A new programme to boost the climate resilience of drought-hit farmers in Iraq. Electricity installations that would give millions across Southern Africa access to clean energy. The conservation of critical ecosystems in Honduras to help local communities improve their livelihoods at home instead of needing to migrate to countries like the United States.
These and hundreds more climate programmes funded by the US government risk disappearing as an administration led by President Donald Trump and tech billionaire Elon Musk threatens to shutter the state aid agency, USAID, and slash overseas development assistance.
“I think this is the end of US [government] climate funding,” predicted Karen Mathiasen, a project director with the Center for Global Development, a Washington-based think-tank. In an interview with Climate Home, she described as “shocking” the speed and brazenness with which the government is attempting to dismantle its foreign aid arm.
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Aid organisations and contractors have been grappling with an unprecedented crisis since, on his first day in office, Trump ordered a 90-day funding freeze during which a programme-by-programme review would be carried out.
As the world’s largest bilateral development assistance agency, USAID is a major provider of grant-based finance for climate action in the Global South. Its climate programmes – amounting to close to half a billion dollars in 2024 – help countries cut greenhouse gas emissions and protect their citizens from the escalating effects of global warming.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio – who is now in charge of USAID’s work – said last week that only projects that make “America safer, stronger or more prosperous” will survive the cull, without explaining which criteria would be used for the assessment.
‘Devastating’ consequences
The sudden move has thrown the development world into disarray, with organisations forced to halt their operations overnight and furlough or lay off staff without being able to obtain clear information or guidance from US officials.
A USAID project in Honduras strengthens the sustainability of coffee farming. Credit: USAID/Honduras Transforming Market
Speaking to Climate Home, aid workers involved in USAID-funded climate projects in the Global South painted a picture of bewilderment and confusion.
“We are no longer able to transfer funds to our local partners – and it will be really hard for them to manage costs,” explained one senior official at a global humanitarian group, underscoring the “devastating” consequences of the funding freeze for frontline organisations.
Working in conflict-afflicted regions, the aid group supports projects to build climate resilience that struggle to attract any financing outside of development money, said the official, adding “that has all gone away now”.
“For many programmes a 90-day pause is as good as a cancellation because you lose all momentum, you lose community connection, you lose the trust you built up with communities which is vital to success,” they added.
Separately, in Malawi, Climate Home has learned that all USAID-funded projects have been halted, with staff members being told to remain at home, just as the country was hit by deadly floods last week.
Climate aid powerhouse
Climate Home analysed USAID’s portfolio of climate projects before its website went offline late last week, soon after Trump-ally Musk, the world’s richest man, labelled the agency as “a criminal organisation”, without providing evidence – and called for its closure.
We spent the weekend feeding USAID into the wood chipper.
Could gone to some great parties.
Did that instead. https://t.co/0V35nacICW
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) February 3, 2025
One of USAID’s single largest climate projects supports the large-scale roll-out of clean energy facilities across Southern Africa. With total budgeted funding of $84.5 million up to 2028, the programme aims to set up 3 million new electricity connections and avoid 14 million tonnes of planet-heating emissions – equivalent to the annual carbon footprint of Ivory Coast.
Other large US-backed renewable energy projects target Central Asia, Eastern Europe, Ecuador, Colombia and Bangladesh. The vast majority of these are implemented by profit-making American corporations that would be financially hit by any funding cuts.
Climate adaptation also features prominently in USAID’s portfolio. In the last year alone, the agency committed $22 million to boost the ability of farming communities in Iraq to deal with climate-related drought and $18.5 million to help the adoption of climate resilience measures in Palestine. Similar initiatives have been in place in dozens more countries across the Pacific, South Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America.
Many other USAID projects include climate-related activities – even if they are not explicitly labelled as such – especially in very fragile and conflict-affected regions.
“No future”
It is impossible to predict what will happen to USAID and its thousands of programmes in what is a fast-changing situation – although many staff are due to be placed on administrative leave at the end of this week amid rumours it will be be folded into the State Department. Any fundamental reforms of the agency, and especially its touted abolition, would legally need to be approved by the Republican-controlled Congress.
But, as far as climate action is concerned, some experts believe the writing is already on the wall.
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Along with the wider funding freeze, on his January 20 inauguration day Trump explicitly ordered federal agencies to explain how they would “revoke or rescind” policies implemented to support his predecessor Joe Biden’s international climate finance plan.
