As 2024 turns to 2025, we asked subscribers to our newsletter what the top climate issues of the upcoming year will be. With climate destruction growing, their responses clearly indicate they want to see more ambition in tackling climate change and more honesty on how climate action is going.
Here’s our summary of responses from our always passionate, well-informed readers and our analysis of when, where and how we can judge whether the powers-that-be are stepping up to the challenge or falling short.
1. Governments must make bigger commitments to cut emissions – and stick to them
Under the 2015 Paris climate agreement, all governments have to submit a climate plan – known as a nationally determined contribution (NDC) to the United Nations every five years.
The third round of these plans is due next year, ten years on from Paris. Most will add a 2035 emissions reduction aim on to their existing 2030 target and their more long-term goals to reach net zero in 2050, 2060 or 2070.
Several Climate Home readers said NDCs would be a top climate issue for 2025. One said they should be “challenging but realistic” and another said they “must align with actionable policies”.
They will certainly have to be more ambitious than the last round five years ago if the world stands a chance of limiting global warming to 1.5C or even 2C above pre-industrial levels.
The United Nations said in October that, even if implemented in full, existing NDCs put the world on course for a catastrophic 2.6C of global warming.
2. Governments must prepare for worsening climate change impacts
While the final figures are not out yet, the World Meteorological Organisation has said that 2024 looks set to be the hottest year on record. But it may also be the coolest year we see for a while. Even if emissions peak, the world will keep getting hotter until we reach net zero globally.
Climate change worsened dozens of disasters in 2024 from extreme rain in Spain to a heatwave in West Africa and typhoons in the Phillipines. The World Weather Attribution group found that 26 disasters linked to climate change this year killed over 3,700 people and displaced millions.
We’re likely to see more disasters in 2025. One South American reader reported worries about drought, Amazon rainforest fires and rising temperatures while another said “extreme weather patterns demand immediate attention”.
In this context, adaptating to climate change is key. At COP30 in Belém in November, governments are due to agree on a list of indicators on how to measure whether they are adapting to climate change in areas like water, food and health. The big debate will be whether the provision of finance to developing countries will be one of those indicators.
For the destruction that can’t be adapted to, the new UN loss and damage fund is supposed to help. Its new executive director – Ibrahima Cheikh Diong – hopes to start handing out money to climate victims by the end of 2025 and hire most of its staff in 2026.
A dried out river in Tefé in the Brazilian Amazon rainforest in September 2024 (Photo: Christian Braga/Greenpeace)
3. Nature conservation should pick up pace
Due partly to climate change, species are dying off at a sickening rate. Last year’s biodiversity conference, COP16 in the Colombian city of Cali, hoped to address that. While it had some successes – particularly in handing power to indigenous people – it ran out of time to agree on how to pay for nature protection.
With two years until COP17, governments have agreed to continue COP16 on February 25-27 in Rome. “Securing adequate and predictable financing will be central to our efforts,” said COP16 president Susana Muhamad.
Responses to the survey indicate our readers are concerned about nature, both on land and in the oceans where plastic pollution is a particular threat to nature. Talks to set up a UN treaty to tackle plastic failed in Busan in December 2024 but will continue at some point in 2025.
4. We need less misinformation, accounting tricks and jargon
With Donald Trump coming into power, our readers are worried about misinformation on climate change. Trump has promised to pull out of the Paris Agreement and his often inaccurate criticisms of climate action are likely to influence the public conversation in the US and abroad in 2025.
The United Nations is trying to counter misinformation on climate change with a $10-15 million fund for non-governmental organisations researching the issue and developing communication strategies and public awareness campaigns.
US President-elect Donald Trump (left) is likely to spread climate disinformatoin while UN Secretary-General António Guterres (right) has pledged to combat it
But its not just Trump’s claims that concern readers, they are also concerned that governments that do recognise climate change are overselling their climate action using accounting tricks.
