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The recently released “State of the Voluntary Carbon Markets 2023” report by Ecosystem Marketplace (EM) reveals a significant trend shift within the VCM. It identifies a concentration of demand toward high-integrity and high-quality voluntary carbon credits, despite their higher price, that offer co-benefits beyond mitigating greenhouse gas emissions.

Analysis of transaction data indicates a substantial 82% surge in average carbon credit prices from 2021 to 2022, accompanied by a decline in overall transaction volumes. These findings imply a market consolidation among smaller yet dedicated purchasers willing to pay more for credits of superior quality. 

Notably, there’s a high demand for nature-based credits that hold certifications for co-benefits and align with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Here are the key points to particularly note from EM’s research.

5 Key Takeaways From the Report: 

  1. Prices are at their peak, volume is down

The average prices of voluntary carbon credits have reached their highest point in 15 years, while the overall trade volumes have declined from the peak seen in 2021. Even though the volume of voluntary carbon credits traded fell by 51%, the average price per credit surged significantly by 82%. It jumped from $4.04 per ton in 2021 to $7.37 in 2022, which hasn’t been seen since 2008. 

VCM credits by value 2005-2022
Chart from EM Report
VCM credits by volume 2005-2022
Chart from EM Report

Despite the drop in trade volume and value, this price increase allowed the VCM to remain relatively stable in 2022. In fact, despite dropping ~$0.40/ton, average prices to date in 2023 are still higher than in 15 years. 

  1. Nature-based credits take the biggest market share

Nature-based solutions (NBS) were a primary contributor to the high market value, constituting nearly half of the market share – 46%. NBS credit prices were more than doubled in 2021 and 2022. EM is also seeing more premium for these credits in preliminary 2023 VCM data. 

The average price of credits from nature-based projects, including forestry, land-use, and agriculture projects, witnessed an increase of 75% and 14%, respectively, from 2021 to 2022. 

VCM volume, value, and prices by project 2021-2023REDD+ projects dominate the NBS credits, but also include other projects in the Agriculture and Forestry and Land Use categories. These include Sustainable Agriculture Land Management Afforestation/Reforestation/Revegetation (ARR), Agroforestry, Improved Forest Management (IFM), and Blue Carbon (mangroves, seagrasses).

Agriculture project credits, also called agricultural carbon credits, also experienced a substantial surge in volume, rising by 283%.

  1. Credits with co-benefits are pricier

Credits associated with robust environmental and social co-benefits, extending beyond carbon, commanded a significant price premium. Projects with at least one co-benefit certification had a 78% price premium compared to those lacking such certification. 

VCM with co-benefits are priced more

According to experts surveyed by Ecosystem Marketplace, these certifications are becoming increasingly necessary for buyers actively looking for these projects. Moreover, projects aligned with the UN SDGs demonstrated a considerable price premium, 86% higher than projects not linked to SDGs. This indicates a strong buyer preference for credits that contribute more to societal and environmental well-being. 

  1. Buyers prefer newer credits

Newer carbon credits are commanding a higher price, suggesting that voluntary buyers are inclined towards recent vintages featuring more robust methodologies. EM reporters also suggested that these buyers prefer credits closely aligning with their current emissions years. 

In 2022, there was a 57% premium for credits with a more recent vintage, reflecting recent emissions reduction activities, compared to a 38% recency premium observed in 2021. This comparison used a historical 5-year rolling cutoff date from the transaction year.

  1. CORSIA-eligible credits surge

Credits eligible under CORSIA (Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation) experienced a significant surge in market value, marked by a 126% increase in price. The notable growth of CORSIA in the VCM in 2022 indicates an expanding relationship between compliance markets and the VCM. This is crucial for market participants due to several factors:

  • The quality criteria outlined by CORSIA have been adopted by the Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity Initiative (VCMI) until the Integrity Council’s core carbon principles are fully established. 
  • CORSIA will enter its inaugural compliance phase in 2024. 
  • Countries are beginning to implement Paris Agreement’s Article 6, further emphasizing the relevance of CORSIA in broader carbon markets.

A Shift Towards Integrity and Quality

The latest report by Ecosystem Marketplace delves into self-reported transaction data from >160 participants in their annual market survey. These contributors represent credits sourced from 1,530 projects across over 130 project types traded globally. 

Typically, respondents encompass project developers, investors, and intermediaries. Moreover, data regarding project registrations, credit issuances, and retirements were collated from project registries, adding depth to the comprehensive analysis presented in the report.

Stephen Donofrio, Managing Director of Ecosystem Marketplace, highlighted the pivotal moment witnessed in the VCM, noting that:

“While the data do not show the same type of growth by volume present in previous reports, our market analysis shows a critical, increased shift in market behavior towards integrity and quality.”

Donofrio further emphasized the evolving sophistication of credit buyers, underscoring their eagerness to understand the actual impact of their investments.

EM’s full report is available for download here.

The post Voluntary Carbon Credit Buyers Willing to Pay More For Quality appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Carbon Footprint

Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

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Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

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