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Today’s theme at COP28 was Energy and Industry, Just Transition, and Indigenous Peoples.

After reflecting on my experience here in Dubai the past few days I have come across many of these topics not just today, but everyday in COP. Firstly, I am so happy to see such a strong Indigenous presence at COP this year. I have attended many events and panels that make a space and deliberate acknowledgement for the unfair effects the climate crisis and the history of colonization and displacement has had on their people. I have also heard and felt the importance of our nature as a multigenerational story has affected Indigenous people and even still affects us now.

Women are often the heart and arrow to the orchestra of a family. For years, women have been expected to do the task of cooking, cleaning, working and providing for the family in a comforting and stabilizing manner. Across the world, women are often tasked or left with jobs that involve farming produce for the family and selling in markets to their local communities. These traditional jobs are easily learned and passed on in their families, especially for those that might not have access to other jobs due to job scarcity, lack of education or the responsibility of keeping the home. Heat stroke is a large contributor to deaths in southern countries. These deaths are unaccounted for due to the lack of data and research in these parts of the world.

Yvonne

I think we need to consider the root of these issues. Women aren’t able to get other sorts of jobs because they aren’t given the opportunity or funding in other aspects of the economy. This stems from colonization. People with power–often caucasian men from other countries have created and sustained an oppressive system in Indigenous areas restricting women from using their power to contribute to higher positions in their communities.

Women are quick to problem solve in times of extreme weather conditions. Women are faithful and spiritual in the safety of their families. Women are resilient to the positions they are put in. But, if women aren’t given the opportunity to use their profound skills in an effort to combat the climate crisis, they become victims. In fact, we are all victims. This world is our home and we must consider the historical context of the way things are.

I think the one theme that continues to inflict us as humans time and time again is the fear of change.

Moving from elementary to middle school and later to high school is hard and scary. Icarus was scared to transition from boy to man. Filled with shame, he flew to the sun and died. Racism ultimately stems from the “majority race” being scared of the minorities strong and empowering capabilities and in turn, pushing them to a corner so they cannot succeed. Putting your real personality out to others is nerve wracking due to fear of not being accepted, even though we know no one person is the same.

Though I think humans are victims to the same trope, I also think it’s quite beautiful. We continue to break boundaries that we didn’t know existed. I think this is what we need to do to combat the climate crisis. Not only for Indigenous women and children, but for our ancestors who brought our stories here. We need to give the underrepresented a place at the table to make decisions for our planet. Our health and well-being depends on it. Our kids’ kids depend on it. And we deserve it for ourselves.

Yvonne Mongare

I am deeply honored to be granted the opportunity to attend COP28 this year with Climate Generation. I have always been curious about learning how I can impact my own community, especially with knowledge that might not be readily accessible or available to others. When I started volunteering/working with Climate Gen, I realized that there were so many unjust environmental issues happening around my community. The correlation between health disparities in areas that experience environmental injustice was strong. Though I am a nursing major, I am also on the pre-medicine track and hope to use my uniquely acquired skills from both my career path and this international event to help the people within my own community become healthy and environmentally conscious individuals.

Yvonne is a Climate Generation Window Into COP delegate for COP28. To learn more, we encourage you to meet the full delegation and subscribe to the Window Into COP digest.

The post A Place at the Table appeared first on Climate Generation.

A Place at the Table

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‘Simply staggering’: Rapidly developing ‘super El Niño’ on track to peak in December

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The ongoing “super El Niño” is likely to peak at the end of 2026 and push average global temperatures to record levels next year.

That is according to Carbon Brief’s latest “state of the climate” update, which analyses El Niño forecasts from more than a dozen climate models, as well as six global temperature datasets.

Dr Zeke Hausfather, Carbon Brief’s climate science contributor, described this year’s El Niño as “simply staggering” when answering questions from CB+ members during a CB Connect “ask me anything” session.

El Niño is a naturally occurring climate pattern in the tropical Pacific that releases heat from the ocean into the atmosphere and temporarily boosts global temperatures.

