Connect with us

Published

on

It’s COP season again and as governments, businesses and green groups gather in Azerbaijan’s historic capital, Baku, for this year’s COP29 climate summit, a bunch of reports have been released with new information on the state of the Earth’s climate and action to tackle global warming. 

From the heatwaves that plagued Nigeria earlier this year, to floods in Spain that killed at least 220 people this month, and recent hurricanes battering swathes of the US, these reports explain what’s turbo-charging extreme weather worldwide and ring the alarm bell on the need to move faster in addressing the climate crisis and protecting people from its growing effects.

The UN Environment Programme (UNEP) titled this year’s Adaptation Gap Report “Come hell and high water”, underscoring the need to step up efforts to make economies and societies more resilient to climate change impacts. It also highlights the devastating consequences the world could face at the 2.6-3.1 degrees Celsius of warming projected this century without larger cuts to greenhouse gas emissions.

Here are some key numbers from the latest batch of international climate reports intended to inform and drive the negotiations at COP29:

2024 set to be warmest year on record…

The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) released new data showing that 2024 is set to be the hottest year on record.

Based on temperatures from January to October, the climate service said 2024 has become the first year to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels for that period, surpassing 2023 by 0.16C.

Under the Paris Agreement, countries agreed to limit global warming to “well below” 2 degrees Celsius and ideally to 1.5C, but whether those targets have been broken is not judged on short-term data for one year as they refer to longer-term temperature trends.

The global average temperature for the past 12 months (November 2023-October 2024) was an estimated 1.62C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average. That is 0.74C above the 1991-2020 average.

The report added that unless the average temperature anomaly for the rest of the year drops to almost zero – which is very unlikely – 2024 is virtually certain to become the warmest year.

C3S Deputy Director Samantha Burgess said this “marks a new milestone in global temperature records and should serve as a catalyst to raise ambition for… COP29.”

… sounding a red alert for 1.5C warming limit

Outlining similar findings in an update to its “State of the Climate 2024” report, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), said 2024 is on track to be the warmest year on record after temporarily hitting the 1.5C warming limit.

In the period from January to September, the global mean surface air temperature was 1.54C above the pre-industrial average, with climate warming boosted by the El Niño weather pattern, the WMO said.

That does not mean, however, that the world has exceeded the 1.5C temperature goal set in the Paris Agreement as long-term warming measured over decades remains below that benchmark, the report emphasised. 

The report said 2015-2024 will be the warmest ten years on record, adding that ocean warming rates show a particularly strong increase in the past two decades and the planet’s seas will continue to heat up irreversibly.

WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo warned that although the world has not yet broken the 1.5C limit, “it is essential to recognise that every fraction of a degree of warming matters. Whether it is at a level below or above 1.5C of warming, every additional increment of global warming increases climate extremes, impacts and risks.”

Over 570,000 deaths in two decades… 

As the planet is heating up, the effects are already hitting hard. A report from the World Weather Attribution (WWA) group of scientists says the death toll from the 10 deadliest disasters in the last two decades stands at just over 570,000 – that’s a little above the population size of Cabo Verde. 

Even then, the researchers say the number of deaths from climate-induced disasters is greatly underestimated, as there may have been millions more heat-related deaths not reported in the official statistics, especially in poorer countries where people are most vulnerable to high temperatures. 

Without doubt, these 10 extreme events were made more intense and more likely by human-caused climate change, they note. 

… but the world can be better prepared to prevent these deaths… 

While many of these deaths were avoidable, threats are becoming more frequent and severe, in the face of today’s 1.3C of warming

However, there are actions that can drastically reduce the human impacts of extreme weather. One of these is investing in early-warning systems to alert people of extreme weather ahead of time. According to the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), countries are making progress in this regard. 

In its latest “State of Climate Services” report, the WMO says that, in 2024, one-third of national meteorological and hydrological services provide climate services, such as early warning activities, at an “essential” level, and nearly one third at an “advanced” or “full” level.

