Disseminated on behalf of West Red Lake Gold Mines Ltd.
Investors have long considered gold a safe-haven asset and a reliable store of value. Today, its appeal is growing as geopolitical dynamics shift dramatically, inflation returns, and investors navigate volatile and uncertain markets.
Here’s why now is the opportune time to consider gold as a strategic component of your investment portfolio.
The East-West Divide: Reshaping the Gold Landscape
The gold market is shifting as Eastern and Western investors, who have taken different approaches to gold in recent years, start to converge.
In the last five years, gold prices have risen mostly because of strong demand from central banks and investors in China, India, and the Middle East. But while gold prices made this steady ascent to record highs, equity investments in gold-related stocks remained surprisingly low.
The chart above highlights a clear disconnect between rising gold prices and investor participation in gold equities, suggesting untapped growth potential. If capital shifts even slightly from other sectors into gold stocks, it could significantly boost valuations in the market.
Picture this:
- The top 100 gold mining companies worldwide have a combined market capitalization of approximately $600 billion, while the top 5 tech stocks boast a market capitalization of around $15 trillion.
If just 1% of investments from these tech giants moved to gold-mining companies, the gold-mining sector’s market cap could rise by 25%. This shows the huge potential for gold stocks. If general investors put just a little of their money into this sector, it could pay off big.
Gold’s Growing Demand in the East
Many central banks are reducing their reliance on the U.S. dollar to gain more economic control and avoid risks from U.S. policies and sanctions. As global tensions rise, gold offers a stable and independent asset, protecting against trade and financial disruptions. This shift is reflected in the steady increase in gold reserves, showing a long-term strategy for financial security.
In Asia, gold is deeply tied to culture, playing a key role in weddings, festivals, and religious events. This cultural connection keeps demand strong, regardless of market conditions.
In addition, in recent years, many key Asian investment arenas have failed, such as real estate, domestic stocks, and interest rate-based holdings in China. Investors thus compelled to seek returns elsewhere have remembered gold as a trusted way to protect wealth, especially amidst inflation concerns. As Asia’s middle class grows, more people are buying gold as both an investment and a symbol of security.
In the Middle East, gold remains a safe choice amid political and economic instability. It protects wealth from conflicts, currency fluctuations, and financial risks, which have become top of mind of late.
Gold also aligns with Islamic finance, making it a preferred investment. This applies to individual investors, sovereign wealth funds, institutions, and large domestic corporations – all are increasing gold holdings to strengthen their portfolios and prepare for future uncertainties.
All of this gold interest propelled the yellow metal to new heights over the last few years. Meanwhile, Western interest has been essentially absent. A resolution to this divide is setting gold and gold stocks up for what could be some big days ahead.
Western Investors: A Shift in Sentiment Driven by Emerging Realities
For most of the last ten years, Western investors focused on growth stocks, especially in tech. With that focus generating great returns, Western investors had no reason to add gold to their portfolios.
Now, amid growing economic uncertainty, heightened recession risks, and increased market volatility, investors are increasingly turning to gold as a hedge. President Trump’s tariff policies, particularly the recent escalation of tariffs on China alongside a temporary pause for other nations, have amplified concerns about potential inflation and broader economic instability, prompting a flight to safety.
Consequently, gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, has seen prices surge to new record highs. On April 22, 2025, the spot gold price reached a new record high of $3,424 per ounce, and by early May 2025, gold briefly touched $3,432 per ounce before settling above $3,200, as shown in the latest market data. This sharp increase was fueled by the intensifying trade conflict, a concurrent decline in the U.S. dollar, and robust demand from both institutional and retail investors.
Year-over-year, gold has appreciated significantly, reflecting strong investor demand for stability and long-term value preservation amid turbulent markets. The bullish trend is further supported by persistent inflation fears, ongoing geopolitical tensions, speculation about potential U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and continued buying by central banks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Reflecting these dynamics, Goldman Sachs has revised its gold price forecast multiple times in 2025. The bank now anticipates gold will trade in a range of $3,650 to $3,950 per ounce by the end of 2025, with the possibility of reaching $4,000 by mid-2026. In a more bullish scenario, where recession risks and central bank demand intensify, Goldman Sachs sees gold potentially hitting $4,500 per ounce by the end of 2025.
