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The degradation of trees at the edges of tropical forests is more widespread than previously thought, according to new research.

The study, published in Nature, explains that trees near deforested or degraded areas of the forest are more vulnerable to drought, as well as to human activity such as logging. These “edge effects” are measurable up to 1.5km into the forest, the authors find.

This is an “amazing result”, a study author tells Carbon Brief, because previous studies detected these effects only within the first 120 metres of the forest edge. The new figure indicates that 18% of the remaining tropical moist forests are impacted by edge effects – an area more than 200% larger than previously estimated.

Experts not involved in the study tell Carbon Brief that quantifying tropical forest degradation is “frustratingly elusive”. And while some praise the methods used in the paper, others advise caution when interpreting the conclusions.

Two Brazilian scientists also tell Carbon Brief that the study overlooks important work from institutions in the global south who are also working on this problem. They advise that scientists from local groups should be invited to contribute to research in this area.

Forest height

Tropical forests account for around 45% of forest cover globally. These forests are well-known for their high biodiversity and the crucial ecosystem services that they provide. They also hold around one-quarter of all land-based carbon. 

The new study assesses how deforestation and degradation affect “moist tropical forests” – tropical forests in the equatorial belt with a fairly consistent annual temperature and high levels of rainfall. Tropical dry forests and deciduous forests are not included in the analysis.

Research shows that around 17% of tropical moist forests disappeared over 1990-2021, largely due to human activity such as logging and fires. Of the 1,071m hectares that remained globally in 2019, around 10% were degraded, the new study says. This means that they suffered human-induced “disturbances” that led to a partial loss of their tree cover or function.

Furthermore, trees at the edges of tropical forests have higher mortality rates than trees in the centre, because they are more exposed to disturbances such as fire and drought. When intact forest landscapes become fragmented – for example, due to logging, fire, drought or the construction of roads into the forest – these “edge effects” can lead to further forest degradation.

The authors use data collected by the Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) instrument on the International Space Station to assess the forest structure – such as canopy height and aboveground biomass – over the past four years. 

To measure canopy height, the authors calculate the “RH98” value – the height of the top of the canopy or the nearest tallest vegetation in the area. This is an important measure of forest health and maturity. Aboveground biomass measures the aboveground woody biomass per unit area and is also a good measure of forest health.

They combine this with data from the Tropical Moist Forest dataset, which uses Landsat satellite imagery to show how tropical moist forests have changed over 1990-2022.

The plot below shows the canopy height for different types of moist tropical forests. The rows show intact forests at least 3km from a forest edge (top row), degraded forests (second row), the edges of forests (third row) and forest regrowth (bottom row), as shown in the maps below.

Darker blues indicate taller forest canopies. The map shows where the forests are located, and the bar charts on the right hand side show the overall distribution of different tree heights.

Canopy height for moist tropical forests for intact forests (top row) degraded forests (second row), the edges of forests (third row) and forest regrowth (bottom row), as shown in the maps below.
Canopy height for moist tropical forests for intact forests (top row) degraded forests (second row), the edges of forests (third row) and forest regrowth (bottom row), as shown in the maps below. Dark blue indicates a taller area of the forest and light blue indicates a shorter area. The map shows the distribution of trees and the bar charts on the right-hand side show the frequency. Source: Bourgoin et al (2024)

The tallest intact moist tropical forests are found in south-east Asia, where the average canopy height is 34m, the study finds. West and central Africa and Central and South America have average forest heights of 29m. This is because intact tropical forests in Asia, which are typically dominated by “hardwood wind-dispersed species”, are typically taller, the authors say.

The map also shows that degraded forests, forest edges and areas of forest growth have a greater proportion of shorter trees on average.

The forest edge

The study investigates two different types of forest edge effects, exploring how areas of deforested and degraded land impact nearby trees.

Dr Lilian Blanc is an author on the study and researcher at the French Agricultural Research Centre for International Development. He tells Carbon Brief that the effect of nearby degraded land “was not considered in previous studies”.