With targeted adaptation funding, countries in Asia and Africa, in particular, have made strides in boosting their capacity, the report says. But, it adds, there are still significant gaps in the coverage of observing networks in Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS). 

Notwithstanding, the WMO says that with better early warnings and disaster risk management, weather and climate-related reported deaths have decreased by nearly two-thirds since the 1970s. 

… and countries need to set more ambitious climate plans to curb global warming…

The economic losses and damage caused by climate change should motivate countries to come up with more ambitious “nationally determined contribution” climate plans (NDCs) due early next year, UNEP urges.

In its Emissions Gap Report 2024, the environmental body said failure to do this would put the world at risk of 2.6-3.1C of warming this century, which would be more catastrophic.

Reducing planet-heating emissions, according to UNEP’s Executive Director Inger Andersen, would not only protect economies but also save lives, prevent damage, conserve biodiversity and enable global average temperatures to fall again if they do overshoot the Paris Agreement goals of limiting warming to “well below 2C” and ideally to 1.5C above pre-industrial times.

So there is some hope. The report shows there is technical potential for emissions cuts in 2030 of up to 31 gigatonnes of CO2 equivalent and 41 gigatonnes in 2035, which would close the gap to putting the world on track for limiting global warming to 1.5C pathway if delivered.

Increased deployment of solar photovoltaic technologies and wind energy would allow the world to deliver 27% of that total reduction potential in 2030 and 38% in 2035, it says. 

And action to protect forests could deliver around 20% of the potential by both years. Efficiency measures, electrification and fuel-switching in the buildings, transport and industry sectors are other effective ways to deliver emissions reductions.

… but investments in clean energy remain unequal in the global transition…

Given their emissions-cutting potential, investments in clean energy have increased significantly, approaching $2 trillion per year, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA) in its 2024 World Energy Outlook

Additionally, the costs of most clean technologies are declining, causing renewables to enter the energy system at an unprecedented rate, including more than 560 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity added in 2023.

But deployment is far from uniform across technologies and countries. The IEA’s “Financing Clean Energy in Africa” report stated that the continent attracts less than 2% of global spending on clean energy, despite a recent surge in investments. 

On top of that, markets for fossil fuels and clean technologies are becoming more fragmented. The World Energy Outlook states that since 2020, almost 200 trade measures affecting clean energy technologies – most of them restrictive – have been introduced around the world, compared with 40 in the preceding five-year period.

… “transition” gas won’t save the day, instead fuelling risks for investors…

Meanwhile, the uptake of clean energy for the green transition will cause a dwindling market for oil and gas, particularly for liquefied natural gas, according to a recent Carbon Tracker report. This engenders risks for investors who project an increase in demand for LNG. 

Some governments, including in Africa, have been pushing for the use of gas as a “transition” fuel to sustain their economies and bridge the gap as they wait for accelerated investments in renewables.

But a rush to boost gas production for domestic use and export could cause an oversupply by the end of the decade, the report says, as global production capacity is expected to increase by around 50% by 2030. 

The report warns that in the face of the massive industry push into LNG, there is a need to reassess assumptions because investors risk generating lower returns than anticipated.

… COP hosts chase fossil fuels despite COP28 commitment…

At COP28 in Dubai last year, an agreement to “transition away from fossil fuels in energy systems” was hailed by some as signalling the ‘beginning of the end’ of the industrial era powered by coal, oil and gas. But that may be premature.

The three host nations of the 2023-2025 COPs are among those promising one thing and doing another. New research by Oil Change International shows that the United Arab Emirates (COP28), Azerbaijan (COP29) and Brazil (COP30) plan to collectively expand oil and gas production by 32% by 2035, threatening the climate limits they have pledged to protect.

UAE kicks off new global round of UN climate plans

And they are not the only ones. The International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) reports that some countries are preparing for an oil and gas exploration splurge in the near term, leading to a strong uptick in exploration licensing. 

