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Forests play a massive role in fighting climate change. They capture atmospheric carbon, helping offset greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. However, with nearly 50% of global GHG emissions released in just the past 40 years, forest-based climate solutions need rapid scaling. Let’s understand the current scenario of the forest carbon credit market here. 

The Need for Credible Forest Carbon Credits

Tropical forests store over half of the world’s above-ground carbon in their trees and vegetation. Forbes evaluated that even a small decline, like a 1.5% yearly loss, can wipe out 15% of forest biomass in just a decade. That’s why credible, science-backed carbon credits are vital.

However, many forest-based carbon credits have faced scrutiny. Industry experts have questioned the value of these credits, saying they’re unreliable or even useless. However, there’s one company that wants to change that perception by providing transparent, science-backed insights.

Space Intelligence, the UK-based climate tech company, is tackling this problem by using cutting-edge satellite technology to protect forests and boost the credibility of carbon credits. The firm combines high-quality nature data with digital monitoring tools to reduce risks and increase trust in environmental finance systems. Their goal is to help scale up funding for forest conservation and reforestation efforts.

Space Intelligence: Turning Forests into Climate Action

In 2009, Dr. Murray Collins and Professor Ed Mitchard manually measured over 25,000 trees in Africa to study forest carbon. It was slow and costly. Mitchard turned to satellite data, earning a Ph.D. and later becoming a professor.

They launched Space Intelligence in 2017, using tools like LiDAR and SAR to monitor forests remotely. Their expert knowledge and custom software helped transform public satellite data into trusted carbon insights.

This data will help verify billions of dollars’ worth of nature-based carbon credits, giving the market more confidence in these projects.

Space Intelligence carbon credits

Clear Data for Credible Carbon Credits

Their clients include carbon credit buyers, developers, and certification bodies. It helps these players by remotely mapping project areas, establishing baseline references, and measuring actual carbon impact over time.

More importantly the company has also been hired by carbon credit registries to provide national-level baseline data. These baselines help verify how much carbon has been stored or lost over time. The company has created such datasets for countries like Kenya, Tanzania, Argentina, and Indonesia which are the key players in the global carbon market.

Key Role in Europe’s New Anti-Deforestation Laws

Space Intelligence has partnered with Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), a major US-based financial firm that helps bring more transparency to global energy and commodity markets. ICE trades goods like coffee and cocoa. These are now under the spotlight due to the EU’s new deforestation law.

The EU’s Regulation on Deforestation-Free Products (EUDR) started on June 29, 2023. It targets products linked to deforestation. This includes cocoa, coffee, palm oil, soy, rubber, wood, cattle, and items made from them like chocolate, furniture, leather, and tyres.

The goal is simple. The EU wants to stop buying and selling goods that harm forests. Companies must now prove that their products didn’t come from land that underwent deforestation and degradation.

In December 2024, the EU gave companies more time to adjust. Big and medium companies will have to follow the law by December 30, 2025. Small ones have time until June 30, 2026.

The EUDR aims to:

  • Keep deforestation out of EU supply chains
  • Cut carbon emissions by 32 million tonnes every year
  • Stop forest loss caused by farming

To help ICE follow the law, Space Intelligence won a significant contract. They will provide land cover data that shows comprehensive forest history.

Thus, by winning this deal, Space Intelligence is now a vital part of Europe’s forest protection efforts.

Space Intelligence Brings Forest Data to Your Fingertips

Recently, the company teamed up with California-based Upstream Tech to make its data easier to access. Their insights are now available on the Lens platform, which allows users to view landscape changes, monitor trends, and create reports very easily.

Notably, the company’s land cover and land change data, available in over 45 countries at 10m to 20m resolution, is now integrated into Lens. Users can:

  • Easily assess project sites
  • Get automated change alerts (e.g., deforestation or fire damage)
  • Access audit-grade datasets
  • Generate detailed reports with one click

This partnership makes high-quality geospatial data easier to access and helps speed up and improve the accuracy of monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV).

space intelligence carbon data

The Future of the Forest Carbon Credit Market

The global carbon credit market is growing fast. Precendence Research data showed that it was valued at $669.37 billion in 2024 and is expected to jump to $933.23 billion in 2025. By 2034, it may reach nearly $16.4 trillion, growing at a CAGR of 37.68%.

carbon credit market
Source: Precedence Research

This sharp rise is pushed by stronger climate rules and more companies trying to cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In 2024, Europe led the market in revenue.

Additionally rise in reforestation and agroforestry projects, along with stronger government carbon regulations is also boosting the carbon credit market.

Global Market Insights revealed that this January, scientists found high levels of methane leaking from the Antarctic seabed. This discovery raised alarms about climate risks and boosted interest in carbon offset projects like forestry credits. As nature-based solutions gain more importance, the demand for reliable carbon credits continues to rise.

  • The forest carbon credit market was worth $25.8 billion in 2024. It could grow to $105.2 billion by 2034, expanding at 15.7% CAGR.
forest carbon credits
Source: Global Market Insights

Furthermore, this sector has embraced AI, ML, and blockchain to verify and improve the transparency of carbon data. As mentioned before, companies like Space Intelligence are using drones and satellites to track land use and tree cover.

Forests absorb a huge amount of carbon dioxide, and they are our saviors against climate change. That’s why Space Intelligence uses satellite tech and ecological data to highlight their true value. This clear evidence builds trust in carbon markets and forest carbon credits.  Additionally, it encourages smart investments in forest protection. In the end, the path to climate action becomes more effective.

The post What’s Next for Forest Carbon Credits? This UK Climate Tech Startup is Boosting Trust with Real-Time Data appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Carbon Footprint

Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

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Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

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