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Yara Clean Ammonia, the world’s largest trader and distributor of ammonia, has forged a long-term deal with India-based Greenko ZeroC (formerly known as AM Green), the green ammonia production arm of the India-based AM Green.

This historic deal majorly boosts the green ammonia industry and propels the net zero goals of both economies.

Unlocking the Key Features of the Green Ammonia Deal

The agreement and the term sheet ensure the supply of 50% renewable ammonia from Phase 1 of AM Green’s ammonia production plant located in Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh.

The document further states that Greenko’s plant will produce, and export renewable ammonia derived from round-the-clock carbon-free energy by 2027.

The press release from Yara Ammonia highlights two important aspects of this deal:

  • AM Green’s platform will ensure compliance with EU RFNBO and Renewable Energy Directive requirements for renewable ammonia and other sustainable fuels.
  • Yara Clean Ammonia will utilize the renewable ammonia supply to manufacture low-emission fertilizer and to decarbonize industries such as shipping, power, and energy-intensive sectors.

Mr. Mahesh Kolli, President of AM Green has expressed himself with a note,

“We are delighted to partner with Yara Clean Ammonia to propel the transformation of various industries and several OECD economies. Continuous focus on innovation combined with execution reinforces AM Green’s leadership position as a global clean energy transition solutions platform for low-cost green molecules such as hydrogen, ammonia, fuels, and other chemicals.”

Clean Ammonia: Fuelling the Future  

Ammonia, with no CO2 emissions upon combustion, is poised to be a key fuel in the future, aligning well with the hydrogen economy. Unlike liquid hydrogen, ammonia doesn’t require extreme cooling and boasts superior energy density. This renders it more practical for transportation and storage.

Moreover, ammonia production utilizing renewable energy sources leads to negligible or zero GHG emissions.

Scaling Up: AM Green’s Bold Plan for a Mega-Scale Green Ammonia Platform

Founded by the creators of Greenko Group, the company is building production capacity for green molecules, including:

  • green hydrogen
  • ammonia,
  • biofuels and e-methanol
  • sustainable aviation fuels,
  • high-value downstream chemicals

Its main goal is to decarbonize the tough industries. Additionally, Greenko plans to establish an international renewables and storage business by collaborating with John Cockerill of Belgium. Together they would manufacture electrolyzers to produce green ammonia.

Uniper and Greenko signed exclusivity for Green Ammonia offtake to the EU from India’s first Green Ammonia Project in Kakinada. Their press release states that they have collaborated to negotiate innovative pricing and supply. Together they would “build a tenure structure for a unique supply and purchase agreement for 250,000 T per annum of Green Ammonia (GASPA) based on the Heads of Terms.” 

Greenko’s Kakinada project is a multi-phase green ammonia production and export facility. It would be one of the world’s largest green ammonia platforms.

Furthermore, the company’s annual report reveals that:

  • Greenko is building a 2 GW per year Alkaline Electrolyser manufacturing capacity. It can produce 1 Lakh TPA Green Ammonia that will be operational by 2024.
  • Further, 1 MTPA Green Ammonia manufacturing capacity will be supplemented in the next two consecutive years summing up to 3.1 MTPA capacity by the end of 2026.
  • Additionally, there are plans to increase the capacity to 5 MT per annum by 2030.

Greenko’s Green H2 and Energy Carrier Architecture

Greenko

source: Greenko

Yara’s Ambitious Decarbonization Goals for its Ammonia Plant

Yara Clean Ammonia headquartered in Oslo, Norway operates the largest global ammonia network with 15 ships. Through Yara, it has access to 18 ammonia terminals and multiple ammonia production and consumption sites worldwide.

In 2021, Yara received NOK 283.25 million from Enova to develop a green ammonia initiative. It marked the first step towards fully decarbonizing the Herøya ammonia plant in Porsgrunn, Norway.