If fully exploited, oil and gas reserves set to be licensed in the next six months could result in 15 billion tonnes of CO2-equivalent emissions – nearly as large as the combined emissions of the US and China in 2022.

Currently, the 10 countries with the biggest oil and gas licensing plans, in terms of embodied emissions – generated by extraction, production, transportation and use of fossil fuels along the whole supply chain – are China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Indonesia, the United States, Iran, Angola, Australia, Nigeria, and India, Oil Change says. 

… continued fossil fuel investment will mean national climate plans fall short of expectations…

The recently released UN’s NDC synthesis report shows that countries’ current climate plans “fall miles short of what’s needed” to stop global heating. 

While the world needs to cut emissions 43% by 2030 to limit warming to 1.5C and avert climate chaos, the current NDCs from nearly 200 countries combined would see global emissions in 2030 fall by only 2.6% compared to their level in 2019, the report finds.

Therefore UN officials and climate advocates are calling for the next round of NDCs, due by February next year – but likely to be submitted throughout the year in the run-up to COP30 – to deliver a substantial increase in climate action and ambition.

… yet finance for stronger climate action remains far too low…

In meeting their NDC targets, countries – especially vulnerable nations like small island states and the poorest countries – need external finance to help pay for the measures required.

But despite a doubling of annual climate finance between 2018 and 2022 – from $674 billion to $1.46 trillion – there is still a need to increase it at least five-fold to avoid the worst consequences of climate change, a new study by Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) shows.

Climate finance flows reached almost $1.5 trillion in 2022, but that still only represents 1% of global GDP – and CPI says this falls far short of what is needed.

By 2030, emerging markets and developing economies may need to spend as much as 6.5% of their GDP to meet climate goals, it warns.

Reiterating the need for more finance, UNEP in its new Adaptation Gap Report says international public funding to protect communities in poorer, vulnerable countries from worsening extreme weather and rising seas is only a fraction – between 7% and 13% – of what is needed, leaving an estimated gap of $187-359 billion.

From cyclone to drought, Zimbabwe’s climate victims struggle to adapt

At COP29, finance is set to take centre-stage as countries are tasked with agreeing a new climate finance goal for the coming years. With demands running into trillions of dollars, a tough fight over the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) is expected at COP29 as wealthy countries try to push some of the responsibility onto new donors, including richer developing countries and the private sector.

Sandra Guzmán, founder and general coordinator of the Climate Finance Group for Latin America and the Caribbean (GFLAC), told a Climate Home News webinar on climate finance prospects at COP29 that the new goal is fundamental to enable higher ambition in the NDCs – and without it countries will struggle to implement their transition plans.

(Reporting by Vivian Chime; editing by Joe Lo and Megan Rowling)

The post In numbers: The state of the climate in 2024 appeared first on Climate Home News.

In numbers: The state of the climate in 2024

Continue Reading

Climate Change

Coles, Woolworths failing on deforestation commitments 

Published

on

SYDNEY, Wednesday 26 August 2026 — New 2026 Sustainability Reports released by supermarket giants Coles and Woolworths this week demonstrate the retailers are failing on their commitments to end deforestation in their supply chains.

Adele Chasson, Nature Policy Lead at Greenpeace Australia Pacific said:

“These so-called sustainability reports are revealing. Despite their public commitments in 2024 and 2025, neither Coles nor Woolworths have taken deforestation-linked beef off their shelves. Meanwhile, bulldozers continue to tear up forests and bushland, pushing wildlife closer to extinction and causing mass toxic runoff to flow into the Great Barrier Reef. Millions of native animals like koalas are losing their homes to beef pastures each year, while the big supermarkets put off action.

“Australians would be shocked to know that beef on the shelves of our biggest supermarkets could be pushing threatened species to the brink of extinction. Collectively Coles and Woolworths have made more than $2 billion in profits in the last year, profiting from the destruction of wildlife and precious Australian nature. Coles and Woolworths owe it to shoppers to deliver on their promises and end deforestation in their supply chains now.