Meanwhile, billionaire investor John Paulson has issued one of the most optimistic forecasts in the market, predicting gold could approach $5,000 per ounce by 2028. Paulson attributes this outlook to sustained central bank gold buying, global trade tensions, and a shift in reserve management strategies following the seizure of Russian assets by Western nations. He argues that if confidence in the U.S. dollar continues to erode, gold will become an increasingly attractive reserve asset, further supporting its upward trajectory.
This is all piling on top of risks that have been rising for years and are now, with major macroeconomic instability creating real recession risk, impossible to ignore.
- Rising Recession Risk. Even before the latest tariff escalations and trade tensions, slowing economic growth, weak consumer confidence, and persistent inflation had already heightened fears of an impending recession. These vulnerabilities have only been amplified by recent policy shocks, making economic contraction a growing concern for investors.
- Mounting Debt Concerns. Unsustainable levels of public and private debt in many developed economies continue to be a significant concern. Governments are taking on ever more debt, which increases the risk of debt crises and currency devaluations. As a result, investors look for safe assets that hold their value during tough economic times.
- Anticipated Interest Rate Cuts. The expectation of future interest rate cuts by central banks is a significant driver of renewed interest in gold. Gold prices usually go up when interest rates drop. Lower rates make holding gold, which doesn’t earn interest, less costly. This inverse correlation has been observed in numerous instances throughout history.
- Resurgent Inflation. Even with steps taken to reduce inflation, worries remain. Prices may rise again, which could lessen the value of fiat currencies. Gold is widely regarded as a hedge against inflation, preserving wealth during periods of rising prices.
- Dollar Debasement Fears. Discussions about policies aimed at weakening the U.S. dollar have further fueled the argument for diversifying into gold. A weaker dollar makes gold more appealing to international investors. This can increase demand and raise prices.
These factors, combined with the increasing recognition of the need for portfolio diversification, are prompting Western investors to take a fresh look at gold. And when Western investors look at gold, they look at both the metal and the companies that find and produce it. This is precisely the investor interest that has been missing from gold stocks for years – but it looks set to return in the coming weeks and months.
A Bank of Montreal report from March 2025 lists precious metals projects set to start production this year. These projects present exciting gold-plus-growth opportunities.
Included is the Madsen Mine in Canada. It is operated by West Red Lake Gold Mines (TSXV: WRLG) (OTCQB: WRLGF), which is targeting production in H2 2025.
With so much economic uncertainty, traditional investments are facing challenges. So, gold is viewed more and more as a key asset. It offers both stability and potential returns. West Red Lake Gold is set to begin production at its Madsen Mine, which amplifies the potential for this gold stock to offer returns as it goes from building a mine to producing gold.
The Generational Opportunity to Grab
The convergence of rising gold prices, shifting Western investor sentiment, and the potential for significant capital inflows creates a generational opportunity to invest in a gold bull market. For those seeking exposure to high-growth potential, near-term producers represent a particularly compelling option.
Near-Term Producers: Riding the “Golden Runway”
Companies transitioning from development to production are often poised for substantial gains, according to the Lassonde Curve, which maps the life cycle of a mining company. This model shows how valuations typically decline as a company grinds through the years-long efforts needed to get a discovery ready and permitted to become a mine. For companies that survive that grind, valuations often then surge as production nears and revenue starts flowing in.
West Red Lake Gold Mines is a prime example of a near-term producer set to benefit from this dynamic. With its flagship Madsen Mine in Canada targeting production in H2 2025, WRLG is rapidly moving toward becoming a producing gold miner.
WRLG’s progress at Madsen has already drawn investor interest, given its high-grade resource base and historical production. As it moves closer to full-scale mining operations, the company stands to benefit from the surge in gold demand and potential sector-wide capital inflows.
Recent Success Stories
Several companies that have recently transitioned from development to production have demonstrated strong upside potential in the sector:
- SilverCrest Metals: Following the successful production start at the Las Chispas Mine in Mexico in November 2022, SILV shares skyrocketed 89%, leading to a $1.7 billion buyout in October.
- G Mining Ventures: The company’s Tocantinzinho Gold Project in Brazil has seen a 279% increase in share price since construction began. The first gold was poured in July 2024, further boosting investor confidence.
- Artemis Gold: Shares have surged 225% since June 2023 as the company advances its Blackwater Mine in British Columbia, Canada, towards its production phase.
