The COP16 biodiversity summit came to an abrupt halt after countries failed to reach consensus on the creation of a new fund during a mammoth 10-hour final plenary session.
Countries debated through the night on Friday in Cali, Colombia, in an attempt to get through the many items on COP16’s agenda.
But, as the talks dragged on into Saturday morning, a large number of developing-country delegates were forced to catch flights home, leaving parties without the “quorum” needed to reach consensus on key issues.
Countries did manage to find consensus on a new benefit-sharing mechanism for genetic resources – known as the “Cali fund” – after lengthy discussions and last-minute text changes put forward by India to protect sovereign rights.
Nations also agreed to a new permanent body for Indigenous peoples, which will allow them to advise and offer their view at biodiversity COPs directly for the first time.
However, the thorny issue of setting up a new fund under the COP – and the final agenda item on a new framework for monitoring countries’ progress on tackling biodiversity loss – will need to be revisited at intersessional meetings next year.
Talks were overshadowed by a lack of progress on implementing the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, the landmark “Paris Agreement for nature” deal made at COP15 in Montreal in 2022.
A joint investigation by Carbon Brief and the Guardian revealed just before the summit opened that the vast majority of countries missed a deadline to set out new plans for how they will meet the targets of the framework ahead of COP16.
By the summit’s end, just 44 out of 196 parties – 22% – had come up with new biodiversity plans.
Some megadiverse nations and major economies said they did not have the time needed to put plans in place, while developing countries said they were not provided with the funding required to produce new pledges.
Below, Carbon Brief has an in-depth summary and analysis of all of the key outcomes of COP16.
- Formal negotiations
- National biodiversity pledges (NBSAPs) and global review
- Finance
- Digital sequence information
- Monitoring framework
- Article 8(j)
- Biodiversity and climate change
- Mainstreaming biodiversity
- Synthetic biology
- Biodiversity and health
- Marine and coastal biodiversity
- Links with other bodies
- Invasive alien species
- Capacity-building and knowledge management
- Sustainable wildlife management
Formal negotiations
National biodiversity pledges (NBSAPs) and global review
NBSAPs
COP16 was the first biodiversity summit since nations signed a landmark agreement in late 2022 called the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF), which aims to halt and reverse nature loss by 2030. It is often described as the “Paris Agreement for nature”.
As part of the GBF and its underlying documents, countries agreed to submit new national biodiversity pledges, known as national biodiversity strategies and action plans (NBSAPs) “by” COP16, which began on 21 October.
The new NBSAPs were meant to outline how countries will implement the goals and targets of the GBF within their borders.
As such, the publishing of new NBSAPs was viewed by many as a key test of whether countries are taking action to ensure biodiversity loss is reversed by 2030.
For the past year, Carbon Brief has been closely tracking the release of new NBSAPs. A handful of European nations, including Spain, Ireland and France, were the first to release new NBSAPs in 2023 and early 2024.
In the months leading up to COP16, progress was slow. In September, just one month before COP16, only 19 parties out of 196 had released new NBSAPs.
Just ahead of the summit in October, Carbon Brief co-published an investigation with the Guardian finding that 85% of nations – 170 out of 196 parties – were set to miss the deadline to release new NBSAPs by COP16.
This included 12 of the 17 “megadiverse countries”, which together provide a home to 70% of the world’s biodiversity. (The US is a megadiverse country, but is not party to the CBD.)
Carbon Brief and the Guardian spoke to several major economies and megadiverse nations about why they were unable to meet the deadline.
Megadiverse nations Brazil and Colombia said the timeframe given to produce new NBSAPs was not long enough to properly consult all the relevant stakeholders and Indigenous groups; India referenced difficulties translating the targets to a local context; and the UK blamed multiple changes in power, both in Scotland and at the national level.
Elsewhere, many developing nations said that a lack of timely funding available from the Global Environment Facility (GEF), a major multilateral environmental fund, had prevented them from being able to produce new NBSAPs.
Several parties published new NBSAPs during the summit itself – just after the deadline. This included COP16 host Colombia, as well as Germany, Iran, Venezuela, Peru, India, Thailand, Tanzania, Vietnam, Argentina and the Netherlands.
By the summit’s end on 2 November, 44 out of 196 parties had produced new NBSAPs.

According to the GBF and its underlying documents, countries that were “not in a position” to meet the deadline to submit NBSAPs ahead of COP16 were requested to instead submit national targets.
These submissions simply list biodiversity targets that countries will aim for without an accompanying plan for how they will be achieved.
By the end of the summit, some 119 parties had produced national targets.
This included many developing nations. Bernadette Fischler Hooper, global advocacy lead at WWF, told Carbon Brief that this demonstrated the willingness of developing countries to implement the targets of the GBF, despite not having the funds required to produce NBSAPs.
One of the major tasks for negotiators in Cali was to decide how to move forward after the majority of countries failed to produce new NBSAPs ahead of the talks.
At the end of the summit, a new decision text on NBSAPs was adopted.
The text “urges” countries that have not yet done so to release new NBSAPs “as soon as possible”. (In UN language terms, “urges” is stronger than “invites” or “encourages”, but not as strong as “requests” or “instructs”.)

Carbon Brief understands that, during the negotiations for the text, the UK put forward the idea of putting in a timeframe of “as soon as possible and no later than October 2025”.
(October 2025 is the date of the next Subsidiary Body on Scientific, Technical and Technological Advice (SBSTTA) meeting.)
However, “the room did not seem taken” by the UK’s proposal, according to an insider, with many parties having the view that “as soon as possible” should be interpreted as meaning immediately.
Fischler Hooper told Carbon Brief that she had hoped to see the language say “as soon as possible, but no later than the end of 2025”, adding:
“Generally, having a clear deadline is good to keep countries to account. ‘As soon as possible’ is commonly understood as ‘really really soon’ and we can only hope that parties see it that way too.”
In acknowledgement of developing countries’ difficulties in producing new NBSAPs, the text also “requests” the GEF to “provide timely support to all eligible parties, aligned with national circumstances and needs, upon request, to enable them to” release new NBSAPs.
Global review
The GBF and its underlying documents also set out a plan for how countries’ biodiversity plans should be reviewed and monitored.
According to these documents, parties must submit national reports containing agreed headline indicators in 2026 and 2029. (See: Monitoring framework.)
At COP16 and “subsequent COPs”, a global analysis of “NBSAPs, including national targets” should be conducted to assess progress towards achieving the GBF.
A “global review” should then be held, section J of the GBF says. This is an element that observers believe could be key for implementation. The underlying document says this global review should take place at COP17 in 2026 and COP19 in 2028.

After global reviews, there will be “voluntary peer reviews”, according to the GBF, after which countries “may take the outcome of the global reviews into account in future revisions and implementation of their” NBSAPs and national targets.
In Cali, negotiators were tasked with hammering out the finer details of how this reviewing process should work.
At the end of COP, they adopted a new text deciding on the details for the global review at COP17 and COP19.
The text “decides” that the global review “will culminate in a decision or decisions by the COPs, including any recommendations, as necessary, to identify and address challenges in collective progress in implementation, including on the means of implementation”.
It specifies that the global review “should be focused on assessing collective progress
and that the review will be undertaken in a facilitative, non-intrusive and non-punitive manner”. It adds that the review should be a “party-driven process”.
The text also says the global review should draw on national reports, advice from subsidiary bodies and a “global report” on the “collective progress” of countries in meeting biodiversity goals.
This global report will “draw upon data and information provided by parties and the best available peer-reviewed scientific, technical and technological information, as well as traditional knowledge given access to with the free, prior, informed consent of Indigenous people and local communities”.
The text does not clearly state how countries will need to respond to the global review, beyond “recalling” the decision under the GBF that countries “may” revise their NBSAPs in response.
One observer who followed the negotiations closely described the omission of any kind of follow up to the global review as a “main concern”, telling Carbon Brief:
“Parties must be much clearer about what they will do in response to the outcomes of the global review.”
The observer added that the final text “significantly reduced the number of inputs into the global review”, leaving little room for civil society to voice their concerns.
In addition, the global review text lacks any mention of “high-level political oversight”, which could have helped with engaging countries on implementation, the observer added.
Finance
Finance was the headline “fight” of COP16, with deep divisions between developed and developing countries.
Just before 8:30am on Saturday morning, countries reached a stalemate on establishing a brand-new global biodiversity fund under the COP’s governance, which had been a key demand of developing countries.
As a requested check revealed that the COP no longer achieved quorum, discussions on the contours and governance of this fund will resume at a reconvening of COP16, likely to happen in tandem with next year’s intersessional talks.

