Connect with us

Published

on

The Battery Shift: How Energy Storage Is Reshaping the Metals Market with LFPs Taking Charge

The energy transition is accelerating, and battery storage is at the center of the shift. With more solar and wind energy on national grids, storing power is key. The world needs to save energy during peak production and release it when demand is high. Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries are at the forefront: they are cheaper and more reliable than older battery types.

According to UBS, total global storage capacity needs to grow eightfold by 2030 and 34 times by 2050 to keep up with renewable energy expansion. Notably, energy storage growth now outpaces electric vehicle (EV) sales.

In 2024, battery storage demand jumped 85% from the previous year. Most of the new installations came from utility-scale projects, as reported by the International Energy Agency (IEA). By 2030, energy storage is expected to make up about 20% of the total battery market. And this means LFP batteries are becoming essential.

The Rise of LFP Batteries

LFP batteries are less expensive and do not rely on nickel or cobalt, two metals traditionally used in battery chemistries. In the last 18 months, LFP battery costs have fallen by almost 50%. This makes them very appealing for large energy storage projects.

Battery pack prices
Source: IEA Report

Fidra Energy’s Thorpe Marsh project in the UK will install LFP batteries on a 55-acre site. This facility will become Europe’s largest energy storage facility. These batteries are not only cheaper but are now lasting longer, with improved lifespans of up to 20 years.

LFPs are also being embraced by Chinese EV makers like BYD, which surpassed Tesla in 2024 as the world’s largest EV seller. Their lower cost and safety profile make them ideal for grid storage and increasingly popular for EV applications.

  • According to the IEA, LFP batteries now make up nearly 50% of the global EV battery market, up from under 10% in 2020.

In a separate forecast by energy transition consultancy Rho Motion, the battery energy storage projects will grow tremendously in 2030. As such, the rise of LFP negatively impacts other metals, especially nickel and cobalt.

battery energy storage project growth 2030
Source: Reuters

Nickel and Cobalt Losing Ground

For years, nickel and cobalt were seen as critical for high-performance batteries. But the recent shift to LFPs has changed that. CRU (Commodity Research Unit) reports that nickel intensity in battery demand fell by almost one-third from 2020 to 2024. Cobalt intensity dropped even more, by two-thirds.

The change is already impacting markets. Benchmark nickel prices have halved over the past three years, and cobalt prices have fallen by 60%. Much of the oversupply comes from producers scaling up in response to older forecasts of sustained demand from the EV sector.

Environmental and ethical concerns are also pushing the shift. Nickel mining, especially in Indonesia, carries a high carbon footprint. Cobalt mining in the Democratic Republic of Congo raises serious concerns. It is linked to child labor and human rights abuses. This issue worries both companies and consumers.

The IEA says that switching to LFP chemistries has cut cobalt demand forecasts by over 10% compared to previous estimates.

Lithium Gains Importance — But Faces Risk

While demand for nickel and cobalt wanes, lithium remains critical. Even though lithium prices have dropped another 20% this year due to oversupply, experts see growing long-term demand due to energy storage.

Iola Hughes from Rho Motion said that stationary storage is now a bigger part of lithium demand. This is happening, especially as EV sales slow down. Companies like Norway’s Morrow Batteries, which plans to manufacture one gigawatt-hour of battery cells annually, are preparing for this shift.

According to the IEA, lithium demand is expected to grow fivefold by 2040 under its Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS). Graphite and nickel demand are projected to double, while cobalt and rare earth elements are forecast to grow by 50–60%.

Lithium Demand and Mining Requirements 2040

lithium demand outlook and mining requirements
Source: IEA

However, lithium mining also faces scrutiny. Environmental and indigenous rights concerns in top-producing countries like Chile, Argentina, and China could affect supply and project timelines.

The IEA warns that global supplies of copper and lithium could be 30% and 40% lower by 2035. This is despite many new mining announcements. And so, more projects need to be developed and funded to avoid this shortfall.

China’s Lead and Global Challenges

China currently dominates the global battery supply chain. More than 90% of U.S. energy storage batteries come from China. Companies like Sungrow Power Supply supply batteries for key projects in Europe, such as Fidra’s Thorpe Marsh.

The IEA report confirms that China holds dominance across both LFP and nickel-based battery supply chains, from raw material mining to battery manufacturing. It will continue to do so until 2035. This reinforces global reliance on Chinese exports.

refined metal production dominated by China
Source: IEA

While the U.S. and Europe are trying to localize battery production, challenges remain. U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration has imposed a 41% tariff on Chinese battery imports during a 90-day trade truce. This has led to uncertainty, which may slow short-term growth in U.S. energy storage deployment.

European leaders are also concerned about dependency on Chinese battery technologies. However, industry experts like Fidra CEO Chris Elder say that working with China is often necessary to meet net-zero targets quickly and affordably.

A Metal Market in Transition

While LFP batteries dominate for now, new technologies are emerging. Sodium-ion batteries, which do not require lithium, nickel, or cobalt, are gaining attention. These batteries use common minerals like sodium and manganese. This helps create stronger and more diverse supply chains, as noted by the IEA.

Still, the global pivot toward LFP batteries and energy storage is reshaping energy policy and investment. Governments worldwide are recognizing the critical role of storage in meeting clean energy targets.

The IEA’s Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025 says that demand for lithium, copper, and rare earth elements will keep increasing. This rise is due to their importance in clean technologies.

Investors are also shifting strategies. As EV demand softens, companies like LG Energy Solution are changing U.S. factories. They are now making LFP batteries for storage. Meanwhile, Morrow Batteries is expanding production in Europe, signaling that the energy storage sector is becoming a major force on its own.

National grids are also getting smarter. Energy storage helps stabilize the electricity supply. It reduces blackout risks, like the recent one in Spain. With energy storage increasingly tied to grid resilience, its value is no longer just economic but strategic.

The global shift to energy storage, led by the rapid adoption of LFP batteries, is transforming the battery metals landscape. Lithium, despite price volatility, remains central, with demand projected to grow fivefold by 2040. As new technologies evolve and markets mature, those who stay ahead of these shifts will help shape the future of global energy.

The post The Battery Shift: How Energy Storage Is Reshaping the Metals Market with LFPs Taking Charge appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Continue Reading

Carbon Footprint

Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

Published

on

The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

Continue Reading

Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

Published

on

Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

Continue Reading

Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

Published

on

Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2022 BreakingClimateChange.com