These examples show that companies about to start production often see their stock prices rise a lot. This creates great chances for investors wanting to take advantage of the booming gold market.
Conclusion
Gold is becoming a top investment choice as economic uncertainty grows. It remains a safe haven against inflation, trade risks, and market instability.
Western investors are shifting toward gold due to rising debt concerns and lower interest rates. Beyond holding gold, companies like West Red Lake Gold Mines offer strong growth potential.
Since gold equities are a small market, even slight investment shifts could drive major gains. With the right conditions in place, now is a rare opportunity to invest in gold for both stability and growth.
- READ MORE: Madsen: A New High-Grade Gold Mine in 2025
DISCLAIMER
New Era Publishing Inc. and/or CarbonCredits.com (“We” or “Us”) are not securities dealers or brokers, investment advisers or financial advisers, and you should not rely on the information herein as investment advice. West Red Lake Gold Mines Ltd. made a one-time payment of $30,000 to provide marketing services for a term of 1 month. None of the owners, members, directors, or employees of New Era Publishing Inc. and/or CarbonCredits.com currently hold, or have any beneficial ownership in, any shares, stocks, or options in the companies mentioned. This article is informational only and is solely for use by prospective investors in determining whether to seek additional information. This does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Examples that we provide of share price increases pertaining to a particular Issuer from one referenced date to another represent an arbitrarily chosen time period and are no indication whatsoever of future stock prices for that Issuer and are of no predictive value. Our stock profiles are intended to highlight certain companies for your further investigation; they are not stock recommendations or constitute an offer or sale of the referenced securities. The securities issued by the companies we profile should be considered high risk; if you do invest despite these warnings, you may lose your entire investment. Please do your own research before investing, including reading the companies’ SEDAR+ and SEC filings, press releases, and risk disclosures. It is our policy that information contained in this profile was provided by the company, extracted from SEDAR+ and SEC filings, company websites, and other publicly available sources. We believe the sources and information are accurate and reliable but we cannot guarantee it.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT AND FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
Certain statements contained in this news release may constitute “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Forward-looking information generally can be identified by words such as “anticipate”, “expect”, “estimate”, “forecast”, “planned”, and similar expressions suggesting future outcomes or events. Forward-looking information is based on current expectations of management; however, it is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking information in this news release and include without limitation, statements relating to the plans and timing for the potential production of mining operations at the Madsen Mine, the potential (including the amount of tonnes and grades of material from the bulk sample program) of the Madsen Mine; the benefits of test mining; any untapped growth potential in the Madsen deposit or Rowan deposit; and the Company’s future objectives and plans. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information.
Forward-looking information involve numerous risks and uncertainties and actual results might differ materially from results suggested in any forward-looking information. These risks and uncertainties include, among other things, market volatility; the state of the financial markets for the Company’s securities; fluctuations in commodity prices; timing and results of the cleanup and recovery at the Madsen Mine; and changes in the Company’s business plans. Forward-looking information is based on a number of key expectations and assumptions, including without limitation, that the Company will continue with its stated business objectives and its ability to raise additional capital to proceed. Although management of the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such forward-looking information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. Readers are cautioned that reliance on such information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Additional information about risks and uncertainties is contained in the Company’s management’s discussion and analysis for the year ended December 31, 2024, and the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2024, copies of which are available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca.
The forward-looking information contained herein is expressly qualified in its entirety by this cautionary statement. Forward-looking information reflects management’s current beliefs and is based on information currently available to the Company. The forward-looking information is made as of the date of this news release and the Company assumes no obligation to update or revise such information to reflect new events or circumstances, except as may be required by applicable law.
For more information on the Company, investors should review the Company’s continuous disclosure filings that are available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca.
Please read our Full RISKS and DISCLOSURE here.
The post Why Gold, Why Now? A Generational Opportunity appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Google announced a major new project: it will support a U.S. power plant outfitted with carbon-capture and storage (CCS) technology. The plant, owned by Broadwing Energy in Decatur, Illinois, will capture about 90% of its CO₂ emissions. The tech giant agreed to buy most of the electricity the plant produces.
By backing this plant, Google aims to help build a reliable, low-carbon power source for its data centers in the U.S. Midwest. It also hopes to speed up the use of CCS technology globally.