The Herøya fertilizer factory ranks among Norway’s top CO2 emitters outside the oil and gas sector, releasing 800,000 tonnes of CO2 annually. Hydrogen, vital in fertilizer production, is currently derived from liquefied fossil gas, but Yara aims to shift to renewable energy sources, enabling emission-free ammonia production.

CEO Svein Tore Holsether emphasizes Norway’s unique opportunity to lead the green transition. He highlighted green ammonia’s versatility and its role in reducing emissions in global food production and long-distance shipping. Yara’s corporate board commits to investing in a 24 MW demonstration plant, making it one of the world’s largest green ammonia production projects.

Yara reports that this shift to renewable energy will cut CO2 emissions by about 41,000 tons yearly. It would also produce enough hydrogen to yield 60,000 – 80,000 tonnes of green, fossil-free mineral fertilizer annually.

Another landmark deal is the Yara Clean Ammonia and Cepsa partnership. This initiative aims to decarbonize the European industry and maritime transport by creating a secure and cost-effective supply chain for low-emission ammonia and hydrogen.

Strategy scorecard of Yara Ammonia

Yara Ammonia

source: Yara’s report

Considering the AM Green collaboration, Hans Olav Raen, CEO, of Yara Clean Ammonia commented,

“The AM Green Kakinada project expands our portfolio of ammonia produced with renewable energy and consolidates Yara Clean Ammonia’s position as a reliable supplier of low-emission ammonia to established and emerging markets like fertilizer production, cracking of clean ammonia to hydrogen, shipping fuel, power generation, and other industrial applications.”

We can conclude from this report that the Yara Ammonia-Greenko deal could revolutionize sustainable energy architecture by ambitiously ramping up green ammonia production and supply. Notably, it indicates a substantial potential!

The post Yara Clean Ammonia Signs Historic Deal with India’s Greenko ZeroC to Ramp Up Green Ammonia Supply appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Nuclear’s Next Chapter: newcleo Raises $88M to Scale SMR Powered by Nuclear Waste

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Nuclear’s Next Chapter: newcleo Raises $88M to Scale SMR Powered by Nuclear Waste

newcleo, a European nuclear technology company, announced that it has raised €75 million (about USD $88 million) in a new funding round. The cash will help the company build and develop advanced small nuclear reactors powered by recycled nuclear waste. The financing is a sign of growing investor interest in clean and low-carbon energy solutions.

Newcleo also said that it has now raised more than $124 million in total for 2025. The company was founded in September 2021 and is based in Paris, France. The nuclear energy developer also operates in Italy, the UK, Belgium, and Slovakia, with roughly 1,000 employees.

What newcleo’s Technology Does: Turning Nuclear Waste into Usable Fuel

newcleo develops a type of advanced nuclear technology known as lead-cooled fast reactors (LFRs). These reactors are a form of small modular reactor (SMR).

Unlike traditional nuclear reactors that use fresh uranium fuel, newcleo’s design aims to use reprocessed nuclear waste as fuel. This means existing waste from older reactors could become a power source.

Using nuclear waste as fuel is intended to have two benefits:

  • It could reduce long-term waste storage needs.
  • It may help lower the carbon footprint of nuclear power.

Lead-cooled fast reactors also use liquid lead to transfer heat out of the core. The liquid lead acts as a coolant and enables the reactor to operate at high temperatures without high pressure.

This reactor type is still under development and not yet in wide commercial operation. But companies like newcleo believe it could play a role in future clean energy systems.

Heavy Industry and Investors Double Down

The €75 million funding round brought in both new and existing investors. New industrial backers included heavy industry groups such as:

  • Danieli & C, a steel mill manufacturer
  • Cementir Holding, a cement and concrete producer
  • Orion Valves, an industrial valve maker
  • NextChem, an energy engineering firm

Existing financial backers also participated. These included Kairos, Indaco Ventures, Azimut Investments, the CERN pension fund, and Walter Tosto (industrial engineering).

The mix of industrial and financial investors shows that newcleo’s technology draws interest from companies looking for reliable, low-carbon power and firms focused on clean energy investments.

