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BHP COPPER

BHP has set ambitious plans for its largest copper mine i.e. its Escondida mine and other operations in Chile, with investments ranging from $10.7 billion to $14.7 billion over the next decade. The mining giant aims to address declining ore grades and prepare for the eventual closure of the Los Colorados plant. The Escondida mine plays a significant role in this strategy, with its upcoming projects projected to initiate production between 2027 and 2032.

BHP Americas president Brandon Craig told Reuters in a recent interview,

“We think the deficit is going to be around 10 million tons by 2035.”

He further estimated a $250 billion cost to develop enough mines to match demand and hailed it as quite a challenging task for mining companies.

BHP Copper forecast

Source: BHP

Escondida: BHP’s Copper Catalyst

Located in the Atacama Desert of Northern Chile, Escondida, the largest copper mine lies 170 km southeast of Antofagasta. Escondida in Spanish means “hidden,” which is synonymous with the copper deposit that’s buried under hundreds of meters of overburden. The mine feeds three concentrator plants and two leaching operations, producing copper essential for global industries.

BHP owns a 57.5% stake in Escondida, with Rio Tinto holding 30% and JECO Corp controlling the remaining 12.5%. Their joint efforts have made Escondida a vital player in boosting Chile’s GDP.

We also discovered from its corporate deck that BHP’s Chilean mine has delivered 38 million tons of copper since 1990 which accounted for 7% of global copper mine output.

BHP’s Chilean Copper Dominance

BHP COPPER chile

Source: BHP

To address declining ore grades, BHP plans to expand its processing facilities and implement advanced copper extraction technologies. For example, introduce leaching technologies to extract copper from sulfide ores.

The company will launch four new projects at Escondida, starting between 2027 and 2032, with peak investments expected during fiscal years 2030 and 2031.

Key Projects Supporting BHP’s Investment Plans

Let’s take a look at the investment breakup as outlined by MINING.COM.

  • The new concentrator will have a capacity of 220,000 and 260,000 tpa from 2031 or 32, with an estimated capital budget of $4.4 billion to $5.9 billion.
  • Expand production at Laguna Seca by 50,000 to 70,000 tpa starting in 2030/31, with an investment of $2 billion to $2.6 billion.
  • New leaching facilities will add ~ 35,000 to 55,000 tpa from 2030/32 onwards, requiring a capital expenditure of $900 million to $1.3 billion.
  • The Los Colorados facility will continue operations until fiscal year 2029, maintaining an output of 130,000 to 145,000 tpa before its scheduled closure.
  • Allocate $2.8 billion to $3.9 billion for its Pampa Norte division, which includes the Spence and Cerro Colorado mines.
  • Boost production at Pampa Norte by 125,000 to 155,000 tpa. Restart the Cerro Colorado mine, using supergene leaching to deliver 85,000 to 100,000 tpa.

Through these investments, the company expects to stabilize production at 1.4 Mtpa by the early 2030s and maximize output from Chile’s copper-rich regions, including Escondido.

With these strategies and rationale, BHP aims to overcome the challenges of depreciating ore grades and increasing project complexities. Significantly, the investment, ranging between $10 and $14 billion, will be at a capital intensity of $23,000 per tonne of copper equivalent (CuEq) to achieve its targeted expansion plans.

BHP’s Copper Output: Meeting the Demand Surge

Copper, a pinkish-orange metal known for its exceptional conductivity and non-corrosive properties makes it a daily life metal. It’s widely used in electrical systems and has antimicrobial properties as well. The global copper demand is projected to rise in the coming years, but BHP has warned of a possibility of a 10mmt supply deficit by 2035.

Chile, the world’s largest copper producer, contributes 28% of the global supply annually. BHP’s operations contribute solely to 27% of Chile’s copper output.  

  • In 2023, BHP produced 1,716 kilotons (Kt) of copper. The company forecasted global demand to be approximately 2X in the next 30 years.

The rising demand for copper will be driven by the global energy transition and advancements in technology. Particularly by the growing adoption of electric vehicles and the rapid expansion of data centers.

Copper demand is projected to grow ~70% through to 2050.
(Copper semis end-use demand by key theme, Mt)

Copper demand BHP

Source: BHP

Streamlined Operations and Strategic Advantages

Further putting the expansion plans into perspective, BHP expects to boost copper production by 430,000 to 540,000 tpa in its Chile operations. It shows the company’s adeptness in streamlining its operations and managing fewer but larger assets by efficiently using its infrastructure and workforce.

Being a pioneer in mining, it has time and again proved its deep geological knowledge to minimize technical risks while exploring low-risk brownfield opportunities.

Even though the global copper industry faces significant challenges, with a looming supply deficit nearly equal to 50% of today’s production, BHP remains committed. It’s adopting new technologies over time and fostering strong, mutually beneficial relationships with stakeholders to ensure sustainable growth amid market downturns.

As outlined earlier, by investing heavily in advanced technologies and strategic expansions, BHP ensures Escondida remains a critical pillar of the global copper supply and continues supporting the world’s current and future energy transition goals.

Data sources:

  1. BHP to spend up to $14bn in Chilean copper expansion – MINING.COM
  2. BHP bets billions on Chile mines to face global copper crunch – MINING.COM
  3. BHP 2024 Chilean copper site tour

The post BHP’s $14B Investment Plan for its Chile Copper Mines. Will it Impact Global Copper Supply? appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Where should an SME start with a carbon action plan?

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More and more small and medium-sized businesses are hearing the same question from their larger customers: What is your carbon footprint? That question now travels down entire supply chains, and it arrives next to tender requirements, certification criteria, and rising customer expectations.

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Carbon Footprint

Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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