The graphs below show how areas of deforested land affect tree canopy height. The charts at the top show the average distribution of canopy heights of undisturbed forests in the Americas, Africa and Asia. The line colours indicate the distance of those trees from the forest edge, with yellow indicating a short distance and blue indicating a large distance.

The bottom map shows how far into the forest edge effects are present, by measuring the distance from the forest edge at which the height of the forest reaches 95% of the height of the intact, undisturbed forest. 

Average distribution of canopy heights of undisturbed forests at different distances from the forest edge (top) in the Americas, Africa and Asia, and the distance at which the forest height drops to 95% of the height of the intact forest (bottom).
Average distribution of canopy heights of undisturbed forests at different distances from the forest edge (top) in the Americas, Africa and Asia, and the distance at which the forest height drops to 95% of the height of the intact forest (bottom). Yellow indicates a short distance to the forest edge, and blue indicates a high distance. Source: Bourgoin et al (2024)

The authors find the greatest edge effects from deforestation along the “forestation fronts of the Amazon”, in Borneo and Sumatra coasts marked by high fragmentation levels, and on the borders of the Congo basin.

They also record a decrease in canopy height up to 350, 400 and 1,500 metres from the deforested edge in the Americas, Africa and Asia, respectively.

The authors find that within 120 metres of trees that have been degraded due to logging and burning, the average canopy height in undisturbed forests is 15% and 22% lower, respectively.

The authors also investigate how quickly the forest can recover from logging and fires, concluding that while there is “fast regrowth of pioneer and understory species”, there is “no significant recovery in canopy height in the 30 years following the creation of a forest edge”.

Forest degradation can also increase the likelihood of deforestation, the authors say. They warn that forest height and distance to the edge of the forest are “strong predictors of deforestation”, as forest fragmentation makes the interior of the forest more accessible to loggers.

It adds that there has been selective logging 500 metres from the forest edge in Africa and the Americas, and even deeper in Asia.

Agriculture and road expansion trigger a 20-30% reduction in canopy height and biomass at the forest edge, with “persistent effects” measurable up to 1.5km inside the forest, the authors find. Blanc tells Carbon Brief that this is “an amazing result” as previous studies only looked for edge effects up to 120 metres from the forest edge.

The authors also calculated the edge effect using total above ground woody biomass, instead of canopy height. Using this metric, the authors conclude that the total area of forest with this edge effect is 18% of total global forest area in 2022 – an area more than 200% larger than previously estimated.

Prof Simon Lewis – a professor of global change science at University College London’s department of geography – tells Carbon Brief that this is a “striking new result”. 

It implies that “the negative impacts on remaining forest from the creation of forest edges are much more extensive than has been commonly documented”. It also means that “forest protection of large blocks of forest is going to be more important than we previously thought”, he says.

Overall, the study is “an important step forward in monitoring forest disturbance, which is a very tough problem”, Lewis says. However, he adds that “care is needed” when looking at some of the observational data, saying that he “trust[s] the broad patterns of biomass loss following logging, edge creation and fires, but not the specific biomass loss values from these disturbances”.

Dr Peter Potapov – a researcher in the department of geographical sciences at the University of Maryland, whose work was cited extensively in the new study – says “the conclusion that edge effects are degrading 18% of the remaining humid tropical forest is an overstatement”.

He says that forest degradation depends on other factors, such as land-use regulations, and argues that “the assumption that all forests 1.5km away from the edges are degraded may undermine ongoing conservation efforts.

Expert response

These comments reflect the mixed response that the new study has received.

Prof Matthew Hansen – a remote sensing scientist at the University of Maryland’s department of geography – tells Carbon Brief that forest degradation is “a frustratingly elusive dynamic to quantify”. However, he praises the study for being “very clear and ambitious”. 

Potapov, who has published research with Hansen, tells Carbon Brief that the results broadly confirm existing findings, but warns that there are some “major limitations” with the study.

For example, he says the method does not include a “matching technique” to separate the effect of human management on tree height from the natural factors such as elevation, soil quality and floods. He also warns that the observations “failed to correctly map anthropogenic disturbances in humid tropical forests”, adding:

“The authors greatly underestimate selective logging in Gabon, while the natural non-fire disturbances like river meandering and windfalls in South America were probably treated as human-caused degradation.”