Scaling from Design to Deployment

newcleo said the fresh funding will support several key parts of its business. The company highlighted progress in:

  • Licensing and regulatory approval processes
  • Research and development (R&D) of reactors and fuel systems
  • Vertical integration of technology and manufacturing
  • Geographic expansion in key markets like Europe and the United States

This means newcleo is working not just on reactor design, but on building the skills and facilities needed to support production, testing, and commercial deployment. The company also has partnerships and projects in multiple countries, including France, Italy, Slovakia, and the U.S. These collaborations relate to licensing and siting work, research facilities, and future commercial reactor projects.

Closing the Nuclear Fuel Loop

Nuclear power is often seen as a low-carbon energy source because it produces virtually no direct CO₂ emissions during operation. However, it leaves behind radioactive waste that can remain hazardous for thousands of years.

nuclear carbon emission
Carbon Footprint of Various Energy Sources

Traditional reactors use uranium fuel once and store the resulting waste. newcleo’s approach aims to reuse existing waste as reactor fuel. This could potentially reduce the volume and hazard of waste that needs long-term storage.

Lead-cooled fast reactors are one class of Generation IV nuclear technology. These designs are intended to be safer and more efficient than older reactors. They can run on fuels that traditional reactors cannot and may help make nuclear energy more sustainable in the long term.

Using recycled radioactive fuel helps close the nuclear fuel cycle. This means sourcing more energy from mined uranium, which leaves less waste behind.

Building a Cross-Border Nuclear Footprint

newcleo has stated that it plans to roll out its technology in several countries with active regulatory frameworks for advanced nuclear projects. The company has started licensing and planning partnerships in Europe and the U.S. These moves aim to make it a major supplier of advanced nuclear power systems.

In France, newcleo is preparing regulatory filings for both fuel and reactor projects. In Italy, it is building R&D infrastructure and test systems, while in Slovakia, it has formed a joint venture to deploy multiple reactors at a nuclear site. And in the U.S., it is engaging in collaborations to build fuel manufacturing and fabrication capabilities.

The company’s CEO, Stefano Buono, said investors view newcleo’s progress in licensing, R&D, and global expansion as a key advantage. He further added,

“Our ability to deliver impactful low-carbon energy solutions for energy-intensive firms is proving an attractive investment rationale for both industrial and financial investors. Our tangible progress in licensing, R&D, vertical integration, and geographic expansion is seen by investors as a key differentiator in the race to deliver clean, safe, and affordable nuclear energy.”

Small Modular Reactors Gain Global Traction

Interest in small modular reactors is rising as countries look for reliable, low-carbon power. Governments and industry groups also track SMRs more closely than before.

One sign is the growing number of designs in development. The OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) reported that its latest SMR Dashboard found 98 SMR technologies globally. It detailed 56 of these SMRs in its dashboard set.

A separate NEA summary shows a larger count of designs tracked over editions. This highlights how quickly the pipeline is expanding.

  • Forecasts also show wider deployment in the coming decades. The International Energy Agency (IEA) publishes scenario data on global SMR capacity from 2025 to 2050.

In its analysis, SMR capacity rises from near-zero today to tens of gigawatts by 2050 in its main scenarios (39 GW), and it grows even higher in its “high SMR” case (190 GW). This suggests that SMRs could move from pilot projects to meaningful scale if costs fall and licensing speeds up.

SMR Global Installed Capacity by Scenario and Case, 2025-2050 IEA data
Data from the IEA; STEPS = Stated Policies Scenario; APS = Announced Pledges Scenario; NZE = Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario.

International institutions also expect nuclear growth overall, with SMRs playing a bigger role. In September 2025, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said it raised its long-term nuclear outlook again.

In its best-case scenario, the IAEA predicts that global nuclear capacity could grow to 2.6 times the 2024 level by 2050. It also noted that SMRs will be key to this growth.

Policy signals further support this direction. The NEA reports that over 20 countries at COP28 pledged to triple global nuclear energy capacity by 2050.

