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Stephanie Pfeifer is CEO of the Institutional Investors Group on Climate Change (IIGCC), a European-focused investor-led membership organisation.

As world leaders meet in Belém for the so-called Amazon COP, the global financial community should seize the opportunity to declare its commitment to managing the growing investment risks posed by deforestation in the Amazon and beyond.

Besides emphasising their support for a global transition towards sustainable supply chains at the COP30 talks, investors can also help unlock the investment and financing opportunities that such a transition makes possible.

The financial impacts of deforestation-related risk are broad and growing. For long-term asset owners such as pension funds and insurers, exposure to deforestation can affect everything from investment performance to reputational resilience. For investors more broadly, addressing deforestation exposure is increasingly part of fulfilling fiduciary duty in a world with compounding climate- and nature-related risks.

Tech tools to improve supply chain traceability

To that end, many investors are already taking meaningful steps to address deforestation risk.

Some are working directly with portfolio companies to improve traceability, strengthen supply chain policies, and support the economic inclusion of smallholder farmers. Others are using geospatial tools and satellite data to monitor deforestation in real time and inform engagement discussions. There has also been positive momentum in integrating deforestation into risk assessments, stewardship strategies, and exclusions policies.

    This work cannot be done in isolation. For investors looking to accelerate action, collaboration will remain key. Global initiatives like the Finance Sector Deforestation Action (FSDA), launched at COP26, have raised the bar of ambition for investors seeking to address agricultural commodity-driven deforestation risks in their portfolios.

    EUDR should be implemented without further delays

    While previous COPs highlighted the urgent need to halt and reverse deforestation by 2030, only a few countries have taken steps to drive that action through policy.

    One of the few jurisdictions mounting a comprehensive approach to deforestation is the European Union, with its Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) – a prime example of ambitious policy that can transform supply chains while protecting company competitiveness.

    In its current form, the regulation frames deforestation as a material business risk and safeguards companies taking proactive steps toward deforestation-free supply chains by ensuring that non-compliant companies are penalised for falling short on due diligence. Given the level of ambition, the multiple changes in direction around the implementation of the EUDR have understandably raised concern.

    Explainer: What is the TFFF, Brazil’s COP30 rainforest fund?

    Last year’s delay of the EUDR was disappointing for many investors, who view the regulation as a critical lever in mitigating deforestation risk exposure. The EU’s recent announcement that it will no longer propose a further one-year delay but instead implement a six-month transition period to ensure the legislation enters into force as planned is a more positive sign.

    We’re pleased that the voices of investors and businesses calling for a timely implementation – given the importance of the law and the work done by a number of producer countries – have been taken into account.

    Maintaining momentum, beyond policy

    Though some provisions of the EUDR still lack certainty, public policy remains integral to redirecting financial flows towards deforestation- and conversion-free production systems.

    A clear, well-designed regulatory environment provides investors with the consistency and confidence to scale solutions and make long-term decisions for financial stability and sound risk management. Continued engagement with policymakers is therefore essential, with COP30 providing a crucial platform to advance public-private dialogue on global deforestation.

    Big banks’ lending to coal backers undermines Indonesia’s green plans

    It is important to remember, however, that regulation is not the only lever for progress. The need for meaningful investor action – and for maintaining momentum – continues.

    When IIGCC assumed the secretariat role for FSDA in 2024, the aim was to advance the initiative’s ambitious agenda and mainstream deforestation action across the investment community. As FSDA concludes its four-year term in December, IIGCC will continue this work through the Deforestation Investor Group (DIG) – an investor-led platform that will maintain momentum for multistakeholder action, align with global goals, and be reinforced by IIGCC’s forthcoming guidance on integrating deforestation into net-zero planning.

    Ten years on from Paris, forests are firmly a climate issue The first Global Stocktake underscored the urgent need to halt and reverse deforestation and forest degradation by 2030 to keep 1.5C within reach. For the first time, countries were asked to report on forest-related progress, turning pledges into measurable benchmarks and cementing deforestation as central to climate targets.

    Aerial view of a rainforest in the Colombian Pacific region, nestled within the heart of the Chocó Biogeographic Region, one of the world’s most enigmatic biodiversity hotspots. (Photo: Mateo Giraldo Amaya/Cover Images)

    Aerial view of a rainforest in the Colombian Pacific region, nestled within the heart of the Chocó Biogeographic Region, one of the world’s most enigmatic biodiversity hotspots. (Photo: Mateo Giraldo Amaya/Cover Images)

    The conference also built momentum around nature-based solutions, with financial commitments and policy frameworks aimed at protecting tropical forests and empowering Indigenous stewardship. The message was clear: there is no net zero without addressing deforestation.