While the failure to establish a new catch-all fund disappointed developing countries, the Colombian presidency attempted a last-minute push to have the fund established. The draft decision text issued at 3:30 am also included one of the presidency’s key priorities for the conference – the recognition of existing high debt burdens. This was despite pushback from debtor countries, such as China.
The final draft decision text on resource mobilisation “takes note of” efforts to accelerate international financial sector reform and calls for a review of how the global debt crisis is impacting biodiversity action.
Reacting to the final text, Oscar Soria of the Common Initiative, said:
“Mobilising sufficient finance to achieve biodiversity goals has been a major issue for 30 years now. We saw insufficient leadership from wealthier countries: the EU and France in particular, Canada, Switzerland, Japan, the UK, but also China. The Colombian presidency was pushing for important topics to be included in conversations, such as sovereign debt, and put forward a rather exhaustive list of ways to explore biodiversity finance. [But] the state of distrust between developing and developed countries, and choices made by minister Muhamad in how she organised the process, made the negotiations very challenging in the last hours.”
Lim Li Ching of the Third World Network told Carbon Brief:
“The [global] north gets to keep the status quo. The [global south] gets a process.”
The Cali talks were a litmus test for whether and how countries had met their commitments to fund the GBF’s ambitious goals: to mobilise “at least $200bn per year” for biodiversity conservation by 2030 from “all sources”– domestic, international, public and private.
Of this, developed countries – along with others that “voluntarily assume” their obligations – are expected to “substantially and progressively increase” their international finance flows for nature “to at least $20bn per year by 2025, and to at least $30bn per year by 2030”, the GBF text states.
Two years ago, a finance package was rapidly gavelled through as part of the COP15 deal by the Chinese presidency, despite protest from developing countries. (See: Carbon Brief’s in-depth summary of COP15’s key outcomes.)
This ending was still fresh in countries’ minds from day one of the summit, when conversations around resource mobilisation and finance were herded, along with other fraught issues, into a working group.
New fund and financial mechanism
In the run-up to COP15, developing countries, including South Africa, supported Brazil’s call for a new nature fund governed by the COP. In Montreal, countries accepted an interim fund – the Global Biodiversity Framework Fund (GBFF) – hosted under the Global Environment Facility (GEF).
By September this year, seven developed countries had contributed a total of less than $250m to the GBFF. The COP16 decision text on the financial mechanism, which was not passed, notes that “a number of eligible [p]arties have not yet accessed support from the GEF, in particular for the revision and updating of national biodiversity strategies”.
On the first day of COP16, Zimbabwe, speaking for Africa, and Brazil, speaking for megadiverse countries, revived the fight for a new fund that is separate from the GEF. In its intervention, Zimbabwe described the expectation that developed countries would deliver on the $20bn target as “seemingly wishful thinking”, but said that it could still be achieved “depending on what we decide at this COP16”.
Two days later, co-chairs published a 98-page-long non-paper that compiled what countries wanted for biodiversity finance over the next five years through to 2030. Non-papers are informal documents that bring together divergent views as parties attempt to reach a legal consensus. Non-papers do not usually attribute country positions explicitly, but this one included each country’s name alongside its wishlist for a new resource strategy.
In their submissions to the non-paper and elsewhere, developed countries, including Australia, Japan, the EU and others, opposed an entirely new fund. Many suggested leaving out references to Article 20 and 21 of the CBD, which cover equity. They also resisted including an update on their pledges to the GBFF.
“Finance day” at COP16, on 28 October, saw attempts and initiatives to thaw the resource deadlock. Seven countries, including New Zealand, France and Austria, as well as Quebec – the first sub-national government to do so – pledged $163m in total to the GBFF, taking the fund up to $396m.
Countries, observers and civil society reacted sharply to the announcement.
“We are talking about millions that have been pledged…But what we are expecting are billions,” Irène Wabiwa Betoko from Greenpeace told Reuters.
Brian O’Donnell, from Campaign for Nature, told Carbon Brief that “at least this $163m is grant money and not loans”.
As COP16 drew to a close, the future of the new fund seemed increasingly uncertain. After eight sessions of the contact group on resource mobilisation and the financial mechanism, (co-chaired by Ines Verleye of Belgium and Patrick Luna of Brazil), negotiations went straight to closed-door meetings with ministers and heads of delegation.
On Friday 1 November, the scheduled final day of COP16, the Colombian presidency released a draft decision text that proposed bumping discussions around a new funding instrument to intersessional discussions after COP16, with little other detail.
At 3:30 am on Saturday, well into overtime, COP16 president Susanna Muhamad alerted tired delegates to a new draft decision text on resource mobilisation. In an unexpected turn, the document contained a proposal to establish a new global biodiversity fund under the COP’s governance by COP30.
However, the passing of the text was prevented by the COP’s failure to reach quorum.
$20bn tussle
A key tension at COP16 was a commitment in the GBF for developed countries to collectively mobilise “at least” $20bn a year by 2025 to progressively fill a $700bn biodiversity finance gap by 2030.
In Cali, with two months to go until 2025, it was unclear if developed countries would end up meeting this target, with almost all of them falling far short of their “fair share”. (See: Carbon Brief’s in-depth piece on biodiversity finance and fair shares.)
In the latest reporting data from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development – which is only as recent as 2022 – developed countries, including the US, had contributed $12.1bn towards biodiversity finance in 2022. Furthermore, only $3.8bn of that finance was biodiversity-specific.
On Wednesday, 30 October, ministers from 20 developing countries issued a statement urging global-north governments to meet and exceed the $20bn target and to set up a working group of finance and environment ministers to get it done on time.
The Ministerial Alliance for Ambition on Nature Finance comprised Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Dominica, Ethiopia, the Gambia, Grenada, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Liberia, Madagascar, Nigeria, St Kitts and Nevis, Samoa, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Sudan, Togo, Vanuatu and Zambia.
Private and innovative funding
Attempts to thaw the finance deadlock began right from the start of COP16, chiefly through private and “innovative” finance initiatives: from biodiversity credits to bonds and special hybrid funds.
Biodiversity credits were one of these mechanisms that saw both an increased push and increased civil society pushback at COP16. (See Carbon Brief’s in-depth Q&A on biodiversity offsets.)
Long-time CBD observers were surprised at their resurgence over the past two years. Neth Daño, Asia director of the ETC Group research collective, told Carbon Brief:
“In 2010, they killed the idea of biodiversity credits. Nobody thought they would come back like a zombie.”
On 28 October, the International Advisory Panel on Biodiversity Credits launched its framework for “high-integrity” principles for biodiversity markets, supported by France and the UK. The principles were dubbed “extremely problematic” by the Green Finance Observatory, a sustainable finance thinktank.
Meanwhile, the Brazil-led Tropical Forests Finance Facility (TFFF) received the backing of Colombia, as well as Malaysia, Indonesia, DRC and Ghana. The fund aims to raise $125bn for the six rainforest nations – dubbed the “Opec of rainforests” – through re-investing long-term loans from six developed countries: Norway, US, UK, France, Germany and Sweden.
While mobilising resources from “all sources” was the one point of consensus among parties in finance negotiations, the emphasis on private and “innovative” funding was criticised by developing countries.
In a press conference on 30 October, DRC’s environment minister, Ève Bazaiba, condemned developed countries for not meeting their commitments. She also championed the Lion’s Share Fund, which hopes to raise funds from companies and brands that use biodiversity in their logos and advertising.
Digital sequence information
Of all negotiation tracks, digital sequence information (DSI) was one of the most keenly anticipated at COP16.
DSI is a term used at international talks to refer to genetic information from plants and animals.
This genetic information is often sourced from plants and animals in developing, biodiversity-rich countries by companies headquartered mainly in the global north, who use it to make products, such as drugs, cosmetics and food.
Because of this, developing nations have long called for the establishment of an international mechanism that can ensure that the benefits from DSI are shared fairly with the people living where the resources were discovered, including Indigenous groups.
While a fund and mechanism for sharing the benefits of DSI had already been established at COP15 in Montreal, many major loopholes remained in how both would work before it could formally begin.
This work was delegated to an “ad-hoc open-ended working group” on DSI, which met twice to resolve outstanding issues.
Earlier this month, negotiators met in Montreal for “five days of intense negotiations” to narrow down the options for the mechanism and fund, as well as how funds would “flow” through them.
This included deliberations on who would pay to use DSI, how much they would pay, what would “trigger” such payments, how this money would be disbursed – and to whom. It also covered how the entire mechanism would be managed and governed.
Discussions on DSI were carried out under a dedicated contact group that met eight times to resolve the 311 square brackets (denoting unresolved issues) that still remained in the text at the outset of the summit.
At COP16, countries agreed to the first-ever global fund to which companies using genetic data “should contribute”, along with a unique multilateral mechanism to support it.
Pharmaceutical, cosmetics, agribusiness, nutraceutical and technology conglomerates that benefit from genetic data “should” contribute 1% of their profits, or 0.1% of their revenue, to the landmark “Cali fund” under the agreement.
However, DSI experts told Carbon Brief that the use of the word “should” implies that contributing to the fund is still voluntary and that the payment rates are “indicative”, non-binding ones. In the run-up to COP16, blocs including African and Latin American countries sought a legally binding mechanism on DSI.
Additionally, companies could potentially avoid paying, since they are no longer required to prove that they did not use genetic data. A key clause was removed from the penultimate draft of the document that asked companies to “demonstrate” that they were not using DSI.
Instead, the final text leaves the decision up to companies.

Agribusiness – or “animal and plant breeding”, as it reads in the text – nearly escaped scrutiny, as a reference to agribusiness was removed from the “indicative list of sectors” that may benefit from the use of DSI. While it was included in the president’s draft issued on Friday morning, it had disappeared from the draft text issued later that night.
This raised concern among observers that other industries could be similarly lobbying for their exclusion from the list. (Carbon Brief understands that Switzerland raised the potential for removing pharmaceuticals from the list on the margins of the negotiations.)
Animal and plant breeding was added back into the text that was, ultimately, adopted at the plenary.
Despite countries such as Zimbabwe – opposed by Japan and Canada – insisting that academia and research institutions should contribute to the fund, this is no longer the case. Instead, these institutions are only expected to make explicit on their databases the countries of origin of data, to provide cues to users of these databases on to whom benefits should go to. Preserving open access was a key priority for the EU, Canada, Japan, Switzerland, Norway and Australia.
Nithin Ramakrishnan, a DSI expert at Third World Network, told Carbon Brief:
“The decision is giving biopirates a chance to make a one-time donation to the Cali Fund and get away with it.”
The final text states that at least half of all benefits going to the fund must be used to meet the “self-identified” needs of Indigenous communities in developing countries, particularly women and youth, although it concedes that this could be limited by “national circumstances”.
Countries, too, will receive “direct allocations” of funding, a subject that was keenly contested.
The global mechanism was set to supersede national laws around DSI, access and benefit-sharing, such as those developed by Brazil. However, many countries, including Bangladesh, Bolivia, India, Egypt and Argentina, saw this clause as a “blow to sovereignty” and a “washout for national access-and-benefit sharing laws”.
At 3:30am – when the Colombian presidency published a new draft DSI decision text – India strongly objected, asking for a clause on ensuring national access-and-benefit-sharing laws to be included in the annex.
Panama raised objections about the limited time to review the draft. At the plenary, it said:
“We’ve spent months on the previous version and we’ve also made sure that we invested resources before we came to the COP to discuss this. Like other small delegations. Panama has many real limitations in terms of its capacity to review and decide on a mechanism of this scope before the end of this COP. We consider that this action does not reflect adequate consideration concerning smaller delegations. And, therefore, we want to state that on many occasions, we were available to support the president in this matter, and we were excluded.”
Ramakrishnan told Carbon Brief:
“Developing countries didn’t yield sovereignty after two years of pressure from developed countries and industry and scientist lobbies [who said] this is a voluntary fund, so [national laws] don’t apply.”
The final decision explicitly does not supersede national legislation.
One of the key features of the DSI decision is revenue or profit-sharing by large companies benefiting from DSI, which emerged in a non-paper on Wednesday morning.
This was developed from a proposal by the Ocean Biodiversity Collective, which works on providing interdisciplinary expertise to countries on DSI negotiations. Lead researcher from the collective, Dr Siva Thambisetty, told Carbon Brief:
“Providing expertise in fraught negotiations is an opportunity and a challenge. [Our] model, which became the Norway proposal, had several elements to build a new payments system. One of the key values that must be embedded in the mechanism are that contributors ‘pay nature first’. Second, ‘everyone pays’ honours the principle that biodiversity is not a free asset and ensures a broad base for payments.
“Some of those elements were lost during the push and pull of the discussions. No party ever gets everything they want, of course, but it’s important that the core basis is not mangled going forward. We will need to assess implications fully in the coming days.”
The global DSI fund established by the decision will now be “under the authority of and accountable to” the COP.
Monitoring framework
The monitoring framework – one part of the negotiations covering mechanisms for planning, monitoring, reporting and review – is seen as critical to the success of the GBF.
This is, in part, because the failure of the previous set of biodiversity goals, the Aichi targets, has been widely blamed on the lack of implementation.
The monitoring framework is made up of a set of indicators corresponding to each goal and target of the GBF. There are four types of indicators:
- Headline indicators.
- Binary indicators.
- Component indicators.
- Complementary indicators.
Headline indicators are used to measure progress against quantitative targets, such as the pledge to protect 30% of the world’s land and oceans by 2030.
For more qualitative targets, such as the target to mainstream gender considerations across biodiversity planning, a set of binary indicators were developed – yes/no questions that countries answer about the presence or absence of legislation, policies or regulations relating to the target.
Component indicators measure progress towards sub-targets in the GBF, while complementary indicators assess areas that are related, but not necessarily explicitly laid out in the framework.
Countries are mandated to report on headline and binary indicators, but the component and complementary indicators are optional. As a result, throughout the negotiations, countries went back and forth on which indicators should fall into which category.
Lim Li Lin, a senior legal and environment advisor at Third World Network, told Carbon Brief:
“Everyone’s doing a juggle, right? We want the good ones to go in the mandatory, and we want the bad ones to go in the complementary, if we can’t get rid of them. And everyone’s doing the same thing from their own interest and perspective.”
At COP15 in Montreal, countries agreed on a monitoring framework, but that text also included a decision to review the monitoring framework at the subsequent COP and “thereafter keep the monitoring framework under review, as appropriate”.
The Montreal agreement also included the establishment of an ad-hoc technical expert group, which comprised 45 members – 30 representatives from parties and 15 observers, including representatives from the Global Youth Biodiversity Network and the International Indigenous Forum on Biodiversity.