The Science of Trapping Carbon: How CCS Works
CCS stands for carbon capture and storage. It involves three main steps:
- Capture: Pulling CO₂ from a power plant or factory.
- Transport: Moving the CO₂, often via pipelines.
- Store: Injecting the CO₂ deep underground where it can’t escape.
This technology is especially important for power plants that burn natural gas or coal. It is also key for factories in heavy industries, like steel and cement, which produce large emissions.
Global experts such as the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) say CCS will play a major role in reaching climate goals.
Google’s deal highlights this role. By linking a power plant deal to its own data center needs, the company is showing how big tech can strengthen the clean energy transition.
Inside Google’s Illinois CCS Project
The Illinois plant will be a natural 5gas power facility built by Broadwing Energy. It will capture up to 90% of the CO₂ it produces. Google will buy the bulk of its electricity output.
The plant is sized at more than 400 megawatts (MW). It will include advanced equipment and a large carbon-capture unit. The deal was announced by Google and infrastructure partner I Squared Capital (through its affiliate Low Carbon Infrastructure).
Google said the project will feed power to its data centers in the region, help reduce emissions, and make clean “firm power” (power available around the clock) more affordable. This is important because many renewable sources like wind and solar have variable output.
Google stated:
“Today we’re excited to announce a first-of-its-kind corporate agreement to support a gas power plant with CCS. Broadwing Energy, located in Decatur, Illinois, will capture and permanently store approximately 90% of its CO2 emissions. We hope it will accelerate the path for CCS technology to become more accessible and affordable globally, helping to increase generating capacity while enabling emission reductions.”
How Big is the CCS Market?
The CCS market has grown rapidly. One estimate values it at $8.6 billion in 2024, with a projected annual rate of 16% through 2034. At that pace, the market could reach $51.5 billion by 2034.
Another estimate places the market size in 2024 at $3.68 billion, with growth to $5.61 billion by 2030. The power generation sector is a major part of the market. One report says 37% of the market was from power generation in 2024.
For data centers and tech companies like Google, CCS offers reliable low-carbon power. Given that global data center emissions may reach 2.5 billion tons of CO₂ through 2030, major tech firms are under pressure to decarbonize.
Experts also project that global CCS capacity will quadruple, reaching around 430 million tonnes of CO₂ per year from today’s 50 million tonnes. Investments of about $80 billion are expected over the next five years. North America and Europe currently lead, holding roughly 80% of growth projects, while China and other regions also scale up.
CCS currently addresses only 6% of the emissions needed for net-zero by mid-century. Experts still see it as key for hard-to-decarbonize industries like cement, steel, and hydrogen production.
Breaking New Ground in Clean Firm Power
This is the first time a major tech company has agreed to buy electricity from a power plant using CCS at this commercial scale in the U.S.
The deal brings several important benefits:
- Google secures “firm” power for its data centers, reducing risks from intermittent renewable supply.
- CCS gives a path to cut emissions from fossil fuel plants rather than shutting them down entirely.
- It creates a business model for future CCS deals, making the technology more accessible and scalable.
For Google, the deal advances its goal of running on clean energy and especially 24/7 carbon-free power by 2030. For the broader industry, it sends a signal that large corporations support CCS and are willing to back it financially.
Hurdles Ahead for Carbon Capture
Despite the promise, CCS still faces hurdles. The upfront cost is high, and many projects require government incentives or strong contracts to make economic sense.
Another challenge is scale. According to a 2024 study, CCS capacity by 2030 may reach only 0.07–0.37 gigatonnes (Gt) CO₂ per year, which is just a small part of what’s needed to meet climate goals.
For Google’s project and others like it to succeed, they will need strong regulation, clear carbon pricing, and reliable storage sites. Also, transparency and long-term monitoring are critical to ensure the CO₂ stays underground.
The Illinois plant is a start. If it runs successfully, it could spawn many more projects in power generation and industry. Corporations, utilities, and governments may replicate the model.
The Big Picture: From Data Centers to Decarbonization
Tech companies are building ever-larger data centers to fuel artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and global connectivity. This drives huge electricity demand. Google’s CCS deal shows one way to manage that demand while cutting carbon.
CCS combined with clean power can help sectors that cannot easily switch to renewables. Power plants that run on natural gas or industries like cement and steel may use CCS to reduce emissions.
