At the upcoming UN climate talks, COP28, in Dubai next month, carbon credits will take center stage. These credits, bought by companies to offset their carbon emissions, allow them to consider consumed goods and services ‘carbon neutral’.
Carbon credits are from various projects that suck in or store carbon. These include anti-deforestation efforts, replacement of coal-fired power plants with renewables, and energy-efficient cookstoves.
Each credit signifies the reduction or removal of one tonne of CO2, allowing businesses to offset their CO2 footprint.
Carbon credits have grown since their integration into the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. However, their credibility faced substantial questioning this year following several scientific studies and investigative reports casted doubts on the voluntary carbon market (VCM), which operates independently of the UN process.
At the COP27 climate summit last year, the UN Secretary General expressed concerns about the lack of standards, regulations, and rigor in the VCM.
At this year’s COP28, talks will seek to clarify the complexities surrounding the participation of nations in carbon offset markets.
Renewing Credibility in Carbon Credit Market
The United Arab Emirates, COP28 host, expressed hopes for advancements during the Dubai summit to bolster credibility in carbon credit markets.
In a study focusing on averted deforestation, researchers concluded that emission reductions and project benefits were exaggerated. They also raised concerns about the lack of independence among project inspectors and the lenient practices of carbon credit certifiers such as Verra.
The research also highlighted the overflow of carbon offsets with minimal actual reductions achieved. While this study focuses on nature-based projects, many other carbon reduction initiatives exist as mentioned earlier.
At the 2023 Carbon Markets Summit in July, research firm Sylvera along with Pachama assembled a group of global leaders to delve into the present complexities and future potential of carbon markets. They produced a comprehensive report detailing the current state and future trajectory of this critical sector.
One of the findings revealed that carbon credits, through a last resort, do not mean later. The mitigation hierarchy does encourage reductions first over offsetting using carbon credits. But companies can buy them throughout their net zero journeys, so long that they don’t replace actual reductions.
More notably, corporations are moving upstream and become more involved earlier in projects, focusing on the ‘contribution’ approach over offsetting. It means they’re in a flight to quality to secure future supplies of high-quality credits. This trend will persist this year and beyond.
Declining Prices, Growing Market
Amid quality criticisms, the pricing of carbon credits for nature conservation projects witnessed a sharp decline. It plummeted from $18 dollars/tonne in January 2022 to $6 in January 2023, eventually dipping below $2 by mid-October.
Despite the dip in carbon prices, credit retirements remained strong in 2022 and on track to break records in 2023. As per report by Bloomberg with support from Carbon Growth Partners, there was an astounding 350% increase in annual retirements since 2016.
Carbon credit issuance peaked in >350 million in 2021 and slightly decreased in 2022 and 2023. Bloomberg projections indicate that the carbon credit market could go up to $8 billion by 2050.
More importantly, corporations are not the only entities relying on carbon credits to hit carbon neutral goals.
Article 6 of the Paris Agreement permits countries to collaborate in meeting emission reductions goals, including transferring carbon credits. This is also known as the “Internationally Transferable Mitigation Outcomes” or ITMOs.
This opens avenues for significant state investments in carbon credits, with developing nations relying on them for critical climate funding.
Oil-producing countries view them as a cost-effective means to achieve net zero emissions. Saudi Arabia is already unveiling a national offset scheme for corporations aligning with Article 6 of the Paris Agreement.
This matter is important in the lead up to COP28 when the Paris Agreement mandated the climate conference to deliver the first ever Global Stocktake – a comprehensive evaluation of the world’s progress against climate goals.
Keeping 1.5°C Within Reach
COP28 UAE will open a great opportunity for the world to come together and drive progress to keep 1.5C within reach.
During this critical event, the UAE will lead a process for all parties to come up with a clear roadmap. This pathway will fast-track progress toward global energy transition through inclusive climate action.
Taking place at Expo City in Dubai from November 30 to December 12, COP28 conference will convene >70,000 participants. They include heads of state, government officials, industry leaders, private sector, academics, experts, youth, and non-state actors.
- READ MORE: The Timeline of the COP Conferences
And while the climate agenda involves several topics, talks about carbon credit markets will definitely be one of them.
The upcoming COP28 summit is poised to tackle critical concerns surrounding the fight against climate change. As discussions around carbon credit markets intensifies, the push for greater transparency and regulatory standards gains prominence. The convergence of global leaders and stakeholders at COP28 offers a good opportunity to discuss carbon credit concerns at the highest level.
The post Carbon Credits to Take Center Stage at UN COP28 Climate Talks appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.
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Carbon Footprint
Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions
Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?
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