The ad-hoc group met six times over the course of the two-year interstitial period. An online forum also allowed other individuals and groups to comment on and discuss proposed indicators. The results of those meetings and discussions fed into the discussions in Cali.
However, the recommendations of the ad-hoc group were not uniformly accepted by parties.
Kirsty Leong, senior specialist on global policy and advocacy at WWF, told Carbon Brief:
“Procedurally, some parties are saying, ‘Hey, we gave a mandate to this expert group. So now we should adopt that framework’…And other parties are saying, ‘Well, actually, we never negotiated, and so everything’s still discussable.’”
A few indicators proved particularly contentious during the negotiations, including those on monitoring pesticide use and those related to digital sequence information and benefit-sharing from genetic resources.
On pesticide use, parties were split over whether countries should report “pesticide environment concentration” or “aggregated total applied toxicity”.
The former indicator is what was agreed in the decision in Montreal, but the latter is what was suggested by the ad-hoc technical expert group, which said that there is no reliable data on pesticide environment concentration.
Successive non-papers on the monitoring framework contained longer and longer footnotes about the pesticide indicator as parties struggled to reach consensus.
| Version | Date | Footnote text |
|---|---|---|
| Non-paper v1 | 24 October | n/a |
| Non-paper v2 | 27 October | [The indicator on pesticide environment concentration was adopted at COP-15 and the indicator aggregated total applied toxicity is a proposal by an expert group that did not find consensus at COP 16] |
| Non-paper v4 | 30 October | [[The indicator on pesticide environment concentration was adopted at COP-15 and the indicator aggregated total applied toxicity is a proposal by an expert group that did not find consensus at COP 16][The two alternative headline indicators are maintained to allow reporting on either of the two as well as for further methodological work][When possible the Parties may choose to report on either indicator according to their national and technical capacity and data availability provide valuable information for measuring progress towards the target] |
| Draft decision | 31 October | [[The indicator on pesticide environment concentration was adopted at the fifteenth meeting of the Conference of the Parties, and the indicator aggregated total applied toxicity is a proposal by an expert group that did not find consensus at the sixteenth meeting.][The two alternative headline indicators are maintained to allow reporting on either of the two, as well as for further methodological work.][When possible, Parties may choose to report on either indicator according to their national and technical capacity and data availability, and both provide valuable information for measuring progress towards the target.] |
| Draft decision | 1 November | [Parties may choose to report on either pesticide environment concentration or aggregated total applied toxicity headline indicators, depending on the availability of methodology and in accordance with their national circumstances and technical capacities[, recognizing that support will be prioritised for the development of the headline indicator at the furthest level of development at the global level].] |
Versions of the footnote explaining the disagreement over pesticide indicators at COP16.
Several ocean conservation experts also raised concerns that indicators on coral reef coverage and health – agreed in the COP15 monitoring framework – had disappeared from the texts put forward at COP16.
Dr Susan Lieberman, vice-president of international policy at the Wildlife Conservation Society, told Carbon Brief that she was “very disappointed” to see the coral reef indicators disappear. She added:
“Many governments are engaged in tremendous efforts on the conservation and management of their coral reefs, and inclusion of specific indicators of the ecological integrity of their reefs would have helped them report on outcomes.”
Indicators on coral reefs were not present in the final text.
One of the keys for NGOs and civil-society organisations following the monitoring framework negotiations was that, whatever was decided, the final text should include a call to revisit the framework and continue to add to the available indicators. Lim told Carbon Brief:
“Importantly, they mustn’t close the door to further work on the monitoring framework, because it’s far from complete. But at the same time, we need a monitoring framework, because if we’re not having at least what [already] we have for indicators, then we can’t measure the progress.”
As with so many other agenda items at COP16, discussions around resources and capacity were central to the negotiations around the monitoring framework. Countries face “very real capacity constraints in what they can implement”, Leong told Carbon Brief.
Country submissions ahead of COP16 showed that some global-south countries, such as Argentina and Brazil, were concerned about the burden of a monitoring framework that was too prescriptive, preferring one instead that was flexible to national circumstances.
During the working group meeting on the final day of the summit, the DRC requested that the entire monitoring framework be placed in brackets, stating that they could not accept the monitoring framework without a deal on resource mobilisation.
The action proved a decisive one, as the failure of countries to reach consensus on resource mobilisation meant that the monitoring framework was not discussed at the plenary. It will be taken up, along with the finance decisions, at continuation of COP16 that will most likely be tacked on to the CBD’s subsidiary body meetings next year.
Lim told Carbon Brief that through informal consultations, parties would “probably find a landing zone” between the end of COP16 and the subsidiary body meetings. She added:
“The monitoring framework is, of course, necessary…We will need to adopt it and it’s just too bad it didn’t happen now.”
Article 8(j)
Indigenous rights were one of the major discussion points at COP16, with Indigenous participation reaching an all-time high.
During a press conference held in the first week of the negotiations, Ramiro Batzin, co-chair of the International Indigenous Forum on Biodiversity (IIFB), laid out the group’s priorities. (The IIFB is an international organisation that represents Indigenous voices in the CBD negotiations.)
These included a programme of work on Article 8(j) through to 2030 and the creation of a permanent subsidiary body on Indigenous peoples and local communities (IPLCs) under the CBD.
Article 8(j) mandates that parties to the CBD “respect, preserve and maintain” the knowledge of IPLCs related to biodiversity conservation and sustainable use, and to “encourage the equitable sharing of benefits” from this knowledge.

COP16 saw the adoption of the programme of work to implement Article 8(j) and other provisions related to Indigenous peoples and local communities through to 2030, “prioritising those tasks that contribute directly to the timely, full and effective implementation” of the GBF.
The programme has nine general principles and eight elements focusing on issues such as biodiversity conservation and restoration, sustainable use, full and effective participation and a human rights-based approach.
The work programme also includes elements such as direct access to funding for biodiversity conservation, restoration and sustainable use for IPLCs.

During a press conference near the close of COP16, several representatives from the IIFB welcomed the adoption of the work programme, calling it a “victory”.
Jennifer Tauli Corpuz, a negotiator and expert for the IIFB based in the Philippines, said:
“This sets us on a path to making sure that the GBF is implemented in full partnership with IPLCs.”
Batzin told Carbon Brief that the work programme will help ensure full implementation of the GBF:
“This programme will provide us with actions and guidelines for evaluation, monitoring and follow-up.”

During the press conference, representatives of Indigenous peoples also called on the parties to adopt the subsidiary body. This group would have a permanent mandate to continue work under the CBD – and was a contentious issue throughout the summit. It was reportedly opposed by Indonesia, Jordan and Russia, as they argued that the working group has been effective already and a new subsidiary body would entail further costs.
Manuel Mavisoy, from Colombia’s Indigenous Movement’s Permanent Bureau of Concertation, said in that press conference that the subsidiary body “is the only mechanism that ensures the survival of Indigenous peoples’ traditional systems within the GBF”.
In an interview with Carbon Brief, Batzin stated that the subsidiary body would be a permanent institution designed to implement and monitor the Article 8(j) programme of work. Batzin emphasised that the body is intended to operate bilaterally, involving both states and Indigenous peoples – similar to how the Article 8(j) working group currently functions.
The working group on Article 8(j) has existed for more than 20 years, but it is only a temporary body, therefore it was likely to be disbanded, Corpuz told the press conference. She added that the proposed new subsidiary body would be “higher placed within the CBD”.
The plenary erupted in a standing ovation late on Friday night as Muhamad brought down the gavel to signify the adoption of the decision to establish a new subsidiary body.
A spokesperson for the IIFB and the Indigenous Women’s Biodiversity Network told the plenary that “this is an unprecedented moment in the history of multilateral agreements on the environment”. She added:
“This new subsidiary body will be a reference point for the rest of the world…We can feel proud of our work, which was participative, collaborative and constant.”
During the summit, the IPLCs also called for direct access to funding for biodiversity conservation.
The GEF has an “aspirational goal” that IPLCs should receive 20% of biodiversity resources, although no mechanism or action has yet been created to achieve this goal, Batzin told Carbon Brief. He added that IIFB supports funding being allocated directly to IPLCs and said the subsidiary body on Article 8(j) would have to discuss how to manage the flow of funding to Indigenous peoples.
The final DSI text that was adopted said that “at least half of the funding of the global fund should support the self-identified needs” of IPLCs, “where appropriate and subject to national circumstances”. (See: Digital sequence information.)
Another of the issues pushed by IPLCs at COP16 was human rights.
Joji Carino, senior policy adviser at Forest Peoples Programme (FPP) in the Philippines, told a press conference that the implementation of the GBF requires respecting the rights of IPLCs, such as the rights to their lands and territories, equitable participation in decision-making and respect for traditional knowledge.
During a conference on Indigenous peoples’ land rights, Luz Enith Mosquera, from the technical team of the Chocó Solidarity Interethnic Forum in Colombia, stressed the strong connection Indigenous peoples have with their territories:
“The forests, rivers, and jungles are environments with which we coexist; they are not mere objects to be dominated. We are part of the forest. The titled territories are preserved because the communities maintain a balanced relationship with the land.”
Mosquera told Carbon Brief that in the department of Chocó, collective territories are legally granted to Afro-descendant communities. However, there are still areas that lack legal titles and do not have community councils or collective safeguards. She told Carbon Brief:
“The absence of collective titling creates a legal vacuum that could allow outsiders to exploit these territories. Therefore, there is an urgent need for the titling, extension and regulation of the land and the communities”.
A separate COP16 decision concerned the recognition of Afro-descendant peoples.
It called on parties to incorporate the “contributions of people of African descent” and their knowledge of and connection to their lands in the implementation of the CBD and the GBF. It also “encourages” parties to “facilitate their full and effective participation” in both international agreements.
The decision also “encourages” parties, other countries and organisations to provide financial support and capacity-building for Afro-descendant peoples on a voluntary basis. It further encourages parties to communicate in their NBSAPs the contributions of Afro-descendant peoples to the implementation of the CBD and the GBF.
The text on Afro-descendant peoples was pushed strongly by Colombia and Brazil, but opposed by the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which argued there is a lack of evidence backing the contribution of these peoples to implementing the GBF.

Biodiversity and climate change
Coming soon
Mainstreaming biodiversity
Another item on the agenda at COP16 was “mainstreaming biodiversity”. This term refers to actions that seek to ensure that biodiversity is considered in any policies and practices that could have a negative effect on it.
This could include, for example, ensuring biodiversity is included in planning rules for new project developments or in agricultural guidelines.
Linda Krueger, global lead for biodiversity and infrastructure policy at the Nature Conservancy, an NGO which campaigns for mainstreaming biodiversity, explained to Carbon Brief:
“It’s how we feed ourselves; it’s how we clothe ourselves; it’s where we build our houses and drive our cars. We have to figure out how to improve those practices in all of those sectors.”
COP16 saw the launch of a “mainstreaming champions” group of nations, led by Mexico and COP16 host Colombia.
As of 1 November, the group had 17 members, with the host countries joined by Belgium, Canada, Chile, Costa Rica, Fiji, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Mauritania, Peru, Portugal, South Africa, Spain and, “tentatively”, Zambia.
According to a press release announcing the new alliance, its “key priorities” will be “accelerating collective action and impact”, “collaboration and mutual learning” and “engagement designed to maintain momentum through 2030”.
Colombia has “worked a lot on its environmental-licensing processes” for new projects to “make it mandatory for companies to address their impacts”, Krueger said, making the nation an apt co-host of the alliance.
During the negotiations, parties also agreed to a new decision text on mainstreaming biodiversity.
The text “reiterates” the “critical importance of mainstreaming biodiversity across the whole of government and the whole of society” in order to achieve biodiversity goals.
However, it offers little new in terms of what countries should do to ensure mainstreaming happens, according to Krueger.
“In terms of what it obligates countries to do, there’s frankly not a lot new there,” she told Carbon Brief.
The text “invites” countries “to provide relevant information…on biodiversity mainstreaming through their seventh national reports”, which are due in February 2026. (In UN speak, “invites” is not particularly binding.)
It also “requests” that the CBD executive secretary, Astrid Schomaker, take various actions around mainstreaming biodiversity, including “identifying challenges and scientific, technical and technological gaps that may undermine countries’ capacity to support mainstreaming”.
This section could be key to “helping to keep the mainstreaming agenda on the front burner”, Krueger said.
Despite not including many new actions for parties to take, the negotiations on the mainstreaming biodiversity text were long and tense, Carbon Brief understands, with Brazil, Russia and Japan among the countries to make lengthy interjections.
Though not stated explicitly, the ferocity of negotiations could reflect countries’ nervousness about actions that might require businesses to change their practices to be more friendly to biodiversity, observers told Carbon Brief.
Synthetic biology
Synthetic biology refers to developments in biotechnology that can change genetic materials, living organisms and biological systems. These include gene drives, where genetics of species are altered to try and disrupt certain genes in a population. This could target malaria-carrying mosquitos, for example, to help eradicate the spread of disease.
At COP16, countries agreed to work towards developing a “thematic action plan” to support capacity building and information sharing around these biotechnology developments. This decision was given the green light in the early hours of Saturday 2 November, with no last-minute interjections from countries.
The crux of Cali discussions on this topic centred on the focus of future talks on synthetic biology and also who would carry out these discussions.
Dr Marja Ruohonen-Lehto, the Finnish co-chair of the synthetic biology contact group at COP16, said countries showed “strong support and agreement” on developing an action plan. She told Carbon Brief midway through the summit:
“However, what we would see and prioritise as future work, it was less easy to see what the way forward would be – both what we would do in the future in relation to synthetic biology and who would do that work.”
The agreed text emphasised the “urgent need” for capacity building and technology transfers on synthetic biology, especially for developing countries. An ad-hoc technical expert group will be set up to continue discussions.
This group will identify the “current and potential benefits” of synthetic biology and the “potential negative impacts” of recent technology developments in this area.
The agreed document also requested that the CBD executive secretary submit a draft of the action plan, “with a view” for countries to consider this draft at the next UN biodiversity summit in 2026.
Dr Eva Sirinathsinghji, a biosafety research associate at thinktank Third World Network, said the final text provided a “more balanced version of outcomes” than other versions of the decision.
She told Carbon Brief that it is important to “not just assess potential benefits, but also risks [and] claims” around synthetic biology.
Dr Samantha O’Loughlin is a population geneticist at Imperial College London who followed the synthetic biology talks at COP16.
She noted that assessing these technologies is “quite an expensive process”. Countries want more funding to allow them to “assess [the technologies] for themselves…rather than having some huge, global process going on which is very broad and doesn’t really address issues country-by-country”, she told Carbon Brief, adding:
“Part of the issue is around where we should be putting our efforts and resources now. So a lot of parties, especially from South America and Africa, would really like to see money and resources go into capacity building.”
This would allow them to improve research and provide more regulation and risk assessments of synthetic biology, she noted.
Ruohonen-Lehto said the contact group talks were “constructive”, but added:
“It is clear that we have different views and the way forward in cases when there are different views is never easy. It’s always a somewhat difficult process.”
Before the summit, countries including Brazil, New Zealand and Chile did not support plans to extend the mandate of the expert working group on synthetic biology, according to Carbon Brief’s tracker on key negotiating issues.
Sirinathsinghji said the final outcome of this decision “focused more heavily on capacity building than assessment” and believed there was an “imbalance” in deciding to assess “benefits over risks”.
However, she noted these discussions will continue in future CBD negotiations.
Biodiversity and health
Biodiversity loss is linked in many different ways to the health of people, wildlife and ecosystems.
Robust ecosystems and species diversity benefit the production of food, clean water, medicine and other essentials for good health.
At COP16, following four years of negotiations, countries agreed a new voluntary action plan highlighting the links between biodiversity and health.
The plan, which was broadly supported by countries and NGOs ahead of the final negotiations, is intended to support governments and other stakeholders to better focus on health and biodiversity in their policies, strategies and programmes.