“I see no future [for climate projects],” the humanitarian official said, speaking anonymously due to the sensitivity of the situation, adding that it remains to be seen whether some resilience-building activities could be woven into humanitarian assistance, which is more likely to be continued. “But anything that talks significantly, or even marginally, about climate change doesn’t have a future.”
CGD’s Mathiasen, who offered a similar view, said adaptation finance stands to suffer the most severe consequences from the aid pullback. “It will further create further challenges to an agenda that’s already horrendously underfunded, while needs are real and growing,” she added.
The outlook might be less gloomy for renewable energy projects which offer higher returns and could more easily tap other financing sources. For instance, in sub-Saharan Africa, development banks have committed more than $50 billion to an ambitious “Mission 300” initiative aiming to provide 300 million energy-poor people with electricity by 2030.
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“It is hard to tell yet [what will happen],” said Saliem Fakir, executive director of the Africa Climate Foundation, “but generally large power projects rely on multiple funders – and we also have significant flows of funds from the Gulf States.”
Other major global powers, like China, might be looking to fill the gap as developing nations conclude they can no longer rely on US funding. “The US reputation will suffer as the US will be seen as an unreliable partner and a non-rational actor,” said Mathiasen. “For that reason, this is extraordinarily short-sighted”.
Climate finance goals harder to reach?
Faten Aggad, executive director of the African Future Policies Hub, told Climate Home that an “unprecedented” shift in international aid flows should prompt recipient countries to reevaluate their policies.
“It is a reminder that ODA [overseas development assistance] is not an economic development strategy,” she said. “Countries will need to work on structural solutions to fund their needs, and that includes looking beyond direct financial transfers from development partners.”
But, in the near-term, it will be difficult to quickly find alternative sources of finance for projects dependent on US grants, Aggad warned.
A US retreat from aid funding could also significantly affect the ability of developed countries to fulfill their promise of channelling at least $300 billion a year in climate finance to developing nations by 2035 – an agreement struck just over two months ago at COP29.
In 2022, US contributions accounted for 12% of developed countries’ climate finance through bilateral channels and multilateral climate funds under the previous $100-billion annual goal, according to analysis by US-based think-tank the Natural Resources Defense Council.
In comments made last week, Ani Dasgupta, president and CEO of the World Resources Institute, said “it is still too early to tell what US cuts will mean for reaching the $300-billion and $1.3-trillion [climate finance] goals by 2035 – but they may impact the pace of the scale-up.”
(Reporting by Matteo Civillini; additional reporting by Vivian Chime; editing by Megan Rowling)
The post “No future”: Climate projects face existential threat after Trump’s aid shutdown appeared first on Climate Home News.
“No future”: Climate projects face existential threat after Trump’s aid shutdown
Climate Change
With extreme heat now a public health crisis, local data can save lives
Eric Mackres is senior manager of urban analytics for the WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities and attended London Climate Action Week during the June 2026 heatwave. Usama Bilal is an associate professor of epidemiology and co-director of the Urban Health Collaborative at Drexel University.
As thousands gathered in London for one of the year’s largest climate gatherings last week, Western Europe faced its most severe heatwave ever recorded. The irony was not lost.
Across Europe, over a dozen countries issued urgent heat warnings and Spain registered significant deaths. In London, where air conditioning is rare in buildings and on trains and buses, temperatures soared past 36 degrees Celsius (97F) and schools closed early. The mayor announced the city’s first heat action plan – an important step.
Extreme heat is now a public health crisis for many of the world’s cities, as the urban heat island effect intensifies dangerous temperatures – and it’s growing worse. Around 500,000 people die from extreme heat every year. As global temperatures rise, and with a severe El Niño getting underway, even more people will die and be hospitalised unless cities act soon.
But most cities are still taking a far too one-sized-fits-all approach to tackling heat, looking only at temperatures and not its local effects on people and their health.
People experience heat differently
How extreme heat affects people’s health can vary widely across a country and city, depending on their environment and demographics. Cities can save far more lives and prevent more hospitalisations by taking a tailored approach, using data to understand who’s most vulnerable and directing solutions toward them.
The good news: better data now exists that enable cities to pinpoint who’s most at risk. And that data can inform customised adaptation strategies to save lives. Indeed, the future of cities will hinge on their ability to deliver solutions to extreme heat tailored to at-risk people and neighborhoods.
