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Canada to cap oil and gas emissions at 38% by 2030

The Canadian government has introduced a new rule to limit greenhouse gas emissions from the country’s oil and gas companies. Federal ministers aim to cap emissions between 35% to 38% of the levels seen in 2019 by the year 2030.

According to Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), this draft regulation will likely allow emissions totaling around 106 to 112 megatons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e).

During the COP28 webcast in Dubai, Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault highlighted that the sector is the biggest emitter in Canada. He emphasized that while emissions in other sectors are decreasing, the oil and gas sector continues to pollute more.

Few days ago, Canada also revealed new regulations seeking to reduce methane emissions from the oil and gas sector. It aims to cut at least 75% methane emissions over 2012 levels by 2030, which will be a crucial part of the entire cap. 

Methane is responsible for about 30% of the oil and gas sector’s total GHG emissions. 

Estimated and projected oil and gas sector emissions (Mt CO2e) in 2019 and 2030

Canada oil and gas sector emissions (Mt CO2e) in 2019 and 2030
Source: Canada.ca

Canada’s Emission Cap: Oil & Gas Balancing Act

The draft framework aims to reduce emissions while keeping Canada competitive in the world market. It sets a limit on the amount of pollution the oil and gas industry can make. 

However, the rule doesn’t restrict how much the oil and gas companies produce. It was created after discussing with industry, Indigenous groups, provinces, territories, and others. 

It also allows some flexibility, letting the sector emit up to about 20% to 23% below 2019 levels. This cap will help Canada cut emissions and move towards net zero by 2050.

Canada’s greenhouse gas emissions in 2020 reached 672 megatons of CO2e, as per federal data. Of this, the oil and gas sector contributed 178 megatons of CO2e, making up 26% of the total emissions. Transportation followed closely, accounting for 159 megatons or 25% of the emissions.

  • The said sector, responsible for 28% of Canada’s pollution in 2021, emitted 201 million metric tons in 2019. That’s 20% higher than 2005. 

Minister Guilbeault emphasized the need for immediate actions to meet the collective goal of achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. He also noted that: 

“We look forward to industry talks to get this draft framework right. This is a challenge of our time and also a great opportunity.”

The federal government is also considering implementing a national cap-and-trade system to limit GHG emissions further. Proposed regulations will also establish reporting and verification processes, with a gradual phase-in of the planned system from 2026 to 2030.

Interested parties, including the industry and stakeholders, have until February 5, 2024, to submit comments and input regarding the draft. The finalized regulations are anticipated to be issued by early 2025.

Federal Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson highlighted the importance of considering the competitiveness of oil and gas producers in Alberta, British Columbia, Saskatchewan, and Newfoundland and Labrador. 

However, specific details regarding this aspect’s role in shaping the regulations were not elaborated upon during the webcast.

Controversy and Opposition Surrounding the Cap

The draft allows companies to buy and trade a certain number of emissions allowances, also called carbon offset credits. They can either buy carbon offsets or contribute to a fund that reduces emissions. 

While the draft regulations aim for reducing harmful emissions from the most polluting sector, opposition abound. 

The Canadian Association of Energy Contractors opposes the move, fearing it will negatively impact workers and small to medium-sized businesses. The association’s leader, expressed concerns about higher energy costs and job losses due to the cap.  

Similarly, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith criticized the federal government, calling the emissions cap an “intentional attack on Alberta’s economy”. She had invoked an act allowing the province to override federal clean-electricity regulations in opposition.

The Alberta government issued a regulation in 2016 that puts a cap of 100 million MT for the province’s oil sands producers. At present, Alberta’s total GHG emissions stand at about 70 million MT, according to information on the provincial government website.

For another director, the cap on Canada’s GHG emissions will affect junior producers with <20,000 b/d output. They’ll be casted. 

The cap-and-trade system will regulate direct GHG emissions, including those indirectly related to oil and gas production and carbon storage. Thus, it would cover various facilities such as offshore operations and LNG plants.

The Environment Minister stressed that companies making substantial profits should invest in Canadian jobs and communities. However, no new government funding was announced, despite Canada’s previous pledge of $9.1 billion in tax credits for carbon capture systems.

Canada’s proposed regulations to cap emissions in the oil and gas sector mark a pivotal step toward addressing climate change. The draft rule intends to reduce pollution without hampering production. Despite debates and concerns from industry leaders about potential economic impacts, the government is emphasizing the urgency of climate action and inviting feedback until early 2024.

The post Canada to Cap Oil & Gas Emissions at 38%: Balancing Climate Goals and Industry Concerns appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Carbon Footprint

Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

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Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

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