Decarbonization efforts, aiming for Net Zero emissions, require significant changes in the energy sector. This transition requires shifting from fossil fuels to metals and critical minerals like cobalt, copper, lithium, nickel, and rare earths.
The critical minerals market will grow 7-fold by 2030, and 10-fold by 2050 to over $400 billion, per the International Energy Agency estimates. Cobalt, in particular, has a central role in reaching the global net zero target.
Cobalt prices have plummeted to pre-2021 levels since the beginning of the year, with analysts predicting a continued decline. As of April 8, the London Metal Exchange cobalt cash price stands at $28,400 per metric ton, marking a 65.3% drop from the 2022 high of $81,900/t in March,
This decline is attributed to the lack of expected demand from the electric vehicle sector, which has also affected demand growth in aerospace and consumer electronics.
The oversupply of cobalt in the market is exacerbated by increased output from producers in Indonesia and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Chinese production has also surged, further pressuring prices. Forecasts indicate that the cobalt market will remain oversupplied by 4,000 metric tons this year and in the forthcoming years.
Balancing Supply and Demand
Despite the price reaction to excess cobalt, producers are unlikely to cut output significantly. Cobalt production is tied to the dynamics and production costs of the copper and nickel industries, both of which continue to see robust output. While some high-cost cobalt producers may reduce output, low-cost producers are expanding production.
The IEA predicts a substantial increase in cobalt demand, with growth projected to be 5x higher between 2020 and 2040 under its Sustainable Development Scenario.
The expected dramatic growth in cobalt demand underscores the need for increased production, with the IEA forecasting a 3-fold increase by 2030. This growth trajectory calls for the development of new mines and deposits to meet sustainability goals and mitigate supply risks.
The agency also predicts that as early as 2030, mines will produce only 50% of the cobalt and lithium and 80% of copper required for the energy transition.
The High Stakes of Cobalt Mining
The pressure on the cobalt supply chain is already evident. This is especially considering that the Democratic Republic of Congo supplies about 70% of the world’s cobalt. This raises concerns about reliance on a single source with questionable environmental, social, and governance (ESG) credentials.

This heavy reliance on a single source also poses significant supply chain risks, as evidenced by recent challenges in the European natural gas market.
Apart from supply concentration, cobalt mining practices and related issues in the DRC raise concerns for investors. These include environmental degradation, human rights violations, and governance challenges. As a result, investors are increasingly seeking alternative cobalt sources that offer greater transparency and sustainability.
The cobalt mining industry also exhibits a degree of concentration, with the top four mining companies contributing over 40% of global production. Glencore, a diversified mining and trading company, stands out as the largest producer, accounting for over 15% of total production. Interestingly, many of these major mining companies are located in emerging markets.

However, there are challenges associated with assessing the ESG performance of these companies, particularly those that are privately held. Vale, despite having the lowest cobalt production among the top five companies, boasts the highest ESG rating of C+.
Australia and Canada are notable for their substantial cobalt reserves of critical minerals and relatively strong ESG ratings. These countries offer opportunities to diversify the global production mix of critical minerals.
While the DRC remains a dominant cobalt supplier, there are alternative sources available, although they may not be as abundant. Exploring these alternative supply options is crucial for mitigating supply chain risks and ensuring responsible cobalt sourcing practices.
Investing in Cobalt for a Greener Future
In response to the risks posed by concentration and ESG concerns in cobalt production, stakeholders, including investors and active asset owners, can play a significant role. They can advocate for greater transparency across the cobalt supply chain, incentivize sustainable practices through capital allocation, and engage with companies to improve their ESG performance.
Additionally, investors may explore opportunities to support projects in jurisdictions with stronger regulatory frameworks and environmental protections. There are tools available to assist investors in navigating these challenges and pursuing responsible investment opportunities.
Although the bottom for cobalt prices is uncertain, some analysts anticipate a gradual improvement in prices over the next few quarters. However, the market remains volatile, and the trajectory of cobalt prices will depend on various factors. These particularly include demand trends and production dynamics in related industries.
In summary, as the world moves towards Net Zero emissions, the critical role of cobalt in the energy transition highlights the importance of sustainable and diversified supply chains to meet increasing demand while addressing ESG concerns.
The post Cobalt Crunch: Prices Plummet, Supply Challenges Loom in the Race to Net Zero appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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Finding Nature Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain
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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
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