It outlined a number of voluntary actions on issues such as pollution, climate change and agriculture, plus detailed how they are relevant to the aims of the GBF. These include:
- Integrating the “consideration” of the links between climate change, biodiversity and health into national policy and planning rules.
- Reducing the “negative impacts on biodiversity and health” from agriculture and other sectors by boosting “sustainable practices”, such as “sustainable intensification” and “integrated pest management”.
- Developing ways to better understand the links between chemicals, waste and human health impacts.
Dr Susan Lieberman, the vice-president of international policy at the Wildlife Conservation Society, said that the plan also gives policymakers a toolbox to address issues feeding into pandemic risks.
The final agreement said it drew on “lessons learned” from the Covid-19 pandemic and other emerging diseases, “which have further highlighted the importance of the relationship between health and well-being and biodiversity”.
Dr Colman O’Criodain, the head of biodiversity policy at WWF International, told Carbon Brief that years of discussions on biodiversity and health at the CBD got a “boost” during the Covid-19 pandemic.
There has been a “growing realisation” about habitat loss and other issues being a “major trigger” for disease outbreaks, he said, adding:
“The plan basically acknowledges the risk that habitat fragmentation and habitat loss has [for] bad health outcomes.”
A study published earlier this year found that biodiversity loss drives the spread of infectious disease. Another study found that climate change is increasingly driving new encounters between mammal species, raising the risk of the spread of disease.
Lieberman told Carbon Brief that, while no countries outright tried to prevent the plan from being adopted, some elements were “watered down” in negotiations. She told Carbon Brief:
“Some countries with large conversion of tropical forest for livestock production don’t want that reflected in the action.”
For example, an earlier draft recognised that “several human-mediated factors are most likely driving the emergence of zoonotic diseases”.
These factors included “increasing human demand for animal protein”, “unsustainable agricultural intensification” and “land-use change and extractive industries”.
The language on this issue was shortened and softened in the final text to read:
“Emerging infectious diseases in wildlife, domestic animals, plants or people can be exacerbated by human activities, such as unsustainable land-use change practices and habitat fragmentation.”
Lieberman noted:
“The science is clear. Clearing a forest, disrupting ecologically intact forests, intact ecosystems and wildlife trade and trafficking, increases the risk of pathogen spillover [from one species to another]. They didn’t want to say that. They want to say human impact may increase the risk. But the science is clear.”
Negotiations on the action plan took place in a contact group. By 24 October, a draft with just 15 brackets was submitted to the CBD – a drop from 53 brackets in a previous version of the text.
The final text of the agreement was adopted by the COP16 plenary on 2 November. O’Criodain told Carbon Brief:
“At the end of the day, this plan is only going to be voluntary, but it’s still good guidance. Even if countries that don’t commit formally to implement it use the guidance and take the parts of it that are relevant to them, that’s still a good thing.”
Marine and coastal biodiversity
COP16 produced two texts under the “marine and coastal biodiversity” agenda item: one on ecologically or biologically significant marine areas, or “EBSAs”; and one on the conservation and sustainable use of marine, coastal and island biodiversity.
The text “recognises” that the identification of EBSAs “can make a crucial contribution to the implementation” of the GBF, but adds that the process “is strictly a scientific and technical exercise…and does not have economic or legal implications”.
Importantly, the existence of an EBSA does not imply any level of protection for those waters – although it can help governments identify areas that may be best-suited for turning into marine protected areas (MPAs).
The EBSA decision includes guidance on both identifying and modifying the descriptions of such areas – allowing the revision of existing areas as new scientific information comes to light.
Areas within national waters can only be described or modified by the country with sovereignty over those waters, while any states “individually or collectively, including through competent intergovernmental organisations” can do so for areas beyond national jurisdiction (the “high seas”).
The decision also allows for the withdrawal of descriptions “owing to the existence of a claim or dispute relating to sovereignty, sovereign rights or jurisdiction”.

The decision also “requests” that the CBD “develop voluntary guidelines on peer-review processes for the description” of EBSAs.
The approval of the EBSAs document was reportedly met with cheers by negotiators, who have spent eight years working towards a decision on the topic.
Andreas Hansen, director of global ocean policy at the Nature Conservancy, told Carbon Brief:
“There was an initial wave of description of these really important areas, and then there was disagreement on how to update it and to actually keep the science up to date. And now, with this decision – which hopefully will be agreed – we’ll be back to getting the best science on the table to lay the foundation for marine protected areas or sustainable use measures or whatever countries deem appropriate.”
The decision “requests” a review of the effectiveness of its implementation in 10 years, which is to be reviewed at that time by the SBSTTA.
The other text, on conservation and sustainable use, identifies topics where the CBD Secretariat can guide countries on their implementation of the GBF.
That decision “welcomes” the adoption of the “High Seas Treaty”, which was “an important priority” for observer groups, Masha Kalinina, senior officer at the Pew Charitable Trusts, told Carbon Brief. She added:
“We support all links to the High Seas Treaty, because we can’t reach target three [30 by 30] without eventually protected areas in the high seas.”
Other conventions recognised in the text are the International Convention for the Control and Management of Ships’ Ballast Water and Sediments, the Convention on the Prevention of Marine Pollution by Dumping of Wastes and Other Matters and the ongoing discussions on a plastics treaty. Hansen told Carbon Brief:
“That goes to a general challenge around ocean governance and how many different treaties and bodies there are…So that text that explicitly gives the Secretariat the encouragement to reach out and do that collaborative work [with other bodies and Conventions] is really important from our point of view.”
The conservation and sustainable use decision also includes an annex, which contains “gaps and areas in need of additional focus”. These gaps include effective implementation of marine protected areas, deep-sea ecosystems, the effects of pollution and traditional knowledge of marine and coastal biodiversity.
Items that remained bracketed in the annex that was forwarded to the plenary included phrasing around the use of nature-based solutions, geoengineering activities “that may have impacts on marine and coastal biodiversity”, harmful fishing subsidies and the use of DSI.
The negotiations on marine geoengineering were “a bit of a mix”, Jehki Härkönen, senior policy advisor with Greenpeace International, told Carbon Brief.
The text was originally marked for deletion by the secretariat due to the existence of previous decisions on marine geoengineering. Härkönen said that “some countries [are] not necessarily wanting more regulation on marine geoengineering, but also there [has been] a bit of a discussion around where it should be regulated”.
However, he added, “currently there is no body that would comprehensively regulate marine geoengineering”.
Observers were generally pleased with the summit’s outcomes on marine and coastal biodiversity. Hansen told Carbon Brief:
“Overall, we are happy with good action now, and prefer that over slightly better action in two years time.”
Links with other bodies
Coming soon
Invasive alien species
Invasive species are one of the five main drivers of biodiversity loss and are covered under target 6 of the GBF.
Discussions on invasive species – as well as best practices for their prevention and control – have featured on the COP agenda for many years.
At COP16, parties discussed a text on invasive alien species (IAS) that covered a range of topics, including linkages between invasive species and climate change, and suggested actions for the prediction, prevention and management of IAS.
The text combines elements and guidance from the work of an ad-hoc technical expert group on IAS and a major report released last year by the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES).
Although the IAS agenda item pre-dates the IPBES assessment on the topic, the decision “was enriched” by the assessment, Prof Aníbal Pauchard, an ecologist at the University of Concepción in Chile, told Carbon Brief. Pauchard, who co-chaired the assessment, added that “although our report wasn’t written for target 6, it’s very instrumental” to parties being able to achieve that target.
(For more on the links between invasive alien species and climate change, see Carbon Brief’s coverage of the IPBES assessment.)
Dr Colman O’Criodain, WWF’s lead expert on wildlife trade, told Carbon Brief:
“It’s been a painful process [leading up to the decision], but there’s never been fundamental divisions of principle like there have been on some other issues here. [It’s] more on points of detail.”
Observers told Carbon Brief that, in Cali, there was little disagreement as to the technical content of the decision. Rather, the main sticking point was a political one.
The major point of divergence remaining as the summit headed into the second week was whether to “welcome” or simply “note” the results of the IPBES assessment. As reported by the Earth Negotiations Bulletin, this disagreement stemmed from Russia’s objection that some of the underlying databases were not accessible in their country due to international sanctions.
The EU contends that Russia’s accessibility was a technical glitch and that it has since been resolved, according to O’Criodain.

Dr David Obura, IPBES chair, told Carbon Brief:
“We would like the assessment to be welcomed, because then that encourages countries to really use the results. And it does make a difference, the language that is used, so we’re hoping that that can be resolved in the final negotiations.”
On future work on invasive species at the CBD, O’Criodain told Carbon Brief:
“There will be further discussion – perhaps not at the next COP, but this [agenda item] has come back a few times, and I’m sure it will come back again.”
Capacity-building and knowledge management
Coming soon
Sustainable wildlife management
Coming soon
Other matters
Liability and redress
At COP16, countries adopted two decisions on liability and redress for cross-border ecological and biological harms – one each under the COP and the Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety.
Liability and redress for damage to biological diversity falls under Article 14.2 of the UN CBD and was one of the major themes when the convention itself was being negotiated. At the time, countries could not reach a consensus on sticky questions around accountability, compensation and restoring damage.
In 2010, countries agreed on the Nagoya-Kuala Lumpur Supplementary Protocol on Liability and Redress, designed to prevent harms to biodiversity from the movement of living modified organisms across borders.
The Cartagena Protocol decision noted the limited ratification of the supplementary protocol “with regret” and reminded states to share information and set up an authority to identify, evaluate and respond to damages.
The COP16 decision included an agreement “to review the topic of liability and redress in the context of Article 14, paragraph 2” at COP18.
In September this year, the CBD secretariat published an information note, citing international developments, such as the new loss-and-damage fund, rising climate attribution and litigation and a global discussion on “ecocide”.
According to Anna Maddrick, climate law adviser to the permanent mission of Vanuatu, the lack of legally binding targets has been “a major challenge” in biodiversity law. She told Carbon Brief:
“Vanuatu’s proposal of an independent crime of ecocide to the International Criminal Court underlines a commitment to making environmental protection enforceable and is well placed to support the CBD’s implementation, especially on liability and redress.”
Scientific and technical needs
Agenda item 16 at COP16 addressed the scientific and technical needs to support parties in their implementation of the GBF.
The decision text highlights a few areas of work where advancement could be made, including biodiversity-inclusive spatial planning, pollution and biodiversity and sustainable biodiversity-based activities.
The COP16 decision also “welcom[es] the establishment” of regional scientific and technical support centres.
These centres were created under a COP15 decision on capacity-building and development, which “decide[d] to establish a mechanism comprising a network of regional, and/or additional subregional technical and scientific cooperation support centres”.
Under the COP15 decision, an “informal advisory group on technical and scientific cooperation” was convened to consider the candidates to host the regional support centres.
At its fourth meeting, the Subsidiary Body on Implementation approved the selection of five support centres in Africa, three in the Americas, five in Asia, four in Europe and one in Oceania.
These support centres will be housed at existing organisations and research institutes, including the South African National Biodiversity Institute, the Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences and the Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme.
IPBES
The Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) provides scientific, technical and policy support to countries on biodiversity and the interactions between humans and nature.
It functions in much the same way that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change does with the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change.
COP16 produced a decision text on “matters related to the work programme” of IPBES. It “encourages” parties to “make use of, as appropriate, the assessments and deliverables” of IPBES.
It also “invites” IPBES to consider a range of options for a future assessment, including a bracketed option on “rights-based approaches”.

