Investment giant BlackRock has released a new report outlining key developments expected to impact low-carbon transition-related investment opportunities and risks in 2024.
BlackRock singles out low-carbon transition as a major investment driver while emphasizing specific areas, including clean energy, electrification, and climate resilience.
The report anticipates a significant reallocation of capital towards rewiring energy systems and investing in climate resilience to mitigate risks.
In the outlook for 2024, BlackRock identified three key areas that stand out as potentially shaping the market significantly.
Electrifying Expectations: Battery Prices and Market Dynamics
Firstly, the downward trend in battery prices has the potential to drive increased demand for energy storage solutions in power grid infrastructure and the adoption of electric and hybrid vehicles.
Battery prices makes up a significant portion, often a third or more, of the production expenses for various clean technologies. These include energy storage systems for power grids and electric and hybrid vehicles (EVs).
Over the past decade, there has been a notable decline in battery prices, as shown in the chart below.

While there was a slight uptick in 2022, recent signals from battery producers suggest the potential for substantial price reductions in the coming year. This downward trajectory can be primarily due to an 80% drop in lithium prices, a crucial component, driven by increased supply.
Intense market competition and rapid technological advancements also contribute to lowering prices. Some companies are leveraging artificial intelligence, another influential force, to explore novel battery materials, further driving down future costs.
The key question remains whether this continued decline in battery prices will translate into reduced final purchase prices. In turn, this can potentially spur greater demand for energy storage systems, EVs, and hybrid vehicles.
Given their lower operational costs compared to traditional internal combustion vehicles, such a trend could have significant implications for the broader automotive industry and energy sector.
Political Power Plays
Secondly, upcoming elections worldwide could significantly impact future energy and industrial policies, influencing the direction of transition efforts, per BlackRock report.
The year 2024 sees a multitude of elections across significant regions like the European Union, the United States, and India.
Governments worldwide are grappling with the delicate balancing act of pursuing decarbonization while ensuring energy security and affordability. The outcomes of these elections could profoundly influence how this balance is achieved and consequently impact the trajectory of the low-carbon transition and adoption of clean technology globally.
Many governments are actively subsidizing their energy and clean technology sectors, creating pricing and margin pressures for non-subsidized competitors.
Moreover, election results may prompt changes in transition-related policies, potentially either accelerating or slowing down the transition in different regions. For instance, in India, continuity in policy post-election could speed up decarbonization efforts and bolster the country’s position as a leading clean technology production hub.
Similarly, the outcome of the U.S. election could have implications for existing legislation, such as the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which has catalyzed significant investments in energy infrastructure and technology.
Possible changes range from repeal or delays to complementary policies aimed at enhancing its effectiveness, such as land permitting reform.
Weathering the Storm
Lastly, another crucial focus in 2024 revolves around the impact of climate change-induced extreme weather events, prompted by 2023 as the hottest year on record by the World Meteorological Organization. This trend is expected to continue this year, further highlighting the urgent need for climate resilience measures.
Investors are beginning to show greater interest in companies and technologies that contribute to climate resilience. This includes innovations such as early monitoring systems for floods, air conditioning solutions to combat heatwaves, and building retrofitting for enhanced resilience against extreme weather events.
Despite this growing interest, markets may still underestimate the potential for firms specializing in resilience-boosting products and services.
Overall, BlackRock anticipates that falling battery prices could stimulate growth in the EV and energy storage industries in 2024. However, the direction of the global transition policy post-election will heavily influence investment opportunities and risks. As physical climate risks mount, the report suggests that climate resilience could emerge as a prominent investment theme this year.
Apart from the transition to a low-carbon economy, BlackRock also tracks these four other mega forces:
- Demographic divergence
- Digital disruption and artificial intelligence (AI)
- Geopolitical fragmentation and economic competition
- Future of finance
BlackRock’s report underscores the dynamic landscape of low-carbon investments in 2024, driven by evolving market dynamics, political shifts, and climate resilience imperatives. As battery prices decline and election outcomes unfold, investors face both opportunities and risks in navigating the transition to a sustainable future.
The post BlackRock’s Insights on 2024 Low-Carbon Transition Investment Trends appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Where should an SME start with a carbon action plan?
More and more small and medium-sized businesses are hearing the same question from their larger customers: What is your carbon footprint? That question now travels down entire supply chains, and it arrives next to tender requirements, certification criteria, and rising customer expectations.
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Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.
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