This year’s El Niño event – which has been underway since June – has already broken a number of records and reshaped the world’s weather, fuelling fires in Indonesia and “super typhoons” in the west Pacific.

The strength of an El Niño is tracked using the “Niño3.4 anomaly”, which is a measure of how much warmer sea surface temperatures are than average in a section of the central Pacific.

Analysis of more than 600 forecasts from 14 different climate models by Hausfather for Carbon Brief’s “state of the climate” update shows how models project this year’s El Niño will peak with an anomaly of around 4C. This would be more than a degree above the previous record in 2015-16.

Niño3.4 region sea surface temperature peak anomaly projected from 656 runs of 14 different dynamical El Niño models. Y-axis denotes the share of model runs in each 0.2C “bin”.

Writing on CB Connect on 5 November, Hausfather wrote:

“This El Niño event is developing so quickly and is reaching sea surface temperatures so warm that it’s simply staggering. We haven’t seen anything like this in the historical record and it may end up being the strongest El Niño event in the past millennium.”

This year’s El Niño has already chalked up a number of milestones.

On 18 September, the daily anomaly in the Niño3.4 region broke the satellite-era record set in 2015 when it reached 3.11C.

Meanwhile, September as a whole recorded the highest monthly Niño3.4 region temperature anomaly – 2.84C – since sea surface temperature records began in the mid-1800s.

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Hausfather wrote on CB Connect that this year’s El Niño had been “running well above any prior El Niño event since June, at times by a full degree [Celsius]”.

Carbon Brief’s “state of the climate” analysis indicates that El Niño is set to continue to intensify into December, with 10 out of 14 models expecting temperatures in the Niño3.4 region to peak in the final month of this year. The remainder anticipate a November peak.

Chart showing that this year's El Niño is expected to keep strengthening into winter
Average of 656 forecasts across 14 dynamical models. The lighter shaded area reflects the period when only seven models are available.

While human emissions of greenhouse gases are responsible for almost all of long-term global warming, temperatures in specific years are strongly influenced by El Niño events.

The “state of the climate” analysis explains that this year’s El Niño event will have its largest effect on global temperatures in 2027. This is because global temperatures typically lag warming in the tropical Pacific by around three months.

Carbon Brief projects that the 2027 average global temperature will reach around 1.74C above pre-industrial levels. It calculates a 96% chance that next year will be the warmest on record.

This projection is based on the historical relationship between year-on-year temperature changes and El Niño conditions the preceding autumn. It also factors in uncertainty around how global temperatures will develop across the remainder of 2026.

The post ‘Simply staggering’: Rapidly developing ‘super El Niño’ on track to peak in December appeared first on Carbon Brief.

‘Simply staggering’: Rapidly developing ‘super El Niño’ on track to peak in December

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Flip off Woodside to save Scott Reef

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Some things are too precious to risk. And Scott Reef is one of them.

Today, we’re launching a bold new campaign starring iconic Australian actor Michael Caton and a green sea turtle named Sandy to rally Australians behind one simple message: Flip off Woodside to save Scott Reef.

Off the coast of Western Australia, Scott Reef is one of Australia’s most extraordinary marine environments. It is home to vulnerable green sea turtles, endangered pygmy blue whales and thousands of other marine species.

Each year, one thousand endangered green sea turtles return to Scott Reef to nest. It’s where they lay their eggs. It’s where baby turtles hatch. It’s where they make their first brave dash from the sand to the ocean. It’s their home.

But this remarkable ecosystem is under threat from Woodside’s plans to drill for gas, with up to 57 toxic wells proposed around the reef.

Turtles can’t speak up for their home, so we’re asking Australians to make their voices heard instead.

From one Aussie icon to another

At the heart of our new campaign is an iconic Australian voice, Michael Caton. Caton is using his voice to speak out for, what will soon be, another Australian icon – Scott Reef.

In a cinematic courtroom showdown, Caton lends his unmistakable voice to one of Scott Reef’s most vulnerable inhabitants: a green sea turtle fighting to protect her home from corporate destruction.

