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Sasol’s (SSL) Stock Rises on Profits, Carbon Credit Surge, and Net-Zero Push

Sasol Ltd., a South African energy and chemicals firm, is gaining attention. They reported stronger earnings and are shifting their strategy to buy more carbon credits. The move comes as the company, the second-biggest emitter of greenhouse gases in the region, boosts coal production and grows its renewable energy portfolio.

Investors, regulators, and climate observers are watching closely to see how Sasol balances its reliance on fossil fuels with its stated commitment to reaching net-zero emissions.

Earnings Power: Fueling a Dual Strategy

In its latest earnings report, Sasol posted a year-on-year improvement supported by stable product prices and efficiency gains. The company’s operating profit rose due to stronger chemical sales.

However, this was partly offset by higher costs in its coal division. Earnings were strong, giving Sasol the money to invest in fossil fuels and low-carbon projects.

For the fiscal year ending June 30, the company earned 10.60 rand per share. This is a turnaround from a loss of 69.94 rand per share. Asset write-downs fell sharply to 20.7 billion rand, down from 74.9 billion rand last year.

Sasol gained from a 4.3 billion rand settlement with Transnet over oil transport fees. Capital expenditure dropped 16% to 25.4 billion rand. This helped improve the company’s financial profile.

Management highlighted that a resilient balance sheet is critical as the company continues its transition journey.

Sasol has steady cash flows. This helps support its short-term coal operations. It also funds longer-term projects like renewable energy growth and carbon reduction efforts.

Sasol’s renewed profit helped lift investor sentiment. Following the earnings, the company’s shares climbed 7% in pre-market trading. Its stock on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE: SOL) surged by 44% over the last quarter.

Sasol SSL stock

Analysts predict that earnings per share will increase by 20% year-on-year. This shows rising confidence in the company’s ability to balance profit and sustainability.

Rising Carbon Credit Purchases: Flexibility or Delay?

One of the biggest headlines is Sasol’s decision to boost its purchase of carbon credits.

  • In the fiscal year that ended in June 2025, Sasol’s carbon credit purchases increased to R723 million, a 25% increase year-on-year.
  • This amount was nearly triple the value of the credits it bought in 2023.
  • Since 2019, Sasol has acquired more than 11 million South African carbon credits, which has reduced its carbon tax liability by more than R650 million.

Most of these credits come from international renewable energy and reforestation projects, while some are linked to African-based carbon offset programs. Sasol plans to grow its carbon credit portfolio, showing its commitment to climate responsibility.

Some offset projects supported by Sasol include:
  • Wonderbag: In 2021, Sasol announced it would use carbon credits generated by the Wonderbag project, which provides non-electric heat-retention cookers to reduce household emissions.
  • Bethlehem Hydro: In 2020, Sasol purchased over 100,000 credits from Bethlehem Hydro, a 7MW hydropower plant that was the first Independent Power Producer in South Africa.
  • Nitrous oxide abatement: As far back as 2007, Sasol received credits for a nitrous oxide abatement project at its nitric acid plants in Sasolburg and Secunda.

However, it recognizes that cutting emissions from its own operations is tough in the near term. The company plans to steadily increase reliance, but acknowledges that credits are a temporary solution.

The use of credits has generated debate. Supporters say it gives companies flexibility to meet interim targets while low-carbon technologies scale.

Critics argue it can delay direct emissions cuts. Sasol’s growing use of offsets shows the urgent climate pressures and the challenges of moving away from coal.

Coal’s Grip: South Africa’s Energy Dilemma

Sasol is one of South Africa’s top coal users. It relies on coal for power and to make synthetic fuels and chemicals. Its Secunda plant is one of the single largest point sources of carbon dioxide globally, emitting more than 56 million tons of CO₂ equivalent each year

The world’s biggest producer of fuels and chemicals from coal emits around 63 million tons of CO₂ equivalent each year. This makes it one of Africa’s largest industrial polluters.