These forecasts do not guarantee fast deployment. SMRs still face key hurdles such as licensing timelines, supply chains, fuel availability, and first-of-a-kind costs. 

SMRs are increasingly central to global nuclear talks. The NEA tracks more designs, and the IEA outlines new deployment pathways. And interest from investors and policymakers has grown as countries look for reliable low-carbon baseload power.

The €75 million funding round adds to newcleo’s growing capital base. It boosts the company’s ability to advance its technology and work toward deployment. As of early 2026, newcleo has raised more than $124 million over the past year, with total funding since 2021 likely exceeding €645 million.

Private Capital Signals a Nuclear Comeback

The investment in newcleo highlights a broader trend: private capital is moving into advanced nuclear technologies.

Investors in heavy industry and finance are now seeing nuclear power as key to global decarbonization efforts. Some countries have recently updated their policies. This supports nuclear research and licensing. It shows a focus on energy security and climate goals.

Lead-cooled fast reactors and similar designs remain in early stages of testing and regulatory review. Newcleo and similar companies think their technologies can provide clean, reliable power. They also believe these systems create less waste over their life cycles compared to older reactors.

If successful, this approach could expand the role of nuclear power in the energy transition. But much work remains in testing, licensing, manufacturing, and cost reduction before commercial deployment at scale.

The post Nuclear’s Next Chapter: newcleo Raises $88M to Scale SMR Powered by Nuclear Waste appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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TotalEnergies and Google’s 1 GW Solar Deal Signals a New Phase in the Data Center Energy Race

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TotalEnergies has signed two long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with Google to deliver 1 gigawatt (GW) of solar capacity in Texas. Over 15 years, the projects are expected to generate around 28 terawatt-hours (TWh) of renewable electricity.

The deal reflects a deeper shift in how the tech sector secures power for artificial intelligence, cloud services, and digital infrastructure. As AI workloads surge, electricity has become a strategic resource, and companies like Google are moving early to lock in supply.

The projects will be developed at two TotalEnergies-owned sites—Wichita and Mustang Creek—with construction scheduled to begin in the second quarter of 2026. Once operational, they will directly support Google’s growing data center footprint in Texas.

Texas: A Crucial Hub for Big Tech Power Demand

Texas has emerged as one of the world’s most important regions for data center expansion. Its abundant land, strong solar resources, and deregulated power market make it attractive for hyperscale data centers. However, demand is rising rapidly, and the grid is under pressure from AI-driven electricity loads, industrial expansion, and extreme weather events.

texas data centres
Source: AXIOS

The Wichita solar farm, with a capacity of 805 megawatts (MW), and the Mustang Creek project, with 195 MW, together form one of TotalEnergies’ largest U.S. renewable commitments to a single corporate buyer. These projects will add new generation capacity rather than simply reallocating existing renewable energy credits, which is critical for grid stability.

By building new supply, TotalEnergies and Google are addressing a major challenge facing the power sector: ensuring that clean electricity growth keeps pace with surging demand.

Corporate PPAs Are Now Shaping America’s Power Grid

Power purchase agreements were once seen as a financial tool for companies to claim renewable energy use. Today, they are becoming a core driver of grid expansion. Large corporate buyers are effectively acting as anchor investors for new energy infrastructure.

In this case, the 1 GW of solar PPAs complement another 1.2 GW of agreements recently secured by Clearway, a renewables developer half-owned by TotalEnergies. These deals span multiple U.S. grid regions, including ERCOT in Texas, PJM in the Northeast, and SPP in the Central U.S.

Together, these agreements illustrate how tech firms are diversifying their energy supply across regions to manage risk, hedge against price volatility, and ensure reliability.

Local Economic Impact and Community Benefits

Beyond climate goals, large-scale solar projects bring tangible economic benefits to local communities. The Wichita and Mustang Creek developments are expected to create several hundred construction jobs and generate significant tax revenues over their operating lifetimes.