For Google, the new deal helps it reach its sustainability targets, supports its data-center operations, and sets an example for other firms. The chart below shows the company’s emission reduction progress. For the climate, it offers a template for building low-carbon power systems at scale.
Final Thoughts: A Pivotal Moment for Clean Power
Google’s agreement signals a shift: clean, firm power is becoming a business reality, not just a promise. By backing a CCS-enabled gas power plant, Google is aligning business needs with carbon reduction goals.
The global CCS market is expanding fast. Estimates show billions of dollars flowing into the technology. But scaling remains challenging — cost, policy, and geology all play a role.
If the Illinois plant succeeds, it may influence how corporations, utilities, and governments design power systems in the future. It could help unlock CCS as one of the tools in the broader energy transition toolbox.
The post Google Invests in First Carbon Capture to Power AI and Cut Emissions appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Bitcoin mining stocks jumped sharply this week after several big companies said they will expand into artificial intelligence (AI). Many miners now plan to use their computers and power systems for AI data centers, not just for Bitcoin.
CleanSpark led the rally after announcing its move into AI. The shift shows how fast the mining industry is changing as companies look for new ways to earn money.
CleanSpark Ignites the Rally
Las Vegas–based CleanSpark saw its shares rise as much as 13% on October 21, 2025. The company said it will build and run data centers made for AI computing, in addition to mining Bitcoin.
CleanSpark also hired Jeffrey Thomas, a veteran with more than 40 years of experience, as Senior Vice President of AI Data Centers. Thomas once led Saudi Arabia’s multi-billion-dollar AI data center program. He has helped create about $12 billion in shareholder value across 19 companies.
Thomas remarked:
“CleanSpark is at a pivotal moment in its journey. Together, we have a tremendous opportunity to deliver exceptional solutions for our customers while creating long-term value for shareholders and positioning CleanSpark at the center of the AI and intelligent computing revolution.”
The company already secured land and extra power in College Park, Georgia, near Atlanta, to build its first AI sites. It is also studying more possible locations in other U.S. states.
The news came as Bitcoin prices climbed back above $110,000, recovering from earlier drops when the price fell from highs above $126,000 in early October.
- SEE MORE: Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High Above $126K: ETFs, Market Drivers, and the Future of Digital Gold
More Miners Follow the Same Path
CleanSpark is not alone. Many mining companies are now trying to grow beyond Bitcoin. The reason is clear: mining rewards have fallen, and energy costs are rising.
After Bitcoin’s 2024 halving, rewards for miners dropped from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This made mining less profitable, pushing companies to look for other income sources.
Companies like Marathon Digital Holdings, Riot Platforms, Canaan, Core Scientific, Bitdeer Technologies, Hut 8, Cipher Mining, and TeraWulf have all announced similar plans. Their stocks also rose:
- Marathon Digital gained 7.97% to $21.13.
- Riot Platforms jumped 11.21% to $22.28.
- Canaan, a hardware maker in China, surged about 28%.
Publicly traded Bitcoin miners raised more than $4.6 billion through loans and convertible notes in late 2024 and early 2025 to fund their AI projects.
The CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF, which tracks the sector, has soared 160% this year. Investors are clearly excited about the shift toward AI.
Why Miners Are Betting on AI
The move to AI computing makes sense for miners. They already own powerful hardware, data centers, and energy contracts. These can easily be used for AI instead of crypto.
AI systems need large amounts of electricity and fast processors to train and run models. Bitcoin miners already have this setup. By shifting to AI workloads, they can earn money even when Bitcoin prices are low.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global demand for AI data centers could reach over 1,000 terawatt-hours per year by 2030 — about the same as all of Japan’s electricity use today.
The global AI infrastructure market could be worth $1.3 trillion by 2032, growing around 25% each year. That makes it one of the fastest-growing industries in the world.
For miners, the message is simple: if Bitcoin mining is less profitable, AI computing can fill the gap and create steady revenue.
From Mining Rigs to AI Powerhouses
AI computing and Bitcoin mining use similar technology. Both rely on high-performance processors to handle huge amounts of data.
Miners already operate powerful chips, cooling systems, and strong electricity connections. They can reuse all these to run AI and high-performance computing (HPC) jobs.