Sasol emission reductions 2023
Source: Sasol

The company believes coal is still essential for South Africa’s energy and industry right now. This is especially true due to the country’s electricity shortages and its dependence on Eskom, the state utility. Sasol knows that relying on this can lead to risks such as regulatory pressure, investor scrutiny, and possible costs from future carbon pricing.

Counting Carbon: Sasol’s Net-Zero Targets and Progress

Despite its coal footprint, Sasol has stepped up efforts to diversify its energy mix. The company is putting money into renewable energy projects. This includes solar and wind farms. These efforts will help provide cleaner electricity for its operations.

Moreover, partnerships with independent power producers are helping Sasol shift portions of its energy use away from coal-generated power.

In addition, Sasol is advancing work in green hydrogen and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Its Fischer-Tropsch technology, long used for coal-to-liquids production, is being adapted for cleaner feedstocks, such as natural gas and green hydrogen. The company announced pilot projects to produce low-carbon chemicals for local and global markets.

Sasol aims to cut its Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 30% by 2030. This goal uses a 2017 baseline, which is about 72 million tons of CO₂e. Progress: current emissions are down about 13% from baseline.

Sasol net zero roadmap
Source: Sasol

It aims for net-zero emissions by 2050. However, it admits that success relies on policy support, technological progress, and available funding.

In summary, Sasol’s key emission reduction initiatives are:

  • Green hydrogen projects – Developing hydrogen production in South Africa through partnerships to support cleaner fuels and power.

  • Renewable energy procurement – Securing up to 1,200 MW of renewable electricity (wind and solar) to replace coal-based power at operations.

  • Energy efficiency improvements – Implementing process optimization and equipment upgrades to reduce energy use across its facilities.

  • Coal-to-gas transition – Shifting part of its feedstock mix from coal toward natural gas, which has a lower carbon footprint.

  • Carbon capture and utilization (CCU) – Exploring technologies to capture CO₂ from operations for use in chemicals or fuels.

  • Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) development – Advancing projects to produce low-carbon jet fuel from sustainable feedstocks.

  • Offsets and carbon credits – Expanding purchases of carbon credits to compensate for hard-to-abate emissions.

How Sasol is reducing ghg emissions
Source: Sasol

Markets in Motion: Offsets, Renewables, and Risks

Sasol’s strategy reflects broader challenges facing energy and industrial companies worldwide. Carbon credits are gaining popularity. The voluntary carbon market was worth over $2 billion in 2024. It’s expected to grow to nearly $50 billion by 2030, under the best-case scenario.

global demand for voluntary carbon credits increase by factor of 15 by 2030 and factor of 100 by 2050

However, the credibility of offsets is under scrutiny, and investors are demanding more transparency on how credits are used.

At the same time, global coal demand remains strong, particularly in emerging markets. South Africa’s energy system still relies heavily on coal, which generates about 80% of the country’s electricity. This makes decarbonization complex, as companies like Sasol must balance energy security with climate commitments.

Meanwhile, renewable energy costs continue to fall. According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), solar and wind are now the cheapest forms of new power generation in most regions. For Sasol, scaling renewables not only helps reduce emissions but also lowers long-term energy costs.

Balancing Growth, Risk, and Climate Goals

Sasol’s higher earnings give it the financial strength to follow its dual-track strategy. This means it can keep expanding coal operations and invest in low-carbon solutions. The company’s growing purchase of carbon credits shows its urgent need to meet climate goals. It also reflects the challenge of cutting emissions from coal-heavy operations.

Sasol’s future will depend on whether it can scale up renewable energy, develop viable low-carbon technologies, and manage the risks tied to its coal reliance. Its net-zero commitment remains a long-term goal. Yet, the company’s latest moves suggest it is trying to walk a fine line between financial performance and climate responsibility.

The post Sasol’s (SSL) Stock Rises on Profits, Carbon Credit Surge, and Net-Zero Push appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Texas-Based EnergyX’s Project Lonestar™ Signals a Turning Point for U.S. Lithium Supply

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Energy Exploration Technologies, Inc. (EnergyX), led by CEO Teague Egan, has moved the United States closer to building a reliable domestic lithium supply chain. The company recently commissioned its Project Lonestar™ lithium demonstration facility in Texas, marking a key milestone in scaling direct lithium extraction (DLE) technologies.

