The global silver deficit is anticipated to increase by 17%, reaching 215.3 million ounces in 2024. This rise is attributed to a 2% growth in demand primarily driven by robust industrial consumption, coupled with a 1% decline in total supply, as reported by the Silver Institute industry association.
Balancing Demand and Supply Dynamics
Silver, used in various industries including jewelry, electronics, electric vehicles, and solar panels, as well as for investment purposes, is facing its fourth consecutive year of a structural market deficit.
Philip Newman, managing director at consultancy Metals Focus, emphasized that the deficit in the silver market serves as a strong support and foundation for the price. Despite a 30% decrease in the deficit last year, it remained substantial at 184.3 million ounces.
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While global supply has remained relatively stable around the 1-billion-ounce mark, industrial demand witnessed notable growth of 11%.
However, despite the shortage, visible silver inventories and significant metal stocks held by individuals and investors continue to shield the silver market from immediate pressure.
Newman highlighted that while identifiable silver inventories and off-exchange metal holdings remain considerable, some of these reserves may be tightly held. Consequently, the impact of ongoing deficits on the market remains to be seen.
Reportedly, stocks held in commodity exchange depositories and London vaults experienced a 5% decline last year, amounting to nearly 15 months of global supply by the end of 2023. The majority of the decrease in reported stocks occurred in China, where rapid industrial demand growth of 44% is reshaping local supply/demand dynamics.
Spot silver prices, experiencing an 18% increase year-to-date, reached $29.79 per ounce last week, marking their highest level in over three years, amidst a rally in gold prices and strong copper prices.
Shining Bright in the Solar Revolution
The surge in solar installations and electric vehicle production not only represents a current trend but also serves as a compelling indicator for heightened silver demand. Silver’s unparalleled conductivity and its crucial role in photovoltaic cells position it as a cornerstone in the transition towards renewable energy sources.
The demand for silver in the solar industry has experienced a notable uptrend, accounting for around 5% of the total silver demand in 2014 and expanding to about 14% by the end of 2023.
According to estimates by BloombergNEF, each gigawatt of solar capacity requires approximately 12 tonnes of silver. Using this figure as a basis, the demand for silver in solar panels could witness a substantial surge of nearly 169% by 2030.
This surge would translate to an approximate requirement of 273 million ounces of silver, constituting roughly ⅕ of the total silver demand based on current trend projections.
Much of this growth is attributed to China, which is poised to surpass the total solar panel installations in the United States this year.
Gregor Gregersen, founder of Silver Bullion, emphasizes that the solar industry exemplifies the inelastic demand for silver. Although advancements have enabled the solar sector to become more efficient in its silver use, emerging trends are shifting this dynamic.
Meanwhile, supply is showing signs of strain. Despite a nearly 20% increase in demand last year, silver production remained flat, according to data from The Silver Institute. This year, estimates suggest that production will increase by 2%, yet industrial consumption will climb by 4%.
Silver Squeeze: Meeting Demand Amidst Supply Challenges
However, boosting supply isn’t a straightforward task, given the limited availability of primary mines. Around 80% of silver supply comes from lead, zinc, copper, and gold projects, where silver is a by-product. This strain on supply has led to concerns about future shortages.
A study from the University of New South Wales suggests that the solar sector alone could deplete between 85–98% of global silver reserves by 2050.
Studies are ongoing for alternative technologies using cheaper metals but their viability remains uncertain. Despite current price fluctuations, experts anticipate that substitution will become more appealing as silver prices rise, ultimately leading to a market equilibrium at higher price levels.
As the global silver deficit expands and demand surges, the market faces a complex landscape. The current surge in silver prices reflects market dynamics influenced by industrial consumption and investor sentiment. However, the journey ahead requires strategic planning to address supply challenges and sustain the silver market’s vital role in the transition to renewables and net zero.
The post Silver to See Growing Deficit in 2024 as Supply Struggles appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
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Carbon Footprint
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The forecast suggests that the imbalance between supply and demand in the silver market is not a short-term phenomenon but rather a structural issue that is likely to endure in the coming years. This underscores the ongoing importance of silver in various industrial applications and highlights the challenges in meeting the growing demand for this precious metal.