For rural counties, utility-scale solar projects often become a long-term source of public funding for schools, infrastructure, and emergency services. As data centers expand into smaller communities, energy projects linked to them can transform local economies.

TotalEnergies’ Strategy: Tailored Power for High-Load Customers

TotalEnergies is positioning itself as a key energy partner for industries with massive and growing electricity needs. Its customer portfolio already includes major industrial and technology players such as Amazon, Microsoft, Airbus, Air Liquide, STMicroelectronics, Saint-Gobain, and Sasol.

The company’s approach goes beyond simple renewable supply. It combines solar, wind, battery storage, and flexible gas generation to deliver what it calls “clean firm power.” This hybrid model is increasingly important for data centers, which require 24/7 electricity with minimal interruptions.

Marc-Antoine Pignon, TotalEnergies’ Vice President for Renewables in the U.S., highlighted that the Google deal is the company’s largest renewable PPA volume ever signed in the country. He also pointed to the challenges of land availability and power supply for data centers, noting that large-scale colocation opportunities are becoming essential as AI infrastructure expands.

A Growing U.S. and Global Renewable Portfolio

TotalEnergies has been steadily expanding its renewable footprint. In the United States, it holds around 10 GW of onshore solar, wind, and storage capacity, with roughly 5 GW located in Texas. Globally, the company had more than 32 GW of installed renewable capacity by late 2025 and aims to produce over 100 TWh of net electricity by 2030.

total energies renewable portfolio
Source: TotalEnergies

This growth reflects a broader strategy to transition from a traditional oil and gas company into a diversified energy producer. By investing heavily in renewables and flexible assets, TotalEnergies is positioning itself for a future where electricity plays a central role in the global energy mix.

EARLIER: 

Google’s Aggressive Clean Energy Procurement Drive

Google is one of the world’s largest corporate buyers of renewable energy, and its procurement strategy has accelerated dramatically in recent years. Since 2010, the company has signed more than 170 clean energy agreements totaling over 22 GW of capacity. These deals span North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Latin America.

google data centre electricity consumption
Source: Google

In 2024 alone, Google contracted more than 8 GW of additional clean energy—twice the volume of the previous year and the largest annual total in its history. These agreements are designed to stay ahead of the company’s rapid load growth, particularly from AI and cloud services.

google data center emissions
Source: Google

Despite a 27% year-on-year increase in data center electricity consumption in 2024, Google reported a 12% reduction in data center energy emissions.

  • It estimates that its clean energy purchases avoided more than 8.2 million tonnes of CO₂ equivalent in 2024 and over 44 million tonnes cumulatively since 2011.

This shows that large-scale procurement can decouple emissions growth from electricity demand, at least in the near term.

Data Centers Are Reshaping Electricity Demand

The International Energy Agency (IEA )’s latest electricity report has highlighted data centers as a major driver of electricity demand growth in the United States. Electricity consumption rose by 2.8% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025, with data centers expected to account for nearly half of future growth.

Industrial sectors such as semiconductor manufacturing and battery production will also contribute significantly, but digital infrastructure is among the fastest-growing loads.

AI workloads are particularly energy-intensive. Training large models requires massive, continuously running computing clusters, while inference workloads scale with user demand. This creates a constant, high-load electricity profile that challenges traditional grid planning.

2026 US Renewable Outlook and Policy Headwinds

The IEA also forecasts that nearly 250 GW of renewable energy capacity will be deployed in the U.S. between 2026 and 2030, with utility-scale solar accounting for around 70% of additions. Wind and distributed solar will make up the remainder.

However, recent policy changes and the phase-out of certain tax incentives have led to a downward revision of deployment forecasts. This underscores the growing importance of corporate buyers in sustaining renewable development.

When government support weakens, long-term PPAs from companies like Google provide the financial certainty developers need to build projects. In this sense, tech firms are becoming critical enablers of the energy transition.

iea 2026 us electricty demand

A New Power Paradigm for the Digital Age

The TotalEnergies and Google solar agreement states that electricity is no longer just an operating expense. It is a strategic asset that determines the scalability and sustainability of digital infrastructure.