This development comes at a time when lithium demand is rising sharply due to electric vehicles and energy storage systems. At the same time, the U.S. remains heavily dependent on foreign processing, particularly from China.

US lithium import

Against this backdrop, EnergyX’s progress offers both technological validation and strategic value.

From Concept to Reality: How Project Lonestar™ Works

Project Lonestar™ is EnergyX’s first major lithium project in the United States and its second globally. The demonstration plant, located in the Smackover region spanning Texas and Arkansas, is now operational and uses industrial-grade systems rather than small pilot equipment.

  • The facility produces around 250 metric tons per year of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE).

While this output is modest compared to global supply, its importance lies in proving that EnergyX’s proprietary GET-Lit™ technology can efficiently extract lithium from brine. The plant processes locally sourced Smackover brine, a resource that has historically been underutilized despite its lithium potential.

lithium lonestar energyX
Source: EnergyX

Unlike traditional lithium production, which often relies on hard-rock mining or evaporation ponds, DLE technology directly extracts lithium from brine using advanced filtration and chemical processes. This reduces production time and may lower environmental impact.

  • More importantly, the Lonestar™ plant can supply 5 to 25 tons of battery-grade lithium samples to customers.

This allows battery manufacturers to test and validate the material before committing to large-scale supply agreements.

lithium energyX
Source: EnergyX

Scaling Up: From Demonstration to Commercial Production

The demonstration plant is only the first phase of a much larger plan. EnergyX aims to scale Project Lonestar™ into a full commercial operation capable of producing 50,000 tonnes of LCE annually across two phases.

  • The first phase alone targets 12,500 tonnes per year, which would already place it among the more significant lithium producers in the U.S.
  • Significantly, the company has invested approximately $30 million in the demonstration facility, supported in part by a $5 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy.
  • For the full-scale project, EnergyX estimates total capital expenditure at around $1.05 billion.

Cost metrics suggest strong economic potential. The company estimates capital costs at roughly $21,000 per tonne of capacity and operating costs near $3,750 per tonne. If these figures hold at scale, the project could compete effectively with global lithium producers, particularly in a market where cost efficiency is becoming increasingly important.

Teague Egan, Founder & CEO of EnergyX, said,

“Bringing the biggest integrated DLE lithium demonstration plant online in the United States is a foundational milestone for EnergyX and for U.S. domestic lithium production in general. This facility not only validates the performance of our technology on an industrial scale under real-world conditions, but also establishes EnergyX as the lowest cost producer in the U.S. Ultimately this benefits all our customers who need large volumes of lithium for EV and ESS applications, as well as any lithium resource owners looking to implement best-in-class DLE technology whom we are happy to license to.”

Breaking the Bottleneck: Why U.S. Refining Matters

One of the biggest challenges facing the U.S. lithium sector is not resource availability but refining capacity. While lithium deposits exist across the country, most battery-grade lithium chemicals are processed overseas.

China dominates this segment, controlling roughly 70 to 75 percent of global lithium chemical conversion capacity. This concentration creates a structural dependency. Even when lithium is mined in the U.S. or allied countries, it is often shipped abroad for processing before returning as battery materials.

Project Lonestar™ directly addresses this gap. By integrating extraction and refining into a single domestic operation, EnergyX is working to build a complete “brine-to-battery” value chain within the United States. This approach could reduce reliance on foreign processing and improve supply chain resilience.

U.S. Senator Ted Cruz highlighted the project’s importance, noting that domestic lithium production supports both energy security and defense readiness, particularly for applications in advanced battery systems.

The Current Landscape: Limited Supply, Big Ambitions

How Much Lithium Does the U.S. Have?

The United States has a strong lithium resource base, but it still struggles to produce it at scale. Data from the United States Geological Survey shows that the country held about 14 million tonnes of lithium reserves in 2023, ranking it third globally.