Comment: Climate adaptation in Africa needs investment, not imported solutions
First, cities should start by measuring heat’s risks to people’s health locally. Our work in Brazil and across Latin America shows big differences in what temperatures are dangerous and how quickly risks escalate at higher temperatures. These variations exist between cities, between demographic groups and between neighbourhoods.
But it’s not as simple as finding the hottest places. In temperate Porto Alegre, in southern Brazil, a person’s risk of death increases by 25% at temperatures of 27 degrees Celsius (81F). In tropical Teresina, in northern Brazil, which is hot year-round, the same temperature does not elevate the risk of death. At 32 degrees Celsius (90F), a person’s risk of death increases by a milder 10%.
These differences also exist within cities where the climate is the same. Elderly people, the very young, lower-income communities and those without air-conditioning and shaded green spaces are all more likely to get sick, be hospitalised, or die from heat. Areas with more trees and green spaces usually have lower temperatures, and therefore lower impacts of heat.
Targeted heat alerts
Second, cities can use this data to develop early warning systems and outreach campaigns that give people more targeted heat alerts. Research in the UK found that the elderly, despite being among the most at-risk, often were unable to heed warnings during the 2022 heatwave. Well-designed heat warning systems and city responses strengthen people’s trust in health services. They can change people’s behaviours and better prepare municipal services, helping reduce illness, hospital visits and deaths.
Rio de Janeiro adopted a heat alert system in 2024 with five alert levels based on past heatwaves’ impacts on health and forecasts of when temperature and humidity will hit those dangerous levels again. The alert levels activate services like cooling centres, extra public drinking water, and changes to outdoor events. When a heatwave struck during Carnival in 2025, the city was able to deploy resources to protect and warn people while still allowing events to go on.
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Finally, cities should use local heat data to target cooling solutions to where they can help people the most. Solutions like tree cover, shade structures and cool roofs lower temperatures and can provide targeted relief for the most vulnerable people, like outdoor workers and those who travel by foot, bike or public transit.
In Florianópolis, Brazil, we helped the local government use heat impact modeling to design a green corridor and urban forestry project that will reduce pedestrians’ heat stress up to 7 degrees C. In Hermosillo, Mexico, our researchers worked with the city and found that certain neighbourhoods could feel up to 14 degrees C hotter than the shaded city center. A park is now under construction that will bring better shade and heat relief to one of the city’s most at-risk areas.


Connecting health and climate planning
Momentum to address extreme heat in cities is growing, from both national and local governments. At last year’s UN climate summit in Brazil, the Belém Health Action Plan saw 30 national health ministries commit to build climate-resilient health systems based on local data and evidence-based policies.
And over 160 local governments joined the Beat the Heat initiative, committing to develop urban heat action plans and deliver passive cooling projects to reduce health risks.
But there’s still a disconnect between health, urban and climate officials. Only 23% of World Meteorological Organization member countries integrate weather information into health surveillance systems. Heat-health impact models, though increasingly easy to scale, are not yet built for every city. Some cities still need to collect local data for specific demographics and neighbourhoods – and many need support.
National and local governments will need to partner on this tailored approach. It will require integrating local heat and health data into public health systems, city planning, infrastructure, and disaster preparedness.
We have the data to know who will be most impacted by extreme heat when – and the solutions to keep people alive and out of the hospital. It’s time for governments to use them.
The post With extreme heat now a public health crisis, local data can save lives appeared first on Climate Home News.
With extreme heat now a public health crisis, local data can save lives
Climate Change
Ocean summit stays silent on new wave of offshore oil and gas expansion
As governments gathered at the Our Ocean Conference in Kenya’s coastal city of Mombasa this month, pledging over $6 billion for marine protection, sustainable fisheries and offshore wind, one issue remained largely absent from the main stage: the continued expansion of offshore oil and gas.
From Norway, Brazil and Guyana to South Africa, Angola and Kenya, countries are pushing ahead with offshore oil and gas projects even as they promise to protect marine ecosystems and tackle the climate change that is heating the ocean, raising sea levels and damaging coastal livelihoods.
Governments argue that offshore oil and gas production is needed for energy security, public revenues and economic growth, but environmental groups say new drilling risks locking countries into decades of fossil fuel production just as they are promising to build a sustainable blue economy.
Inia Seruiratu, Fijian parliamentarian and the Pacific COP31 Envoy for the Ocean, said the contradiction is becoming harder to ignore.
