
How would you like to be campaigning to retired baby boomers on the platform that we cannot afford Social Security any longer, because we’ve siphoned off huge amounts of money, like our president’s “vanity war,” with only further downside in sight, that is costing $1 billion a day?
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