“As big beef buyers, Coles and Woolworths have an essential role to play in keeping Australia’s unique forests standing. They can help stop the Great Barrier Reef from being poisoned by runoff and protect iconic forest wildlife by taking deforestation off their shelves. It’s time these big companies put their money where their mouths are and follow through on their promise of sourcing and supplying deforestation-free beef.”

Coles, Woolworths failing on deforestation commitments 

Continue Reading

Climate Change

New Zealand moves to protect business with law curtailing climate litigation

Published

on

New Zealand’s parliament has adopted a controversial new law blocking a whole avenue of climate litigation and shutting down its most advanced corporate lawsuit, which has been blamed by the government for shaking business confidence and investment.

The Climate Change Response (Tort Liability) Amendment Bill, expected to take effect in the coming days after it is formally signed by the Governor-General, prevents all current and future civil claims for climate loss or harm under tort law.

Justice minister Paul Goldsmith said last week that the aim was to give businesses “certainty around their climate change obligations”, noting it would not alter the government’s responsibilities under the Climate Change Response Act 2002 nor business obligations under the Emissions Trading Scheme.

“Our response to climate change is best managed by the Government at a national level and not through piece-meal litigation in the courts,” he added in a statement.

Such litigation, he said, “risks developing a new regime that contradicts the framework Parliament has already enacted” to tackle climate change.

    Goldsmith singled out a key domestic climate lawsuit brought by Northland iwi leader and activist Mike Smith against six big companies: dairy firms Fonterra and Dairy Holdings, energy firms Genesis Energy and Z Energy, New Zealand Steel and coal mining firm BT Mining. A seventh original defendant, Channel Infrastructure, was dropped after it permanently decommissioned its Marsden Point oil refinery.

    Smith argued that these companies had caused him harm under public nuisance and negligence law, as well as a third breach of a duty to cease contributing to climate change that has yet to be tested domestically. He did not seek financial compensation, instead asking for the companies to immediately stop emitting or contributing to net greenhouse gas emissions.

    In one of the most advanced corporate climate accountability lawsuits in the world, a trial had been scheduled for April 2027 after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed the case to continue.

    Corporate lobbying in the shadows

    Smith described the passing of the bill as “deeply concerning”, particularly as it coincided with the Supreme Court hearing another of his climate lawsuits. In that case, Smith v Attorney-General, he argues that the government’s response to climate change and its impacts on Māori communities in particular breaches rights to life and culture.

    “That timing raises profound questions about the separation of powers and the rule of law,” said Smith. “Whatever one’s view of the merits of these cases, it is deeply troubling when parliament intervenes to remove a legal pathway while the courts are actively considering fundamental questions about climate responsibility, rights and the crown’s obligations.”

    The bill – which says that no person (including the government) can be found liable in tort for emissions-related climate change effects – followed major lobbying efforts by the companies defending themselves in Smith’s lawsuit. They outlined a proposed legal amendment in a briefing note to the government in 2024.

    The centre-right government has been fiercely criticised over its lack of transparency in relation to this lobbying activity. The national ombudsman recently found that the Prime Minister’s Office effectively withheld information requested by the Environmental Law Initiative about meetings, discussions and conversations regarding Smith’s case.

    Green groups fail to stop bill

    The bill sparked huge concern among environmental campaigners in New Zealand and elsewhere. Greenpeace Aotearoa called it a “shocking abuse of executive power” and the vast majority of submissions to a parliamentary inquiry said it should be rejected.

    But in the end, it was adopted with little resistance, moving relatively smoothly through parliament, passing its third reading by 67 votes to 53. Sam Bookman, climate law lecturer at Melbourne Law School, told Climate Home News he was not surprised by this, given that the coalition government has a secure majority.