“For too long, two conversations – climate mitigation and ocean protection – have run on separate tracks, in separate rooms, with separate experts,” Seruiratu told delegates at a side event during the Mombasa conference held on the shores on the Indian Ocean.
“We talk about emissions reductions in one hall, and coral bleaching in the other, as if they were unrelated phenomena rather than cause and effect. As we commit to new marine protected areas, new ocean financing and fisheries action, we cannot continue to treat the symptoms while funding the disease,” he added.
In Mombasa, only one side event out of the dozens of panels was dedicated to the threats posed by the expansion of offshore oil and gas. That event was organised by civil society rather than governments.


New wave of offshore projects
One-third of the world’s global production of oil and gas comes from offshore projects. They harm oceans in part through the greenhouse gas emissions generated by the fuels they produce, with climate change already driving record sea temperatures, coral bleaching and sea-level rise.
Offshore exploration and production also affect marine life through seismic surveys, underwater noise, vessel traffic and the risk of oil spills, threatening sensitive habitats such as coral reefs, mangroves and seagrass meadows that support fisheries, biodiversity and coastal protection.
Now, as onshore reserves mature, a new wave of offshore oil and gas development is advancing across the world.
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A May report by Earth Insight found that 85% of all hydrocarbon discoveries made in 2024 were offshore, with new projects advancing from Norway and Brazil to Guyana, Namibia and East Africa.
In Africa, countries such as Namibia, Tanzania and Kenya say exploiting fossil fuel resources could help finance development, support economic growth and lift millions out of poverty, particularly at a time when many face high debt levels and limited access to climate finance.
Kenya’s conundrum
The debate was on display at the Mombasa conference, where host Kenya announced it was joining the Global Offshore Wind Alliance (GOWA), while also defending plans to explore for oil and gas in the Lamu Basin, a biodiverse coastal region.
“The energy transition is a journey. It is not a one-stop shop,” Alex Wachira, principal secretary for Kenya’s Department of Energy, told Climate Home News. “Therefore, we must explore the transition and bring on as many options as possible while exploiting the resources we have. At some point, the entire sector will transition to 100% renewable,” he added.
Wachira said Kenya’s low contribution to global emissions and its continued development needs justify pursuing offshore oil and gas alongside renewables, adding that the country still has “the industrial revolution” to achieve.
“Kenya needs to have a piece of the pie … our emissions today are the least, but we have suffered the most,” said Wachira.
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The East African nation is seen as a world leader in renewable energy, with about 90% of its electricity generated from geothermal, hydropower, wind and solar.
Omar Elmawi, a Kenyan climate activist and member of the Fossil Free Ocean Initiative, said Kenya should focus on expanding renewable energy, adding that new fossil fuel projects could result in financial losses as countries move to cut planet-heating emissions and shift to cleaner energy.
“We know we cannot have a future dependent on fossil fuels. The rest of the world is talking about how to move beyond them,” Elmawi told Climate Home News.
“If we invest heavily in fossil fuels within our oceans, we’ll end up with stranded assets and a huge debt that taxpayers will have to pay,” he added.


Offshore wind as a solution
Many environmental groups argue that offshore wind is a promising alternative, as it can deliver similar economic benefits from energy production without worsening climate change.
A study unveiled at the Mombasa conference by Zero Carbon Analytics, Ocean Conservancy and GOWA found that Africa’s offshore wind potential is vast, yet largely untapped.
The continent could install around 6,750 gigawatts of offshore wind capacity – roughly 28 times its current power generation capacity.
Developing just 5% of that potential could create an estimated 5.9 million jobs and generate more than $1 trillion in economic benefits, while producing enough electricity to meet all projected growth in power demand through 2040, the study found.
Campaigners say this could strengthen energy security, reduce dependence on imported fossil fuels and help build new industries around ports, manufacturing and maritime services.
According to a 2025 World Bank report, every $1 million invested in offshore wind creates around 25 jobs – five times more than fossil fuels.
Robust marine protection needed
Bruna Campos, senior campaigner for the Climate and Energy Program at the Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL), said offshore wind offers a cleaner alternative to offshore oil and gas, but warned that poorly planned projects can also cause harm.
She called for robust marine spatial planning, environmental assessments and early community involvement to ensure the industry does not repeat mistakes associated with fossil fuel development.
“You need to understand what are the impacts that offshore wind will have on sensitive ecosystems and communities,” Campos told Climate Home News.
