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Who Leads the Data Center Surge in the US

As the demand for data centers surges, several regions in the U.S. are emerging as significant markets, alongside a notable increase in renewable energy projects supporting this growth, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.

Northern Virginia remains the leading data center market in the US and is second only to Beijing globally. It is set to retain its top position in North America, with 280 data centers in development, adding to the more than 300 already operational in the state. 

The region’s data center power consumption is expected to exceed 10 GW by 2028. Dallas and Phoenix are ranked second and third in projected data center demand by 2028. Each of them anticipate to add over 3 GW of capacity in the next five years.

Several other regions are becoming hot spots for data center development, with ten markets projected to surpass 1 GW of demand by 2028. Thanks to the growing presence of tech giants like Google and Meta, Omaha, Nebraska, currently ranks second in operating data center power demand.

Top 10 US data center markets

In Texas, data centers will benefit from an extensive array of renewable energy projects. The state has nearly 150 GW of wind, solar, and battery storage capacity in development—the largest pipeline in the US.

Over 63 GW of renewables are being developed in California. Thus, the state’s interconnection queue has expanded to 395 GW of renewable capacity.

The Power Play Among Hyperscalers

Hyperscalers, the large-scale cloud service providers using data centers at the heart of their operations, rank among the top corporate buyers of renewable energy worldwide. As of March 2024, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Google, and Microsoft hold the first 4 spots in contracted renewable energy capacity. 

However, these rankings are expected to shift following several major deals announced by Microsoft in April and May 2024. Together, these four companies have contracted over 33 GW of wind, solar, and battery storage capacity in the US. Amazon accounted for about half of this total and Meta adding another 9 GW.

Power projects in 26 states have agreements with these cloud service providers. And their geographic reach is continuously expanding as they develop new data centers. 

corporate renewable and data centers

Currently, Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft collectively own or lease about 9 GW of data center capacity in the US. Based on current development plans, this capacity could nearly triple to just under 26 GW by the end of 2028.

All four companies have set ambitious goals to source 100% of their power from clean energy. With the expanding pipeline of clean energy contracts, the 2028 data center power demand projections may even be conservative.

Data Center Demand by Utility: VEPCO Leads the Charge

Dominion Energy Inc. subsidiary Virginia Electric and Power Co. (VEPCO), which services Northern Virginia, home to the largest data center fleet in the country, leads all US utilities in energy demand from data centers with 4.6 GW. This demand could surge to 15.9 GW by 2028, nearly 5x that of second-place Oncor Electric Delivery Co. 

VEPCO currently has 5.5 GW of operating renewable capacity and an additional 8.7 GW in development. State law requires VEPCO to source 100% of its energy sales from clean energy sources by 2040, alongside meeting the rapidly rising data center demand.

By 2028, the top 10 utilities by data center load could have a combined capacity demand of 35.7 GW. These utilities operate 54.4 GW of wind, solar, and battery storage capacity, with another 52.3 GW in development. 

data center demand by utility subsidiary

Several have created dedicated green tariff programs for data center companies to purchase carbon-free electricity. The increasing data center load projections are driving these utilities to expand their renewable portfolios.

Oncor, covering large parts of Texas, including the Dallas-Fort Worth area, is expected to see 3.3 GW of data center demand by 2030, though this may be a conservative estimate. Oncor has 40.6 GW of renewable capacity either operating or in development across Texas. 

Ohio Power Co., serving the Columbus area where Amazon leads data center development, is projected to have 2.8 GW of data center power demand by 2028. However, Ohio Power currently has just 1.6 GW of combined operating and planned renewable capacity.

Data Center Power Demand on the Rise

The energy needs and power demands of data centers are expected to grow impressively over the next 5 years. As the data center segment evolves rapidly, upward revisions to demand are likely as the power needs of AI become better understood. 

The critical question is whether data centers will have access to sufficient green energy supply during this rapid growth.

S&P Global Research estimates that firm data center commitments through 2028 will drive an 85% increase in data center demand. This reached an aggregate demand of 60.6 GW and 530.6 TWh of electricity use. This translates to an added demand of 27.9 GW and a usage growth of 244.1 TWh, constituting 10%-12% of US electricity usage.

projected data center power demand vs forecast green energy generation

Baseline estimates suggest that green energy expansion (solar, wind, and battery storage) will keep pace with data center growth rate. Declining costs for green energy and durable federal subsidies will drive significant expansion. 

Federal tax credits are fully transferable, allowing data center stakeholders to easily contract with new renewable power facilities. Additionally, renewable mandates enforced by Renewable Energy Certificate markets in many states further support project returns.

The US data center market is experiencing robust growth, driven by technological advancements and the increasing power demands of hyperscalers. As data centers continue to proliferate, the integration of clean energy solutions remains vital to sustain their expansion and environmental impact.

The post Who Leads the Data Center Surge in the US? S&P Global Report appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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How to improve Scope 3 data accuracy for CSRD

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For most businesses, the emissions that matter most sit outside their own walls. Scope 3 emissions, everything generated across your value chain, from the suppliers who make your inputs to the customers who use your products, typically make up the majority of a company’s total carbon footprint. Under the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), those value-chain emissions now have to be measured and disclosed with a rigour that spend-based estimates alone struggle to satisfy. This guide sets out how to improve Scope 3 data accuracy for CSRD: the calculation methods open to you, how to move from estimates to verified supplier data, and how to govern that data so it holds up to audit.

