The nickel market experienced downward price pressure in 2024, but 2025 is expected to add more complexities. As demand for critical minerals intensifies and global processing capacity expands, major players in the nickel supply chain will face challenges in predicting prices.
Let’s explore what market research forecasts about the nickel this year.
Asia Powers Nickel Growth as Surplus Shrinks
The International Nickel Study Group (INSG) updated its nickel market forecast explaining that the surplus will narrow to 135kt in 2025, with production increasing to 3.649 Mt and demand growing to 3.514Mt.
Narrowing down to Asia, nickel production is set to rise to 3.002Mt in 2025 where Indonesia and China will be the major contributors to growth.
- Indonesia: Production will rise from 1.600Mt in 2024 to 1.700Mt in 2025.
- China: Output is expected to grow from 1.035Mt in 2024 to 1.085Mt in 2025.
These increases highlight Asia’s dominance in global nickel production, with Indonesia and China continuing to strengthen their positions as key players.

However, 2025 presents an interesting twist! Recently, Bloomberg reported that Indonesia is considering cutting its nickel mine quotas by nearly 40% in 2025. According to Macquarie Group Ltd, the Indonesian government’s proposed restrictions on nickel mining could reduce global supply by more than a third, potentially driving up nickel prices.
These cuts are expected to lower production from 272 million tons in 2024 to just 150 million tons in 2025. Already, Indonesia’s mining limitations have caused supply strains, leading to record nickel ore imports from the Philippines, the world’s second-largest producer, in 2024.
Rising Demand and Nickel Deficits in 2025
Nickel is essential for battery production, especially in high-energy-density batteries used in electric vehicles (EVs). Yet, the market faces a growing imbalance. A recent Benchmark analysis explained the key trends and risks shaping the future of energy transition materials, focusing on nickel.
It highlights,
- By 2034, nickel is expected to face a deficit of 839,000 tonnes—nearly 7X larger than today’s surplus. This shows the urgent need to tackle supply shortages.
The report further explains that approximately $514 billion in investment is required (with $220 billion allocated to upstream projects) to meet global battery demand by 2030.
Of this, nickel alone needs $66 billion—the highest of all critical materials. Without these investments, sustaining the rapidly expanding EV market could become significantly challenging