The decision text did not include the final report option. IPBES will consider the recommendations at its plenary meeting in Namibia in December and, in conjunction with other consultations and inputs over the next year, identify a topic at its plenary in 2025.
Obura, the IPBES chair, told Carbon Brief:
“From the IPBES perspective, what we like is that we’re being asked to do stuff and parties consider it important.”
Plant conservation
Coming soon
Communication and education
Coming soon
Diverse values of biodiversity
Coming soon
Around the COP
Colombian presidency
Colombia’s hosting of COP16 was widely celebrated due to the country’s leadership on biodiversity and climate issues and for Susana Muhamad’s selection as summit president.
The fourth-largest South America country, Colombia is one of the most biodiverse parts of the world and has the highest bird diversity, with more than 2,000 species recorded.
COP16 was originally due to be held in Turkey, but the country withdrew as host in July 2023 after the devastating earthquakes of February 2023, which killed more than 50,000 people.
Colombia was confirmed as the new host last December. Dr David Cooper, the then-acting executive secretary of the CBD, told Carbon Brief at the time that it was “exciting” to hold the conference in a “megadiverse country” with “very strong Indigenous peoples’ organisations [and] a very strong scientific base”.
Speaking to Carbon Brief two weeks before COP16, the CBD’s new executive secretary Astrid Schomaker added that Colombia has taken “leadership on biodiversity issues for many years”. She said:
“I think Colombia is an excellent host. They’ve made a lot of efforts to make this COP a success. And, in Susana Muhamad, we have a very knowledgeable and a very charismatic and very dedicated COP host. So I think the ingredients are in place for this to be a very good, successful COP.”
Muhamad was a central figure in the talks, encouraging finance boosts and for countries to reach agreement on key issues.
She told the summit’s opening ceremony that the “planet doesn’t have time to lose”.
Le Monde described the minister as a “rising star of the environmental movement on the international scene”. She is the “Frida Kahlo of environmental geopolitics”, Oscar Soria, the director of thinktank the Common Initiative, told the Guardian. The outlet noted that Muhamad worked as a sustainability consultant with Shell before entering politics.
The COP16 president spoke at events and media gatherings throughout the two-week summit. She told a mid-way press conference on 25 October that the negotiations were moving at a good pace, but divisions remained on key issues such as resource mobilisation. She added:
“We have a COP that has a very constructive climate.”
Colombia launched a “peace with nature coalition” at the summit on 29 October, a declaration calling for greater protection of biodiversity.
As of publication, more than 120,000 people signed this declaration through campaign group Avaaz. It was also supported by countries including Mexico, Spain, Germany, Uruguay and Costa Rica. (See: World leaders.)
The summit drew to a close abruptly – and prematurely – on 2 November, with minister Muhamad dropping the gavel at around 8.30am local time as there were not enough country representatives present to proceed.
The final hours of the plenary drew criticism from delegations who had to leave to catch flights as the summit ran more than 14 hours into overtime. (This was the longest a CBD COP has over run its scheduled end time.)
The sudden end to the talks “jeopardises the implementation” of the GBF, according to the director general of WWF International, Kirsten Schuijt.
She noted in a statement that despite Colombia’s “valiant efforts” and the “tireless work” of negotiators, meeting 2030 nature ambitions could be “veering dangerously off track” due to the outstanding issues. Schuijt added:
“Nobody should be okay with this – because it will impact us all.”
Accessibility and security
Cali was jam-packed with COP delegates. The CBD had been expecting 12,000-14,000 attendees, but more than 23,000 registered in the end.
As a result of this surge, delegates faced sluggish internet connections inside the blue zone. Carbon Brief understands that both Uganda and the DRC complained about the poor wifi connection during formal negotiations on the first day of the summit.
Translation issues also plagued the summit. In negotiations on Article 8(j) on 30 October, translation services were abruptly cut, “forcing all speakers and listeners to proceed in English only”, according to the civil-society organisation Avaaz. Avaaz noted that, under the CBD process, contact groups are only held in English and said that the “lack of translation services is deeply disappointing”.
Translation services also ended before the conclusion of the Working Group II meeting on the final day of the summit as parties tried to hammer out the final details on resource mobilisation and the financial mechanism.

Credit: IISD/ENB | Mike Muzurakis
Some documents put before the plenary for adoption had also not yet been translated into the other UN official languages, with the DRC raising the concern that it would be hard for them to adopt a decision that was not available in other languages. The representative said that they “would really like documents in the language we understand best”, but, ultimately, withdrew the complaint.
Additionally, countries with small delegations were unable to attend all of the talks, due to the number of agenda items that needed resolving within the two weeks. In an intervention on the first day, the DRC said:
“Is it possible to complete the processing of all these above-mentioned items in only 12 days, while keeping in mind the number of brackets in the different documents to be examined?”
Observers also expressed to Carbon Brief their belief that the agenda was too sprawling.
Many delegations rushed out of the final plenary to catch their flights, with the plenary hall visibly emptying out as the hours ticked by. Parties and observers expressed their frustration that the “big-ticket” items – DSI, finance and the monitoring framework – were left to the end of the plenary, when many parties were no longer present to provide consensus.
Attendees from Fiji and Panama told the hall that they were the only ones remaining from their delegations, with Fiji noting that they were the last remaining representative of the Pacific island nations.
At 8:09 am on Saturday, 2 November, Peru requested that the COP check whether the plenary still had quorum and the ability to take decisions, due to the mass exodus that had occurred over the previous hours.
After the check, it was confirmed that the COP did not have a quorum any longer and the meeting was suspended.

In the run-up to the summit, security concerns were a major discussion point. Colombia will soon mark eight years since signing a peace agreement that ended half a century of conflict. Other peace talks with a rebel group remain in stasis.
In July, a dissident rebel group threatened to disrupt the summit. This threat was withdrawn, but more followed from armed rebels “who control swathes of the Amazon”, the Financial Times reported.
Colombian president Gustavo Petro said he was “nervous” about something “bad” happening at the start of the summit, Colombia’s El Heraldo newspaper reported on 18 October.
Speaking at a press conference on 21 October, Cali’s mayor Alejandro Eder assured the safety of the summit and said that security was the first issue tackled in early hosting talks. Eder noted that COP
More than 10,000 police officers were stationed across the city during the summit and no security incidents were reported.
Elsewhere at the summit, multiple attendees told Carbon Brief their accommodation bookings were cancelled last-minute, leaving them scrambling for limited alternatives.
Some delegates opted for “love motels” whose rooms featured “circular beds, ‘love machine’ chairs, dance poles and sex swings”, the Guardian and AFP reported.
Outside the main negotiation area, the green zone at the summit, which usually hosts civil society, NGO and business events relating to nature, was also open to the general public – the first time that a green zone has not required pre-registration to access. Nearly 1 million people reportedly visited the green zone throughout the summit.
World leaders
Presidents and prime ministers are typically not invited to attend UN biodiversity conferences. Aside from Justin Trudeau, the prime minister of Canada, none were present at the last summit in Montreal.
But a small number of world leaders travelled to Cali for COP16. Six heads of state and approximately 110 ministers from around the world attended a high-level segment on 29-30 October.
This included Colombian president Gustavo Petro, who spoke several times at the summit.
At the COP16 launch ceremony, Petro said that a “great battle for life” is approaching. He later told the high-level segment that both COP16 and the COP30 climate talks, due to be held next year in Belém, Brazil, must be “decisive” and “turning points where we won’t continue doing the same thing”.

UN secretary general António Guterres told the high-level segment that “nature is life”, but there is a “war against it”. He added:
“Biodiversity is humanity’s ally. We must move from plundering it to preserving it.”
The leaders of Armenia, Ecuador, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti and Suriname also attended the summit. The president of Ecuador, Daniel Noboa, told the plenary:
“Today we can change…I want to believe we can change and the world is not going to end.”
David Choquehuanca Céspedes, the vice president of Bolivia, told the summit that “Eurocentrism, capitalism and modernity” are “putting the planet at risk and exacerbating poverty”.

