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Northvolt’s Bankruptcy: How Does It Impact Europe’s Battery Industry?

Northvolt, once seen as Europe’s best hope for a strong battery industry, has filed for bankruptcy in Sweden. The company, which aimed to create the “world’s greenest battery,” struggled to meet its ambitious goals. This marks a major blow to Europe’s efforts to compete in the global electric vehicle (EV) battery market.

Why Did Northvolt Fail?

Northvolt faced many challenges that led to its downfall. Here they are: 

  1. Production Problems: The company failed to scale up production at its Skellefteå gigafactory as planned. Instead of reaching 16 GWh, it only managed 1 GWh. This shortfall led BMW to cancel a $2 billion battery supply contract in June 2024.
  2. Financial Struggles: Northvolt raised over $14 billion, including a $5 billion loan for factory expansion. However, rising costs and no new investment made it hard to keep operations going.
  3. Changing Market Conditions: Demand for EVs in Europe has slowed. S&P Global recently lowered its 2025 EV market share forecast for Europe from 27% to 21%. As carmakers rethink their electrification plans, the demand for batteries has dropped. 
  4. Geopolitical and Economic Factors: The company faced high capital costs, geopolitical instability, and supply chain disruptions. These issues created additional hurdles for the company.
  5. Leadership Challenges: The company lost investor confidence after its chairman stepped down due to health reasons, weakening its leadership structure.
S&P battery market share by region
Source: S&P Global

What Happens to Northvolt’s Assets?

A Swedish court-appointed trustee will handle the bankruptcy process. The court will decide how to sell Northvolt’s business and settle its debts. As of now, no buyers have come forward to take over the company’s factories or assets.

Northvolt’s Swedish workforce of 5,000 people, mostly based in Skellefteå, faces uncertainty. The Swedish engineering trade union expects at least 650 of its members to lose their jobs.

Northvolt’s bankruptcy has hit Skellefteå hard. This small town in northern Sweden is home to its main factory. Dubbed the “Northvolt-effect,” the company’s presence revitalized the town, which invested heavily in infrastructure due to the economic boom.

The battery maker was the largest employer in the town with 40,000 residents, with 3,000 workers. The bankruptcy threatens local economic stability, prompting authorities to seek government support.

Sweden’s Deputy Prime Minister, Ebba Busch, has urged the European Union to amend its clean-tech funding rules to help Northvolt attract a new owner. She stressed that expanding EU funding to current battery makers is vital for Northvolt’s survival. Busch further noted that:

“If the EU Commission keeps on only supporting newcomers within the battery sector, then the ‘clean industrial deal’ on European soil will be in the hands of China… [the region’s strong dependence on China for green tech import].”

Impact on Europe’s Battery Industry

Northvolt’s collapse is a major setback for Europe’s battery sector. The company had been a key player in Europe’s gigafactory plans, with two major projects:

  • Northvolt Ett – A factory in Skellefteå, Sweden, which was Europe’s third-largest gigafactory by capacity in 2024.
  • Northvolt Drei – A planned gigafactory in Germany with a 60 GWh capacity.
northvolt expansion projects
Source: Reuters

Northvolt’s factories will make up 13% of Europe’s battery production planned for 2030. Its bankruptcy may boost Europe’s dependence on Asian battery makers. This includes LG Energy Solution from South Korea and China’s CATL, the biggest battery producers in Europe.

Let’s look at the bigger picture and see how this failure fits in.

Global and European Battery Market Trends

The global battery market is growing fast. This growth is mainly due to more people buying EVs.

In 2024, worldwide EV sales increased by 25%, reaching 17 million units. Global annual battery demand has now exceeded one terawatt-hour (TWh) for the first time. EVs make up 85% of this demand.

global EV sales 2024
Source: EVBoosters

One key development was the decline of average EV battery pack prices below $100 per kilowatt-hour (kWh). This is considered a crucial milestone for cost parity between EVs and gasoline cars.

The price drop was driven by lower raw material costs—lithium prices have fallen 85% since their 2022 peak—along with advances in battery technology and manufacturing efficiencies.

China continues to dominate global battery production, accounting for over 75% of all batteries sold in 2024. Chinese battery prices dropped by almost 30% last year. They are over 30% cheaper than European batteries and 20% cheaper than North American ones.

Northvolt’s bankruptcy raises concerns about Europe’s ability to compete in this rapidly growing battery market. It also highlights the urgent need for stronger domestic production and investment in energy storage solutions.

European Battery Storage Market

The battery energy storage system (BESS) market in Europe is set to grow significantly. Projections indicate that the EU’s BESS capacity could reach 60 gigawatts (GW) by 2030—a 6-fold increase from 2023 levels. This means an annual growth rate of about 25% over the next seven years.

Key trends shaping Europe’s battery storage sector include:

  • Long-Duration Energy Storage – With the growth of renewable energy, the need for storage that lasts hours or even days is rising.
  • Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) Integration – More EVs mean chances for bidirectional charging. This lets vehicles send power back to the grid.
  • Green Hydrogen Integration – Batteries are now used more with green hydrogen production. This helps to improve how electrolyzers work.

Advanced Battery Chemistries Lithium-ion is still the leader, but research on solid-state and flow batteries is picking up speed.

Lessons from Northvolt’s Bankruptcy: What This Failure Means for the Industry

There are three key lessons to be learned from the Swedish battery maker that other companies must take note:

Ambition vs. Reality. Northvolt wanted to manage many parts of the battery supply chain. However, this was too hard for a startup. Other European battery makers are now avoiding this model.

Need for Stable Investment. Building a battery industry requires a long-term financial commitment. Northvolt’s failure shows the need for strong, consistent backing from investors and governments.

Market Demand Matters. The slowdown in EV sales made Northvolt’s plans unsustainable. Companies must be flexible and adapt to changing market conditions.

What Comes Next After Northvolt?

Northvolt’s bankruptcy is a significant blow to Europe’s green energy ambitions. It underscores the difficulty of building a homegrown battery industry. While this is a setback, it also offers lessons for future companies. 

Despite Northvolt’s failure, Europe still aims to build a strong battery sector. Other companies may attempt to fill the gap, but they will need careful planning and stable financial support.

Europe must rethink its battery strategy, strengthen investments, and develop partnerships to remain competitive against China and South Korea. The future of Europe’s battery sector will depend on strategic planning, supportive policies, and technological innovation.

The post Northvolt’s Bankruptcy: How Does It Impact Europe’s Battery Industry? appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

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Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

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