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nuclear power generation to break record in 2025, IEA report

In 2025, nuclear power generation is poised to reach an all-time high next year, says the International Energy Agency (IEA), due to increased investments in reactors to facilitate the transition to a low-carbon global economy. This forecast marks a resurgence of nuclear, bolstering efforts to reduce global carbon emissions. 

This surge in nuclear power aligns with the shift towards a low-carbon economy, where electricity demand is projected to rise. The transition is fuelled by the adoption of electric vehicles, heat pumps, and various low-carbon industrial processes that rely on electricity rather than traditional oil and gas sources.

Concurrently, renewable energy is projected to surpass coal as a primary power source in the early months of the upcoming year, according to IEA data. 

Nuclear Renaissance: Reaching Historic Peaks in 2025

Nuclear power plant output is projected to increase by around 3% in both the current year and the next. It would reach 2,915TWh and surpass the previous peak of 2,809TWh in 2021, according to the report

The IEA also anticipates an additional 1.5% growth in 2026, driven by the commissioning of new reactors in China and India.

The report further highlights the collective impact of expanding nuclear power and the rapid growth of renewable sources. Wind, solar, and other clean energy sources are expected to contribute significantly, with renewables accounting for about a third of global electricity generation by early next year.

This projection would displace fossil fuels from the electricity system. The agency also expects low-emission sources to meet the growing power demand over the next few years. This would lead to a record low share of global supply delivered by fossil fuel generators, at 54% in 2026. 

electricity demand by region 2022-2026

IEA’s Executive Director, Fatih Birol, underscored the significance of these trends in reducing carbon dioxide emissions from the power sector. The sector is currently the largest emitter globally. 

Birol attributed the positive developments to the substantial momentum behind renewables. This particularly involves the increasingly cost-effective solar energy and the resurgence of nuclear power, which is on track to reach historic highs by 2025. He said that:

“This is largely thanks to the huge momentum behind renewables, with ever cheaper solar leading the way, and support from the important comeback of nuclear power. While more progress is needed, and fast, these are very promising trends.”

Global Nuclear Expansion: 29 GW by 2026

Between 2024 and 2026, an additional 29 GW of new nuclear capacity would come online globally. Over half of them would be in China and India. 

There’s also anticipations on the commencement of commercial operations in new nuclear plants across various regions. Add to this the recovery of the French nuclear sector and anticipated restarts in Japan. Overall, the outlook for global nuclear generation foresees a nearly 10% increase in 2026 compared to 2023.

nuclear power generation by region, 2022-2026

In 2022 and 2023, numerous countries strategically prioritized the introduction or expansion of nuclear power as a central component of their climate policy objectives, igniting a substantial resurgence of global interest in nuclear energy. 

The IEA’s updated Net Zero Roadmap indicates a more than 2x increase in nuclear energy by 2050. This serves as a complement to the deployment of renewables and alleviating the strain on critical mineral supplies.

While a minority of European countries are contemplating phasing out nuclear energy, several emerging economies and some advanced nations are actively planning to introduce or expand nuclear energy generation. The current growth in nuclear power generation is predominantly concentrated in Asia.

During COP28, a significant development occurred as more than 20 countries joined forces to sign a collective declaration aiming to triple nuclear power capacity by 2050. If globally implemented, this commitment would involve adding 740 GW of nuclear capacity to the existing stock of 370 GW.

As of November 2023, the World Nuclear Association reported that 68 GW was actively under construction. Moreover, an additional 109 GW is in the planning stage and a substantial 353 GW proposed. 

nuclear power capacity under construction, planned, proposed November 2023

While these figures indicate substantial growth potential, achieving the declared objective by 2050 would need an extra 210 GW. That’s even when all the planned and proposed projects are successfully realized.

Leaders of Nuclear Growth: 50% of New Capacity

China and India jointly represent more than half of the anticipated 29 gigawatts of new nuclear capacity.

China, in particular, has experienced rapid growth in nuclear technology, elevating its generation share from 5% in 2014 to 16%. The country is aspiring to increase its installed nuclear capacity from approximately 56 GW to 70 GW by 2025.

Furthermore, the IEA notes that both China and Russia are expanding their influence in the nuclear sector. These two nations provide the technology for 70% of the reactors currently under construction. 

The IEA has further observed a renewed interest in nuclear energy in Europe and Americas, but nuclear projects in China are experiencing fewer delays compared to those in the former regions. Overall, here’s how nuclear energy fits into the policy agenda of selected countries. 

policy agendas on nuclear energy of selected countries

The International Energy Agency’s projections signal a notable resurgence in nuclear power generation, reaching an unprecedented high in 2025. With a 3% increase in output, nuclear energy is set to play a crucial role in the global transition to a low-carbon economy, complementing the growth of renewables. This forecast underlines nuclear power’s integral position in shaping the future energy landscape.

The post Nuclear Power to Break Global Records in 2025, IEA Predicts appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living

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Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.

For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.

Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.

The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.

More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)

Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.

Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.

Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:

  • Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
  • Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
  • Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
  • Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs

The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?

How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs

There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.

Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)

According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)

In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)

The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)

After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)

For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.

How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

A light bulb, a pen, a calculator and some copper euro cent coins lie on top of an electricity bill

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.

Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.

Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)

As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)

These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)

Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)

For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.

How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates

On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.

Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.

As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)

While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.

How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes

Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.

The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.

These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.

Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action

While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.

While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.

For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:

  1. Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
  2. Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
  3. Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.

Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.

Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.

The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.

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Carbon credit project stewardship: what happens after credit issuance

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A carbon credit purchase is not a transaction that closes at issuance. The credit may be retired, the certificate filed, and the reporting box ticked. But on the ground, in the forest, in the field, and in the community, the work continues. It endures for years. In many cases, for decades.

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Industries with the biggest nature footprints and what their decarbonisation looks like

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A corporate carbon footprint is never just an accounting figure. It maps onto real ecosystems. Before a product leaves the factory gate, something on the ground has already paid the cost. A forest has been converted. A river has been depleted. A patch of savannah that was once home to dozens of species now grows a single crop in every direction.

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