Credit: Fernando Vergara / Associated Press / Alamy Stock Photo
COP president Susana Muhamad said during the high-level segment that the attendance of world leaders “raises the level of political discussion that the COP on biodiversity has”, adding:
“This is not minor, because this is no longer an issue for conservationists or ecologists or environmentalists, it is an issue that should be at the centre of public policy of governments and the world.”
More world leaders were due to attend COP16, Carbon Brief understands, but provisional numbers dwindled as the summit approached.
Brazil’s president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva cancelled his planned attendance on Friday 25 October due to a head injury. The president also pulled out of a trip to Russia following an “accident at home that left him with a cut on the back of his head”, the Associated Press reported.
Muhamad told a 23 September press briefing that newly inaugurated president of Mexico, Dr Claudia Sheinbaum, would attend the summit, but she was also not present in Cali.
The ministers who attended mostly covered environment or climate briefs. However, some finance and foreign affairs ministers showed face and engaged in discussions.
Palestine’s foreign-affairs minister, Riyad al-Maliki, and Colombia’s Muhamad set up an agreement on “environmental cooperation and capacity building” at the talks. Speaking in Cali, Al-Maliki said:
“Colombia’s experience and knowledge will be essential to face the daily challenges we face in Palestine, particularly in the socio-environmental field.”
During the high-level segment of the conference, dozens of notable political figures, businesses, scientists and civil society groups signed an open letter to Petro and Lula encouraging the COP-hosting countries to “champion bold action” in aligning nature protection, climate action and transforming food systems.
Protests and environmental defenders
Coming soon
Greenwashing and lobbying
Coming soon
New science
A number of groups launched new or updated scientific reports on the sidelines of COP16.
On 22 October, the Group on Earth Observations launched the Global Ecosystems Atlas, which it called “the first harmonised resource dedicated to mapping and monitoring all the world’s ecosystems”.
In a press release, Astrid Schomaker, the CBD’s executive secretary, said:
“The Global Ecosystems Atlas is the first intergovernmental effort to develop a collation of the best ecosystem data from countries and it will serve as a critical tool by providing high-quality, reliable data on ecosystems around the world.”
On 28 October, the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) launched the latest update to the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.
The Red List update was widely covered by global media, including in South Africa, Australia, the UK and Japan.
The Red List update also included the Global Tree Assessment, the first such comprehensive look at the threatened status of tree species around the world – covering more than 80% of known species. It found that nearly 40% of tree species are at risk of extinction.
The same day saw the release of the Protected Planet Report 2024, the world’s “first official review” towards the 30-by-30 target.
It found that “global coverage of protected and conserved areas has now reached 17.6% of terrestrial and inland waters and 8.4% of marine and coastal areas”, noting that “this progress must be accelerated considerably if the target is to be fully met”.
The post COP16: Key outcomes agreed at the UN biodiversity conference in Cali, Colombia appeared first on Carbon Brief.
COP16: Key outcomes agreed at the UN biodiversity conference in Cali, Colombia
Climate Change
Defending Stingless Bees in the Peruvian Amazon
As deforestation and climate change threaten some of the country’s least-known pollinators, scientists join forces with Indigenous Asháninka communities to protect the insects and their new legal rights.
SATIPO, Peru—Dry leaves rustled beneath the hem of her terracotta-tinted dress as Micaela Huaman Fernandez knelt on the forest floor. Leaning in toward the base of a moss-covered palo santo tree, she pointed to a flicker of tiny golden insects fluttering in and out of view.
Climate Change
The Carbon Brief Interview: UK Climate Change Committee’s Emma Pinchbeck
Emma Pinchbeck has been the chief executive of the UK’s Climate Change Committee (CCC) since November 2024.
The committee is a statutory body created under the Climate Change Act 2008 and is the official adviser to the UK government on climate change mitigation and adaptation.
In this role, the CCC delivers regular progress reports to parliament and advises the government on the level of future targets to cut the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions.
Previously, Pinchbeck was the chief executive of Energy UK, the trade association for the nation’s energy companies.
- On the UK’s net-zero progress: “[A] 50% reduction in emissions is pretty good going…the Climate Change Act has demonstrably worked.”
- On how the UK has cut emissions: “It’s not from exporting or offshoring emissions. It’s largely from displacing coal with renewables.”
- On what 2050 could look like: “I think it’s about keeping the stuff that we really love. And then making the stuff we don’t love better.”
- On the household impacts: “We’re pretty sure that a household with [clean technologies] in 2050 will be saving money, relative to a world where we stay dependent on fossil fuels.”
- On failing to reach net-zero: “Something that is in the memories of people in the 1970s as a one-off [heatwave] is going to be very common for our children.”
- On opposition threats to the Climate Change Act: “Whenever we’re doing our advice, we try and think about…how it reflects the priorities of different political parties.”
- On the UK’s high energy costs: “Over 80% of the rise over the last 10 years in energy bills has been about the price of gas.”
- On technology choices: “We’re an ‘all-of-the-above’ country, and I think that’s a good thing…the most resilient energy systems are those where you have a mix.”
- On the upcoming renewable auction: “We’re looking at that relative cost the whole time…I’m still extremely confident that a decarbonised energy system is cheaper than the counterfactual fossil-fuel one.”
- On decarbonising industry: “There should be a really vibrant future for our industrial sector…This positioning of ‘its industrialisation or its net-zero’ is wrong.”
- On the seventh carbon budget: “What exactly [the budget] looks like is down to parliamentarians and government [to] hash out.”
- On communicating on climate: “I think [the British are] natural environmentalists…I think we can talk to them more about why we’re doing this. I think we might have forgotten to do that, actually.”
- On climate misinformation: “Something that comes back in our social research is a desire for accurate information and particularly from policymakers.”
- On public communication campaigns: “The ones from the 1960s…[are] also quite punchy.”
- On talking to children about climate: “I’m aware that some of the loss sits with me, not with them. They will not have memories of how many butterflies there used to be.”
Listen to this interview:
Carbon Brief: Well, thanks very much for joining us today, Emma. I wanted to start with a kind of big question. The UK’s emissions are now a little more than 50% below 1990 levels and we’ve got about 25 years to get to the net-zero target by 2050. How would you say the UK is doing overall and why?
Emma Pinchbeck: Well, [a] 50% reduction in emissions is pretty good going. I think that’s the first thing to say, is that the Climate Change Act has demonstrably worked. And two important things; the pace of emissions doubled after the introduction of the Climate Change Act and also those emissions reductions have come from what I call “real change in the economy”.
So it’s not from changing patterns of, say, consumption emissions. It’s not from exporting or offshoring emissions. It’s largely from displacing coal with renewables – and also the magical thing is that it is coal to renewables. It’s not gone coal-gas-renewables either, which is what we thought it would do. So there’s a good story there in terms of the governance and how the Climate Change Act has worked.
I think also what’s important is that it was a technology-led process and there’s a lot of flexibility in the act. And so that in a coal-to-renewable shift, it’s probably not what we’d have all banked on when we were writing the Climate Change Act in 2008 or when they were writing the Climate Change Act. And so we think about that, if you look forward, you’re looking to replicate the successes of that in other bits of the economy now. We’ve done power, largely. I think it’s about heat in particular, but also transport. And then you start getting into trickier areas of the economy, where it is less about an energy transition and more into land use, things like offsets and removals.
But I think the overall story is similar, in that you set out a long-term objective, 10 years out. So, legislate the seventh carbon budget, and then try and invest in the technologies that you’ve got to deliver emissions reduction, try and make them as cheap as possible, try and make them as attractive as possible for people, and then do the tricky stuff.
And what we’ve said in the progress report is that the government needs to have more thinking on heat. We need to start planting trees, because it takes 25 years to grow a tree, and we need to start investing in the next wave of novel technologies. So the kind of surprises in the pathway, and there is a lot of focus on clean power, but it’s now about energy demand. That was a long answer.
CB: That’s fine, thank you. So you’ve already touched on this a little bit, but just projecting forward that 25 years to 2050, if you just imagine that we’re in the UK, we’ve hit the net-zero target. What does that look like? What does that mean for our communities, our environment, our consumer choices? Can you just paint a bit of a picture?
EP: So the first thing to say is, whatever picture I paint, I will inevitably be wrong. And that is, again, one of the joys about the Climate Change Act, is that we’re kind of thinking about outcomes, rather than necessarily wedding ourselves to single technology pathways.
That said, there are now some very clear winners, because over the last 10 years in energy, there’s been this huge shift towards electrical technologies on the demand side. The economics of stuff like batteries, solar PV [and] renewables are all trending down, and they look set over the next decade to beat their counterfactual fossil-fuel technology. So that will mean by about 2040, I think we’re saying three-quarters of cars on the road will be electric vehicles. We’re talking about a significant shift in electric vans also on the road. 40% of households with an electric heat pump and a shift to electrical heating.
We’re talking about more trees being planted – and native tree species and hedgerows largely rather than agroforestry. And what that then means in terms of the money, because these technologies on the energy side are more efficient, we’re pretty sure that a household with them in 2050 will be saving money relative to a world where we stay dependent on fossil fuels, and we’ve modelled that to be about £700 [in] savings.
But if you just want to talk about the physics, it’s because a heat pump is three to four times more efficient than a gas boiler. So you start getting savings back from the investment in these technologies by about 2040. At a whole economy level, you start saving money because you’re using a more efficient energy system, which both has a bills impact in the long run, but also does things like it changes our need to import as much gas, so it’s a more secure economy.
I realise they’re not tangible, but they’re important, particularly after the last 10 years. We’ve just gone through a gas crisis, and that has been really real for people. And then if you think about at community level, there’ll be different industries in different places, whether that’s carbon capture and storage or other low carbon fuels in the Humber, in the South Wales cluster, in parts of Scotland, some of that will be recycling existing fossil-fuel infrastructure, skills, jobs, some of it will be brand new industries, a “gigafactory”, for example.
And also in rural communities like the one I live in, you’ll see changes in how we’re managing land. And I think if the government gets its policies right, you should also see farming on a sustainable footing. And I mean, like, financially sustainable. So in some ways, it’s also about not changing, it’s about keeping things that we love, cherish, think about as part of our national heritage, and helping them survive a really big industrial transition.
So I get asked this question a lot, and sometimes I say to people that I think we’re quite keen to describe a world where everything is different, but actually I think it’s about keeping the stuff that we really love. And then making the stuff we don’t love better. And I wonder if that’s a more helpful pitch for people than everything is going to wildly change around you.
CB: Yeah. So again, you sort of touched on this, but let’s think about a world where we get to 2050, we haven’t reached our net-zero target in the UK, and perhaps more importantly, let’s say that the world has also failed to get close to net-zero emissions by mid-century. What does that world look like?
EP: We just did our adaptation progress report, which we do every two years, and in that, we talked about some of the impacts of climate change on the UK economy. We’re about to issue our statutory advice, which you do every five years in adaptation, and we will go into more detail on that.
But just to give you some high-level examples, it’s a world [where] the UK’s got more extremes. So our highest temperature in the summer has crossed 40C for the first time this year. That will become much more commonplace. We’ll see more of those kinds of hot summers, like we had in 2022 and just recently, more frequently. So every few years, rather than every 10 years. Something that is in the memories of people in the 1970s as a one-off, is going to be very common for our children.
If you think about winters, they will be warmer and wetter on average, so something like the last 18 months that we had before the heatwave, with all the rainfall.
What that then means [is that] the extremes [have] consequences for our infrastructure. So it becomes about how do you make sure that a hospital, a care home, a school, can stay open in a heatwave?
We know from 2022 that there are around 2,500 additional deaths because of the heat, largely in the vulnerable population. So we’ll need to think about that. Air conditioning for care homes or schools. We lose 1.7 school days on average to extreme heat. Again, what do you do about those settings?
If you think about rainfall and flooding, that has had a dramatic effect on UK agriculture already, things like the wheat crop, which is very sensitive to changes in temperatures or to rainfall. So maybe it’s our farmers diversifying, growing things like quinoa and other crops in different places, but also it will be about helping to mitigate what happens when we lose a harvest. So there’s that.
On infrastructure, it’s about making sure we’re building power plants, railways, new houses [on places other than] on floodplains, but also to be as flood resilient as we can possibly manage. We lose something like a quarter of railway kilometres already to extreme rainfall, which will become commonplace in 2050. A quarter of new homes, I think, are planned to be built in floodplains or will be affected by flooding by 2050.
So it’s really important to talk about the fact that when we’re thinking about mitigating emissions, it’s partly about reducing the amount of money that you have to spend on adapting the economy, but the impacts are already here, so we do also need to do adaptation.
CB: Great. Yeah. So obviously, the Conservative Party, the opposition Conservatives, have just pledged to repeal the Climate Change Act, should they be elected in 2029, and Reform’s also pledged to scrap the UK’s net-zero target. I’m just curious, have either of those parties been in touch with the committee, before or after or around those announcements?
EP: Well, not during the announcements and as you’d expect, we’re public servants at the Climate Change Committee and during party conferences and like the rest of the civil service, we’re not engaging [with] political announcements at all. So no, they haven’t, but nor would I expect them to and in a similar way, nor would I seek out that engagement.
What I can say is, whenever we’re doing our advice, we try and think about how it is meaningful, how it reflects the priorities of different political parties. We write out to every political party and offer to brief them. And we briefed the shadow secretary of state [Claire Coutinho] on the seventh carbon budget when that came out, and all of our analysis, and we will carry on having those relationships.
Fundamentally, the role of the committee is to advise governments, where advice is written for the government of the day, but it is also to report to parliament. We have no ability to hold ministers to account or overall policymakers, or [to] do anything of that kind. That’s not our job, but it is the job of parliament to hold government accountable. And so the mechanism is that we give parliament the best possible evidence and information in order for them to inform their own policies, whether or not they’re in opposition parties or in the government, and also to hold government to account on any legally agreed targets set by parliament, so we’ll keep doing that job.
CB: Great. Yeah, one of the big bug bears for both of those opposition parties is around the UK’s high cost of energy at the moment. Can you just kind of talk me through what’s going on? Why are our bills so high?
EP: Yes. How long have you got? So there’s a short-term, long-term framing for this, right? So over 80% of the rise over the last 10 years in energy bills has been about the price of gas. The UK is exposed to the price of gas on the international market, even when we’ve got relatively plentiful supplies in the UK, because we use a lot of gas in our heating as well as in our power generation. We’re quite a gassy energy system.
And because we are a relatively small producer, even with the North Sea, our ability to affect that price in any of the gas markets is limited. And so the only protection we have against price spikes or volatility or a rise in gas prices, really, is to reduce gas demand. And that’s one of the attractions of a more electrified power system, that’s what you’re effectively doing.
When I was in my last job and the energy crisis was on, one of the focuses of those of us who were being asked about what we could do about bills, what we could do about the economic exposure to gas, what we could do about energy security, was about electrification – nothing to do with climate at the time – but about trying to reduce gas demand. And that’s what other countries in Europe had been doing too in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. So Poland has rolled out heat pumps, not because of climate, but because they’re trying to reduce their exposure to the gas price.
So that’s the wholesale cost of energy, and our exposure to gas is a huge part of the problem, and we shouldn’t lose sight of that. The other components of the bill are about policy costs and infrastructure costs that are levied from the bill or passed through to the bills by suppliers. So there is a component of the bill which is to do with the money it costs to reinforce our energy networks, and that’s increasing at the moment because we’re building out the power sector. That’s true. And there is also a bit of the bill which is about policy costs for things like renewables, but also social policy costs, things like the warm homes discount. And governments have always changed the levels of those policies. They designed them, but they also put them on the electricity bill rather than, say, on gas or in taxation; it was a choice to put them on bills. And so things like the cost of renewables and the renewables auctions, the costs of the early-stage renewables projects, the policy costs for energy efficiency, and so on. They’re all on that bit of the bill.
Now, those will change over time, and a lot of them are coming off in 2030 or being replaced by cheaper contracts that have been negotiated since. But there is a chunk of the bill at the moment, which are levy costs, and we have been saying to the government for some time now – including [to the] previous governments – that we think that those costs should be removed or redistributed. Now, how they do that is entirely up to them. We’re not policymakers, and we shouldn’t be prescribing issues of tax or distribution. But in having those policy costs in the electricity bill, people think electricity is much more expensive than it is, and so getting things like heat pumps onto the system, which would then help you with gas prices or our gas exposure, is harder because you’ve disproportionately impacted the electricity price. So it’s that, I don’t know if that was helpful.
I mean, at the supply end, there’s also the question of how much of the cost of generation that we’re then paying for that goes into that wholesale price? Are renewables cheaper or more expensive than a gas power station? Generally speaking, the economics of the energy transition should be cheaper overall than sticking with fossil fuels, in the long run, [so] what you’ve got to do is build the infrastructure. Though there’s a cost to that [and] it needs to be financed properly, the reason we think it should still be cheaper in the long run is once you’ve built the infrastructure, you don’t have the associated fuel costs for a renewables-led system. You have some different costs that we’re also paying for, to balance the system and to manage it. But even those work out to be cheaper than a system where you stay dependent on fossil fuels, we think.
So it is really complicated to explain to people and I suppose in a nutshell – I’d say, what, that took me like 10 minutes? And I can still see you being like, “well, that’s not a punchy answer”. And in that is the problem, because it’s in that lack of clarity, in the ability to be able to say, “well, it’s about the cost of decarbonisation”, and then we lose sight of the fact it’s actually, over the long term, been more about the cost of gas. I really need to have a better answer to that question.
CB: I mean, it’s interesting, maybe you can kind of slightly zoom out to, not just about the energy bills, but that whole cost of the transition. Because obviously, you’ve already mentioned some of this, but you’ve got investments, costs that we’re adding, building out the infrastructure, but also savings in terms of fossil fuel bills, and the way that that nets out, and the total that you come up, it’s quite easy to focus on one half of that or the other and not give the full picture.
EP: So you could do it in this way. You could think about the energy system as a whole. It’s the infrastructure in your system. And if you’re just talking about – let’s just talk about electricity, which is where a lot of the conversation is. To generate electricity, you need a power plant of some kind, which you have to build. Because even in a world where you were saying, “well, it’s not about building clean technology”, you have to build some power generation for things like artificial intelligence, the growing demand in the economy, you need [an] abundant energy supply. So you have to have a power plant, and [so] you have to build some new power plants. And then once you built your power plant, you need to move the power around. Even in a world where, say, you could generate the power, like with solar PV on people’s roofs and then use it in their homes. In the UK system, because we’ve got big nuclear, we’ve got cities, we’ve got factories, you need some big kit that generates big stuff, and then you have to move it around the system. So then you have to pay for pipes and/or wires to move things around. Your gas, if it’s going into a gas-fired power station, and then your wires to move the electricity that you generate.
And then once you’ve got all of that, you’re then paying the costs of managing the system. And there are costs involved in that, because you pay your power plants to provide services. But if they have to do unexpected things or provide a balance for another plant, or a power plant goes off, and you have to turn one on, there’s a cost for that that we all pay for in the market. And then at the end, we have these other policy costs, which are about redistributing money to pay for schemes that we think are important for the wider energy system, whether that’s energy efficiency or bill relief for fuel poverty. So those are some of your costs.
If you strip all of that back to the beginning, the reason that people like me say a renewables-led system is cheaper is [because] to build a brand new solar plant or wind plant is likely to be cheaper than the cost of building a gas CCGT, in most cases. So your cost of building the new plant is cheaper, and then you don’t have a fuel cost if you’ve built renewables, because you’re not buying in your gas to power it. You don’t need to build your gas pipeline, so there’s a saving there, but you do need to build more cables, because you need all kinds of renewable plants.
There’s then the cost of backing up your renewables with batteries or some decarbonised generation, maybe hydrogen. And then you’ve got your policy costs on the end. And so if you look at the balancing costs, you have to ask, “Well, does it cost more to balance out this wiggly renewable system and have to build another plant, then you’re saving on that fuel input?” And again, the answer there is, there are some costs of balancing the system, but it looks like they’re still cheaper than relying on the fossil fuel system.
And lastly, just very simply, generating electricity and then using it in more efficient products at the end is highly efficient. So in our analysis for the seventh carbon budget, we halve energy waste across the entire energy system, because the technologies on the other end of the system are more efficient, like electric vehicles and heat pumps. The technologies on this end of the system, like new renewables, are highly efficient, and we’re just moving stuff around on wires more efficiently. And that is also a saving, I think everyone out there knows that if you’re not wasting stuff, you’re saving money.
You’ve got to look at the whole system. It’s no good just to compare two different kinds of technology and think that that’s the answer. You’ve got to look at the whole system in the round, and then at the end, the bill in the round, and then make your choices.
Again, that’s a long answer, but because you’re talking about an energy system that underpins the entire economy, the mistake people often make is to look at a single data point on this end, on one day of the year, in one year. And it’s actually looking at the whole thing in the round. Is that better?