Despite this, U.S. production remains very low. The country produced only 615 metric tonnes of lithium in 2023, according to USGS. This is tiny compared to global leaders. Australia produced around 86,000 tonnes, while Chile reached about 56,530 tonnes in the same year.

Lithium Reserves by Country 2026

LITHIUM GLOBAL
Source: World Population Review

In simple terms, the U.S. has plenty of lithium underground. But it still needs time, investment, and better infrastructure to turn those resources into a real supply.

Investment is flowing into regions such as Nevada, North Carolina, and Arkansas. If even a portion of these reserves is converted into production, the U.S. could significantly reduce its reliance on imported lithium.

Active Resources and Future Potential

At present, U.S. lithium production remains relatively small. The only active large-scale operation is the Silver Peak Mine in Nevada, which produces between 5,000 and 10,000 tonnes of LCE annually, depending on market conditions.

However, several projects are in development that could significantly expand capacity. The Thacker Pass project, for example, is expected to produce around 40,000 tonnes per year in its first phase once operational later in the decade.

In addition, brine-based developments in the Smackover region aim to produce tens of thousands of tonnes annually, with long-term plans exceeding 100,000 tonnes across multiple sites.

These projects indicate a shift from a niche domestic industry to a more substantial production base. Still, timelines remain uncertain due to regulatory and financial challenges.

lithium production USA

Demand Surge: Batteries Drive the Lithium Boom

The urgency to expand lithium production is driven by rapid growth in battery demand. Electric vehicles, renewable energy storage, and grid modernization are all increasing lithium consumption.

According to S&P Global, U.S. lithium demand is expected to grow at an average rate of 40 percent annually between 2024 and 2029. Canada is projected to see even faster growth, albeit from a smaller base, with demand rising by around 74 percent per year over the same period.

Globally, battery capacity is forecast to approach 4 terawatt-hours by 2030. This expansion highlights lithium’s central role in the clean energy transition. Without sufficient supply, battery production—and by extension, EV adoption—could face constraints.

lithium demand

Why Progress Takes Time

Turning lithium reserves into operational mines and processing facilities is not straightforward. Projects often face long permitting timelines, environmental scrutiny, and legal challenges. Financing can also be difficult, especially in a volatile commodity market.

Local opposition can further complicate development, particularly in areas with high environmental concerns. These factors can delay projects by several years, slowing the pace of expansion.

To address these barriers, the U.S. government is increasing its involvement through funding, policy support, and efforts to streamline permitting. The Department of Energy’s backing of EnergyX reflects a broader strategy to accelerate domestic critical mineral development.

Conclusion: A Strategic Shift in Motion

Project Lonestar™ represents a meaningful step toward reshaping the U.S. lithium landscape. By proving the viability of direct lithium extraction at an industrial scale, EnergyX has laid the groundwork for larger, commercially viable operations.

The project also aligns with national priorities around energy security, supply chain resilience, and clean energy transition. While challenges remain, the combination of technological innovation, government support, and rising demand creates a strong foundation for growth.

As the world moves toward electrification, lithium will remain at the center of the transition. Projects like Lonestar™ show that the United States is beginning to close the gap between resource potential and real-world production—one facility at a time.

The post Texas-Based EnergyX’s Project Lonestar™ Signals a Turning Point for U.S. Lithium Supply appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Canada Doles Out Almost C$29M for CCUS and Renewables as Clean Energy Market Surges

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Canada Doles Out Almost C$29M for CCUS and Renewables as Clean Energy Market Surges

Canada has pledged nearly C$29 million ($21.6 million) to support carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) and renewable energy projects. The funding aims to back new technologies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make clean energy more competitive. This commitment was announced by the Canadian government in late March 2026 as part of ongoing efforts to meet climate goals.

The investment is small compared with Canada’s larger climate budget. But it signals continued federal support for emerging technologies and deployment of clean energy solutions. CCUS is one of several tools that nations are using to curb emissions while keeping energy supplies stable.

