The Middle East and North Africa are no longer on the sidelines of the energy transition. The MENA Energy Outlook 2026 by Dii Desert Energy shows the region has reached a turning point. Renewable capacity jumped 44% in 2025 to about 43.7 GW. Solar PV led the surge, accounting for 34.5 GW.
The growth is unprecedented. MENA took five years to rise from about 14 GW in 2020 to 30 GW in 2024. Then, in just one year, it added nearly 15 GW. This was not gradual progress. It was a rapid scale-up driven by cheap solar power, competitive auctions, and a booming project pipeline.
Falling costs are at the core of this shift. In 2025, solar and wind tenders set new global records. Solar PV prices dropped to around 1.09 US cents per kWh. Wind fell to about 1.33 US cents per kWh. These prices are reshaping expectations for large-scale clean energy worldwide.
Policy, Pipeline, and Project Momentum Poised for Scale
The region’s renewable energy project pipeline has ballooned to ~202 GW — a figure that now nearly matches aggregated national targets out to 2030. That pipeline isn’t theoretical; it includes 38 GW under construction and a deep roster of gigawatt-scale solar programs ready to move into execution.
Under Dii’s updated scenario framework for 2030, three pathways emerge:
- A Conservative baseline: 165 GW total renewables.
- A Balanced transition: 235 GW, roughly aligned with national ambitions.
- A Green Revolution: 290 GW, representing full regional potential.
Even the conservative outlook reflects a dramatic acceleration — the result of policy clarity, cost competitiveness, and private capital intent on capturing the region’s unparalleled solar resource.

Saudi & UAE Leading Deployment
Saudi Arabia has emerged as a standout. Operational capacity nearly tripled in one year, reaching around 11.7 GW, and it now stands as a regional leader not only in volume but in setting cost benchmarks.
Meanwhile, the UAE continues to punch above its weight with flagship projects. Masdar and Emirates Water and Electricity Company (EWEC) have begun the construction of a 5.2 GW solar park integrated with 19 GWh of battery storage – one of the largest renewable + storage complexes globally. This project is intended to deliver baseload clean power at scale, significantly reducing reliance on gas-fired generation.

Solar: The Uncontested Leader
Solar is the centerpiece of the MENA transition — and for good reason.
- Market share: Solar PV dominates the region’s current renewable fleet, making up roughly 79% of deployed renewables with 34.5 GW.
- Pipeline strength: Of the total 202 GW pipeline, solar accounts for the majority — around 130 GW — leaving wind and storage to complement its growth.
- Economics: First-of-their-kind auction prices have pushed levelized costs to historic lows, intensifying private-sector interest and reducing capital-cost risk for long-duration financing.
This solar dominance aligns with broader global forecasts that see solar accounting for most of renewable growth in the decade ahead, especially as project cost declines continue to outpace projections.
The critical driver here is not just sunshine but economics: solar power in MENA is now among the cheapest baseload energy available, challenging even entrenched natural gas generation in many markets.

From Panels to AI: MENA’s New Demand Drivers
One of the most interesting insights in the Outlook is the emergence of AI infrastructure as a renewable energy demand driver.
The report highlights that data centers — spurred by the rapid adoption of AI — are becoming “super offtakers” of clean energy. These facilities require long-term, high-capacity power contracts, which in turn improve the bankability of large renewable power purchase agreements (PPAs).
This is a structural shift. Traditionally, renewable PPAs in the corporate sector were dominated by manufacturing and export industries. Now, the AI ecosystem’s appetite for reliable, low-carbon power is helping unlock financing and long-duration contract structures that support gigawatt-scale solar and storage.
In effect, AI is not just a user of clean power — it’s becoming a market catalyst, compressing risk premia and enabling developers to sell projects at scale with predictable cash flows. This is exactly the type of demand signal that carbon markets and corporate net-zero strategists value most: stable, creditworthy offtake linked to decarbonization commitments.

Energy Storage: The Key to 24/7 Clean Power
Solar’s growth creates a natural need for storage solutions, and MENA is responding. Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) are rising fast — with about 25 GWh operational today and projections showing ~156 GWh by 2030 (a more than six-fold increase).
This shift is pivotal: storage enables firm, dispatchable renewables, bridging gaps between peak solar output and evening demand. It also reduces grid stress and curtails reliance on fossil peaking units — which, in carbon accounting terms, lowers actual emissions and improves marginal grid intensity.
The shift toward BESS over thermal energy storage reflects global trends in cheaper lithium-ion systems and increased merchant storage markets, signaling that long-duration storage will be a defining piece of the region’s decarbonization story.

Carbon, Climate, and Forecasts
MENA’s transition — led by solar — has direct implications for carbon reduction pathways:
- The region’s power sector emissions are highly carbon-intensive today. Replacing fossil generation with low-carbon solar and storage can materially reduce grid emissions intensity.
- Large-scale deployment and low costs improve the economics of displacement, especially for gas. That in turn strengthens the case for deeper cuts aligned with Paris Agreement goals.
However, challenges remain. Natural gas still dominates power generation in many countries and will likely remain part of the mix through 2030. That underscores the importance of carbon pricing, power market reform, and long-term PPAs to accelerate coal-to-solar displacement and enable hydrogen sectors to scale.
MENA: Forecast to 2030 and Beyond
- Balanced transition (235 GW): Renewable power capacity grows significantly, narrowing the gap to climate targets and improving energy security.
- Green Revolution (290 GW): If finance, supply chains, and permitting keep pace, MENA could exceed current national goals and unlock deeper emissions reductions.
Global modeling from other sources also suggests that solar and wind could respectively represent the majority of electricity growth in the next decade — a pattern that amplifies the MENA trajectory.
MENA has shifted from potential to performance, driven by low-cost solar, strong project pipelines, and rapid growth in energy storage. New demand from AI is adding fresh momentum.
This progress creates fertile ground for carbon markets. Large, contract-backed renewable projects offer credible, long-term emissions reductions. As power markets mature, MENA is emerging as a key player in energy security and global decarbonization.
The post MENA Energy Outlook 2026: Solar, Storage and AI Reshape Power Demand appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
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