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China Carbon Prices Reach All-Time High at $14.62 a Ton

China’s carbon market has seen a significant surge in prices, with carbon permits or credits reaching an all-time high as industries prepare for a looming compliance deadline. 

On Monday, emissions permits rose 2.5% to 103.49 yuan ($14.62) per ton. This is the highest since the national market’s launch in mid-2021, as reported by the National Carbon Trading Agency. This increase represents a 35% rise in carbon prices so far this year, fueled by recent government actions aimed at tightening regulations and driving greater activity within the market.

China carbon prices all-time high

Compliance Countdown: Fueling the Price Surge

China’s carbon market includes a compliance or mandatory Emission Trading System (ETS) and a voluntary greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction market, known as the China Certified Emission Reduction (CCER) scheme, which was revamped earlier this year. 

China’s ETS plans to include 8 major emitting sectors—power generation, steel, building materials, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, chemicals, paper, and civil aviation—representing 75% of China’s total emissions. 

Since its launch, the ETS has become the world’s largest emissions trading platform. It covers about 5.1 billion tons of carbon dioxide equivalent or 40% of China’s total emissions.

The spike in prices comes as China’s power utilities face a year-end deadline to secure enough carbon allowances, also called carbon credits, to offset their 2023 emissions. 

The existing ETS system allocates a certain amount of free permits to companies. However, if their emissions exceed these allowances, they must purchase additional credits on the market. The impending deadline has intensified demand for these permits, contributing to the price surge.

This year, the Chinese government introduced stricter regulations to further develop the national carbon market. The goal is to increase the pressure on polluting industries to curb their emissions. These changes could spur a more aggressive transition toward lower-carbon operations among industrial players.

China’s carbon market vitality has been on the rise. By the end of June 2024, the cumulative trading volume in China’s national carbon emissions trading market reached 465 million tons, with a transaction value of around 27 billion yuan (around $3.7 billion).

Expanding the Scope of Regulation

The latest regulatory shift broadens the scope of China’s carbon market, which currently covers around 2,200 power utilities that together account for about 4.5 billion tons of carbon dioxide emissions annually. New rules will extend emissions obligations to other high-polluting sectors starting next year, including:

  • steel, 
  • aluminum, and 
  • cement production. 

Moreover, fossil-fuel power generators are facing tighter emissions caps, which further pushes them toward either reducing their carbon output or purchasing more permits to comply with regulatory requirements.

These measures align with China’s broader climate commitments to peak carbon emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. By intensifying regulations, China aims to use its carbon market to steer industries towards cleaner energy and lower emissions.

Strategic Implications for Industries

As the market adapts to the stricter compliance requirements, industries are being prompted to reassess their carbon strategies. Companies that exceed their allotted emissions must factor in the rising cost of permits. This, in turn, could put pressure on profit margins, especially for high-emitting sectors like power generation, steel, and cement

To mitigate costs, these industries may accelerate their investments in clean energy solutions, such as renewable power sources or efficiency upgrades, to reduce their reliance on carbon credits.

The inclusion of new industrial sectors into the carbon trading scheme is expected to increase market liquidity, as the demand for permits will expand beyond power utilities to other key players. This change could also drive more transparency and efficiency in China’s carbon pricing mechanism as more companies participate.

What’s Next for China’s Carbon Trading?

With China’s national carbon market still in its early stages, the recent surge in prices represents a crucial phase in its development. Analysts believe that tightening regulations will be instrumental in enhancing the market’s effectiveness as a tool for reducing emissions. The Chinese government’s efforts to refine and expand the market are likely to continue, as it aims to strike a balance between economic growth and climate goals.

If China can successfully integrate more industries into its carbon trading system and continue to enforce stringent emissions standards, the national market could become one of the most significant in the world. This would help the world’s largest greenhouse gas emitter move closer to its climate targets. It could also provide valuable lessons for other countries seeking to implement or expand their own carbon markets.

The response from industrial players in the coming months—particularly as they navigate the end-of-year compliance deadline—will serve as an early indicator of the market’s long-term impact on China’s decarbonization efforts.

The post China Carbon Prices Reach All-Time High At $14.62 Per Ton appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Environmental Groups Urge U.S. Congress to Pause Data Center Growth as Federal AI Rule Looms

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Environmental Groups Urge U.S. Congress to Pause Data Center Growth as Federal AI Rule Looms

More than 230 environmental and public-interest groups asked Congress to halt approvals for and construction of new data centers. They want a temporary national moratorium until federal rules address energy use, water needs, local impacts, and emissions. The request came from Food & Water Watch and was signed by national and local groups across the country.

They said that the fast growth of artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud services is putting big new demands on local grids and water systems. They also said current federal rules do not cover the environmental or social impacts linked to data center growth.