For TotalEnergies, the deal reinforces its role as a key supplier of tailored renewable power to high-load customers. For Google, it ensures reliable, affordable, and low-carbon electricity for its expanding AI and cloud operations.

More broadly, the partnership reflects a new phase in the global energy transition, where private companies play a central role in financing and building clean power infrastructure. As AI, cloud computing, and digital services continue to expand, similar mega-scale PPAs are likely to become standard practice.

Lastly, but not least, Texas is becoming a global test case for high-growth, low-carbon grids. Its rapid demand growth, combined with large renewable deployment, will offer lessons for other regions facing similar challenges.

The post TotalEnergies and Google’s 1 GW Solar Deal Signals a New Phase in the Data Center Energy Race appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Nigeria Aims for 80 Million Clean Cookstoves and a $5 Billion Carbon Credit Revenue

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Nigeria Aims for 80 Million Clean Cookstoves and a $5 Billion Carbon Credit Revenue

Nigeria is planning a large clean cooking program that aims to distribute 80 million efficient cookstoves to households. Project backers say the rollout could help reduce smoke from cooking, cut pressure on forests, and create a new stream of carbon credits.

Recent reporting in Nigeria says the project is also tied to a revenue target. A senior finance executive at project developer GreenPlinth Africa said the Federal Government could earn up to $5 billion each year from “verified carbon credit revenues” when the program reaches full scale.

Lagos State has also described itself as an early “anchor” for the program. Lagos State Government announced it will lead the way in providing 6 million free cookstoves. Distribution in the state has started in June 2025, beginning in Makoko.

Mr. Tunde Lemo, former Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, commented:

“This is not a pilot. It is not a promise. It is a nationally endorsed, structured, and scalable intervention…This is one of the most ambitious clean cooking and household energy transition programmes ever undertaken globally.”

An 80 Million Stove Rollout With National Ambitions

Lagos State’s climate office describes the initiative as a nationwide effort to deploy 80 million efficient cookstoves free of charge. It says the goal is to sharply reduce traditional firewood use for women and low-income households.

Large stove programs usually try to replace or improve traditional cooking methods that produce heavy smoke indoors. In many households, cooking uses wood, charcoal, or other solid fuels. These fuels can release fine particles and other pollutants, especially in kitchens with poor airflow.

The Clean Cooking Alliance’s Nigeria dashboard uses official sources like the World Bank. It estimates that over 167 million people, or 73.8%, in Nigeria did not have access to clean cooking in 2023.

That gap is wider outside cities. The same dashboard reports that 26.2% of Nigeria’s population had access to clean fuels and technologies for cooking in 2023. It also reports 48.7% access in urban areas versus 9.7% in rural areas in 2023.

Cooking Smoke as a Public Health Crisis

Global health agencies link household smoke from cooking to major health harms. The World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that household air pollution led to around 2.9 million deaths in 2021. This includes more than 309,000 children under age 5.

WHO also estimates that household air pollution caused about 95 million DALYs in 2021. This measure combines years lost to early death and disability. The organization notes that the health burden is tied to diseases such as heart disease, stroke, and lung disease.

Moreover, a WHO technical page shows how household air pollution causes deaths. Here’s the breakdown:

  • Ischaemic heart disease: 32%
  • Stroke: 23%
  • Lower respiratory infections: 21%
  • COPD: 19%
  • Lung cancer: 6%

Global energy data also shows the scale of the challenge. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates 2.3 billion people worldwide still cook using open fires or basic stoves that create harmful smoke.

In Nigeria, a large stove program could affect health most in communities that rely heavily on fuelwood or charcoal. It could also change how much time families spend collecting fuel. It could lower daily smoke exposure for cooks and nearby children when stoves are used correctly and consistently.

