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Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL), the world’s largest battery maker, grabbed the spotlight again after JPMorgan’s upgrade sent its shares higher. This move reflected rising optimism around CATL’s earnings outlook and China’s aggressive push into battery energy storage systems.

CATL Soars on JPMorgan Upgrade and Earnings Boost

CATL’s Hong Kong-listed shares jumped 10.2% to HK$476.8, their highest since the company’s May listing. Its Shenzhen-traded shares surged 14% to 371.52 yuan, the strongest level since late 2021.

JPMorgan analyst Rebecca Wen raised CATL’s 2025–2026 earnings forecast by nearly 10%, a Street-high estimate on expectations of strong Q3 production and rising energy storage demand.

By the close, CATL’s Hong Kong shares ended 7.4% higher, while Shenzhen shares gained 9.1%. Offshore valuations now trade about 20% above mainland prices, a rare premium among Chinese dual-listed firms.

CATL
Source: Yahoo Finance

China Doubles Down on Energy Storage

CATL’s rally came just as Beijing unveiled an ambitious plan to nearly double new energy storage capacity to 180 GW by 2027, representing roughly $35 billion in direct investment. The target marks a nearly 90% increase from the current 95 GW installed, with most of the growth coming from lithium-ion batteries.

China energy storage
Source: CNESA

According to the China Energy Storage Alliance (CNESA), the country’s cumulative power storage capacity reached 164.3 GW by June 2025, up 59% year-on-year. This broadly means it surpassed 100 GW for the first time this year, a milestone that is 32 times greater than at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan.

Pumped hydro’s share has now dropped below 40%, showing a shift toward lithium-ion battery dominance.

  • In just the first half of 2025, newly commissioned storage projects reached 23.03 GW/56.12 GWh, a 68% jump year-on-year.

May alone set a record with 10.25 GW/26.03 GWh of new installations, climbing more than 500% from a year earlier.

China energy storage
Source: CNESA

CATL Positioned to Benefit

CATL is expected to be one of the biggest winners from this rapid growth. The company has already deployed over 256 GWh of energy storage capacity across more than 1,000 projects worldwide.

Notably, China has consistently beaten its own targets, having reached its original 2025 goal of 30 GW two years ahead of schedule.

Market Leadership Stays Firm

CATL continues to dominate the global battery market, holding a 37.5% share in the first seven months of 2025, more than double that of BYD. In August, CATL’s market share in China rose to 42.4% from 41.4% the prior month, according to the China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance.

Financial results also highlight its strength. CATL’s Q2 net income surged 34% to a record high, while rival BYD reported a profit decline. Analysts say CATL’s premium reflects its role as a proxy for China’s clean energy ambitions and its unrivaled scale in energy storage.

catl revenue
Source: CATL

Energy Storage Boom Lifts Entire Sector

CATL’s rally boosted other Chinese battery and clean energy stocks. Companies like Hunan Yuneng New Energy Battery Material, Sungrow Power Supply, and Eve Energy all surged in Monday’s trade.

Investor attention now turns to the World Energy Storage Conference in Ningde, Fujian—CATL’s hometown. The event is expected to spotlight China’s dominance in the energy storage sector and reinforce CATL’s role in driving the global clean energy transition.

China’s Megaprojects Leave U.S. Battery Storage Trailing

Mentioned before, China plans to more than double its battery storage capacity to 180 GW by 2027, supported by a $35 billion investment push and dozens of gigawatt-scale projects. The country’s National Energy Administration already reported about 95 GW of new energy storage installed by June 2025, showing just how fast capacity is expanding.

By contrast, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data shows domestic storage stood at only 28 GW at the end of Q1 2025, with projections to reach around 65 GW by 2026. This gap highlights the significant disparity between the U.S. and China’s scale. While America has strong growth momentum, most projects remain below the 1 GW mark.

The largest, California’s Moss Landing Energy Storage Facility, currently has about 750 MW / 3,000 MWh of capacity after expansions—impressive, but modest compared to China’s gigawatt-scale rollouts.

U.S. battery storage
Source: EIA

In conclusion, we can say that CATL’s stock surge reflects strong earnings momentum and China’s rapid energy storage buildout. With China doubling its energy storage target in another two years and lithium-ion batteries dominating new projects, CATL is set to capture a major share of this growth. Its market leadership and record profits position it as the key driver of China’s clean energy ambitions, leaving the U.S. trailing in large-scale storage deployment.

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How to improve Scope 3 data accuracy for CSRD

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For most businesses, the emissions that matter most sit outside their own walls. Scope 3 emissions, everything generated across your value chain, from the suppliers who make your inputs to the customers who use your products, typically make up the majority of a company’s total carbon footprint. Under the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), those value-chain emissions now have to be measured and disclosed with a rigour that spend-based estimates alone struggle to satisfy. This guide sets out how to improve Scope 3 data accuracy for CSRD: the calculation methods open to you, how to move from estimates to verified supplier data, and how to govern that data so it holds up to audit.

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How community stewardship makes carbon credits durable

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A carbon credit is a commitment that extends well into the future. The tonne of CO₂ compensated for today from a nature-based carbon project must remain out of the atmosphere for good, which means the forest behind the credit has to remain standing long after the transaction is complete. For any buyer, this raises a defining question: What ensures that the forest endures?