A Canadian reader pointed out that the emissions from international aviation are not included in nations’ greenhouse gas inventories and neither are those from forest fires, as these are considered natural and therefore not the government’s responsibility. Climate Home has highlighted how countries like Guyana use forest carbon accounting techniques to claim to be carbon negative despite booming oil production.
Another reader criticised the “language barrier” caused by the jargon and technical acronyms that are common in climate policy. “Bridging the gap between technical acronyms and the lived experiences of skeptics or reluctant individuals is vital”, they said. Another said climate communicators should “avoid masking global warming’s mechanics with unclear terms” and “focus on transparency”.
Will the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s scientists heed this as they start writing up a special report on climate change and cities this year?
5. The roll-out of green technology must quicken
Decarbonising the world is going to require a huge variety of technology and the good news is that the roll-out of green solutions like solar panels and electric vehicles continues to pick up pace every year.
Our readers highlighted technology like heat-pumps, micro-grids and the recycling of aluminium. Other solutions proposed by our readers include city design which encourages walking and public transport, like Utrecht in the Netherlands, and tackling private plane use as “unnecessary luxury emissions”.
All these solutions have restrained the growth in emissions but have yet to stop them growing completely. Will 2025 be the year that changes and we reach peak emissions? It’s possible but by no means certain.
(Reporting by Joe Lo)
The post Ambition and honesty – What Climate Home readers want in 2025 appeared first on Climate Home News.
Ambition and honesty – What Climate Home readers want in 2025
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Q&A: “False” climate solutions help keep fossil fuel firms in business
From cross-border pipelines for green hydrogen that can also carry natural gas, to sustainable aviation fuel that threatens forests, and costly carbon capture projects that are used to recover more oil, “false solutions” to climate change have gained ground in recent years, often backed by fossil fuel firms.
A new research paper, published last month in the journal Energy Research and Social Science, shines a light on this trend, exploring such projects that have also caused environmental injustices such as air pollution or depriving communities of their source of income.
The study by the Institute of Environmental Science and Technology at the Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (ICTA-UAB), in collaboration with the University of Sussex, is based on 48 cases of environmental conflicts around the world, contained in the ICTA-UAB’s Global Atlas of Environmental Justice (EJAtlas).
The selected cases range from Norway’s Trollvind offshore wind farm, built partly to decarbonise the power supply to the Troll and Oseberg oil and gas fields; to US fossil fuel firms working with the dairy industry to turn manure into biogas; and a tree plantation in the Republic of Congo proposed by TotalEnergies, where locals say they have been prevented from accessing their customary farmland.
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The researchers argue that “false solutions” – which also include large-scale carbon offsetting projects, many of which have been discredited – help to reinforce the political and economic power of the industry that is responsible for the climate crisis, and are undermining the global energy transition.
Climate Home News spoke to co-author Freddie Daley, a research associate at the University of Sussex’s Centre for Global Political Economy, about the paper’s findings and implications for climate policy.
Q: What was your motivation in exploring these types of “false solutions” to the climate crisis?
A: It’s very much a reaction to the fossil fuel industry insisting these technologies are solutions, rather than us creating a typology of things that are not working. All of the [paper’s] authors are very keen on a habitable planet – and we’re not going to let perfection be the enemy of the good.
But this is a call [to] arms to say that governments need to be very careful about what they’re giving public subsidy to, because in a complex situation – where there’s an urgency for reducing emissions but also for creating sustainable livelihoods and for ensuring that the needs of people living in and around these projects are met – I think it’s very important to scrutinise the viability of these schemes.
The starting point was off the back of oil majors – or so-called integrated energy companies – coming out and being very bullish on sustainability and net zero, and alongside this, proffering that they were part of the solution to climate mitigation, energy transition, job creation, green growth. And we took this as a problem statement to begin our analysis: How can fossil companies be part of the solution?
Q: What did your work reveal about “false solutions” and how can it deepen understanding of them?
A: “False solutions” is a term that’s been used for many, many years by Indigenous groups and by frontline communities – so we wanted to formalise it because it’s not really been engaged with in academic literature so far. We thought it was quite a big gap that needed to be filled.