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How community stewardship makes carbon credits durable

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A carbon credit is a commitment that extends well into the future. The tonne of CO₂ compensated for today from a nature-based carbon project must remain out of the atmosphere for good, which means the forest behind the credit has to remain standing long after the transaction is complete. For any buyer, this raises a defining question: What ensures that the forest endures?

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Why Conventional Carbon Offsets Are Losing Boardroom Credibility

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What replaced the cheap REDD credit on the boardroom slide deck, and why procurement is leading the rewrite.

Three years ago, a corporate slide showing a portfolio of cheap REDD+ credits could carry a board meeting. The number was big, the price was low, and the press release wrote itself. Today, that same slide gets sent back with questions. The questions are uncomfortable, the answers are unclear, and your general counsel is suddenly in the room.

Conventional carbon offsets are not dead. The voluntary carbon market retired 202 million tonnes in 2025, and the Morgan Stanley Institute for Sustainable Investing survey published in January 2026 confirmed that interest from corporate buyers remains substantial. What changed is the credibility threshold. The integrity floor has risen, the disclosure scrutiny has tightened, and the buyer profile has shifted. This article tracks what changed, what sophisticated buyers now ask before signing, and what serious corporates are putting on the board slide instead.

What boards used to buy, and why it stopped working

The 2020 to 2022 model was simple: buy a large tranche of avoidance credits at low single-digit prices, retire them against the company footprint, announce the carbon-neutral claim, and move on. Most of those credits came from REDD+ projects, renewable energy installations in countries where the renewable energy was already economic, or methane projects with thin documentation.

Several things broke that model. Academic research published in 2023, including a widely cited Science paper, found that the majority of REDD+ credits issued under the most common methodologies did not represent additional reductions when tested against rigorous counterfactuals. The Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity Initiative published its Claims Code of Practice, which sets requirements for what companies can credibly claim from credit use. The European Union finalised its Green Claims Directive, restricting how companies can describe products as climate-neutral. France’s Décret 2022-539 already restricts carbon neutrality advertising. California’s AB 1305 imposes disclosure requirements on any company making net-zero or carbon-neutral claims while doing business in the state.

The collective effect: the cheap credit no longer buys the announcement, and the announcement now carries litigation risk.

The integrity reset: ICVCM, VCMI, and what changed

The Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market published the Core Carbon Principles in 2023 and began assessing methodologies against them in 2024. The first methodologies received the CCP label later that year. The point of the label is to give corporate buyers a defensible quality screen they can cite in disclosure.

The Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity Initiative complements this on the demand side. Its Claims Code of Practice defines what a buyer can say (Silver, Gold, or Platinum claims, with associated requirements) based on the quality of credits used and the underlying decarbonisation strategy. Together, CCP and VCMI build a quality stack: CCP on the supply, VCMI on the claim, with the science-based target sitting underneath both.

The reset is not a ban on offsets. It is a ratchet. Credits that meet the new bar continue to clear; credits that do not, do not. The Morgan Stanley survey found that 61% of current buyers like the CCP label concept but that supply of labelled credits remains limited. That supply constraint is now visible in pricing.

What sophisticated buyers ask before they sign

The questions on the procurement scorecard have changed. A 2022 buyer might have asked about price, vintage, and project type. A 2026 buyer asks five different questions before any of those.

  • What does the counterfactual look like, and who validated it.
  • What is the permanence regime, and what is the buffer pool exposure.
  • What is the leakage risk, and how is it mitigated.
  • What rating has the project received from the independent ratings agencies (Sylvera, BeZero, Calyx Global), and what was the rationale.
  • What is the documentation discipline that survives an audit four years from now when the procurement team that signed the contract has moved on.

If the vendor cannot answer those five questions on a first call, the conversation ends. Conversely, if the vendor can answer them with documented specificity, the conversation often expands beyond a single transaction toward a multi-year engagement.

Where this leaves your near-term commitments

You probably have near-term commitments that pre-date the integrity reset. Public targets to be carbon neutral by 2025 or 2030. Product-level claims that ran in last year’s marketing. Disclosed reduction trajectories that assumed continued access to cheap credits.

You have three workable paths. The first is to re-baseline your strategy, replacing the most exposed credits with higher-quality alternatives and adjusting the public language to match what you can defend. The second is to shift the underlying spend from offsetting outside your value chain to investing inside your value chain, where reductions count against Scope 3 directly and the audit trail is cleaner. The third is to keep the strategy and absorb the risk, which is increasingly the most expensive option once you price in litigation, restatement, and reputational exposure.

Most serious buyers are choosing the second path. It moves the carbon spend from a compliance cost to a procurement and resilience investment, and it removes the central failure point of the legacy model: the disconnect between where the emissions occurred and where the reductions sat. Nature-based supply chain investments, structured under the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard and aligned to the SBTi FLAG Guidance, are the asset class that fits this brief. They generate inventory-grade reductions, they produce audit-grade documentation, and they survive the new claim restrictions because the carbon math sits inside the value chain that the disclosure already covers.

If you are reassessing a carbon strategy under the new integrity bar, or rebuilding a board narrative that has to survive a more skeptical audience, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help. The Dual-Value Model gives you a defensible alternative to legacy offset purchases, with the documentation and operational integration that survives the procurement scorecard and the audit. Schedule a consultation.

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