Xpansiv voluntary carbon credit trading data saw a significant divergence in prices for nature-based and technology-based carbon credits. The report is from Xpansiv Data and Analytics, which offers a comprehensive database of spot firm and indicative bids, offers, and transaction data.
Xpansiv delivers extensive market data from CBL, the world’s largest spot environmental commodity exchange. It provides daily and historical data on bids, offers, and transactions for carbon credits, compliance and voluntary renewable energy certificates, and Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) traded on the CBL platform.
The exchange recently secured a major capital raise from Aramco Ventures to further enhance its environmental markets infrastructure solutions.
The spot data is further enhanced by forward carbon prices from top market intermediaries, along with aggregated registry statistics and ratings from leading providers.
Nature-Based Credits Surge While Energy Sector Prices Drop
Last week saw large blocks of Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) Nature Group Eligibility (N-GEO)-eligible and Climate Action Reserve (CAR) nature credits driving the 20-day moving average of recent-vintage AFOLU (Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use) credits to $12.05, a 125% week-over-week increase. Conversely, a significant block of Asian renewable credits pushed the energy sector average price down by 60% to $0.76.
These blocks accounted for most of the 316,124 metric tons traded on CBL last week. This is composed of 224,730 nature credits and 91,394 energy credits. CME Group’s emissions futures also reflected this trend, trading 584,000 tons through CBL N-GEO and 284,000 via CBL GEO futures contracts.
Specific credit trades on CBL included vintage 2019:
- VCS 1477 Katingan credits at $6.00,
- ACR 556 industrial process credits at $2.85,
- ACR 658 credits at $2.30, and
- Vintage 2020 VCS 1753 Indian solar credits at $1.25.
Who Leads the CBL REC Markets?
Last week, a $9.50 offer for 5,000 tons of vintage 2019 VCS Afforestation, Reforestation, and Revegetation (ARR) credits from Uruguay was reposted. New and renewed offers for VCS and Gold Standard renewable energy and REDD+ (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) credits ranged between $1.00 and $2.75.
Project-Specific Credit Offers on CBL
REC trading activity on CBL was light but included larger blocks of bilaterally traded PJM credits settled via the exchange, along with smaller PJM and NEPOOL trades matched on screen.
- Virginia Credits: 2024 Virginia credits traded at $0.25, closing the week at $35.25.
- New Jersey Solar Credits: Over 1,400 2023 New Jersey solar credits were matched at $207.50, $1.50 higher than the previous week’s close, with an additional 1,500 credits cleared via reported trade.
- New Jersey Class 2 Credits: 355 vintage 2024 RECs were matched at $37.50.
- NEPOOL Credits: 189 Massachusetts Class 2 non-waste credits were matched at $31.50.
In related news, the White House released new voluntary carbon credit guidelines to promote high-integrity emissions reductions and support nature-based projects and carbon removal technologies.
Xpansiv’s data highlights a stark contrast in the carbon credit market: with nature-based credits experiencing a significant price surge while energy sector credits see a sharp decline. This divergence underscores the growing demand for high-integrity, nature-based solutions in the voluntary carbon market.
As companies strive to meet their net zero targets, understanding these market dynamics will be crucial for making informed investment and sustainability decisions.
The post Nature-Based Carbon Credits Skyrocket as Energy Sector Prices Tumble, Xpansiv Report appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.
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Carbon Footprint
Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions
Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?
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