Challenges in the Nickel Market
Benchmark further explained how the nickel market is grappling with slow project development. While gigafactories and processing plants can start operating within five years, mines often take 5 to 25 years to develop. This mismatch creates a “supply-demand disconnect” that threatens the EV supply chain.
Western nations are also trying to reduce reliance on China, which dominates refining and manufacturing due to lower costs and lenient environmental rules. Shifting production to Western countries, however, increases costs and requires stricter environmental compliance.
Furthermore, the nickel market had its own share of woes in recent years due to oversupply and weak demand. Nasdaq revealed, a brief price surge in early 2024 but it fell sharply by year-end. As 2025 rolled in, nickel traded between $15,000 and $15,200 per metric ton which analysts say to be the lowest since 2020.
- CHECK OUT: LIVE NICKEL PRICES
Closing the Supply-Demand Gap
Nickel’s role in the energy transition demands immediate investment in mining. Without sufficient raw materials, even the most advanced gigafactories won’t meet EV production goals. Addressing this resource clinch is crucial to stabilizing the supply chain.
Looking ahead, managing price risks, and ensuring steady nickel supplies will remain critical. Stakeholders must navigate these challenges while seizing opportunities in the evolving market for energy transition materials.
Amid the shifting nickel market, Alaska Energy Metals Corporation (AEMC) is leading efforts to boost U.S. nickel independence. Its flagship Nikolai project in Alaska contains valuable resources of nickel, copper, cobalt, and platinum group metals, all crucial for renewable energy and electric vehicles.
UK and Saudi Arabia Forge Critical Minerals Partnership
In the latest developments, Mining.com revealed that Britain will partner with Saudi Arabia to secure critical minerals like copper, lithium, and nickel which are all essential for EVs, AI systems, and clean energy technologies. The agreement aims to strengthen supply chains, attract investment, and create opportunities for British businesses.
Saudi Arabia, valuing its untapped mineral reserves at $2.5 trillion, seeks to position itself as a global hub for mineral trade. For the UK, this partnership supports its industrial strategy focused on economic growth, job creation, and national security.
The deal coincides with ongoing UK-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement negotiations. British Industry Minister Sarah Jones will lead a trade mission to the Future Minerals Forum in Riyadh, showcasing UK companies like Cornish Lithium and Beowulf Mining. Jones emphasized the importance of securing mineral supplies to advance AI, clean energy, and technological innovation in a competitive and uncertain global landscape.
As demand for nickel continues to rise, securing the necessary $66 billion in investments will be crucial for meeting the challenges ahead in 2025. However, the market’s future will depend on addressing supply gaps and adapting to shifting global dynamics.
- FURTHER READING: Nickel Could Be the Key to U.S. Energy Independence: Alaska Energy Metals’ Strategic Role
The post Nickel Forecast 2025: Can $66 Billion Investment Solve the Supply Gap? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Carbon credit project stewardship: what happens after credit issuance
A carbon credit purchase is not a transaction that closes at issuance. The credit may be retired, the certificate filed, and the reporting box ticked. But on the ground, in the forest, in the field, and in the community, the work continues. It endures for years. In many cases, for decades.
![]()
Carbon Footprint
Industries with the biggest nature footprints and what their decarbonisation looks like
A corporate carbon footprint is never just an accounting figure. It maps onto real ecosystems. Before a product leaves the factory gate, something on the ground has already paid the cost. A forest has been converted. A river has been depleted. A patch of savannah that was once home to dozens of species now grows a single crop in every direction.
![]()
Carbon Footprint
Apple, Amazon Lead 60+ Firms to Ease Global Carbon Reporting Rules
More than 60 global companies, including Apple, Amazon, BYD, Salesforce, Mars, and Schneider Electric, are pushing back against proposed changes to global emissions reporting rules. The group is calling for more flexibility under the Greenhouse Gas Protocol (GHG Protocol), the most widely used framework for measuring corporate carbon footprints.
The companies submitted a joint statement asking that new requirements, especially those affecting Scope 2 emissions, remain optional rather than mandatory. Their letter stated:
“To drive critical climate progress, it’s imperative that we get this revision right. We strongly urge the GHGP to improve upon the existing guidance, but not stymie critical electricity decarbonization investments by mandating a change that fundamentally threatens participation in this voluntary market, which acts as the linchpin in decarbonization across nearly all sectors of the economy. The revised guidance must encourage more clean energy procurement and enable more impactful corporate action, not unintentionally discourage it.”
The debate comes at a critical time. Corporate climate disclosures now influence trillions of dollars in capital flows, while stricter reporting rules are being introduced across major economies.
The Rulebook for Carbon: What the GHG Protocol Is and Why It’s Being Updated
The Greenhouse Gas Protocol is the world’s most widely used system for measuring corporate emissions. It is used by over 90% of companies that report greenhouse gas data globally, making it the foundation of most climate disclosures.
It divides emissions into three categories:
- Scope 1: Direct emissions from operations
- Scope 2: Emissions from purchased electricity
- Scope 3: Emissions across the value chain

The current Scope 2 rules were introduced in 2015, but energy markets have changed since then. Renewable energy has expanded, and companies now play a major role in funding clean power.
Corporate buyers have already supported more than 100 gigawatts (GW) of renewable energy capacity globally through voluntary purchases. This shows how influential the current system has been.
The GHG Protocol is now updating its rules to improve accuracy and transparency. The revision process includes input from more than 45 experts across industry, government, and academia, reflecting its global importance.
Scope 2 Shake-Up: The Battle Over Real-Time Carbon Tracking
The proposed update would shift how companies report electricity emissions. Instead of using flexible systems like renewable energy certificates (RECs), companies would need to match their electricity use with clean energy that is:
- Generated at the same time, and
- Located in the same grid region.
This is known as “24/7” or hourly or real-time matching. It aims to reflect the actual impact of electricity use on the grid. Companies, including Apple and Amazon, say this shift could create challenges.

According to industry feedback, stricter rules could raise energy costs and limit access to renewable energy in some regions. It can also slow corporate investment in new clean energy projects.
The concern is that many markets do not yet have enough renewable supply for real-time matching. Infrastructure for tracking hourly emissions is also still developing.
This creates a key tension. The new rules could improve accuracy and reduce greenwashing. But they may also make it harder for companies to scale clean energy quickly.
The outcome will shape how companies measure emissions, invest in renewables, and meet net-zero targets in the years ahead.
Why More Than 60 Companies Oppose the Changes
The companies argue that stricter rules could slow climate progress rather than accelerate it. Their main concern is cost and feasibility. Many regions still lack enough renewable energy to support real-time matching. For global companies, aligning energy use across different grids is complex.
In their joint statement, the group warned that mandatory changes could:
- Increase electricity prices,
- Reduce participation in voluntary clean energy markets, and
- Slow investment in renewable energy projects.
They argue that current market-based systems, such as RECs, have helped scale clean energy quickly over the past decade. Removing flexibility could weaken that momentum.
This reflects a broader tension between accuracy and scalability in climate reporting.
Big Tech Pushback: Apple and Amazon’s Climate Progress
Despite their push for flexibility, both companies have made measurable progress on emissions reduction.
Apple reports that it has reduced its total greenhouse gas emissions by more than 60% compared to 2015 levels, even as revenue grew significantly. The company is targeting carbon neutrality across its entire value chain by 2030. It also reported that supplier renewable energy use helped avoid over 26 million metric tons of CO₂ emissions in 2025 alone.

