China has two main trends: rapid clean energy growth and shifts in heavy industry that hurt air quality. A new report from the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) shows emissions have decreased. But relocating industries is creating new pollution problems in areas that were once clean.
China’s Solar Power Drives Emissions Down
The first half of 2025 marked a positive change for China’s climate efforts. Carbon dioxide emissions fell about 1% year-on-year, the first sustained decline since the pandemic. This progress came mainly from clean energy growth.

- Solar, wind, and nuclear energy produced an extra 270 terawatt hours (TWh) of electricity. This not only met the 170 TWh rise in demand but also cut fossil fuel use.

Solar stood out with 170 TWh—equivalent to the annual output of Mexico or Turkey. Wind added 80 TWh, and nuclear contributed 20 TWh, while hydropower declined due to lower rainfall.
Now, low-carbon sources make up 40% of China’s electricity mix, up from 36% in early 2024. Rapid solar growth means 2025 could break records. It might add 212 gigawatts (GW) in just six months, right before a mid-year policy change. This surge makes solar the main driver of China’s emissions decline.
As a result, emissions from the power sector—the largest CO₂ source—fell by 3% compared to last year.

Cleaner Air, But Regional Disparities
Air quality improved across the country. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) fell by 5% year-on-year. Other pollutants, such as sulfur dioxide and nitrogen dioxide, either decreased or stayed the same.
However, improvements weren’t uniform. Western provinces faced stark contrasts. Guangxi saw PM2.5 levels soar by 32%, Yunnan by 14%, and Xinjiang by 8%. Unlike past spikes from weather, CREA found these increases stemmed from structural growth in emissions.
This rise is tied to relocating heavy industry westward, along with local factors like sandstorms and biomass burning. Regions once seen as safe from pollution are now emerging as new challenges for China’s air quality.

A Seasonal Double Threat
Even where pollution decreased, China faces a “two-season problem.” Winter smog is driven by coal use for heating and industry. Average national PM2.5 levels exceeded the official standard by 18%, with nearly three-quarters of provinces not meeting compliance goals.
In summer, ozone becomes the main issue. Unlike PM2.5, which declined, ozone pollution rose by 4% over the past year. This has become a significant challenge for China’s air quality policies. The mix of winter smog and summer ozone highlights the need for more adaptable governance.
Industry Moves West, Pollution Follows
The westward shift in industry is the main cause of rising pollution in inland regions. Provinces once seen as minor players in heavy manufacturing are now reporting sharp growth in steel, metals, and chemical production. Pig iron output rose over 10%, crude steel by nearly 6%, and non-ferrous metals by more than 4% in the first half of 2025.
Much of this growth relies on traditional, coal-heavy methods. Coal-based steelmaking and conventional coal chemical industries still dominate, offsetting gains from cleaner power elsewhere. As a result, polluted days are becoming more common in inland regions like Ningxia, Shanxi, and Hubei.
These trends show that industrial relocation is shifting not just jobs but also pollution from east to west.
- READ MORE: China’s First-Ever Sovereign Green Bond Hits Global Market: Will It Power Its Net Zero Ambitions?
Coal Still Impacts China’s Energy Transition
Coal remains a significant concern. Although coal-fired electricity generation has decreased, new coal plants are still being added rapidly. CREA estimates that coal power capacity could increase by 80 to 100 GW in 2025, setting a new record.
The coal-to-chemicals sector is another fast-growing source of emissions. Coal use for synthetic fuels and chemicals grew by 20% in the first half of the year. Since 2020, this sector has contributed 3% to China’s overall CO₂ emissions, with projections showing it could add another 2% by 2029.
Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air and senior fellow at Asia Society Policy Institute, shared in the guest post for Carbon Brief that, in 2024, this sector consumed 390 million tonnes of coal and emitted about 690 million tonnes of CO₂. It’s 6% of the country’s fossil emissions and nearly 10% of total coal use.
This expansion complicates China’s goal to peak emissions before 2030 and reach net zero by 2060.
Policy Needs to Catch Up
CREA’s analysis shows that China’s air quality efforts focus mainly on eastern “key control zones.” These areas were the first to face pollution challenges. In contrast, western and central provinces, where industry is expanding quickly, do not receive the same oversight, funding, or enforcement.
This creates a dangerous policy gap. Without stronger frameworks, pollution could simply shift inland, undermining national progress. CREA further recommends that the upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030) broaden air quality policies to fully include western and central regions, with specific targets and monitoring.
Stronger environmental assessments for new industrial projects, especially in coal-heavy sectors, could help prevent cumulative risks. At the same time, clean energy deployment and industrial electrification need to accelerate in coal-dependent provinces, supported by fiscal incentives and grid investment.
Missed Targets Increase Pressure
Despite the emissions drop this year, China is likely to miss several 2025 climate goals. These include reducing carbon intensity, curbing coal growth, and increasing the share of electric-arc steelmaking. This shortfall will heighten pressure on China’s next nationally determined contribution (NDC) for 2035 and its new five-year plan.
The good news is that the declining emissions trend, driven by solar growth, could inspire policymakers to set stronger goals. This trend shows that large-scale clean power expansion can slow and even reverse emissions growth.
The Road Ahead
China’s 2025 path shows a dual transition. Record solar growth and lower emissions indicate clean energy’s impact. Yet, pollution is moving west, ozone levels are rising, and coal-heavy industries keep expanding.
The coming years will reveal if China can close this gap. It must ensure that national progress isn’t slowed by regional issues. If air quality protections expand inland and clean energy surpasses fossil fuels, China could make lasting climate gains. Currently, its clean energy boom occurs alongside an industrial shift that may only move the pollution problem elsewhere.
The post China’s Clean Energy Cuts Emissions 1%, But Coal and Industry Cast a Shadow appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
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