    Now, in the lead-up to COP30, attention is turning to emerging finance mechanisms – such as the Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF) spearheaded by Brazil – that directly target deforestation.

    World failing on goal to halt deforestation by 2030, raising stakes for Amazon COP

    For the COP30 presidency and delegates, the “Amazon COP” is a clear opportunity to align the climate and biodiversity agendas, reaffirm their interdependence, and strengthen coordination across the Rio Conventions.

    With that stage already set, it’s crucial that the financial sector continues engaging and maintaining dialogues with corporates, policymakers, and the wider range of stakeholders to support global efforts to address deforestation. This includes participation in engagement work such as through the DIG.

    Progress remains possible, but the window for action is narrowing as deforestation continues unabated. The cost of inaction will far exceed the investment required to build resilience and end deforestation and land-conversion as soon as possible.

    The post Investor action is crucial to maintaining progress on deforestation risk appeared first on Climate Home News.

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    Climate Change

    Palestine: Israel’s bombing has left Gaza vulnerable to climate change

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    Israel’s bombardment of Gaza during the conflict that broke out in October 2023 has wrecked progress towards adapting the enclave to climate change and left two million Gazans vulnerable to heatwaves, drought and disease, the Palestinian Authority (PA) said in a new climate plan submitted to the United Nations.

    Palestine’s third nationally determined contribution (NDC), uploaded to the UN climate body’s website this week, says that while “the aggression on the Gaza Strip did not make the climate worse”, “it removed the housing, water and sanitation systems, health facilities, energy networks, roads and livelihoods through which people absorb a climate they were already struggling with.”

    The 91-page document lists the types of infrastructure it says Israel has destroyed and notes how the destruction will worsen the impacts of climate change. It says the bombing of hospitals and rising hunger have make it harder for Gazans to cope with the health impacts of climate-driven heatwaves and waterborne diseases.

    On beaches of Gaza and Tel Aviv, two tales of one heatwave

    The destruction of water tanks, boreholes and desalination plants, meanwhile, have left Gazans struggling with the effects of water shortages and drought, while mass unemployment reduces people’s ability to afford climate-driven price rises. The erasure of most of the Strip’s homes makes it more difficult for people to avoid the sun’s increasing heat, the NDC said.

    Many Gazans are now living in the ruins of collapsed buildings or in makeshift shelters and tents that offer little or no protection from high temperatures.

    A displaced Palestinian child fills water containers on July 2, 2026 in Gaza City, Gaza. (Photo by Ahmad Hasaballah/Getty Images)

    Palestine’s previous goals to cut emissions and adapt to climate change in Gaza, expressed in its last NDC five years ago, were based on a pre-war baseline that “no longer describes anything that exists”, the NDC says. Progress made since 2021 has now been destroyed, it adds.

    Green reconstruction of Gaza

    Instead of continuing to aim for these adaptation and emissions-reduction goals, the PA is now calling for the green reconstruction of Gaza. It says buildings should be constructed again in an energy-efficient manner with solar panels and served with modern water, waste and transport systems.

    While the PA, controlled by the Fatah political party, continues to claim legitimate control of Gaza, the strip was effectively governed by Fatah’s rival Hamas between 2007 and the recent war. Control is now split between Israel and the political wing of Islamist militant group Hamas, after a US-backed ceasefire took effect in October 2025, although a UN-backed committee plans to take over.

      The United Nations, European Union and World Bank have jointly estimated that Gaza needs $71.4 billion of investment in the next two years to recover and build back. This process should be Palestinian-led, they said in April.

      But US President Donald Trump has said the US should “take over” and “own” Gaza and redevelop it as the “Riviera of the Middle East”. Israel’s right-wing prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said that Israel should control the territory with civil administration managed by Palestinians favourable to Israel.

      With occupation, targets conditional

      In the other part of Palestine, the West Bank, the Palestinian Authority carries out some government functions, but ultimate control rests with Israel, which has occupied the West Bank since 1967.

      Because Israel controls planning in most of the West Bank, the NDC argues that the PA cannot pursue all the climate projects it wants. In addition, Israel restricts the movement of PA officials, making data collection difficult, and controls the West Bank’s electricity supply meaning that the PA cannot control whether it comes from dirty or clean sources of energy.

