IEA recently released its Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025, where it revealed that refined copper demand rose 3.2% in 2024, up from 2.7% in 2023 and 1.1% in 2022.
Copper prices surged to nearly $10,800 per tonne early in 2024 before falling back. Price hikes came from supply disruptions like the Cobre Panama shutdown and lower output forecasts from Anglo American. Interestingly, rising demand from AI data centers is creating worries about future copper shortages. Experts are weighing in on the fact that copper supply won’t be able to keep up with the fast growth of digital infrastructure.
- Global refined copper demand (excluding scrap) hit nearly 27 million tonnes in 2024 and is projected to grow to 33 million tonnes by 2035, reaching 37 million tonnes by 2050.
China accounted for almost 60% of demand in 2024, with the U.S. and Germany trailing behind. Early 2025 saw rising copper prices due to U.S. tariffs and a weaker dollar, but fears of a global slowdown and China’s retaliatory tariffs have weighed heavily on prices and demand outlooks.
Copper demand by region in the STEPS

More significantly, India, Saudi Arabia, and Malaysia, driven by fast infrastructure and construction projects, contributed to the copper demand spike. On the contrary, Europe faced its second straight year of copper demand decline amid high inflation and energy costs.
AI and Data Centers Drive Copper Demand Surge
Data centers are becoming a major force behind rising copper demand. In the U.S. alone, new data center capacity is expected to grow by 50 gigawatts (GW) between 2023 and 2028. That’s five times the 10 GW added during 2017-2022.
This rapid growth means a huge need for copper in power systems, cooling, and connectivity. This is because the metal conducts electricity and heat well, lasts long, and is affordable. Each gigawatt of capacity typically uses about 5,500 tonnes of copper.
Estimates of copper use in these centers vary widely by as much as 10X. IEA says copper use in data centers could be between 250,000 and 550,000 tonnes by 2030. That could equal 1 to 2% of global copper demand—and possibly more if AI growth accelerates.

Copper Mine Supply to Peak Soon, Then Decline Sharply
Global mined copper supply reached 22 million tonnes in 2024. Chile leads production, followed by the Democratic Republic of Congo and Peru.
- Supply is set to peak in the late 2020s at just over 24 million tonnes before dropping below 19 million tonnes by 2035 due to falling ore grades and mine closures.
The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is expected to drive significant near-term growth. Major projects like Kamoa-Kakula and Tenke Fungurume could boost output from 900 kilotonnes (kt) in 2024 to over 1.3 million tonnes (Mt) by 2028.

China’s Copper Smelting Boom Sparks Global Supply Crunch
In another report from Bloomberg, we discovered that China’s rapid growth in copper smelting is causing a global squeeze on copper concentrate supply. While China hits record refined output, smelters worldwide suffer losses as treatment charges drop below zero.
Major players like Chile’s Antofagasta are offering negative fees, forcing smelters to pay more for ore than they earn. Smaller smelters, especially outside China’s major buyer groups, face closures, while large, state-owned Chinese smelters stay afloat.

The report highlighted that excess smelting capacity is the real problem, not mining output. Spot treatment charges have plummeted to negative $60 per tonne, hitting smelters globally. Older European smelters are vulnerable, but Japanese smelters with mine ownership may survive longer. The fight to survive is intensifying as China expands its smelting dominance.
2035 Copper Deficit Forecast
Based on current and planned mining projects, the IEA forecasts that the world would face a 30% copper supply deficit by 2035 under the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS). The gap widens to 35% under the Announced Pledges Scenario (APS), and over 40% in the Net Zero Emissions (NZE) Scenario.
Even in a high production outlook, supply falls short by 20%.
This shortfall begins in the late 2020s, mainly because copper ore grades are dropping. Since 1991, average ore grades have fallen by 40%. Advances like solvent extraction and electrowinning help process lower-grade ores but only partly make up for the decline.
How Will the Copper Industry Sustain Long-Term Demand Growth?
BHP predicts that recycled copper will be critical to meeting demand growth over the next 30 years. However, scrap availability limits recycled supply. The lifespan of copper in products varies widely, from months in consumer electronics to decades in construction, averaging about 20 years in use.

Furthermore, copper reserves and production are concentrated in Latin America, Australia, and Africa. However, the challenge is: the industry must find ways to sustain volume growth amid resource depletion and rising costs.
Closing the Copper Supply Gap
This growing supply deficit highlights major risks to copper security. To meet demand, the industry must boost investment in new mines, improve material efficiency, find substitutes, and increase recycling efforts. Another concern is the lack of diverse copper refining options, which could threaten supply stability.
In short, tackling copper’s supply challenges will require a strong, multiple approach to avoid shortages as demand surges.
The post Copper Demand Set to Hit 37M Tonnes by 2050—Can Supply Keep Up? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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Finding Nature Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain
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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
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