In addition, about 30% of materials used in Apple products in 2025 were recycled, showing a shift toward circular manufacturing.
Amazon has also set a net-zero target for 2040 under its Climate Pledge. The company is one of the world’s largest corporate buyers of renewable energy and continues to invest heavily in clean power, logistics electrification, and low-carbon infrastructure.

Both companies argue that flexible accounting frameworks have supported these investments at scale.
The Bigger Challenge: Scope 3 and Digital Emissions
The debate over Scope 2 reporting is only part of a larger issue. For most large companies, Scope 3 emissions account for more than 70% of total emissions. These include supply chains, product use, and outsourced services.
In the technology sector, emissions are rising due to:
- Data centers,
- Cloud computing, and
- Artificial intelligence workloads.
Global data centers already consume about 415–460 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity per year, equal to roughly 1.5%–2% of global power demand. This figure is expected to increase sharply. The International Energy Agency estimates that data center electricity demand could double by 2030, driven largely by AI.
This creates a major reporting challenge. Even with cleaner electricity, total emissions can rise as digital demand grows.
Climate Reporting Rules Are Tightening Globally
The pushback comes as climate disclosure requirements are expanding and becoming more standardized across major economies. What was once voluntary ESG reporting is steadily shifting toward mandatory, audit-ready climate transparency.
In the European Union, the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) is now active. It requires large companies and, later, listed SMEs, to share detailed sustainability data. This data must match the European Sustainability Reporting Standards (ESRS). This includes granular reporting on emissions across Scope 1, 2, and increasingly Scope 3 value chains.
In the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) aims for mandatory climate-related disclosures for public companies. This includes governance, risk exposure, and emissions reporting. However, some parts of the rule face legal and political scrutiny.
The United Kingdom has included climate disclosure through TCFD requirements. Now, it is moving toward ISSB-based global standards to make comparisons easier. Similarly, Canada is progressing with ISSB-aligned mandatory reporting frameworks for large public issuers.
In Asia, momentum is also accelerating. Japan is introducing the Sustainability Standards Board of Japan (SSBJ) rules that match ISSB standards. Meanwhile, China is tightening ESG disclosure rules for listed companies through updates from its securities regulators. Singapore has also mandated climate reporting for listed companies, with phased Scope 3 expansion.
A clear trend is forming across jurisdictions: climate disclosure is aligning with ISSB global standards. There’s a growing focus on assurance, comparability, and transparency in value-chain emissions.
This regulatory tightening raises the bar significantly for corporations. The challenge is clear. Companies must:
- Align with multiple evolving disclosure regimes,
- Ensure emissions data is verifiable and auditable, and
- Expand reporting across complex global supply chains.
Balancing operational growth with compliance is becoming increasingly complex as climate regulation converges and intensifies worldwide.
A Turning Point for Global Carbon Accounting
The outcome of this debate could shape global carbon accounting standards for years.
If stricter rules are adopted, emissions reporting will become more precise. This could improve transparency and reduce greenwashing risks. However, it may also increase compliance costs and limit flexibility.
If the proposed changes remain optional, companies may continue using current accounting methods. This could support faster clean energy investment, but may leave gaps in reporting accuracy.
The new rules could take effect as early as next year, making this a near-term decision for global companies.
The push by Apple, Amazon, and other companies highlights a key tension in climate strategy. On one side is the need for accurate, real-time emissions reporting. On the other is the need for flexible systems that support large-scale clean energy investment.
As digital infrastructure expands and energy demand rises, how emissions are measured will matter as much as how they are reduced. The next phase of climate action will depend not just on targets—but on the systems used to track them.
The post Apple, Amazon Lead 60+ Firms to Ease Global Carbon Reporting Rules appeared first on Carbon Credits.
-
Climate Change9 months ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases9 months ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago
Bill Discounting Climate Change in Florida’s Energy Policy Awaits DeSantis’ Approval
-
Renewable Energy7 months agoSending Progressive Philanthropist George Soros to Prison?
-
Carbon Footprint2 years agoUS SEC’s Climate Disclosure Rules Spur Renewed Interest in Carbon Credits
-
Greenhouse Gases10 months ago
嘉宾来稿:探究火山喷发如何影响气候预测