What Canada Is Funding? Inside the C$29M Clean Tech Bet

The C$29 million pledge covers a mix of CCUS and renewable energy efforts. It is intended for 12 projects that capture carbon dioxide (CO₂) from industrial emissions. It also supports systems that convert captured CO₂ into usable products or store it underground so it cannot enter the atmosphere.

The Honourable Tim Hodgson, Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, said:

“Canada is scaling up clean energy while strengthening our electricity grid and responsibly growing our conventional energy industry — because competitiveness means doing more than one thing at the same time. We are investing to provide reliable, affordable and clean power across the country that will propel our economic growth, protect affordability for Canadian families and make Canada a low-risk, low-cost, low-carbon energy superpower.”

Carbon capture refers to systems that trap CO₂ from power plants and factories before it is released. The captured gas can be stored deep underground or used in industrial processes, such as making building materials or fuels. Utilization means finding commercial uses for captured CO₂ so that it has economic as well as environmental value.

Renewable energy projects in Canada focus on expanding wind, solar, hydro, and other low‑carbon power sources. As of 2024, about 79 % of Canada’s electricity generation came from low‑carbon sources, with hydropower alone accounting for roughly 55 %. The rest comes from wind, solar, and nuclear energy.

Carbon Capture’s Strategic Role in Net Zero

Canada has a strong track record in CCUS deployment. Several large‑scale facilities already operate in the country, especially in Alberta and Saskatchewan. 

For example, the Quest Carbon Capture and Storage Project in Alberta captures about one million tonnes of CO₂ per year and stores it deep underground.

carbon capture (CCUS) in Canada

Canadian CCUS technology accounts for a notable share of planned global capacity. Canadian projects represent about 11.5 % of planned CCUS storage capacity worldwide.

Notably, Canada’s carbon capture capacity could increase from about 4.4 million tonnes of CO₂ per year to 16.3 million tonnes annually by 2030. However, much larger growth is still necessary to meet net-zero targets by 2050.

CCUS is considered critical for reducing emissions from hard‑to‑decarbonize sectors like heavy industry and oil and gas. It also plays an important role in achieving Canada’s long‑term climate targets, including net-zero emissions by 2050. In these scenarios, CCUS helps bridge gaps that electrification and renewables alone cannot fill.

Canada’s Energy Innovation Program (EIP) is designed to speed up the development of clean energy technologies while keeping the energy system reliable and affordable. It supports early-stage research and development in CCUS. 

The program also funds renewable energy demonstration projects that test new ways to generate and integrate clean power, especially those with local benefits. In addition, EIP promotes innovation in electricity systems by supporting new approaches to smart grid regulation and capacity building.

A Power Mix Already Going Green

Renewable energy is another core part of Canada’s climate strategy. Over the last decade, installed renewable capacity has grown steadily. Between 2014 and 2024, Canada’s total renewable energy capacity increased from about 89,773 MW to 110,470 MW.

The federal government has supported renewable projects through multiple funding programs. Earlier initiatives included a $964‑million investment targeting wind, solar, storage, hydro, and other renewable technologies.

Canada has also set decarbonization targets tied to renewables. The country aims for net‑zero electricity by 2035, which supports a broader economy‑wide goal of net‑zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

Canada net zero goals 2030 target

CCUS and Renewables on a Global Rise

Investment in CCUS and renewable energy is rising globally. According to industry forecasts, the global clean energy market — including wind, solar, energy storage, and CCUS — is expected to continue strong growth through 2030 as countries push toward climate targets.

For CCUS specifically, analysts project that global installed capacity could grow fivefold by 2030 as more projects move from demonstration to full deployment. Canada is among several countries with mature CCUS infrastructure and planned expansions.

global carbon capture 2030 growth
Source: Rystad Energy

Renewables continue to be the fastest‑growing energy source globally. International agencies like the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) project that renewable capacity will keep expanding rapidly through the end of the decade, driven by falling technology costs and climate commitments.

The Roadblocks to Scaling Clean Tech

While CCUS has potential, it also faces hurdles. Costs are high, and the technologies are still emerging at scale. Critics argue that CCUS has historically underperformed in some early projects, and that a significant amount of captured CO₂ is used in enhanced oil recovery rather than stored permanently.

