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Welcome to Carbon Brief’s DeBriefed.
An essential guide to the week’s key developments relating to climate change.

This week

Farewell to coal

142 YEARS: The UK’s “142-year history of coal-fired electricity” ended on Monday as the UK’s last coal power station, Ratcliffe-on-Soar, turned off its turbines for the final time, reported the Guardian. The UK is now the first major economy and the first country in the G7 to successfully phase out coal power, reported the Times.

10BN TONNES: From 1882 until Ratcliffe’s closure, the UK’s coal plants will have burned through 4.6bn tonnes of coal and emitted 10.4bn tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) – more than most countries have ever produced from all sources, according to a comprehensive timeline of the nation’s coal phase-out from Carbon Brief. Carbon Brief’s analysis was cited by publications globally, ranging from US radio station NPR to Indonesian newspaper Kompas.
PERMISSION REFUSED: In other coal news, the UK’s coal regulator the Coal Authority refused to grant licences for what would have been the country’s first new coal mine in 30 years, the Press Association reported. Also on Monday, Tata Steel, the UK’s biggest steelworks, shut down its last coal-powered furnace after more than 100 years, reported Sky News.

Global storms

HURRICANE HELENE: More than 200 people have been killed and at least one million are still without power after Hurricane Helene hit the US south-east and midwest last week, reported CNN. A preliminary study from the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory found that “climate change caused 50% more rainfall during the hurricane in some parts of Georgia and the Carolinas”, the Guardian reported. Hurricane Helene is now the second deadliest to hit the US after Hurricane Katrina, reported the Times.

SWING STATES: Georgia and North Carolina are both key battlegrounds for presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, reported Reuters. Former president Donald Trump visited victims in Georgia on Monday evening, only to court oil executives during meetings held on Wednesday, reported the Guardian. Vice-president Kamala Harris visited Georgia on Wednesday calling the damage “extraordinary” and the loss of life “particularly devastating”, reported the Washington Post.

TYPHOON KRATHON: At least two people have been killed after Typhoon Krathon slammed into Taiwan, Al Jazeera reported. Typhoons often hit the east coast of the island, but Krathon directly hit the west coast, leading Taiwan’s media to label it a “weird” storm, the publication added. In Nepal, heavy flooding and rain killed 193 people in Kathmandu and the surrounding area, the Associated Press reported.

Around the world

  • BLACK GOLD: Oil prices have breached $75 a barrel amid reports that Israel could strike Iranian oil facilities, fuelling fears of conflict escalation and resulting global energy supply disruption, reported the Times
  • DRAW DOWN: The UK government announced up to £21.7bn of support over 25 years for carbon capture and storage projects, the Financial Times reported. Meanwhile, a Carbon Brief exclusive reported that the nation will miss the deadline to submit a new nature pledge ahead of the COP16 biodiversity summit this month.
  • FORESTS FEATURE: Environment ministers from the Group of 20 (G20) nations agreed on Thursday to increase funding for tropical forest conservation, the Associated Press reported. It comes as the EU moved to delay its anti-deforestation law for a year amid trade backlash, the Financial Times said.
  • UNCHARTERED TERRITORY: Melting glaciers fuelled by climate change have forced Italy and Switzerland to redraw a border in the Alps, the Daily Telegraph reported.
  • EU TARIFFS: The European Commission is set “to adopt tariffs” of up to 45% on Chinese electric vehicles after saying it had received enough support from member states in a vote earlier today, Reuters reported. 

106 million

The amount of CO2, in tonnes, released by Arctic wildfires this summer, roughly equivalent to the annual emissions of Kuwait, reported the Times.


Latest climate research

  • National rates of partner violence against women can be higher two years after some climate “shocks”, such as storms, landslides and floods, according to a study in PLOS Climate.
  • A new study in Communications Earth and Environment found that the northern Amazon has seen a three-fold increase in the number of days with “extreme fire weather conditions” since 1971.
  • Satellite images suggest that the Antarctic Peninsula is experiencing “an accelerated rate” of “greening” in response to recent warming, according to research published in Nature Geoscience.

(For more, see Carbon Brief’s in-depth daily summaries of the top climate news stories on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.)

Captured

A third of Japan's 33 nuclear reactors have resumed operation following the Fukushima nuclear disaster

Following a rapid withdrawal from nuclear power after the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011, 10 of Japan’s 33 nuclear reactors are now back online. Nuclear was a key topic of debate in the country’s recent leadership race, touted by business leaders and the previous administration as a necessity for energy security and to meet decarbonisation goals. New leader Shigeru Ishiba (more below) entered the campaign with a platform of reducing nuclear power to “close to zero”. Just one day after taking office, however, he released a nuclear plan consistent with the previous administration, reported Reuters

Spotlight

Japan’s new prime minister and climate change

This week, Carbon Brief speaks to experts about where Japan’s new prime minister stands on climate change, nuclear and renewables.