CleanSpark plans to build hybrid data centers — some for Bitcoin, others for AI workloads. Likewise, Core Scientific said it will set aside part of its 1.3-gigawatt capacity for AI clients. Other companies are exploring similar plans.
This model could change the industry. Instead of just mining coins, these firms could become “compute providers” — selling power and computing to AI companies, research labs, and cloud platforms.
Investors See Opportunity Beyond Bitcoin
Investors like this new direction. It means miners no longer depend only on Bitcoin’s price swings. They can earn a steady income from long-term contracts with AI firms.
The IEA says global electricity use from data centers could double by 2030, largely because of AI. The U.S. has about 40% of the world’s data center capacity, but new projects face delays due to power and permitting issues.
Bitcoin miners already have access to large power sources. This gives them an edge when building new AI sites. They can repurpose their existing energy deals for AI computing, cutting startup time and costs.
Still, experts warn that running AI data centers is not easy. It needs new software, specialized equipment, and skilled workers. It also takes longer to make a profit compared to Bitcoin mining, which can adjust quickly to market prices.
Energy Use and the ESG Equation
Energy use remains a key concern for both AI and Bitcoin mining. The Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance estimates Bitcoin mining uses about 120 terawatt-hours of electricity each year, roughly equal to Argentina’s total use.
Mining companies are trying to improve their environmental impact. CleanSpark says it sources most of its electricity from renewable or low-carbon energy. It plans to apply the same approach to its AI expansion.
Switching to AI could also make mining more efficient. Many AI centers use advanced cooling systems and can run on renewable energy more easily than older mining farms.
This could help miners meet environmental, social, and governance (ESG) goals while supporting the growth of clean digital infrastructure.
A New Era of Digital Infrastructure
The rise of AI has opened a new chapter for Bitcoin miners. What began as a niche focused on crypto now looks more like a digital infrastructure industry that powers AI, data analytics, and renewable energy systems.
If the transition succeeds, mining companies could become important players in the global computing market. They would supply power and servers for everything from AI model training to smart grid management.
For investors, this change offers both opportunity and risk. It provides exposure to two fast-growing industries — crypto and AI — but also depends on how well miners adapt.
Analysts say the key will be execution. Building AI centers takes time and money, and not all miners will succeed. But those who manage the shift well could become leaders in clean, high-tech energy and computing. They will shape the next phase of digital infrastructure — one that connects blockchain, AI, and sustainable power.
The post Bitcoin Mining Stocks Hit New Highs on AI Pivot with CleanSpark Leading the Pack appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
UN Endorses First Article 6.4 Carbon Credit Methodology, Unlocking Billions for Global Carbon Markets
The United Nations has taken a major step in global carbon markets. A UN panel has approved the first methodology under Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement. This marks the start of a new era in international carbon trading. The system will help countries and companies offset emissions under one global standard.
A New Chapter for Global Carbon Markets
Article 6.4, also known as the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism (PACM), aims to build a global market where countries can trade verified emission reductions. It replaces the old Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) from the Kyoto Protocol, which registered more than 7,800 projects between 2006 and 2020. This new system makes sure carbon credits come from real and measurable emission cuts.
The UNFCCC Supervisory Body met in mid-October 2025 to review new market methods. Their approval of the first one marks a major step for climate finance projects around the world.
The first approved method supports renewable energy projects, especially small wind and solar developments in developing countries. These projects are key to reducing emissions and expanding access to clean energy.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) says renewable energy in developing economies must triple by 2030 to reach global net-zero goals.
What Article 6.4 Means
Article 6.4 is part of the Paris Agreement’s cooperation plan. It lets one country fund emission reduction projects in another country and count those reductions toward its own climate goals. The system aims to:
- Stop double-counting of emission reductions.
- Improve transparency through strict monitoring.
- Build trust between developing and developed nations.
This system will help countries meet their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) faster. The World Bank estimates that NDC cooperation could cut up to 5 billion tonnes of emissions annually by 2030. It could also unlock around $250 billion in climate finance each year, giving investors a clear way to support credible carbon projects.
At COP29 in Baku, world governments agreed on a new global climate finance goal for after 2025. They pledged to scale up funding for developing countries to at least $1.3 trillion per year by 2035 from public and private sources.