      Given this situation, the NDC says that all of Palestine’s new climate targets are conditional but it will aim to reduce emissions 12.8% below a business-as-usual baseline by 2035 and 17.1% by 2040. If the Israeli occupation ends and Palestine regains full sovereignty over its land and resources, it will aim for reductions of 15.1% and 19.1% by 2035 and 2040 respectively under an “independence pathway”.

      That could allow, for example, for greater electrification and reducing emissions per unit of growth, the document said.

      To achieve the 2035 emissions-reduction target and adapt to the impacts of climate change, the PA says it needs $8.6 billion in total. This funding would be spent on measures like encouraging solar farms and rooftop solar and scaling up solar water heating to cover four-fifths of households. To complement the planned increase in solar power, the authority wants to modernise the electricity grid and install battery storage.

      In the transport sector, it aims to promote the uptake of electric vehicles, develop bus rapid transit corridors and scrap old polluting trucks and buses. In Gaza in particular, it wants to deploy 66 electric buses when the conflict ends.

      A bus rapid transit system in Sao Paulo (Flickr/EMBARQ BRASIL)

      To adapt to climate-driven drought, the NDC includes initiatives to reuse wastewater through treatment plants, build desalination plants in Gaza to remove salt from seawater, and promote irrigation for farmers.

      The new climate plan was prepared by Palestine’s Environment Quality Authority, with support from the United Nations Development Programme and the governments of Britain and Spain.

      The United Nations recognised Palestine’s statehood in 2012 and it joined the UN’s climate convention and signed the Paris climate agreement – which requires countries to submit more ambitious NDCs every five years – in 2016.

      The Israeli foreign ministry did not respond to a request for comment. But in late 2024, then Israeli climate envoy Gideon Behar told Climate Home News that the war and the resulting environmental destruction in Gaza was the fault of Hamas.

      The post Palestine: Israel’s bombing has left Gaza vulnerable to climate change appeared first on Climate Home News.

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      Analysis: UK solar power hits record high over summer 2026

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      Solar power generation in the UK reached a new record over the summer of 2026, as temperatures across the nation soared, according to new analysis by Carbon Brief.

      Collectively over June, July and August, solar farms and rooftops generated 8.8 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity in the UK*, as shown in the chart below.

      Line chart showing that UK solar generation reached an all-time high during record-hot summer 2026

      Speaking to Carbon Brief, Chris Hewett, chief executive of trade association Solar Energy UK welcomed the new record, adding that it was driven by “clear skies and continued growth in deployment”.

      This surge in generation took place amid the hottest summer on record in the UK, with five heatwaves between May and August.

      Summer 2026 was the sixth sunniest on record, with more than 620 hours of sunshine, according to the Met Office. England and Wales – which experienced the most extreme heat – saw their second-sunniest summers on record.

      June 2026 was the hottest June in England since records began in 1884, according to Met Office data, while Wales and the UK as a whole experienced their second-warmest June.

      It was the driest July for England and Wales since records began in 1836, with some parts of London seeing no rain at all in the month, while Wisley in Surrey had no rain for 62 days.

      In England, temperatures peaked at 38.1C at Kew Gardens in London on 13 August.

      According to the Met Office, this summer’s record mean temperature was made 130 times more likely by climate change.

      Amid these hot and sunny months, solar power generation increased 23% from the same period in 2025. This is double the level of solar generation over the summer of 2021, according to Carbon Brief analysis.

      While solar panels can be affected by periods of extreme heat, the longer hours of daylight and higher levels of irradiation over the summer more than offset any efficiency losses.

      June, July and August all saw solar set new monthly records for solar generation – July saw the highest solar generation in a calendar month ever, with 3.3TWh meeting 15% of overall electricity demand for the month.

      As of the end of August, the total UK solar generation in 2026 stood at 17TWh – 13% higher than the same point in 2025.

      The number of solar farms and rooftop installations has grown substantially in recent years, helping to boost generation. Domestic rooftop solar accounts for around 29% of total capacity.

      In 2025, the UK’s solar capacity reached 21 gigawatts (GW) by the third quarter of the year, according to UK government figures. This is a jump of 3GW, or 18%, year-on-year, as Carbon Brief reported in January.

      (Capacity is the maximum output possible from an electricity generation, whereas generation is what was produced over a certain time period, such as a day, month or year.)

      According to the University of Sheffield, the installed solar capacity is now nearly 24GW.