Dr Flávia de Souza Mendes, a programme manager in forest and land use at satellite imagery firm Planet Labs, says the study is “well written”. However, she laments that “there are several local groups from the global south that have been studying this topic and are not part of this study”. She suggests that scientists carrying out similar studies should “invite more local researchers to take part”.

She also tells Carbon Brief that this paper “did not take into account studies carried out by local researchers on the relationship between degradation and deforestation”.

For example, she highlights a report by Brazilian researchers which finds that, in some regions of the Amazon, 86% of degraded areas were not subsequently cleared in the following decades. This is not in line with the findings of the new study, where degradation “has a crucial role in predicting future deforestation”, she says.

Prof Celso Silva-Junior – a research scientist in amazon ecology and remote sensing at Brazil’s Universidade Federal do Maranhão – tells Carbon Brief that the study “reproduces the findings of our research group, which has been investigating large-scale forest edge effects, using remote sensing technologies, since 2016”.

He says that the paper’s findings concerning biomass loss beyond 120 metres from the forest edge are “critical”. However, he emphasises the importance of the “local knowledge of tropical scientists” who are “deeply involved in the establishment of the conceptual framework for treating this relevant problem”.

The post Tropical forest degradation due to ‘edge effects’ is 200% higher than thought appeared first on Carbon Brief.

Tropical forest degradation due to ‘edge effects’ is 200% higher than thought

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Corpus Christi Cuts Timeline to Disaster as Abbott Issues Emergency Orders

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The governor’s office said the city’s two main reservoirs could dry up by May, much sooner than previous timelines. But authorities still offer no plan for curtailment of water use.

City officials in Corpus Christi on Tuesday released modeling that showed emergency cuts to water demand could be required as soon as May as reservoir levels continue to decline.

Corpus Christi Cuts Timeline to Disaster as Abbott Issues Emergency Orders

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Middle East war is another wake-up call for fossil fuel-reliant food systems

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Lena Luig is the head of the International Agricultural Policy Division at the Heinrich Böll Foundation, a member of the Global Alliance for the Future of Food. Anna Lappé is the Executive Director of the Global Alliance for the Future of Food.

As toxic clouds loom over Tehran and Beirut from the US and Israel’s bombardment of oil depots and civilian infrastructure in the region’s ongoing war, the world is once again witnessing the not-so-subtle connections between conflict, hunger, food insecurity and the vulnerability of global food systems dependent on fossil fuels, dominated by a few powerful countries and corporations.

The conflict in Iran is having a huge impact on the world’s fertilizer supply. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical trade route in the region for nearly half of the global supply of urea, the main synthetic fertilizer derived from natural gas through the conversion of ammonia.

With the Strait impacted by Iran’s blockades, prices of urea have shot up by 35% since the war started, just as planting season starts in many parts of the world, putting millions of farmers and consumers at risk of increasing production costs and food price spikes, resulting in food insecurity, particularly for low-income households. The World Food Programme has projected that an extra 45 million people would be pushed ​into acute hunger because of rises in food, oil and shipping costs, if the war continues until June.

Pesticides and synthetic fertilizer leave system fragile

On the face of it, this looks like a supply chain issue, but at the core of this crisis lies a truth about many of our food systems around the world: the instability and injustice in the very design of systems so reliant on these fossil fuel inputs for our food.

At the Global Alliance, a strategic alliance of philanthropic foundations working to transform food systems, we have been documenting the fossil fuel-food nexus, raising alarm about the fragility of a system propped up by fossil fuels, with 15% of annual fossil fuel use going into food systems, in part because of high-cost, fossil fuel-based inputs like pesticides and synthetic fertilizer. The Heinrich Böll Foundation has also been flagging this threat consistently, most recently in the Pesticide Atlas and Soil Atlas compendia. 