Japan welcomed its 65th prime minister on Tuesday as Shigeru Ishiba won the closest leadership race in almost seven decades to become the next leader of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) party.

Ishiba is a former defence and agriculture minister who has sat in parliament for almost four decades.

Ishiba has previously demonstrated an impressive literacy on climate change, likely influenced by his childhood in the rural prefecture of Tottori, Tobias Harris, founder of Japan Foresight, a Japan-focused advisory firm in the US, told Carbon Brief:

“Judging by his August 2024 book Hoshu seijika [Conservative Politician], he is well informed of the science on climate change, citing IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] reports, noting the impacts ranging from wildfires, methane gas release in Siberia, sea level rise, and more severe storms, as well as the human impacts, including refugee flows, food and water shortages, and, interestingly, the possibility for ‘climate fascism’ – he actually uses the phrase.

“It’s hard to think of a Japanese politician of his stature who has used this kind of language to talk about climate change.”

As part of his platform, Ishiba proposed a new government agency for disaster management in response to extreme weather events in Japan.

As recently as August, Typhoon Shanshan caused widespread damage in Japan, killing seven and leaving at least 131 injured. A rapid attribution study by Imperial College London found Typhoon Shanshan was made 7.5% more intense and 26% more likely by climate change.

Renewables and nuclear

At the start of his campaign, Ishiba broke with mainstream LDP thought by advocating for maximising Japan’s renewable potential, while reducing reliance on nuclear power to “close to zero”.

Under the previous administration, Japan had sought to actively restart nuclear plants and develop new ones to meet energy security and climate goals. But nuclear remains a controversial subject in Japan following the Fukushima disaster in 2011, in which a tsunami claimed more than 2,000 lives and flooded a nuclear power plant in the prefecture.

Japanese prime minister Shigeru Ishiba delivers his first policy speech at the Lower House of the Parliament on 4 October in Tokyo.
Japanese prime minister Shigeru Ishiba delivers his first policy speech at the Lower House of the Parliament on 4 October in Tokyo. Credit: Associated Press / Alamy Stock Photo.

Just a day into his premiership, however, Ishiba’s newly appointed minister of economy, trade and industry told a press conference that Japan would continue restarting nuclear plants under Ishiba’s government.

This “appears to be a continuation of previous administrations’ positions”, Yuri Okubo, a senior researcher at the Renewable Energy Institute in Japan, told Carbon Brief.

This policy change could have been influenced by pressure from business groups, Yuko Nakano, Japan chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in the US, added to Carbon Brief:

“Comments from business leaders reflect the private sector’s caution towards the new prime minister’s [original] energy policy.”

With a snap election later this month, Ishiba will also be seeking to “heal party divisions and secure a national mandate”, Reuters reported.

Meanwhile, the government is in the process of revising its strategic energy plan, which will set the course of Japan’s energy policies in the medium and long-term, Nakano told Carbon Brief. It is expected by March 2025.

Harris told Carbon Brief that “Ishiba’s shift” reveals “how the politics around nuclear energy have shifted in recent years” in Japan, adding:

“Whereas it was once primarily touted as a way to promote energy independence, it has increasingly been promoted as part of its decarbonisation efforts.”

Watch, read, listen

SOLAR BOOM: The DER Task Force podcast spoke to Jenny Chase of Bloomberg New Energy Finance about Pakistan’s distributed solar boom.

‘PEACEWASHING’: Ahead of COP29 next month, human rights professor Brian Brivati in the Conversation discussed Azerbaijan’s history, including “military aggression, human rights abuses and violations of international law”.
VAN GOGH PROTEST: Politico dived into the story of two climate activists who were imprisoned last week after throwing paint over a Van Gogh.

Coming up

Pick of the jobs

DeBriefed is edited by Daisy Dunne. Please send any tips or feedback to debriefed@carbonbrief.org.
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The post DeBriefed 4 October 2024: UK turns the lights out on coal; Hurricane Helene; Where does Japan’s new PM stand on climate? appeared first on Carbon Brief.

DeBriefed 4 October 2024: UK turns the lights out on coal; Hurricane Helene; Where does Japan’s new PM stand on climate?