Why the Groups Want a Moratorium

Data centers are using more electricity each year. U.S. data centers consumed an estimated 183 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity in 2024. That was about 4% of all U.S. power use. Some national studies project that number could rise to 426 TWh by 2030, which would be about 6.7% to 12% of U.S. electricity, depending on growth rates.

Global data centers used around 415 TWh of electricity in 2024. Analysts expect double-digit annual growth as AI loads increase.

US data center power demand 2030
Source: S&P Global

AI-ready data center capacity is projected to grow by about 33% per year from 2023 to 2030 in mid-range market scenarios. Industry groups say global data center capacity could reach over 220 gigawatts (GW) by 2030.

Some groups warn that data center CO₂ emissions might hit 1% of global emissions by 2030. That’s about the same as a mid-size industrial country’s yearly emissions. They say the growth rate is rising faster than the reductions in many other sectors. 

An excerpt from their letter reads:

“The rapid expansion of data centers across the United States, driven by the generative artificial intelligence (AI) and crypto boom, presents one of the biggest environmental and social threats of our generation. This expansion is rapidly increasing demand for energy, driving more fossil fuel pollution, straining water resources, and raising electricity prices across the country. All this compounds the significant and concerning impacts AI is having on society, including lost jobs, social instability, and economic concentration.”

When AI Growth Collides With the U.S. Power Grid

Several utilities have linked new power plant plans to data center growth. In Virginia, the largest power company and grid planners see data centers as a key reason for new infrastructure.

In Louisiana, Entergy moved forward with a new gas-plant plan expected to support a large hyperscale data center campus. These cases show how utilities now size new plants with AI-related load in mind.

Some utilities believe these expansions might increase local electricity rates by a few percentage points. This depends on how costs are shared. Regulators in various areas say that extra load can increase distribution and transmission costs. This might lead to higher bills for households.

Several grid operators also report congestion or long waiting lines for new power connections. Northern Virginia, Texas, and parts of the Pacific Northwest now have interconnection queues. In these areas, data center projects make up a large part of the pending requests.

Water Use and Siting Concerns

Water demand is another point of conflict. Many large data centers rely on water-cooled systems. A typical water-cooled data center may use around 1.9 liters of water per kWh. More advanced or dry-cooled facilities may use as little as 0.2 liters per kWh, but these designs are not yet common.

One medium-sized data center can use about 110 million gallons of water per year. Large hyperscale sites can use several hundred million gallons annually, and, in some cases, even more. Global estimates suggest data centers could use over 1 trillion liters of water per year by 2030 if growth continues.

data center water use
Source: Financial Times

These demands have triggered local resistance. In parts of Arizona, California, and Georgia, community groups have raised concerns about water use during drought periods. In some cases, local governments paused or limited data center approvals. A single campus can use more water each year than some small towns.

Trump Plans Executive Order on AI Regulation

While groups push for limits on new data centers, the White House is also preparing an executive order that would reshape AI policy nationwide, as reported by CNN. President Donald Trump has said he plans to issue an order that would block states from creating their own AI rules. 

The administration aims to create one national standard for AI. This way, companies won’t have to deal with different state regulations.

Drafts of the plan say the order may tell federal agencies to challenge state AI laws. This could happen through lawsuits or funding limits if the laws clash with federal policy. Supporters say a unified national rule could help U.S. companies compete globally and reduce compliance costs.

State leaders and consumer protection groups argue the opposite. They say states have a legal right to pass their own rules on privacy, safety, and data use. Some governors argue that an executive order cannot override state laws without action by Congress. Minnesota lawmakers, for example, continue to write their own AI bills focused on deepfakes and child-safety concerns.

The debate adds another layer to the data center issue. AI systems require massive computing power. If AI keeps growing quickly, analysts expect even heavier pressure on local grids and water systems. Advocacy groups say that this makes federal regulation more urgent.

Scale of AI and Hyperscale Build-out

The U.S. is in the middle of a major build-out of hyperscale and AI-optimized data centers. Industry trackers report that hundreds of new hyperscale facilities are planned or already under construction through 2030. Many of these campuses are designed specifically for AI training and inference workloads.

Major cloud and social media companies have sharply increased capital spending to support this build-out. Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Meta, and other major platforms, combined spending on AI chips, data centers, and network upgrades reached hundreds of billions of dollars per year in the mid-2020s. These spending levels signal how fast demand is growing.

Some experts track how major technology firms have changed over time. For example, one big cloud provider said its data center electricity use has more than doubled in the last ten years. This increase happened as its global reach grew. This gives a sense of how long-term trends feed current infrastructure pressures.

AI also adds new layers of demand. Training one large AI model can use millions of kilowatt-hours of electricity. Operating a popular chatbot can require many megawatt-hours per day, especially at peak traffic.

Research shows that processing one billion AI queries uses as much electricity as powering tens of thousands of U.S. homes for a day. This varies with the model’s size and efficiency.