We thought how can we categorise it? How can we help redefine it? What are the characteristics of these false solutions? So we dug into the data, the EJ Atlas, across many technologies – from hydrogen through to carbon offsets and biofuels, but also renewable energy projects, because we were finding that renewable energy projects causing conflicts were either being used to fuel fossil fuel production, such as solar panels or wind turbines to run rigs, which we thought was an interesting pattern – and also utility-scale renewable energy projects which were operated by fossil fuel firms.
Out of total energy generation, fossil fuel companies’ production of renewables is a tiny, tiny fraction. Why do these projects exist, and how do they operate within the broader energy system? We wanted to look at what their function was – and going through the data and the lived experience of the communities on the frontlines of these projects, we found that they’re very much used to legitimise fossil fuel expansion or just continued operation.
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And then we also looked at the governmental role within the institutions as well – so fossil fuel firms using these technologies and these false solutions as ways to garner public subsidy, particularly for carbon capture and storage (CCS) and hydrogen, to some degree.
And what we found across all these cases was they did very little to reduce emissions and generated environmental conflicts… and they ultimately delayed an energy transition, or the sort of industrial transformation that’s required to deliver deep and rapid emissions cuts.
Q: Shouldn’t fossil fuel companies be able to use all the climate solutions available to help reduce their emissions while the world is transitioning away from coal, oil and gas?
A: My response [to that argument] is to actually look at the data. When people say hydrogen and CCS are very important and they’re crucial, I don’t disagree with the idea that we might need some sort of technology to suck carbon out the atmosphere at some point in the future. But currently, the operational projects are not delivering that, and fossil fuel projects should not be expanded on the premise that future technologies can undo their emissions.
Just a few weeks ago, the Financial Times ran a very big story about how most of the oil majors have cancelled all their hydrogen projects because the scale of it’s not there yet, and they don’t think it’s going to stack up. These are companies with huge amounts of capital in an easy-to-abate sector – energy – saying we’re not going to do this. So you have to question the plan of hydrogen as a solution, if even the people that have the expertise and the capital to make it work are saying we’re not going to do this because we cannot make it work.
Likewise with carbon capture, many of the large energy projects and energy producers that have garnered vast amounts of public subsidies on the promise that they will do carbon capture are cutting those research projects down.
So at this stage in the energy transition – which some people call the “mid transition”, the difficult part – I think we need to scrutinise these technologies and look at what they do deliver on a project-by-project basis, and then on an aggregate basis.
Q: High-carbon industries say they need government subsidies to cover the high cost of researching, developing and creating markets for new technologies to help combat climate change. Is this justified?
A: I’m a big believer in the idea that the energy transition – the ideal energy transition, which is one of scaling up new industry while phasing out an old one – is going to require not only public money, but public coordination. That means states actively stewarding investment, picking winners and sequencing what is going to be a highly disruptive process.
I think public subsidy is necessary. We need to see deep and rapid decarbonisation, especially in wealthy industrialised states, but it should be used in a very targeted way to scale up technologies which have a marked impact on emissions and also uplift welfare as well – so heat pumps insulating homes in poorer communities. With these sort of things, you get your bang for your buck.
Comment: The battle over a global energy transition is on between petro-states and electro-states
You don’t get bang for your buck giving BP and Shell money to pilot a carbon capture and storage facility. It’s an extension of existing relationships between big business and government that needs to be looked at closely in the context of energy transition, because ultimately, these companies are not serious about transitioning at the requisite speed or scale to stave off climate disaster.
Look at both oil and gas companies’ ownership of renewable assets (1.42% of operational renewable projects around the world) and the renewables share of their primary generation (0.13%). They have the capital, and they have the know-how to do this. They haven’t done it. The question is, why do they need more public subsidy to continue not doing it?
This interview was shortened and edited for clarity.
The post Q&A: “False” climate solutions help keep fossil fuel firms in business appeared first on Climate Home News.
Q&A: “False” climate solutions help keep fossil fuel firms in business
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