From Kitchen Emissions to Carbon Markets

The project narrative links emissions cuts from cleaner cooking to carbon markets. Carbon crediting usually relies on measuring and verifying how much a project cuts greenhouse gas emissions compared to a baseline.

International rules also matter if the project aims to generate credits for compliance uses under the Paris Agreement. Under Article 6, countries can cooperate to meet climate targets, including through carbon credits created from verified emission reductions.

Within Article 6, the Article 6.4 mechanism (also called the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism) has a UN-backed governance structure. UNFCCC explains that an Article 6.4 Supervisory Body develops and supervises requirements to run the mechanism. This includes approving methodologies, registering activities, accrediting verification bodies, and managing a registry.

This matters because cookstove projects often face scrutiny over real-world use. Carbon credit quality can depend on factors like whether households actually use the new stove, how long they keep using it, and whether old stoves stay in use at the same time. Credible monitoring and verification are central to project integrity under any crediting pathway.

IEA clean cooking projection 2030
Source: IEA

The IEA predicts that clean cooking access will hit around 85% by 2030. This means over 350 million people, mainly in sub-Saharan Africa, will still lack safe cooking options. They will continue to rely on polluting open fires and basic stoves.

To achieve universal access by 2030, there’s a need to connect 160 million people each year. However, funding shortages and infrastructure issues make this unlikely. That requires about $2 billion a year just for Africa to make it happen.

The IEA believes full access by 2040 is more realistic. This will come from increased use of LPG, which will cover about 60% of new connections. It will also involve electric cooking, advanced biomass stoves, and various financing options such as carbon credits. And Nigeria is heading in that direction.

What a $5 Billion Carbon Claim Would Require

Nigeria already has experience with cookstove carbon projects on a smaller scale. The Clean Cooking Alliance’s Nigeria dashboard says the country has 18 registered cookstove projects that have generated 3.4 million carbon credits to date.

The credits from 9 developers are verified by Verra’s VCS and Gold Standard, as seen:

Nigeria cookstove project carbon credit summary
Source: Clean Cooking Alliance

The proposed 80 million-stove rollout is far larger than typical programs. Supporters argue that scale could also mean large volumes of credited emission reductions, especially if adoption remains high over many years.

The $5 billion per year figure has drawn attention because it implies both a large credit volume and a strong credit price. The figure cited in Nigerian reporting was presented as a projection tied to “verified” carbon credit revenues once the project is fully deployed.

Still, projected revenue is not the same as guaranteed income. Real outcomes depend on several conditions, including:

  • The number of stoves actually delivered and used,
  • The verified emissions reductions per household,
  • Approval under the chosen crediting pathway,
  • Market demand, and
  • The price and transaction costs for credits.

Lagos State’s official post highlights a key milestone: 6 million stoves in Lagos. However, it does not confirm future credit volumes or prices.

Delivery, Use, and Verification Will Decide the Outcome

Several signals will help observers judge the program’s progress and credibility.

First is delivery at scale. A plan for 80 million stoves requires large manufacturing or import capacity, distribution logistics, and after-sales support. Maintenance matters because stoves can fail or be abandoned if they do not meet cooking needs.

Second is sustained use. Clean cooking benefits and emissions cuts depend on households consistently using the new stove. Programs often track usage through surveys, sensors, or fuel consumption checks. Strong monitoring also supports more credible carbon claims.

Third is alignment with recognized rules. If the project aims to issue credits under Paris Agreement pathways, it must follow the requirements of Article 6.4 Supervisory Body. This includes using accepted methodologies and verification practices.

Finally, there is the public data baseline. Nigeria’s clean cooking access is still low overall. The Clean Cooking Alliance dashboard, using World Bank data, reported 26.2% access in 2023, with much lower access in rural areas. A well-run program could shift those numbers over time, but it will require steady funding and coordination across states.

For now, the story combines a large public health goal with a climate finance goal, and the scale is ambitious. The key question is whether implementation, monitoring, and market demand can match the size of the revenue promise.

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