AI power use by end 2025

Cities and States Move Faster Than Washington

Local governments have acted faster than federal agencies to respond to public concerns. More than 100 counties and cities have passed temporary moratoria, zoning limits, or new environmental rules since 2023. Examples include parts of Georgia, Oregon, Arizona, and Virginia, where communities plan to evaluate energy and water impacts before approving new projects.

Advocacy groups also argue that federal standards have not kept up. The U.S. does not have national energy-efficiency rules for private data centers. It also does not require detailed, mandatory reporting on energy, water, or emissions for the sector. The groups pushing for a moratorium say Congress must update these policies before more sites break ground.

What the Debate Means for 2026 and Beyond

Congress will review the environmental groups’ request in the coming months. Lawmakers are expected to weigh economic benefits against rising tensions around energy, water, and local resources. At the same time, the White House may release its AI executive order, which could shape how states and companies set their own rules.

With rapid AI growth, rising electricity use, and expanding data center construction, both debates are likely to continue through 2026. Many experts say long-term solutions will require national standards, better reporting, and closer coordination between states, utilities, and federal agencies.

The post Environmental Groups Urge U.S. Congress to Pause Data Center Growth as Federal AI Rule Looms appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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ExxonMobil’s $20B Low-Carbon Bet in 2030 Plan: Big Emissions Cuts, Bigger Oil Production

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ExxonMobil’s $20B Low-Carbon Bet in 2030 Plan: Big Emissions Cuts, Bigger Oil Production

ExxonMobil published its updated 2030 Corporate Plan, which keeps the company’s “dual challenge” approach. The oil giant says it will supply reliable energy while cutting emissions. The update raises lower-emission spending, while also forecasting higher oil and gas production to 2030.

Billions in Motion: ExxonMobil’s Financial and Production Targets

ExxonMobil plans about $20 billion of lower-emission capital between 2025 and 2030. It says the $20 billion targets carbon capture and storage (CCS), hydrogen, and lithium projects.

The company projects ~5.5 million oil-equivalent barrels per day (Moebd) of upstream production by 2030. Exxon also forecasts ~$25 billion of earnings growth and ~$35 billion of cash-flow growth by 2030 versus 2024 on a constant price-and-margin basis.

The oil major gives a range for cash capex. It shows $27–29 billion for 2026 and $28–32 billion annually for 2027–2030. The updated plan highlights about $100 billion in major investments planned for 2026–2030. It notes these projects could bring in around $50 billion in total earnings during that time.

ExxonMobil earnings growth 2030
Source: ExxonMobil Updated 2030 Plan

Low-Carbon Plan: $20B for CCS, Hydrogen and Lithium

ExxonMobil describes the $20 billion as focused on three business lines:

  • CCS networks and hubs for third parties.
  • Hydrogen production and integrated fuels.
  • Lithium supply for batteries.

The company says roughly 60% of the $20 billion will support lower-emissions services to third-party customers. It estimates new low-carbon businesses could deliver ~$13 billion of earnings potential by 2040 if markets and policies develop as expected.

ExxonMobil $20B in low carbon investments
Source: ExxonMobil

Exxon’s updated Corporate 2030 Plan lists current and contracted CCS volumes. The company reports about 9 million tonnes per annum (MTA) of CO₂ capture capacity under contract for its U.S. Gulf Coast network. Key project entries include:

  • Linde — Beaumont, TX: ~2.2 MTA CO₂, start-up 2026.
  • CF Industries — Donaldsonville, LA: ~2.0 MTA, start-up 2026.
  • NG3 (Gillis, LA): ~1.2 MTA, start-up 2026.
  • Lake Charles Methanol II: ~1.3 MTA, start-up 2030.
  • Nucor — Convent, LA: ~0.8 MTA, start-up 2026.

The plan also highlights a proposed 1.0 GW low-carbon power/data center project paired with ~3.5 MTA capture, with a planned final investment decision in 2026. Exxon calls its Gulf Coast network an “end-to-end CCS system” and says scale depends on permitting and supportive policy.

ExxonMobil CCS system
Source: ExxonMobil

Counting Carbon: How Exxon Tracks Methane and Emissions Cuts

ExxonMobil says it is making measurable progress on emissions. The company reports faster-than-expected cuts in several intensity metrics. It states it has already met key 2030 intensity milestones and now expects to meet its methane-intensity target by 2026, four years early.

The company repeats its long-term net-zero framing for operated assets. Exxon’s plan targets Scope 1 and Scope 2 net-zero for its operated assets by 2050. It also sets a nearer target of net-zero Scope 1 and 2 for its operated Permian assets by 2035.

These commitments focus on emissions the company directly controls. They do not include a Scope 3 net-zero pledge for customer use of sold products. Exxon underscores that these goals depend on technology, markets, and supportive policy.