CB: Yes. So the UK’s net-zero transitions are obviously quite dependent on offshore wind, because of the fact that we’re an island nation, we’re at high latitude, we’ve got peak demand in winter and we don’t have great solar resources. People are looking at the energy transition globally and looking at how that picture’s changed.
You talked about falling technology costs; that’s been a big part of solar costs coming down massively. The cost of wind has come down a lot. And offshore wind’s a lot cheaper than we thought, but its costs have been going up in the last few years. And so some people I’ve seen [are] suggesting that perhaps the UK has made the wrong bet.
What do you think about that? And what are the other options that the UK could take, or is actually offshore wind still the right answer?
EP: Yeah. Well, actually, this sounds like a dodge, but it’s not. It’s important that we say this. It’s not the CCC’s job, actually, to dictate the technology mix. Like when we are doing our analysis, we model different technology pathways, and the reason for that is only that we have to demonstrate to parliamentarians that the number that we come up with for the carbon budget – so the percentage emissions reduction – is credible enough that they’re confident that the target could be met. How they then go about delivering that is for the government’s carbon budget delivery plan and for parliament.
And so the question for the CCC is, would we have a view on whether it should be offshore wind and onshore wind? No, beyond telling you what the relative costs of decarbonisation might be in 15 years time if you choose one or the other. And then the other thing is, sometimes governments make decisions about technologies for reasons that sit outside our remit. For example, it could be about [whether] you take an early punt on a technology because you want the jobs and the industrial benefits. You know, the reason that Scandinavians have so many wind companies and manufacture so many components is [that] they took an early bet on wind, after actually, the turbines were developed in the UK. There we go.
If you think about China and batteries, it’s similar. They took an early punt on electric vehicles and now have cheap electric vehicles. That’s an industrial play, almost more than it is the least cost way of delivering decarbonisation.
So it’s sort of respects the reason that the government might back particular technologies, and I think the government’s offshore wind targets – my memory of them at the time were also about Boris Johnson’s industrial vision for the UK, and I think they were bigger than what the CCC had recommended as well. So, there are always reasons for the government to back a technology which are not about decarbonisation. It’s a long way of saying, “Don’t ask me”.
But I think two other quick points. It is always a mix; the UK system is magnificent, because it is a mix of big and small and different technologies. We’re a pro-nuclear country, we’re a pro-renewables country, we’re an all-kinds-of-renewables country. We are also a country where we’re still going to have gas, and maybe potentially, one of the places that works out how to do things like carbon capture and hydrogen, because we’ve got a legacy of oil and gas industry here.
We’re an “all-of-the-above” country, and I think that’s a good thing, and the most resilient energy systems are those where you have a mix. And that would be something that I would say as an energy analyst, but it’s also the CCC’s approach when we’re looking at the energy system.
So if, for some reason, government chooses a pathway that is away from a particular technology, we’ll find another way of delivering it.
CB: So just more specifically on offshore wind, we’ve obviously got the next auction for CfD projects coming up, [with] results due in December or possibly a bit later. What are you expecting to see come out of that?
EP: You should go and ask me at my last job, where I would have probably had more of an idea of the commercials in the market, because that was literally the job – to understand that and live and breathe the auction. I think we would say, like every analyst is saying, [that] we’re expecting to see some of the supply chain crunch and the pressures on the industry in the prices.
But the beauty of competitive auctions is [that] they force competition. So I have been wrong on auction prices pretty much every time, apart from once, and I have learned not to speculate. There is always so much speculation in the run up to renewables auctions, and I think it’s unwise to try and work out what the prices are before we see them.
On the constraints and the sort of general economics, we modeled in a 25% uplift on our offshore wind costs relative to the kind of standard levelised cost assessment. And that’s because we’re assuming that there are supply chain pressures out to about 2030 and then we wind it down. So I think everyone can see that there have been labour shortages, there’s a higher cost of capital, there have been supply chain constraints because lots of other countries are doing offshore wind. There’s competition for the components and all of the rest.
The very last thing is, for my job, what’s relevant is [whether] the cost of other technologies go up? And a lot of those factors also apply for trying to build a new gas-fired power station or a new nuclear power station, because it’s about skilled labour, it’s about the cost of components, about the cost of financing large-scale infrastructure. And I think we’re looking at that relative cost the whole time, and in that I’m still extremely confident that a decarbonised energy system is cheaper than the counterfactual fossil fuel one.
The exact technology mix and the exact prices over the long run have very little impact on that final GDP number, first thing. And second thing, I think we’re in a pre-2030 world and we’ll see what happens with individual technologies in the long run. And very, very lastly, no one should speculate on auction prices. You’ll just look like an idiot when the final results come out.
CB: Great, yeah. So behind some of the political rhetoric that we’ve been seeing around the UK’s climate goals, the Climate Change Act, there are some genuine concerns around things like how to shepherd the UK’s industry through the transition.
It’s obviously quite a big change for the UK economy, but particularly for things like heavy industry. Do you think that the UK approach is getting the balance right in that area, particularly?
EP: We said when we issued our advice to the Welsh government that we thought that the way that Port Talbot had gone was the wrong way to decarbonise. And by that, we meant [that] you do need to plan ahead for industrial change. It takes time to repurpose sites and to train workers, and there are often longer lead times you end up with by the time government acts.
So the example with Port Talbot in Wales was that everyone knew that that plant was struggling, that there was an opportunity to have an electric arc furnace and there’s just basically been a gap now, between turning off the blast furnaces and starting up the electric arc furnace, because there wasn’t enough early action in the middle. That’s meant there are workers that have lost jobs, that may be an opportunity to redeploy or retrain.
Now, if you contrast that with the closure of Ratcliffe power station, which was the UK’s last coal-fired power station, there was a very long lead, because they knew that the plant would close – not least because of the UK’s carbon budgets. They had a very long process of working with that workforce, to think about how to retrain and redeploy them, and sat down with the unions in the planning. And I think every single worker ended up either retrained or redeployed or retired. That’s a good transition; that’s what you want. And redeployed in the energy sector, right, doing kind of purposeful jobs in their community.
So that’s one answer. [You’ve] got to make sure you do some transition planning and you need a decent industrial policy. I think a lot of other markets, when we’ve looked at it, the difference in our [energy] prices for our industrials are different because of a lack of industrial strategy. So there are incentives and subsidies and things in Europe that don’t exist here. So that produces a competitive difference in the energy price and costs for our industries, which I think is worth looking at. But again, that’s an industrial strategy outside of my remit, but I think that’s missing.
And lastly, I suppose more optimistically, we think that a low-carbon power system [means] electricity [leads to] about 60% of emissions reduction, but it’s also cheap and abundant energy. Industry electrification should therefore have a reduced cost for its energy, which is a big input. They should be able to use new technologies. There should be a really vibrant future for our industrial sector. There’s no reason why there shouldn’t be.
And also, there are opportunities for new industries. I’ve mentioned some of them, but hydrogen, sustainable aviation fuel, carbon capture and storage, there’s loads of stuff that really suits the UK’s heritage in chemicals and in oil and gas. So I think this positioning of “its industrialisation or its net-zero” is wrong.
The other thing I’d say is that narrative tends to miss that we’ve structurally changed what industry means in the UK. So one of the reasons our emissions footprint from heavy industry is down is not because our industries have gone abroad, it is [because] we switched to high-value manufacturing. So we’ve actually grown our manufacturing output in the UK. It’s just a different kind of manufacturing.
I think we actually do need industries like steel in this country. There are huge opportunities for green steel globally. There are huge opportunities for carbon capture. There are huge opportunities for hydrogen. We think we should do those industries here, and [the CCC] said that. But there are also lots of other new industries and manufacturers that we don’t talk about anywhere near enough, and they’re a kind of core driver of the UK economy.