Some stakeholders also warn that public funds for CCUS must be carefully targeted to avoid subsidizing continued fossil fuel use rather than meaningful emission cuts. Despite these concerns, many policymakers see CCUS as an essential component of climate strategy if Canada is to meet its 2030 and 2050 goals.

Renewable energy projects also face challenges, including grid integration, siting barriers, and supply chain constraints for equipment like turbines and solar panels. However, continued funding and clear policy signals tend to reduce these barriers over time as markets mature.

Cutting Emissions While Keeping Energy Stable

Canada’s C$29 million commitment fits into a broader pattern of public funding aimed at accelerating clean energy and decarbonization technologies. Larger federal efforts, such as the Net Zero Accelerator Initiative, provide billions of dollars over multiple years for clean tech, including CCUS deployment and industrial decarbonization.

The CCUS market is evolving from pilot projects to commercial opportunities. Meanwhile, renewable energy continues its growth as a mainstream power source. Together, these developments support Canada’s long‑term climate and economic goals.

As the global energy landscape changes, investments in both CCUS and renewables help reduce emissions, create jobs, and build resilience in a low‑carbon economy. Canada’s latest funding pledge reinforces its ongoing role in these key markets.

The post Canada Doles Out Almost C$29M for CCUS and Renewables as Clean Energy Market Surges appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Google, Meta and McKinsey Lead Carbon Removal Boom and Turn Appalachia Green

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Google, Meta and McKinsey Lead Carbon Removal Boom and Turn Appalachia Green

Google, Meta, and McKinsey & Company have made a major move in corporate climate action. They signed a long-term deal to remove carbon from the air in Appalachia. The project is run by Living Carbon and focuses on restoring forests on degraded lands. Under this deal, the companies will remove 131,240 tonnes of CO₂ over the next ten years.

A New Deal for Climate

The effort targets a much larger problem. Across the United States, about 1.6 million acres of abandoned mine land remain damaged by past mining. These lands often have poor soil, erosion, toxic metals, and invasive species that block natural regrowth.

In addition, around 30 million acres of degraded agricultural land could be restored through reforestation. Appalachia is one of the hardest-hit regions due to decades of coal mining.

The deal is backed by the Symbiosis Coalition, a group of buyers that funds high-quality carbon removal projects. The coalition is an advance market commitment (AMC) launched in 2024 by Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Salesforce.

The group has pledged to contract up to 20 million tonnes of carbon removal credits by 2030. This commitment aims to create strong market demand and support the growth of high-impact, science-based restoration projects that can help advance global climate goals.

The agreements they have give developers a steady demand. They also help unlock financing and allow projects to scale.

Symbiosis selected the Appalachian project after a strict review process. It looked at data, field conditions, and long-term risks. The group follows key standards such as durability, transparency, ecological integrity, and community impact. This helps ensure that every credit represents real and measurable carbon removal.

Symbiosis Coalition quality criteria
Source: Symbiosis

Julia Strong, Executive Director of the Symbiosis Coalition, remarked:

“Our support of Living Carbon reflects our belief that effective nature-based carbon removal requires both strong science and solid execution. Their project stands out for its rigor and for its thoughtful and scalable approach shaped around the needs of local communities, ecosystems, and economies in Appalachia.”

Why Appalachia Matters: From Coal Hubs to Carbon Heroes

The Appalachia region, in the eastern United States, was once a center of coal mining. Today, many of these lands remain unused and degraded. Living Carbon is working to restore them by planting native hardwood and pine trees on former mine sites and damaged farmland.

The project uses a mix of careful site preparation, invasive species control, and strategic planting. This helps trees grow in areas where nature cannot easily recover on its own. The goal is not just to plant trees, but to rebuild entire ecosystems and support long-term carbon storage.

The benefits go beyond carbon removal. Restoring forests improves soil health, water quality, and biodiversity. Native trees help rebuild habitats for local plants and wildlife. These changes can also reduce erosion and improve land stability over time.