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A 2024 UN study found that offshore wind farms can disturb whales, seals, porpoises and migratory fish, particularly during construction, when underwater noise and seabed disruption are greatest. At the same time, turbine foundations can act as artificial reefs, creating habitat for some species and boosting local fish populations.
Pacific COP31 Envoy for the Ocean Seruiratu said that while investing in renewables is crucial, it is also important to keep pushing for fossil fuels to be phased out.
He said his own country, Fiji, is among a growing block of nations calling for “a binding international mechanism for an orderly and equitable phase-out of fossil fuels”.
“Every offshore drilling decision, every new exploration site, every delayed phase-out is a decision made against the common good,” he added.
The post Ocean summit stays silent on new wave of offshore oil and gas expansion appeared first on Climate Home News.
Ocean summit stays silent on new wave of offshore oil and gas expansion
Climate Change
UN plastics pact talks restart amid fears production curbs will be left out
Governments are holding “critical” talks this week on a global treaty to curb plastic pollution, as some countries and activists warn that key issues – including measures to rein in soaring plastic production – are being sidelined.
Diplomats are meeting in person in Nairobi for the first time since negotiations were suspended in chaos nearly a year ago, stymied by a long-running deadlock that pits petrostates against more ambitious nations over the reach of the UN pact.
Because nearly all plastic is made from planet-heating oil, gas and coal, the sector’s trajectory will have a major influence on global efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
The four-day informal gathering, which begins on Tuesday, has been billed by the chair of the talks, Chilean ambassador Julio Cordano, as a “brainstorming” session in which countries are invited to put forward possible solutions to some of the treaty negotiations’ most divisive elements.
Cordano is expected to distill those views in a new document intended to serve as the basis for a new draft text of the future treaty, which governments would take up at the next official round of negotiations, scheduled for March 13-24, 2027.
Two earlier rounds, each billed as the final one, ended without agreement, derailed largely by a standoff over how the treaty should address plastic production, which the UN says is set to triple by 2060 without intervention.
Production curbs in the spotlight
Large fossil fuel and petrochemical producers, led by Saudi Arabia, the United States, Russia and India, have repeatedly argued that the treaty should focus only on managing plastic waste. A US State Department spokesperson told Climate Home News that Washington supports “practical, cost-effective solutions” to plastic pollution, while opposing “global plastic bans”.
A majority of countries – including most European, Latin American, African and Pacific island nations -want to limit the manufacturing of plastic to “sustainable levels”, but have not pushed for any wide-ranging ban.
Ahead of what it described as “critical” talks in Nairobi, the French government said last week it had already shown flexibility and “significantly scaled back” its initial ambitions. But a French official told a meeting of EU environment ministers that without an explicit reference to the “unsustainable nature” of plastic production, the treaty would be “fundamentally unbalanced, ineffective and, worse still, could set us on the wrong path for decades to come”.
In a separate written communication, the French government lamented that informal meetings held in recent months have given “disproportionate visibility to the positions of the least ambitious states”, fuelling a “risk that partial agreements may be reached only on the issues with the broadest consensus”.
Dennis Clare, a negotiator for the Pacific island nation of Micronesia, told Climate Home News that “if we fail to address any key elements”, including overproduction, the impacts of the plastic crisis on the climate, human health and ecosystems will only grow more severe.
Fears over “political calculations”
Despite such concerns, plastics production is not mentioned in the wide-ranging list of topics Cordano has drafted for the meeting – an omission that has alarmed observers.
Christina Dixon, a campaigner at the Environmental Investigation Agency (EIA), said there appeared to be an attempt to write off this crucial element of the treaty as “too complicated and politically unviable”.
David Azoulay, environmental health programme director at the Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL), said the meeting’s proposed structure was “highly concerning”. He accused the chair of “making political calculations in favour of potential short-term wins” and aiming to deliver a treaty “based on the lowest common denominator”.
Speaking to journalists last week, Cordano pushed back, insisting that “no topic is off the table” and inviting countries to bring whatever proposals they judged necessary for a successful outcome.
He added that the treaty could not be allowed to settle for just any level of ambition, and that he would not be happy with an outcome at all costs.
“This is what makes it so difficult and complex,” said Cordano, who was elected in February after his predecessor’s resignation. Countries “are trying to be creative” in finding solutions, he explained, because “the road to the objective of our work might not be so obvious”.
The post UN plastics pact talks restart amid fears production curbs will be left out appeared first on Climate Home News.
UN plastics pact talks restart amid fears production curbs will be left out
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