    A complaint has been made to the UN special rapporteur on climate change and human rights by Smith, the National Iwi Chairs Forum Pou Tikanga and youth coalition Climate Clinic Aotearoa over what they see as the government’s heavy-handed approach. Smith is also challenging the new law in yet another lawsuit.

    “Pathetic”: New Zealand plans to barely cut emissions between 2030 and 2035

    Bookman thinks it “very unlikely” that such a challenge will succeed, noting that New Zealand’s constitution is firmly anchored in parliamentary sovereignty.

    But the expert in climate law does not see the bill as the end of legal action in the country, noting that New Zealand has a “sophisticated climate litigation landscape with a growing number of specialist and experienced lawyers and NGOs”.

    The country is also approaching its next general election in November, and some opposition parties have pledged to restore access to the courts if elected.

    Amanda Larsson, global project lead on agriculture for Greenpeace International, said: “This law deserves to be tested, and I strongly encourage the international climate litigation community to unite and help defend New Zealanders’ fundamental right to hold polluters accountable before this becomes a global blueprint.”

    Copycat legislation on the rise

    New Zealand’s move is part of a small but growing legislative effort to shut down climate litigation around the world.

    In the US, Republican politicians introduced legislation in the House and Senate in April that would shield fossil fuel firms from climate liability lawsuits. Similar laws have already been passed at state level in Tennessee, Utah, Iowa and Louisiana.

    The German state of Bavaria has put forward a similar proposal to the Federal Council, aiming to block private climate claims as well as the recognition and enforcement of foreign judgments imposing such liability. There are also proposals to limit available remedies and actions in the Netherlands and Belgium.

    UN General Assembly backs “climate obligations” set by world’s top court

    Bookman said he expects more efforts to counter climate damages litigation and advised plaintiffs to think about how to respond, including drawing on broader support in opposing them.

    “Even though it’s very hard for plaintiffs to win these types of cases, companies are very eager to avoid the expense, embarrassment and political accountability that come even with unsuccessful lawsuits,” he said.

    The post New Zealand moves to protect business with law curtailing climate litigation appeared first on Climate Home News.

    New Zealand moves to protect business with law curtailing climate litigation

    Continue Reading

    Climate Change

    Indonesia’s nickel production cuts are not enough to create a sustainable industry 

    Published

    on

    Bhima Yudhistira Adhinegara is the Executive Director of the Center of Economic and Law Studies (CELIOS), an Indonesia-based economic think tank. Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat is the Director of the China-Indonesia desk at CELIOS. 

    Indonesia produces around 60% of the world’s nickel, a metal used to manufacture batteries for electric vehicles (EVs) – more than any other country in the world. But in 2026, the government sharply reduced how much of its nickel can be extracted from the ground.

    Production quotas were reduced by around 40% this year compared to 2025. Weda Bay, the largest nickel mine on Earth, had its allowance cut by more than 70% and exhausted its full-year quota by the end of May, halting mining entirely; it cannot resume large-scale extraction until next year unless regulators grant an extension.

    The policy has sparked a vivid debate in Indonesian policy circles: how can the country shift its strategy from a decade of mining vast quantities of cheap nickel to producing a high-value and low-carbon material that the rest of the world wants for EV batteries.

    The cuts aren’t a silver bullet to clean up Indonesia’s nickel industry, whose smelters are powered by coal – the most polluting fossil fuels. But alongside stricter enforcement of environmental rules, it is one side of efforts to produce more sustainable nickel for a premium.

    Restricting Indonesia’s nickel output

    Production quotas were introduced to stop the collapse of nickel prices because of oversupply in the market. Prices had fallen more than 40% in 2023 alone and kept sliding as Indonesian supply kept growing, hitting a four-year low of around $13,900 a ton in late 2025.

    Critics called the recent tightening of production quotas proof that Indonesia’s nickel strategy has failed, arguing that the industry shouldn’t need to throttle its own output to survive. But when assessed against what the policy was supposed to do – push up nickel prices – it has worked. Prices jumped to $20,000 a ton in May, the highest since 2024.