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Why Conventional Carbon Offsets Are Losing Boardroom Credibility

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What replaced the cheap REDD credit on the boardroom slide deck, and why procurement is leading the rewrite.

Three years ago, a corporate slide showing a portfolio of cheap REDD+ credits could carry a board meeting. The number was big, the price was low, and the press release wrote itself. Today, that same slide gets sent back with questions. The questions are uncomfortable, the answers are unclear, and your general counsel is suddenly in the room.

Conventional carbon offsets are not dead. The voluntary carbon market retired 202 million tonnes in 2025, and the Morgan Stanley Institute for Sustainable Investing survey published in January 2026 confirmed that interest from corporate buyers remains substantial. What changed is the credibility threshold. The integrity floor has risen, the disclosure scrutiny has tightened, and the buyer profile has shifted. This article tracks what changed, what sophisticated buyers now ask before signing, and what serious corporates are putting on the board slide instead.

What boards used to buy, and why it stopped working

The 2020 to 2022 model was simple: buy a large tranche of avoidance credits at low single-digit prices, retire them against the company footprint, announce the carbon-neutral claim, and move on. Most of those credits came from REDD+ projects, renewable energy installations in countries where the renewable energy was already economic, or methane projects with thin documentation.

Several things broke that model. Academic research published in 2023, including a widely cited Science paper, found that the majority of REDD+ credits issued under the most common methodologies did not represent additional reductions when tested against rigorous counterfactuals. The Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity Initiative published its Claims Code of Practice, which sets requirements for what companies can credibly claim from credit use. The European Union finalised its Green Claims Directive, restricting how companies can describe products as climate-neutral. France’s Décret 2022-539 already restricts carbon neutrality advertising. California’s AB 1305 imposes disclosure requirements on any company making net-zero or carbon-neutral claims while doing business in the state.

The collective effect: the cheap credit no longer buys the announcement, and the announcement now carries litigation risk.

The integrity reset: ICVCM, VCMI, and what changed

The Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market published the Core Carbon Principles in 2023 and began assessing methodologies against them in 2024. The first methodologies received the CCP label later that year. The point of the label is to give corporate buyers a defensible quality screen they can cite in disclosure.

The Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity Initiative complements this on the demand side. Its Claims Code of Practice defines what a buyer can say (Silver, Gold, or Platinum claims, with associated requirements) based on the quality of credits used and the underlying decarbonisation strategy. Together, CCP and VCMI build a quality stack: CCP on the supply, VCMI on the claim, with the science-based target sitting underneath both.

The reset is not a ban on offsets. It is a ratchet. Credits that meet the new bar continue to clear; credits that do not, do not. The Morgan Stanley survey found that 61% of current buyers like the CCP label concept but that supply of labelled credits remains limited. That supply constraint is now visible in pricing.

What sophisticated buyers ask before they sign

The questions on the procurement scorecard have changed. A 2022 buyer might have asked about price, vintage, and project type. A 2026 buyer asks five different questions before any of those.

  • What does the counterfactual look like, and who validated it.
  • What is the permanence regime, and what is the buffer pool exposure.
  • What is the leakage risk, and how is it mitigated.
  • What rating has the project received from the independent ratings agencies (Sylvera, BeZero, Calyx Global), and what was the rationale.
  • What is the documentation discipline that survives an audit four years from now when the procurement team that signed the contract has moved on.

If the vendor cannot answer those five questions on a first call, the conversation ends. Conversely, if the vendor can answer them with documented specificity, the conversation often expands beyond a single transaction toward a multi-year engagement.

Where this leaves your near-term commitments

You probably have near-term commitments that pre-date the integrity reset. Public targets to be carbon neutral by 2025 or 2030. Product-level claims that ran in last year’s marketing. Disclosed reduction trajectories that assumed continued access to cheap credits.

You have three workable paths. The first is to re-baseline your strategy, replacing the most exposed credits with higher-quality alternatives and adjusting the public language to match what you can defend. The second is to shift the underlying spend from offsetting outside your value chain to investing inside your value chain, where reductions count against Scope 3 directly and the audit trail is cleaner. The third is to keep the strategy and absorb the risk, which is increasingly the most expensive option once you price in litigation, restatement, and reputational exposure.

Most serious buyers are choosing the second path. It moves the carbon spend from a compliance cost to a procurement and resilience investment, and it removes the central failure point of the legacy model: the disconnect between where the emissions occurred and where the reductions sat. Nature-based supply chain investments, structured under the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard and aligned to the SBTi FLAG Guidance, are the asset class that fits this brief. They generate inventory-grade reductions, they produce audit-grade documentation, and they survive the new claim restrictions because the carbon math sits inside the value chain that the disclosure already covers.

If you are reassessing a carbon strategy under the new integrity bar, or rebuilding a board narrative that has to survive a more skeptical audience, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help. The Dual-Value Model gives you a defensible alternative to legacy offset purchases, with the documentation and operational integration that survives the procurement scorecard and the audit. Schedule a consultation.

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