Developed nations will lead by mobilizing $300 billion annually, expanding on the earlier $100 billion target. The agreement allows developing countries to count their own contributions voluntarily. It also includes all multilateral development bank (MDB) climate finance. This aligns with expert estimates that developing nations need $3.1–3.5 trillion yearly by 2035 to meet climate investment and adaptation goals.
From Rules to Real Markets
Until now, discussions around Article 6.4 have focused mainly on rules and design. The panel’s decision moves the system from theory to action. It shows that global carbon trading is ready to begin.
Experts predict global demand for carbon credits could reach 2 billion tonnes by 2030, and as high as 13 billion tonnes by 2050. The UN wants to make sure only verified, high-quality credits enter this fast-growing market.
Developing nations stand to benefit the most. Many have strong potential for renewable energy, reforestation, and methane reduction projects. Africa alone could supply up to 30% of the world’s high-quality carbon credits by 2030. These projects could create billions in new revenue for clean growth.
The new methodology allows these projects to earn credits that can be sold internationally, helping communities build clean energy and adapt to climate change.
Ensuring Integrity and Transparency
Old carbon markets faced criticism for weak integrity and unclear reporting. Article 6.4 aims to fix that. Every project must pass strict checks by independent auditors before earning credits. Credits will only be issued if real emission cuts are proven.
The Supervisory Body’s framework includes steps for:
- Setting clear baselines for emissions.
- Measuring reductions over time.
- Monitoring performance using standard tools.
This process will help rebuild trust and attract new investors. Each credit will have a digital record, allowing buyers to trace where it came from and what impact it had.
Countries and companies with net-zero targets will finally have a credible tool to meet their goals. Over 160 nations now have net-zero pledges. Around 60% of global companies already use or plan to use carbon credits to reach their climate goals.
- SEE MORE: High-Quality Carbon Credit Prices Hit Record Levels, Driven by Integrity and Market Shifts
How Business and Finance Are Responding
The approval of the first methodology will draw major interest from the energy and finance sectors. Many firms have been waiting for a reliable, UN-backed system.
The voluntary carbon market was worth about $2 billion in 2023, according to McKinsey. It could grow to more than $100 billion by 2030 as Article 6.4 trading begins. The new system will also pressure companies to buy only verified and transparent credits, cutting down on “greenwashing.”
Regional exchanges and carbon registries are preparing to include Article 6.4 credits once the market launches. Exchanges in Asia, Europe, and Latin America are already aligning with UN rules. This will help stabilize global carbon prices, which currently range from under $5 per tonne in voluntary markets to more than $90 per tonne in the EU system.
More stable prices could encourage long-term investments in clean energy and climate projects. Experts expect Article 6.4 credits to trade at a premium once investors recognize their higher quality.
ESG and Environmental Impact
The new UN system supports Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) goals worldwide. Companies that buy Article 6.4 credits can cut their carbon footprint while funding sustainable projects in vulnerable regions.
Renewable energy projects such as solar and wind farms in Africa and Asia create jobs, cleaner air, and better access to power. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) reports that renewable energy jobs reached 13.7 million in 2024, with strong growth expected in developing countries. These social benefits align with the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for clean energy and climate action.
With stronger oversight, the UN aims to stop misuse and deliver real results. As carbon markets expand, credit integrity will define success. A 2024 study found that up to 40% of older offset credits lacked verifiable emission savings. Article 6.4 aims to close that gap.
Toward a Fair, Transparent, and Unified Carbon Future
Challenges remain before the new system reaches full scale. The next step is to approve more methods for areas like forestry, agriculture, and industry. These sectors are complex and need careful rules to avoid overstating emission cuts.
Negotiations between countries will also continue. Some worry that carbon trading may let others delay domestic cuts. Others believe it will open new funding for clean energy and climate adaptation.
The UN says developing countries will need about $4.3 trillion each year by 2030 to meet climate and energy goals. Article 6.4 could help fill that funding gap.
The Supervisory Body will meet again before COP30 in Belém, Brazil, where it may approve more methodologies. Governments and investors are watching closely as the system expands.
The UN system promises a fair and transparent market for everyone. As carbon prices become more consistent, the focus will shift to ensuring projects deliver real benefits for people and the planet.
- FURTHER READING: Carbon Credits Supply to Skyrocket 35x by 2050 – But at What Price?
The post UN Endorses First Article 6.4 Carbon Credit Methodology, Unlocking Billions for Global Carbon Markets appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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