      Chinese industry groups representing companies that have invested billions to mine and refine the country’s nickel were furious, warning Indonesia’s president Prabowo Subianto that the cuts put $50 billion worth of investment at risk. But much of that Chinese capital is sunk into smelters and processing plants built specifically to run on Indonesian ore, and cannot simply be moved elsewhere. That gives Jakarta more room to hold its ground than the warning suggests.

      Stronger environmental enforcement

      Since the start of the year, Indonesia’s forestry task force has seized more than four million hectares of land from mines and plantations operating illegally in protected forests, collecting over two trillion rupiah ($113 million) in fines.

      This included 148 hectares seized from Weda Bay for lacking a forestry permit. The share of nickel produced from illegal small-scale mining also fell from about a quarter in 2022 to roughly 10% by 2024.

      The crackdown responds to serious environmental damages in the nickel industry. On Obi Island, a waste pond collapsed after heavy rain in June 2025, flooding three villages and killing a resident. Internal company tests found chromium-6 – a carcinogen – in the water, in quantities far above the legal limit. The footprint of another mine near Raja Ampat, which is home to some of the world’s richest coral reefs, grew 60-fold in just eight years.

      A coastal village is wedged between the sea and a large nickel mine in Indonesia
      The fishing villages of Tapunggaya in Sulawesi, Indonesia, are squeezed between the sea and an expanding nickel mine (Photo by Garry Lotulung/NurPhoto)

      The market is responding to early cleanup efforts. Low-carbon nickel now sells for a real premium, roughly $18,800 to $19,300 a ton compared with $17,900 to $18,300 otherwise, as carmakers seek to source cleaner materials to comply with the European Union’s new emissions rules for imports.

      In turn, this is incentivising the industry to do more to green its operations. Vale Indonesia’s smelter in South Sulawesi now runs almost entirely on hydropower, for example.

      None of this addresses coal use, however. Major Indonesian nickel producers still emitted an estimated 15 million metric tons of greenhouse gases in 2023. Indonesia may be cracking down on illegal mining and rewarding cleaner producers but it is still running its mines on the dirtiest fuel available.

      Unequal benefits

      For Indonesia to truly benefit from producing cleaner and high-value nickel, it needs to reap the economic benefits too. Although the industry has boosted the country’s economic growth, the reality on the ground tells a different story.

      Konawe in Southeast Sulawesi is home to a major smelting complex. Growth in the district jumped from 6% to 22% between 2015 and 2023, driven almost entirely by the nickel industry, according to a study by the Lowy Institute study. At the same time, poverty levels increased slightly and unemployment remained unchanged.

        In Halmahera, another epicentre of the nickel industry, spending by the poorest fifth grew just 5% between 2019 and 2022, compared with 28% for the wealthiest fifth, according to a separate study.

        Part of the reason for this inequality is the system for transferring mining royalties to district authorities where the mines are located. In theory, they are entitled to the largest share. But in practice, payments are delayed, companies routinely dispute what they owe and royalties are pooled and distributed across a larger area.

        The Natural Resource Governance Institute has found that decentralisation handed local governments power to approve new mines faster than they could build their capacity to manage them. Higher output raises national income on paper, but local governments remain constrained by fiscal rules and infrastructure costs that scale with mining.

        None of this makes the 2026 quota cuts a mistake. Indonesia has every right to defend its pricing power over a resource it controls. But limiting extraction isn’t going to fix underlying issues around environmental enforcement and revenue-sharing. That requires rules that are consistently enforced, royalties that reach communities living by the mines, and a plan to wean smelters off coal.

        The post Indonesia’s nickel production cuts are not enough to create a sustainable industry  appeared first on Climate Home News.

        Indonesia’s nickel production cuts are not enough to create a sustainable industry 

        Continue Reading

        Trending

        Copyright © 2022 BreakingClimateChange.com