As Sandy the turtle defiantly flips her flippers at Woodside, Caton delivers a message that every Australian can get behind.

“Some things are too precious to risk.”

Because when it comes to protecting our natural environment, sometimes being polite just isn’t enough.

A mock-up of a billboard, from the nationwide campaign that Greenpeace is launching to save Scott Reef. Keep your eyes out for billboards, posters, TV and digital ads.

Turning a gesture into a movement

We’ve launching a campaign designed to do more than grab attention. We want to turn public concern into meaningful action.

The idea is simple: flip off Woodside and make sure our political leaders know exactly where Australians stand.

We’re calling on people across the country to share the campaign, get involved on social media and, most importantly, tag their local MPs.

We need Environment Minister Murray Watt and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to hear loud and clear that Australians want Scott Reef protected, not sacrificed for another gas project.

Flip off Woodside to save Scott Reef

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Analysis: China’s quarterly CO2 falls 3% in largest drop since Covid

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China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions fell by 3.1% in the third quarter of 2026, as the Hormuz crisis continued to hit oil demand and coal use also dropped.

This guest post is by:

Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air

This was the largest quarterly reduction since the 2022 Covid lockdowns and means that China’s CO2 emissions have now fallen by an estimated 0.5% in the year to date.

The new analysis for Carbon Brief, based on official figures and commercial data, shows that coal use fell by 3% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2026, while oil was down 4%.

The main drivers were a fall in power-sector coal consumption, a continued sharp reduction in transport oil consumption and slowing growth in the coal-to-chemical industry.

The sharp decline in China’s CO2 emissions extends a “flat or falling” trend that began in March 2024 and has now lasted more than two years, as shown in the figure below.

Line chart showing that China's quarterly CO2 falls 3% in largest drop since Covid.
Data sources as listed in previous iterations of this analysis.

The outlook for China’s CO2 emissions depends on the balance between rising energy demand, clean-energy growth and the government response to a GDP slowdown.

Decline drivers

Key drivers of the fall in CO2 in the third quarter of 2026 included a 3.3% drop in coal-power generation, after demand growth slowed and the amount of “wasted” wind and solar fell.

Power generation from solar, wind and nuclear increased by 110 terawatt hours (TWh) year-on-year, more than twice as much as the growth in total electricity demand. This added clean-power generation equal to Germany’s total power output in the same time period.

The fall in coal-power output and CO2 emissions came despite the fact that China continues to build new coal-power capacity at near-record rates. This means that average running hours for coal plants are falling even faster than total generation, eroding their profits.

Meanwhile, transport oil consumption continued to fall sharply, down 9% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2026. Electric vehicles (EVs) continued to gain market share, hitting a record 67% of passenger car sales and 50% of heavy trucks in September.

The amount of electricity used by EVs grew by 53%, much faster than the number of EVs on the road, showing increased usage of the existing fleet in preference to fuelled vehicles.

Elsewhere, growth in the coal-to-chemical industry continued to slow down in the third quarter of 2026. The sector has been a key source of emissions growth, but high coal prices have weakened profitability and higher output prices hurt downstream demand.

Finally, CO2 emissions from cement and steel production continued to fall in the third quarter, as the contraction in construction volumes accelerated.

Outlook for emissions

Energy consumption growth has been falling after a period of exceptionally high growth during Covid, while clean-power growth has been robust.

This makes it likely that the growth in clean-power generation will exceed total energy demand growth this year, maintaining the structural fall in fossil-fuel use.

Looking ahead, this balance also relies on progress in removing barriers to new solar and wind power being added to the grid, which result in some clean electricity being “wasted”.

The recent slowdown in energy demand growth is partly – but not fully – explained by exceptionally mild weather in the third quarter.

Another key factor is weaker GDP growth. Since reported GDP growth remains within target, however, there is reduced pressure for further stimulus policies.

The focus of the economic stimulus announced to date is “six networks”, which includes the power grid and the transportation network.

These networks are highly relevant for energy and emissions – and they are already covered by policies that emphasise “green” and zero-carbon solutions.