On operational achievements, Exxon highlights large cuts in routine flaring and improved equipment standards. The new plan states that the company reduced corporate flaring intensity by over 60% from 2016 to 2024.

  • As shown in the chart below, ExxonMobil’s operated-basis greenhouse gas profile shows a clear decline in Scopes 1 and 2 between the 2016 baseline and 2024.

Also, by 2024, Scope 1 emissions dropped to 91 million metric tons CO₂e. Scope 2 emissions (location-based) reached 9 million metric tons CO₂e. Together, this totals 100 million metric tons CO₂e. This is about a 15% reduction from 2016 based on operations.

ExxonMobil GHG emissions 2024

For the same period, Exxon’s Scope 1+2 emissions intensity dropped from 27.5 to 22.6 metric tons CO₂e per 100 metric tons produced. This shows they are decarbonizing operations, even as production has changed.

The company also hit other flaring and GHG intensity goals ahead of schedule. These outcomes came from replacing old equipment, tightening operations, and limiting routine venting and flaring.

Exxon lists four categories of near-term reduction actions it is scaling up:

  • Methane control: wider deployment of leak-detection and infrared cameras, more frequent inspections, and accelerated repairs.
  • Flaring reduction: operational changes and stricter shutdown protocols to cut routine flaring.
  • Efficiency and asset management: project design improvements, digital optimization, and selective asset sales or retirements to lower average carbon intensity.
  • CCS and low-carbon services: building capture hubs (about 9 MTA of contracted CO₂ capacity on the U.S. Gulf Coast) and contracting capture services for industrial customers.

The plan also names specific technology and program investments. Exxon highlights advanced sensor networks and real-time emissions monitoring. They also focus on expanding data systems to track and verify reductions. It expects these tools to improve measurement accuracy and speed up corrective action.

Limits and caveats appear repeatedly. Exxon links its long-term net-zero goal to several factors. These include market formation, policy incentives like tax credits and carbon pricing, and permitting timelines. The company warns that total emissions and some asset outcomes will change with production levels and energy demand.

In the near term, key metrics to watch include:

  • 2026 methane-intensity and flaring disclosures.

  • Volumes of CO₂ captured and stored as Gulf Coast CCS projects launch.

  • The pace of FID and execution for the 1.0 GW / 3.5 MTA low-carbon power and capture project.

These will show whether Exxon’s claimed progress converts into sustained emissions declines.

Fueling the Future: Rising Oil & Gas Output Through 2030

Exxon projects higher hydrocarbon output even as it invests in low-carbon businesses. The plan targets ~5.5 Moebd by 2030. The company expects ~65% of production to come from advantaged assets such as the Permian Basin, Guyana, and select LNG.

Permian growth is a core part of the supply outlook. Exxon expects roughly 2.5 Moebd from the Permian by 2030, up materially from 2024 levels. Guyana’s Stabroek Block is another major growth driver.

Exxon plans multiple new offshore start-ups in Guyana before 2030. The company argues that these barrels deliver lower operational carbon intensity compared with many older fields.

Critics say rising production risks locking in fossil reliance. Environmental groups, including the Sierra Club, called the plan inconsistent with a 1.5°C pathway. Exxon responds that the world will need oil and gas for decades and that its strategy balances supply security with emissions reduction. Reuters reported split investor and market reactions when the plan surfaced.

Investor Radar: Metrics to Track Exxon’s Low-Carbon Rollout

ExxonMobil links the pace of low-carbon roll-out to policy, permitting, and market formation. Key near-term items to watch include:

  • Final investment decision and execution of the 1.0 GW / 3.5 MTA project in 2026.
  • Gulf Coast CCS volumes will actually be placed into service in 2026–2030.
  • Methane-intensity disclosures in 2026 to confirm earlier achievement claims.

Market analysts noted Exxon’s plan targets improved earnings and cash flow through 2030 while retaining tight capital discipline. Some news channels highlighted that the company raised its earnings and cash-flow outlook to 2030 without raising total capital allocation.

ExxonMobil’s 2030 Corporate Plan balances growth and green ambition. With $20 billion dedicated to CCS, hydrogen, and lithium, the company aims to cut emissions while increasing oil and gas output.

Success will depend on technology, policy support, and timely project execution, making the next few years critical for investors and stakeholders tracking both energy transition and production growth.

The post ExxonMobil’s $20B Low-Carbon Bet in 2030 Plan: Big Emissions Cuts, Bigger Oil Production appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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CSRD for SME Suppliers: How to turn data requests into a competitive advantage

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Across Europe, a quiet but decisive shift is reshaping how companies work with their suppliers. As the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) comes into force, large organisations are under mounting pressure to disclose detailed, verifiable sustainability information—not only about their own operations, but across their entire value chain. And because up to 80% of a company’s emissions often come from its supply chain, the spotlight naturally turns to SMEs.

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