We’ve seen this before: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 sparked global disruptions in fertilizer supply and food price volatility. As the conflict worsened, fertilizer prices spiked – as much from input companies capitalizing on the crisis for speculation as from real cost increases from production and transport – triggering a food price crisis around the world.

    Since then, fertilizer industry profit margins have continued to soar. In 2022, the largest nine fertilizer producers increased their profit margins by more than 35% compared to the year before—when fertilizer prices were already high. As Lena Bassermann and Dr. Gideon Tups underscore in the Heinrich Böll Foundation’s Soil Atlas, the global dependencies of nitrogen fertilizer impacted economies around the world, especially state budgets in already indebted and import-dependent economies, as well as farmers across Africa.

    Learning lessons from the war in Ukraine, many countries invested heavily in renewable energy and/or increased domestic oil production as a way to decrease dependency on foreign fossil fuels. But few took the same approach to reimagining domestic food systems and their food sovereignty.

    Agroecology as an alternative

    There is another way. Governments can adopt policy frameworks to encourage reductions in synthetic fertilizer and pesticide use, especially in regions that currently massively overuse nitrogen fertilizer. At the African Union fertilizer and Soil Health Summit in 2024, African leaders at least agreed that organic fertilizers should be subsidized as well, not only mineral fertilizers, but we can go farther in actively promoting agricultural pathways that reduce fossil fuel dependency. 

    In 2024, the Global Alliance organized dozens of philanthropies to call for a tenfold increase in investments to help farmers transition from fossil fuel dependency towards agroecological approaches that prioritize livelihoods, health, climate, and biodiversity.

    In our research, we detail the huge opportunity to repurpose harmful subsidies currently supporting inputs like synthetic fertilizer and pesticides towards locally-sourced bio-inputs and biofertilizer production. We know this works: There are powerful stories of hope and change from those who have made this transition, despite only receiving a fraction of the financing that industrial agriculture receives, with evidence of benefits from stable incomes and livelihoods to better health and climate outcomes.

    New summit in Colombia seeks to revive stalled UN talks on fossil fuel transition

    Inspiring examples abound: G-BIACK in Kenya is training farmers how to produce their own high-quality compost; start-ups like the Evola Company in Cambodia are producing both nutrient-rich organic fertilizer and protein-rich animal feed with black soldier fly farming; Sabon Sake in Ghana is enriching sugarcane bagasse – usually organic waste – with microbial agents and earthworms to turn it into a rich vermicompost.

    These efforts, grounded in ecosystems and tapping nature for soil fertility and to manage pest pressures, are just some of the countless examples around the world, tapping the skill and knowledge of millions of farmers. On a national and global policy level, the Agroecology Coalition, with 480+ members, including governments, civil society organizations, academic institutions, and philanthropic foundations, is supporting a transition toward agroecology, working with natural systems to produce abundant food, boost biodiversity, and foster community well-being.

    Fertilizer industry spins “clean” products

    We must also inoculate ourselves from the fertilizer industry’s public relations spin, which includes promoting the promise that their products can be produced without heavy reliance on fossil fuels. Despite experts debunking the viability of what the industry has dubbed “green hydrogen” or “green or clean ammonia”, the sector still promotes this narrative, arguing that these are produced with resource-intensive renewable energy or Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), a costly and unreliable technology for reducing emissions.

    As we mourn this conflict’s senseless destruction and death, including hundreds of children, we also recognize that peace cannot mean a return to business-as-usual. We need to upend the systems that allow the richest and most powerful to have dominion over so much.

    This includes fighting for a food system that is based on genuine sovereignty and justice, free from dependency on fossil fuels, one that honors natural systems and puts power into the hands of communities and food producers themselves.

    The post Middle East war is another wake-up call for fossil fuel-reliant food systems appeared first on Climate Home News.

    Middle East war is another wake-up call for fossil fuel-reliant food systems

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    Are There Climate Fingerprints in Tornado Activity?

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    Parts of the Southern and Northeastern U.S. faced tornado threats this week. Scientists are trying to parse out the climate links in changing tornado activity.

    It’s been a weird few weeks for weather across the United States.

    Are There Climate Fingerprints in Tornado Activity?

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