      This includes nearly 172,000 solar installations that have been fitted across the UK since the start of 2026, according to recent government figures. In July alone, more than 19,800 rooftop solar panels were installed – the equivalent of one installation every two minutes.

      In total, nearly 1.7m households in the UK now have solar panels installed.

      Over 26 heatwave days this summer – periods of at least three days when temperatures exceed the Met Office’s county-level heatwave temperature threshold – UK households with rooftop solar panels avoided an estimated £86.7m in electricity costs, according to analysis by Utility Bidder.

      Talking about the surge in solar generation this summer, Hewett says:

      “[It] not only kept bills down for people with solar and batteries in their homes, but helped keep overall power prices much lower than they would have been if Britain had been relying on more gas generation during the day”.

      Despite the record generation, no new half-hourly solar power output record was set in the summer of 2026. This still stands at 15.2 megawatts (MW) on 23 April 2026.

      * This article refers to the UK throughout, but strictly relates to the island of Great Britain, made up of England, Scotland and Wales. Northern Ireland is part of the separate, all-Ireland electricity system.

      The post Analysis: UK solar power hits record high over summer 2026 appeared first on Carbon Brief.

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      Climate Change

      How this summer’s heat and drought impacted crops in Europe – in six charts

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      Farmers around Europe are dealing with the aftermath of a summer of extreme heat, drought and wildfires that were exacerbated by climate change.

      Human-caused climate change is increasing the severity and likelihood of many extreme weather events around the world, which is increasing volatility for food producers.

      This summer resulted in, for example, shrunken potatoes in the Netherlands, reduced carrot harvests in France, dried-up rice fields in Italy and scorched olive groves in parts of the Mediterranean region.

      Global food prices are currently at their highest level since early 2023 due to “heatwaves and energy price dynamics”, according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization.

      Other factors such as blocked fertiliser supplies in the Strait of Hormuz and high fuel costs have also played a role in this year’s agricultural outputs.

      In the six charts below, Carbon Brief provides a snapshot of the impact this summer’s extremes are considered to have had on crop production and yields across Europe.

      1. Most EU countries expect to see declines in cereal production this year

      2. Most countries are recording reduced crop yields

      3. Around €2bn worth of cereal losses after June heatwave

      4. UK yields of wheat, barley and oats are all due to drop in 2026

      5. Maize production in France is due to hit a four-decade low

      6. Declines in EU grains since 2025

      Article Contents

      1. Most EU countries expect to see declines in cereal production this year

      Bar chart showing that France is due to see the largest drops in cereal production in the EU in 2026. The bar chart shows that France's cereal production in 2026 has dropped -7.7 Mt of followed by Germany (-3.5 Mt), Poland (-3.2 Mt), Spain (-2.9 Mt), and Hungary (-2.6)
      Changes in cereal production in 26 EU countries between 2025 and 2026. Malta is excluded due to a lack of available data. Source: European Commission.

      France, in particular, will see heavy losses in the amount of cereals – such as wheat, barley and oats – it produces this year, according to European Commission data.

      French cereal production is expected to drop by almost 8 megatonnes (Mt) in 2026, compared to 2025.

      The chart above shows that most European countries, aside from Bulgaria, will also see production losses this year.

      Germany is due to see the second-largest losses in production, dropping by almost 4Mt compared to 2025.

      Prof Til Feike, a cropping systems expert at the Julius Kühn-Institut, says many areas in Germany and Austria, as with other parts of Europe, have been “hit hard by a long-lasting dry period in combination with record-high heatwaves”.

      This has resulted in dry grassland for animals and lower yields of maize, which is a “key fodder crop” for livestock. He tells Carbon Brief:

      “In the long run, farming must adapt better to more extreme weather conditions, not only heat and drought, but also prolonged wet periods. So, there is no one-fits-all solution for climate change adaptation.”

      2. Most countries are recording reduced crop yields

      Heat and a lack of water have “substantially worsened” crop expectations this summer in western and most of central Europe, according to a recent bulletin from the EU Joint Research Centre.

      Yields are expected to be “significantly reduced”, with local crop failures “likely” in areas such as France, southern Germany, northern and central Italy, and Hungary, it added.

      The chart below shows that yields of cereal grains – which, here, refers to the tonnes of a grain grown per hectare of land – are expected to fall in most EU countries in 2026.

      Bar chart showing that Slovakia and Austria are due to see the largest cereal yield declines in 2026. The bar chart shows that both Slovakia and Austria have seen their cereal yields drop -1.3 tonnes per hectare over 2025-26.
      Changes in cereal yields in 26 EU countries between 2025 and 2026. Malta is excluded due to a lack of available data. Source: European Commission.