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Big fishing nations secure last-minute seat to write rules on deep sea conservation

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As a treaty to protect the High Seas entered into force this month with backing from more than 80 countries, major fishing nations China, Japan and Brazil secured a last-minute seat at the table to negotiate the procedural rules, funding and other key issues ahead of the treaty’s first COP.

The Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ) pact – known as the High Seas Treaty – was agreed in 2023. It is seen as key to achieving a global goal to protect at least 30% of the planet’s ecosystems by 2030, as it lays the legal foundation for creating international marine protected areas (MPAs) in the deep ocean. The high seas encompass two-thirds of the world’s ocean.

Last September, the treaty reached the key threshold of 60 national ratifications needed for it to enter into force – a number that has kept growing and currently stands at 83. In total, 145 countries have signed the pact, which indicates their intention to ratify it. The treaty formally took effect on January 17.

    “In a world of accelerating crises – climate change, biodiversity loss and pollution – the agreement fills a critical governance gap to secure a resilient and productive ocean for all,” UN Secretary-General António Guterres said in a statement.

    Julio Cordano, Chile’s director of environment, climate change and oceans, said the treaty is “one of the most important victories of our time”. He added that the Nazca and Salas y Gómez ridge – off the coast of South America in the Pacific – could be one of the first intact biodiversity hotspots to gain protection.

    Scientists have warned the ocean is losing its capacity to act as a carbon sink, as emissions and global temperatures rise. Currently, the ocean traps around 90% of the excess planetary heat building up from global warming. Marine protected areas could become a tool to restore “blue carbon sinks”, by boosting carbon absorption in the seafloor and protecting carbon-trapping organisms such as microalgae.

    Last-minute ratifications

    Countries that have ratified the BBNJ will now be bound by some of its rules, including a key provision requiring countries to carry out environmental impact assessments (EIA) for activities that could have an impact on the deep ocean’s biodiversity, such as fisheries.

    Activities that affect the ocean floor, such as deep-sea mining, will still fall under the jurisdiction of the International Seabed Authority (ISA).

    Nations are still negotiating the rules of the BBNJ’s other provisions, including creating new MPAs and sharing genetic resources from biodiversity in the deep ocean. They will meet in one last negotiating session in late March, ahead of the treaty’s first COP (conference of the parties) set to take place in late 2026 or early 2027.

    China and Japan – which are major fishing nations that operate in deep waters – ratified the BBNJ in December 2025, just as the treaty was about to enter into force. Other top fishing nations on the high seas like South Korea and Spain had already ratified the BBNJ last year.

    Power play: Can a defensive Europe stick with decarbonisation in Davos?

    Tom Pickerell, ocean programme director at the World Resources Institute (WRI), said that while the last-minute ratifications from China, Japan and Brazil were not required for the treaty’s entry into force, they were about high-seas players ensuring they have a “seat at the table”.

    “As major fishing nations and geopolitical powers, these countries recognise that upcoming BBNJ COP negotiations will shape rules affecting critical commercial sectors – from shipping and fisheries to biotechnology – and influence how governments engage with the treaty going forward,” Pickerell told Climate Home News.

    Some major Western countries – including the US, Canada, Germany and the UK – have yet to ratify the treaty and unless they do, they will be left out of drafting its procedural rules. A group of 18 environmental groups urged the UK government to ratify it quickly, saying it would be a “failure of leadership” to miss the BBNJ’s first COP.

    Finalising the rules

    Countries will meet from March 23 to April 2 for the treaty’s last “preparatory commission” (PrepCom) session in New York, which is set to draft a proposal for the treaty’s procedural rules, among them on funding processes and where the secretariat will be hosted – with current offers coming from China in the city of Xiamen, Chile’s Valparaiso and Brussels in Belgium.

    Janine Felson, a diplomat from Belize and co-chair of the “PrepCom”, told journalists in an online briefing “we’re now at a critical stage” because, with the treaty having entered into force, the preparatory commission is “pretty much a definitive moment for the agreement”.

    Felson said countries will meet to “tidy up those rules that are necessary for the conference of the parties to convene” and for states to begin implementation. The first COP will adopt the rules of engagement.

    She noted there are “some contentious issues” on whether the BBNJ should follow the structure of other international treaties such as the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), as well as differing opinions on how prescriptive its procedures should be.

    “While there is this tension on how far can we be held to precedent, there is also recognition that this BBNJ agreement has quite a bit to contribute in enhancing global ocean governance,” she added.

    The post Big fishing nations secure last-minute seat to write rules on deep sea conservation appeared first on Climate Home News.