The project also creates real economic value. Landowners earn lease payments from land that was once unproductive. Local workers are hired for planting and land restoration.

  • In some cases, old mining equipment is reused to support ecological recovery. This helps turn former industrial sites into productive carbon sinks.

Community engagement is a key part of the project. Living Carbon works closely with landowners, local groups, and government agencies. This helps build long-term support and ensures the project fits local needs. Strong local partnerships also improve the chances that the forests will be maintained over time.

living carbon

The project stands out for its strong science and clear execution plan. It uses careful monitoring and conservative estimates to ensure carbon removal is real. It also applies new methods for tracking results, including advanced baselines and lifecycle analysis.

This type of approach shows that high-quality nature-based carbon removal can deliver more than climate impact. It can restore ecosystems, support local economies, and scale across similar regions. In places like Appalachia, it offers a way to turn damaged land into a long-term climate solution.

Big Business Bets on Carbon Credits

More corporations are now buying carbon removal credits to meet climate goals. For example, Microsoft bought 45 million tonnes of carbon removal in fiscal year 2025. This is nearly double the amount from 2024 and nine times what they bought in 2023.

These purchases are part of a broader climate strategy. Companies are combining emissions reductions with long-term removal commitments. Durable carbon removal credits, which permanently store CO₂, are becoming more important. Businesses feel pressure to deal with emissions that they cannot completely eliminate.

A major supporter of these deals is Frontier, launched in 2022 by Stripe, Alphabet (Google’s parent company), Meta, Shopify, and McKinsey Sustainability. Frontier wants to boost early demand and funding for promising carbon removal technologies.

The company does this through long-term purchase agreements. Its initial goal was $1 billion in purchases by 2030, sending a strong signal to the market about future demand.

frontier carbon removal
Source: Frontier

By 2025, Frontier signed contracts for various technologies. These include bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), direct air capture (DAC), and enhanced weathering. Several contracts are worth tens of millions of dollars. These agreements help developers survive the early “valley of death,” when financing is hardest to secure.

Market Trends: From Niche to Necessity

The carbon removal market is still small compared with global climate goals, but it is evolving quickly. Industry forecasts say that demand for durable carbon removal credits might hit 100 million tonnes of CO₂ each year by 2030.

This growth is fueled by corporate commitments and government purchases. This is roughly double the supply currently announced, showing a large gap between demand and delivery.

Globally, carbon removal is still a tiny fraction of what is needed. Scientific assessments show that to meet the Paris Agreement, carbon removal needs to increase. By 2050, it should reach 7–9 billion tonnes of CO₂ each year. This is about 4,000 times more than what we do now.

carbon removals by 2050
Source: CUR8 website

Market projections show strong growth in the next decade. A report by Oliver Wyman and the UK Carbon Markets Forum estimates that the global carbon removal market could grow from $2.7 billion in 2023 to $100 billion per year by 2030–2035, provided policies and standards evolve to support it.

Local and Global Wins

The Appalachia project highlights how carbon removal can benefit both the climate and communities. Restoring degraded lands improves water filtration, soil health, and wildlife habitats. Communities also gain jobs and income through forest management.

Nature-based projects, including reforestation and forest management, currently dominate removal activity. However, they do not offer the same permanence as engineered removals like BECCS or DAC, which store carbon for centuries or longer. Still, both approaches are necessary to scale the carbon removal market.

From Milestones to Market Momentum

The Google, Meta, and McKinsey deal is a milestone for corporate climate action. Long-term agreements help projects secure funding and expand. They also send strong signals to developers and investors. These deals can shift the market from short-term offsets to long-term, permanent carbon removal solutions.

The industry must grow significantly to meet global climate targets. Expanding beyond early adopter companies is essential. Continued policy support, strong standards, and wider sector participation will help scale removals.

In the next decade, how fast carbon removal technologies grow and the amount of credits produced will be key to achieving net-zero goals. Deals like the Appalachia reforestation project are early steps in building a foundational, long-term carbon removal industry.

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