The recent dynamics in the carbon credit markets have witnessed a slowdown in market momentum, following a period of acceleration during Q4 and into mid-January, according to Xpansiv’s market update.
Xpansiv is a global energy transition market infrastructure provider, trading ESG commodities, including carbon, RECs, digital fuels, and water rights.
Last week, both the CBL spot exchange and CME Group’s CBL GEO emissions futures complex experienced light volumes in carbon credit trading. Despite this, there has been sustained high interest from companies, particularly those facing fiscal year-end reporting deadlines on March 31.
The VCM Brake Amidst Busy Period
Companies focused on pragmatic purchases of currently available credits, irrespective of their eligibility for compliance and best-practice regimes scheduled for implementation later in 2024.
Amidst this backdrop, various companies, including airlines, are actively assessing the potential impact of unresolved Article 6 issues on CORSIA. This refers to the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation.
The concerns primarily surround regulatory and legal uncertainties regarding credit certification under the current compliance phase of the UN scheme. These are particularly linked with the finality of corresponding adjustments.
Spot prices remained stable week over week, per Xpansiv data. Notably, the N-GEO saw small trades at $0.43 and $0.50 but closed at the same $0.37 assessed price as the previous week.
Conversely, the CBL N-GEO December futures experienced a $0.56 decline on light volume, essentially erasing the previous week’s $0.70 gain. Similarly, the CBL GEO December futures decreased by $0.20. It closed at $0.66 and gave back a portion of the prior week’s $0.25 gain. The spot GEO slipped by $0.05, closing at $0.54.
In November last year, spot GEO jumped by 52% while N-GEO futures increased by 40%.
CBL’s spot carbon credit volume totaled 72,232 tons, with 57,225 nature credits and 11,307 technology credits. Additionally, trades in Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) contributed 3,700 tons.
Last week, CBL traded 3,000 HIR ACCUs at $36.40 and 700 generic ACCUs at $33.75.
The N-GEO Trailing instrument on CBL emerged as the most active spot contract, indicating continued appeal for the 2016-2017 vintage credits delivered through this contract. In contrast, CME Group’s CBL emissions futures saw a total volume of 2,695,000 tons. Its open interest reached 10,387,000 tons by the end of the week.

Pricing Trends for RECs in North American Market
Massachusetts solar markets took the lead in NEPOOL trading as the 3rd Qtr generation trading period commenced on Monday. NEPOOL stands for New England Power Pool. It’s a system for registering and tracking renewable energy generation and compliance with state and regional renewable energy regulations.
Notably, over 29,000 2023 solar carve-out II credits were matched on-screen, initiating at $260 and settling at $258.50.
In the same market, NEPOOL quad and dual qualified class I credits were initially traded at $39.75. However, subsequent offers saw a decline, resulting in quad-qualified credits settling at $39.20 and dual-qualified credits at $39.05.
Shifting to PJM markets, 6,730 2023 Virginia solar credits were successfully matched at $31.25. The PJM Market procures electricity to meet consumers’ demands both in real time and in the near term.
In Pennsylvania tier I markets, a few transactions occurred, with 2024 credits trading at $31.75. Their 2023 counterparts were priced at a $0.25 discount.
Additionally, 2,000 Maryland tier II credits were matched on-screen at $14.
These trading activities provide insights into the dynamic landscape of regional solar markets, showcasing fluctuations in credit values and volumes. The data reflects the ongoing developments and pricing trends for renewable energy credit markets in Massachusetts, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Maryland.
The table below shows the best bid and offer for select RECs with markets closing on Friday January 19.

Below is Xpansiv’s CBL standardized contracts key and the corresponding definition.
More information on the Xpansiv’s spot standardized contracts is in the Standard Instruments Program document on their website. Information on the CBL GEO futures contracts are available on the CME Group website.
Existing Participants may log in here to take a closer look or list orders.
The post Xpansiv Report: Carbon Credit Markets Experience Slowdown appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.
![]()
Carbon Footprint
Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions
Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?
![]()
-
Climate Change1 year ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases1 year ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago
Bill Discounting Climate Change in Florida’s Energy Policy Awaits DeSantis’ Approval
-
Renewable Energy10 months agoSending Progressive Philanthropist George Soros to Prison?
-
Greenhouse Gases1 year ago
嘉宾来稿:探究火山喷发如何影响气候预测
-
Carbon Footprint2 years agoUS SEC’s Climate Disclosure Rules Spur Renewed Interest in Carbon Credits