      Slovakia, Austria and Hungary are expected to see the largest declines in cereal yields, reducing by more than one tonne per hectare in 2026 compared to 2025.

      The recent EU bulletin noted that irrigated crops performed well in Portugal this summer – the country with the largest yield increases. Other crops relying on rainfall showed growing signs of heat stress, it added.

      3. Around €2bn worth of cereal losses after June heatwave

      The record heatwave that hit many parts of Europe in June contributed to an estimated €2-2.3bn in cumulative grain production losses, as shown in the chart below.

      Bar chart showing that the June heatwave in 2026 led to around €2bn in cereal production losses in Europe. The bar chart shows that France is the EU country that lost the most revenue, with an estimated loss of €891 million, followed by Hungary (with an estimated loss of €444 million) and Spain (with an estimated loss of €276)
      Estimates of revenue lost due to changes in production forecasts between June and July 2026. Source: ECIU.

      The intense June heat in western Europe would have been “virtually impossible” just 50 years ago, according to a rapid climate attribution study. It was the region’s hottest June on record.

      The Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) thinktank analysed June and July 2026 grain forecasts from Coceral, a European grain traders association.

      ECIU estimated lost supply by multiplying the change in tonnes of grains between these two months by prices for harvest delivery in 28 European countries.

      Major grain producers France, Germany, Hungary and Spain accounted for 86% of the lost revenue, according to the ECIU.

      Extreme heat is also expected to have a wider economic impact across the continent. Analysis from Triodos Bank found that this summer’s extreme weather could reduce the EU’s gross domestic product (GDP) by around 1% this year, or around €180bn.

      4. UK yields of wheat, barley and oats are all due to drop in 2026

      If current trends continue, the average yields for cereals and oilseeds will result in the UK’s worst harvest since detailed records began in 1984, according to ECIU.

      Line chart showing that UK cereal yields could hit lowest levels since at least 1990 this year.
      Yields of cereals and oilseed rape in the UK over 1990-2026. Source: Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs and Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board.

      Barley yields could fall by 15%, oats by 14% and wheat yields by 6% year-on-year, according to 2026 harvest surveys from the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board, a non-departmental public body that provides agricultural data to the UK government.

      ECIU said that, even if the situation improves, this year is still expected to be one of the five worst harvests on record. This means that four of the five worst harvests in the UK have occurred in the past decade.

      Consumers will likely see higher prices and/or smaller vegetables in supermarkets as a result, Tim O’Malley, chairman of UK company Nationwide Produce, told BBC News in August.

      Other crops, such as berries, have grown successfully in the extreme heat. But the Guardian noted fears this could dip later this year “as plants become exhausted from heavy cropping during the heatwave”.

      5. Maize production in France is due to hit a four-decade low

      France has been acutely affected by this summer’s extreme weather, with more than 7,300 excess deaths during heatwaves and a record number of weather stations recording temperatures of above 40C.

      The country is the EU’s largest agricultural producer, but heat, drought and wildfires have affected many crops.

      The chart below shows that maize production is set to drop by more than one-third (35%) year-on-year.

      Line chart showing that maize production in France is due to reach lowest levels since 1980
      Maize production in France over 1980-2026. Source: Agreste.

      This could result in France’s lowest maize production since 1980, according to data from Agreste, the country’s agriculture ministry’s statistics service.

      Due to the heat, “record-early” grape harvests have also been recorded in various parts of the nation since mid-July, reported Le Monde. In some cases, this means “smaller, less juicy grapes, which will yield less wine”, explained the newspaper.

      6. Declines in EU grains since 2025

      Chart showing that EU cereal production is set to reduce by 9% in 2026.
      Production of cereal crops in Europe over 1993-2026. The “other” category includes oats, rye, sorghum, millet and buckwheat. Source: European Commission.

      Overall in the EU, data and projections indicate declines in the output of cereal grains this year.

      Cereal production is set to fall by 9% compared to 2025, according to the European Commission.

      Just one year in the past decade – 2024 – recorded lower production levels.

      Maize production is set to be particularly affected, with projections indicating a 13% drop, to 52Mt – the lowest level in the EU since 2007.

      The post How this summer’s heat and drought impacted crops in Europe – in six charts appeared first on Carbon Brief.

      How this summer’s heat and drought impacted crops in Europe – in six charts
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