    Big fishing nations secure last-minute seat to write rules on deep sea conservation

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    Climate at Davos: Energy security in the geopolitical driving seat 

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    The annual World Economic Forum got underway on Tuesday in the Swiss ski resort of Davos, providing a snowy stage for government and business leaders to opine on international affairs. With attention focused on the latest crisis – a potential US-European trade war over Greenland – climate change has slid down the agenda.

    Despite this, a number of panels are addressing issues like electric vehicles, energy security and climate science. Keep up with top takeaways from those discussions and other climate news from Davos in our bulletin, which we’ll update throughout the day.

    From oil to electrons – energy security enters a new era

    Energy crises spurred by geopolitical tensions are nothing new – remember the 1970s oil shock spurred by the embargo Arab producers slapped on countries that had supported Israel during the Yom Kippur War, leading to rocketing inflation and huge economic pain.

    But, a Davos panel on energy security heard, the situation has since changed. Oil now accounts for less than 30% of the world’s energy supply, down from more than 50% in 1973. This shift, combined with a supply glut, means oil is taking more of a back seat, according to International Energy Agency boss Fatih Birol.

    Instead, in an “age of electricity” driven by transport and technology, energy diplomacy is more focused on key elements of that supply chain, in the form of critical minerals, natural gas and the security buffer renewables can provide. That requires new thinking, Birol added.

    “Energy and geopolitics were always interwoven but I have never ever seen that the energy security risks are so multiplied,” he said. “Energy security, in my view, should be elevated to the level of national security today.”

    In this context, he noted how many countries are now seeking to generate their own energy as far as possible, including from nuclear and renewables, and when doing energy deals, they are considering not only costs but also whether they can rely on partners in the long-term.

      In the case of Europe – which saw energy prices jump after sanctions on Russian gas imports in the wake of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine – energy security rooted in homegrown supply is a top priority, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said in Davos on Tuesday.

      Outlining the bloc’s “affordable energy action plan” in a keynote speech at the World Economic Forum, she emphasised that Europe is “massively investing in our energy security and independence” with interconnectors and grids based on domestically produced sources of power.

      The EU, she said, is trying to promote nuclear and renewables as much as possible “to bring down prices and cut dependencies; to put an end to price volatility, manipulation and supply shocks,” calling for a faster transition to clean energy.

      “Because homegrown, reliable, resilient and cheaper energy will drive our economic growth and deliver for Europeans and secure our independence,” she added.

      Comment – Power play: Can a defensive Europe stick with decarbonisation in Davos?

      AES boss calls for “more technical talk” on supply chains

      Earlier, the energy security panel tackled the risks related to supply chains for clean energy and electrification, which are being partly fuelled by rising demand from data centres and electric vehicles.

      The minerals and metals that are required for batteries, cables and other components are largely under the control of China, which has invested massively in extracting and processing those materials both at home and overseas. Efforts to boost energy security by breaking dependence on China will continue shaping diplomacy now and in the future, the experts noted.

      Copper – a key raw material for the energy transition – is set for a 70% increase in demand over the next 25 years, said Mike Henry, CEO of mining giant BHP, with remaining deposits now harder to exploit. Prices are on an upward trend, and this offers opportunities for Latin America, a region rich in the metal, he added.

      At ‘Davos of mining’, Saudi Arabia shapes new narrative on minerals

      Andrés Gluski, CEO of AES – which describes itself as “the largest US-based global power company”, generating and selling all kinds of energy to companies – said there is a lack of discussion about supply chains compared with ideological positioning on energy sources.

      Instead he called for “more technical talk” about boosting battery storage to smooth out electricity supply and using existing infrastructure “smarter”. While new nuclear technologies such as small modular reactors are promising, it will be at least a decade before they can be deployed effectively, he noted.

      In the meantime, with electricity demand rising rapidly, the politicisation of the debate around renewables as an energy source “makes no sense whatsoever”, he added.

      The post Climate at Davos: Energy security in the geopolitical driving seat  appeared first on Climate Home News.

      Climate at Davos: Energy security in the geopolitical driving seat 

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      A Record Wildfire Season Inspires Wyoming to Prepare for an Increasingly Fiery Future

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      As the Cowboy State faces larger and costlier blazes, scientists warn that the flames could make many of its iconic landscapes unrecognizable within decades.

      In six generations, Jake Christian’s family had never seen a fire like the one that blazed toward his ranch near Buffalo, Wyoming, late in the summer of 2024. Its flames towered a dozen feet in the air, consuming grassland at a terrifying speed and jumping a four-lane highway on its race northward.

      A Record Wildfire Season Inspires Wyoming to Prepare for an Increasingly Fiery Future

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