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COP28 draft fossil fuel phase out

A draft sheds light on the ongoing discussions and proposals within the United Nations climate talks, COP28, emphasizing the urgency to establish a global agreement aimed at phasing out fossil fuels while ramping up renewable energy and efficiency measures. 

The draft highlights the need to use more renewables like wind and solar power and reduced use of energy, but drops the direct mention of fossil fuel phase out.

Over a 100 countries came to Dubai to support the phase out. If the draft would not get widespread support, negotiators may have to debate again. The text brings the following notable aspects to the fore:

Exploring Bold Objectives for Renewable Energy & Efficiency

Last year’s COP27 marked a milestone as it was the first time a COP decision specifically addressed coal. But despite attempts by 80+ countries at COP27 to expand this to encompass all fossil fuels, their efforts were thwarted by a handful of opposing nations.

fossil fuel phaseout attempt at COPBuilding upon this foundation, COP28 introduced ambitious objectives: to triple renewable energy capacity and double energy efficiency enhancements by 2030.

That translates to 11,000 GW of renewable energy and an average annual rate of energy efficiency of 4.1%. This reflects a commitment backed by 123 countries in a recent pledge, outlining the immediate need for a rapid transition.

renewable energy capacity in NZE 2022, 2030
Source: International Energy Agency 2023 Net Zero Roadmap

However, concerns arose regarding a paragraph in the agreement advocating for scaling up abatement and removal technologies such as CCUS. The scientific community highlights the limitations of these technologies, e.g. scalability and affordability, in fighting climate change.

Weighing Options for Fossil Fuel Exit

The COP28 debate intensifies with two options presented for the phaseout of fossil fuels. 

Option 1 emphasizes a straightforward approach: “An orderly and just phase out of fossil fuels”. Option 2 invites the potential to phase out “unabated fossil fuels” and “rapidly reducing use to achieve net-zero CO2 in energy systems by or around mid-century”.

Climate experts pointed out that separating the discussions on scaling up renewables and efficiency from fossil fuel phase out raises an issue. They said that parties need to unify these aspects into a cohesive strategy centered on replacing fossils with renewable alternatives.

Emphasis on accelerated coal phase out gains support but is not enough without addressing oil and gas, experts add. Failure to include all fossil fuels will be deemed ineffective and inequitable, underscoring the need for a comprehensive approach.

But the agreed option at COP28 only noted coal while leaving out oil and gas:

“…the IPCC suggests a pathway involving a reduction of unabated coal use by 75% from 2019 levels by 2030”.

One specific area that speaks of clearly moving away from fossil fuels is in the transportation sector. “Rapidly increasing the deployment pace for zero-emission vehicles” (ZEVs). This involves putting an end to fossil fuel-powered vehicles. 

Several alternatives currently exist for ZEVs, including battery-powered vehicles and hydrogen-powered vehicles.

Still, there remains the need to broaden discussions beyond electric vehicles to include public and active transportation, too.

The Need for Financial Backing

When it comes to financial support, substantial money is a must to phase out fossil fuels. Interestingly, the current draft’s text specifying financial support only adopts the COP27 agreement, as seen below. 

clean energy investment by 2030 COP28Earlier this year, BloombergNEF reported that global clean energy transition investment rose by 31% in 2022, at $1.1 trillion. Renewable energy and electrified transport sectors got the most funding. 

global investment in clean energy transition by sector 2022

While that’s quite an achievement, more funds are needed (>$3 trillion) until the decade’s end to reach net zero emissions. This means strengthening the current draft’s financial support package for a successful fossil fuel phase out. 

Finally, there are suggestions to integrate energy transition considerations into Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and long-term strategies under the Paris Agreement. This underlines the interconnectedness of climate goals and energy transitions. 

As COP28 progresses, clearly addressing the fossil fuel phase out language will be critical in shaping an effective and equitable energy package the world needs to steer toward a decarbonized and sustainable future. 

The post COP28 Draft Drops Mention of Fossil Fuel Phase Out, Advances Renewables appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Carbon Footprint

Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

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Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

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