CB: So looking ahead a little bit, by June next year, the government’s going to have to legislate for the seventh carbon budget, which centres on 2040, so we’re looking ahead 15 years, and the committee’s already put out its advice. I think it was an 87% reduction?
EP: 87% emissions reduction between the years of 2038 and 2042, including international aviation and shipping.
CB: Yes. So ahead of that legislation being passed, assuming it will be passed in June, there’s obviously a bit of a process the government will put out, like draft legislation. There’s going to be some sort of impact assessment and debate in parliament and so on.
There’s been a bit of a conversation about whether that process should look different, compared to how previous carbon budgets were passed. Calls for greater scrutiny, more time in parliament and so on. What are you hoping to see out of that process?
EP: Again, we serve [the] government, not the other way around. So they will decide what they think is the most effective way of legislating the target. [Currently the budget] is at the point that we’ve given our advice, [so] it becomes the government’s target [now and] they could accept that advice or reject it. No government ever has. It’s been pretty solid advice so far, but they will take that number, scrutinise it, work out whether it’s the number they’re going to offer parliament and then, as you say, offer their own impact assessment or plans or whatever else around it. And then there’s the debate in parliament.
Once we’ve issued our advice, it only serves to be an independent view for parliament, when they’re having the debate, and we are not in charge of the process at all, though I’m sure they will tell us when they decide what to do.
What we have said, I think, in the past on this is [that] it’s obviously a good thing for parliament to have good numbers and to be able to have a debate. What exactly that looks like is down to parliamentarians and government [to] hash out.
CB: All right, we’ll be watching this space. Slightly different question now. Since you’ve been in this role, chief executive of the Climate Change Committee, there’s been quite a notable number of comment pieces published in newspapers with a kind of misogynistic portrayal of you personally. I’m thinking in pieces in the Daily Mail, Daily Telegraph and Sunday Times. What do you think they’re trying to do with that kind of article?
EP: I don’t know. And actually, I don’t tend to read them,
CB: Probably wise.
EP: Thank you. Good, good. I don’t Google myself. I don’t know. I mean, I think it’s a pretty generic and not surprising observation to say that women in public life have a different experience than men. I have been in public-facing jobs before, so in that sense, that’s not new.
The one thing that I would say is I think some of this job is about representing something and I have been struck that it’s actually – it’s not the gender thing that strikes me. It’s the difference in moving from the private energy market and being an energy person and moving to being a public servant working for the Climate Change Committee. Some of the things I would say about energy prices or energy, as an energy analyst, were taken very differently, even though I’m saying – almost verbatim – the same things about things like energy security and gas dependency and costs than in this job. And that’s actually the thing that I find interesting, there’s been a kind of shift in how that expertise is perceived, because of the role change. Otherwise, yeah, I don’t read the stuff.
CB: We’re in this slightly different, well, very different world, when it comes to the public conversation around climate change at the moment, compared to say even two years ago. How do you think, personally, we could have better conversations about what’s obviously a very challenging topic? And how are you trying to make that happen?
EP: I think we should reach people where they are and the things that they’re worried about. And by that, I mean I think it is completely understandable that climate change can remain an absolute priority issue for people in this country. I’ve seen that in every focus group, poll, the social research that we do, and also just what it’s meant to grow up in this country.
And we are, I think, natural environmentalists. [We are] people care about newts and trees and nature, and I don’t think that’s changed. And I think you see that people do understand that climate change is happening, and they want something done about it, and they worry for their children. And so I think we can talk to them more about why we’re doing this. I think we might have forgotten to do that, actually.
I think we should re-center what this is all about and talk about some of the impacts for the things that we love here. For me, 10 generations of my family have come from the same part of Gloucestershire and I live there now. And there’s a really beautiful valley that I walk in, which is populated by beech trees, which are changing colour at the moment. That species is vulnerable to drought and I think, what would this valley look like if those trees couldn’t grow here anymore? And that, for me, is almost more resonant than everything that I know intellectually about climate from my job. It’s about something really deeply personal. It’s about a legacy I want to pass on to my children, that was passed on to me. We could do more of that I think, you know, really talking to people realistically, without hyperbole about what this means.
And then the other thing is, I think we should acknowledge that it’s challenging in places. I think we should acknowledge we have to build some stuff and that costs money, and it is spend-to-save. We know that savings outstrip costs from about 2040, that if we make the investment in a modern energy system, it will pay back, but you still have to make the investment and it has been a really challenging time for people, and so our message to the government has been, “you have to focus on electricity costs, you have to get bills down”. And the Climate Change Committee is saying that, because we understand that it is important in order for people to stay on board with the transition coming in the economy.
I was the chief executive of the energy trade body during the energy crisis. I know how hard it is for people on their energy bills right now and I don’t think we can tackle net-zero without having the answer to those questions. If you think about the rise in populism in this country, it’s about [the] cost of living and people feeling like the economy isn’t delivering for them. So, of course, you should focus on industrial energy prices. Of course, you should focus on energy bills. These are not incorrect things to say that the public worries about.
I think if you can explain to people why clean electric technologies will, yes, help save the places they love, and do our bit for climate change and look after nature, but also do stuff for bills and industry and jobs. I think that’s really important and the sooner we get those benefits to people, the better. I don’t think we can say, wait. And that’s a long way of saying everyone is right. Actually, we should just have much more pragmatic, open, deliberative conversations and engage with the fact that everyone is right here.
CB: Do you think, though – I mean, because we’re also in a world where there’s increasing levels of misinformation, not only across social media, obviously that goes without saying, but also within traditional media, newspapers and so on. Is everyone right in that sense?
EP: I think we have not put enough effort into, like, fact-checking and making sure there’s accurate information, of course. And we are a body that exists, we’re like the charts people. So if you want accurate charts, then come to us. We’ve got lots of those.
What I mean by everyone’s right is [that] there’s often an underpinning sort of question or narrative, that I think we should just be open to following through. It is about, if renewables are cheap, why is my bill higher? It is about when these new industries will be here and what does it mean for my job? And there’s obviously a cost to building new power plants, so who pays for that? And when?
If you look at the Climate Change Committee’s analysis, you can see that there is a cost to building the infrastructure, that we don’t shy away from, and also that we are worried about energy bills and we’re saying to people, we need more action on that bit of it. The thing that’s often missed is [that] then, you get these massive savings for the economy coming through from 2040 and rolling onto 2050. So I think it’s about engaging with people’s genuine concerns about the how.
I think it’s about being very clear that there are facts, like climate change is happening, it will have impacts, it will have costs. You know, fossil fuels have been, over the last 10 years, volatile [and] 80% of the rise on your bills is because of that. It’s not because of these other things. But you can also say these other things have costs too, and we need to think about how to do it.
So that’s what I mean. And you know, the rest of it is sort of outside my job as a civil servant. But I do think, when we do our social research, when we run our citizens panels, one of the most interesting things is we often get questions about [things] like is climate change man made? Or can you tell us about the impacts? And it only takes 10 minutes with the actual climate scientists and people understand – they’re just looking for really good information. And something else that comes back in our social research is a desire for accurate information, particularly from policymakers.
CB: Do you think that the government should be doing more in terms of having that conversation with the public, trying to explain the why and the what and the how?
EP: The committee in the past has said the government should focus more on communications and that’s because of what comes out of the citizens panels. We run small panels of the public that are demographically and politically diverse, and then spend time with them, asking about – usually – trade-offs. So if there’s a decision on what we’re recommending, that could go either way, getting that sense of what people think and feel is important because, in the Climate Change Act, we’re required to consider social factors. So that’s us doing that bit.
And whenever we do those [panels], people say things like, “Oh, I wish I’d known this before”. Or [that] it’s new information for them. And they often then come around to a recommendation that you should communicate more clearly. So, yeah, yeah.
I think it’s always been an afterthought, as well. It’s hard, isn’t it, when you’ve got so much to do, to want to spend money on doing communication. But we did do that in the past. The last time we did a big upgrade of the electricity system in the 1960s, there was a big public information campaign that went out in all kinds of newspapers and magazines [such as] Country Life. [It] talked about, in long form, why we were building pylons and [a] transmission network across England to get electricity to Wales. And now it’s maybe the inverse.
That’s a really important thing to do when you’re making a big change over. I think we did the same when we were changing over from coal gas to methane in our heating. We’ve done the same with the digital switchover.
So when you’re talking about economic or energy transitions, then we’ve got a good legacy of having communications programs alongside. That’s part [of] the reason the committee said, maybe we should be doing some more of that now.
CB: Yeah, it’s interesting, because it definitely doesn’t feel like that has happened around the changes that are being made or asked for in climate policy.
EP: Have you seen them, the ones from the 1960s ever?
CB: I haven’t. No.
EP: Oh, they’re also quite punchy. It’s worth finding them. There’s one explaining why part of the country is having infrastructure [built] for another part of the country. And there’s one about children and why we’re building infrastructure for the next generation. And I can’t remember the exact headline, but it is something as literal as “Are you going to explain to these small children why you don’t want them to have cheap power in the future?” It’s quite direct.
So, yeah, we used to do that. We used to have no problem doing public information campaigns. Maybe that’s the option here. But again, how it’s done [and at] what level of government, that’s really for policymakers to decide.
CB: Great. Well, that’s [a] perfect segue into my final question. You’ve obviously got young children [and we’ve] just been talking about messages to children. I don’t know if you talk to your kids yet about climate change? How do you think about having that conversation?
EP: We’ve got wind turbines on the hill not far from where I live, and my son, who’s three, has been obsessed with them because they’re going round and round. He likes things that go round and round, see also cars, washing machines, anything that moves. But off the back of that, it’s been quite easy to explain to him that I do something to do with wind turbines. So whenever they see wind turbines, they say, “look, mummy, it’s your job”, which is quite sweet.
I haven’t worked out how to fully explain climate, because they’re six and three. They’re still little. I also, and maybe this is the wrong thing, but I also slightly just want them to live their life as they know it. It’s quite a complex thing [climate change] and small children are quite good at getting worried about stuff they don’t fully understand. We lost a close family member in May and trying to explain death to a three-year-old or a six-year-old – there are some things that are sort of “Big”.
What we do do is talk to them about the fact that my work, the reason I’m not always home, the reason I sometimes miss bedtime, it’s about trying to look after nature. It’s trying to look after the newts in the pond outside, or the beech trees in the valley, and that’s important. And we need to be kind. That’s as far as we’ve got.
I will endeavour to explain atmospheric physics to them before they finish primary school, but I also just want them to enjoy the world as they experience it, too. There’ll be a time for more complex discussions when they get big.
And I suppose that’s a nice segue, because I get asked the question about the kids a lot. It’s about making the world safe enough that they can have a lovely life, of course it is, but I’m aware that some of the loss sits with me, not with them. They will not have memories of how many butterflies there used to be. They’ll just be excited by butterflies. They will experience the world as it is. I would like them to have as many of the experiences that I’ve had, as many grasshoppers in the summer, as many butterflies, as many beautiful, crisp autumn mornings walking the dog to school, but they will ultimately just know the world as it is.
I’m the one [who] has to carry knowing what they’ve lost and I don’t see any reason right now to put that on them. They’re still quite excited when they see a jaybird in the garden.
CB: Great. Well. Thank you very much, Emma. It’s been great to chat with you.
The post The Carbon Brief Interview: UK Climate Change Committee’s Emma Pinchbeck appeared first on Carbon Brief.
The Carbon Brief Interview: UK Climate Change Committee’s Emma Pinchbeck
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